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lundi, 26 janvier 2015

Laurent Obertone contre la France Big Brother...

Laurent Obertone contre la France Big Brother...

Vous pouvez ci-dessous découvrir l'entretien avec Laurent Obertone réalisé par Élise Blaise pour TV Libertés à l'occasion de la sortie de La France Big Brother (Ring, 2015), le livre qui dévoile le système dans sa vérité...

Conférence de Synthèse nationale sur la Syrie

Jeudi 5 février: conférence de Synthèse nationale sur la Syrie

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Demandez une invitation

synthesenationale@club-internet.fr

Adios Cuba!

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Adios Cuba!

By

Ex: http://www.lewrockwell.com

It’s taken over half a century for the US to finally figure out how to neutralize pesky Communist Cuba. Invasions, air raids, crushing sanctions, attempts to murder the Castro leadership by exploding cigars and poisons, diplomatic isolation, poisoning crops – all failed.

Now, the lame duck Obama administration has finally figured out how to put an end to Cuba’s Communist system: human wave attacks by hordes of American tourists in loud golf wear yelling “USA,USA!” and waving Visa cards.

The flood gates open in March. Once this happens, the charming, lovely island of gracious people that I’ve known since my youth will go the way of Nineveh, Tyre and Atlantis. They’ll probably even rename eastern Cuba as Sandals III and Hedonism IV, while beautiful old Havana becomes Disney Pirate’s World.

My heart weeps at this prospect. What made Castro’s Cuba uniquely charming was its glorious dilapidation, quaint prudery, and freedom from consumer vulgarity.

Cuba was pretty much crime free. Visitors were treated with respect  and rarely pestered. Even the state controlled prices were rock bottom, making Cuba, with its lovely beaches, gorgeous weather and zesty rums the ideal resort for lower and middle income tourists. Well-behaved, polite Canadians make up the majority of visitors. Sayonara to their C$500 (US $410) week all-inclusive vacations.

Once US airlines open regular flights to Havana and Varadero Beach, the Old Cuba will be soon wiped away.

For Americans, long banned from Cuba, this island is the ultimate forbidden fruit. Few Americans are even aware that Havana is a century older than my native New York City. 

But beautiful, sexy and charming as Cuba certainly is, it’s biggest problem is dire lack of tourist infrastructure. A few so/so European hotels have been built, but not enough to even handle current demand. The old hotels, like the Nacional where I’ve stayed since I was ten years old, is aging rapidly. Older hotels in downtown Havana are way over the hill.  Varadero Beach is lovely but it hotels remind one of Bulgarian Black Sea resorts.

There are shortages of fresh food across the island. Tourists subsist on frozen chicken that US farm lobbies managed to get around the US blockade. How much rubber chicken can one eat? When in Cuba, I savor glorious black beans and rice three times a day. If you’re looking for fine cuisine, go to St Barts.

A big plus for Cuba its world class healthcare and biomedical research. Elderly tourists need have no medical concerns in Cuba –as they should on many small West Indian islands. For example, the Turks and Caicos are lovely but they don’t have a single decent hospital.

Cuba is going to face big trouble when the tourist tsunsmi hits. Havana will have to limit the tourist inflow. Otherwise, hotels and eateries will be swamped and assailed by bribes. Taxis, fuel, and even imported food will be in dire shortage. So will landing slots at Havana and other regional airports.

Cubans are not ready for loud, aggressive tourists shoving money in their faces. Nor are these easy-going islanders mentally prepared for tens of thousands of pushy New Yorkers (I’m also one) or overly emotional Miami Cubans who think they are returning royalty. Waves of carpet baggers will pour in trying to buy everything that isn’t nailed down with their gringo dollars. Every Cuban exile sees himself as the next El Presidente.

All this seems inevitable. I was in Moscow during the fall of Communism and it was not a pretty sight. Many Russians feel deep shame to this day. And so will patriotic Cubans who struggled  – and sacrificed – to keep their island independent of Uncle Sam for half a century. Looking at the rest of today’s modernized Latin America, many Cubans will wonder if their long battle was really worth it. At least none will miss the Communist secret police and neighborhood informers.

One suspects a majority of Cubans eagerly await the Yankee invasion.  They have suffered long enough for the sake of pride and independence.

I vividly recall Batista’s corrupt, raunchy Cuba of 1953. It’s likely that once the Communists are swept away, the island could revert to those bad old days. Cuba will face a US Congress that still demonizes the Castro brothers and idolizes Israel’s Bibi Netanyahu.

Tradition and Evolution

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Tradition and Evolution

by William Deller

Ex: http://www.traditionalbritain.org

William Deller evaluates the role of Tradition in contemporary Britain and the cultural forces opposing a traditional society

The principles of Tradition and Evolution may seem to be opposed: Evolution is about change whereas Tradition seems to be about changelessness. However Evolution is not about change for the sake of change, purposeless change or change at any price. Evolution is an over-arching principle in life; it is purposeful change, the means by which nature improves itself.

Darwin explained how evolution worked for animals through the process of small changes, which enabled animals to respond better to their environment whether through avoiding predators, attracting mates or finding a better supply of food. The more successful animals had offspring who possessed the characteristics of their parents. This is the process of continual improvement sometimes described as “survival of the fittest”, the evolutionary process which is essentially pragmatic, irresistible and implacable. It is a process of trial and error in which success means survival and failure means extinction. It is such a process which has led to homo sapiens, and civilisation as we know it.

The evolutionary process described by Darwin applied to animals who were subject to their environment and responded to that environment. Humans, at the peak of the evolutionary chain, and with immense ingenuity, have developed the god-like ability to create their own environment and develop human society. This has its dangers, bringing the possibility of creating an environment that distorts the evolutionary process, so that the human response to the artificially created environment becomes a negative one which leads humanity in a downward direction.

A current example is the effect of the benefit system, which has been implemented with the wholly good intention to help those in need. Some people may find that the terms of the benefit system make it more attractive to be unemployed than to contribute to society. This is an undesirable evolutionary development. Another example is the behaviour of bank employees who are motivated by the prospect of huge financial gains, and exploit their position to effectively gamble with other peoples’ assets, creating financial mayhem in the process. These are both examples of the corruption of the evolutionary scenario.

However the process of evolution – trial and error - operates constantly so giving an opportunity to reverse changes that are demonstrably retrograde. This explains the continuing development of human society from barbarism to the relatively advanced state of civilisation that operates in much of the world today.

So where does tradition come into the equation? Because humans have the god-like ability to create their own environment (and thus the direction of their evolution), they need some guiding principle to ensure that they do not allow their environment to disintegrate into anarchy. This guiding principle is tradition, which appears in different guises, one being religion. Tradition is not the enemy of evolution, but tries to ensure that humanity is not drawn into false promises of ‘progress’. Tradition distinguishes between ‘right’ and ‘wrong’ and complements evolution.

Religion provides a rule book that enables us to navigate our way through life. Of course religion is also subject to evolutionary forces as demonstrated in the Reformation, but there are some aspects of life on which tradition, religion and evolution agree, and powerfully object to those decisions made by our leaders which are likely to have a negative effect on the way society develops.

The turbulent history of Britain demonstrates the interplay of tradition and evolution in the progress from a feudal agricultural economy to the sophisticated society we know now, through milestones such as the signing of Magna Carta, the execution of King Charles I, and the abolition of the slave trade along the way. Our society develops, rather clumsily, through a process of trial and error: some things work, some things don’t, and the things that don’t work are, in the due course of time, changed. Change of the things that don’t work is dependant on a recognition that something is wrong. At the present time there are two major areas where our leaders have taken decisions which, I believe, are leading Britain in the wrong direction: membership of the European Union, and same-sex marriage.

Before Britain joined the EU it was a sovereign nation, whose democratically-elected Government ran the country. Britain had achieved this condition through many centuries of evolution, involving external warfare, internal rebellion and social upheaval, to realise a stable society which was envied by many throughout the world. A world-wide empire had evolved into the Commonwealth. The British example was followed by all those emerging nations who sought freedom, “self-determination” and democracy.

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When Britain first joined what was then called the European Economic Community in 1972 it seemed to represent a natural collaboration on economic matters between a small number of independent nations. It soon became apparent that the instigators of the EEC had other ideas. The EEC has been transmuted into the European Union, an ‘empire’ of 28 nations, governed by the ‘acquis communautaire’ which is a cumulative body of law of over 80,000 pages which cannot be changed. It has been estimated that some 80% of UK laws now originate in Brussels. The stranglehold which the EU has on British political life is intensified by the rulings of associated European Courts on such matters as equality and human rights. The British Government no longer governs Britain; it merely operates within the rules provided by the European Conglomerate. Is it any wonder that Britain has major problems, developed over decades, such as:

Unbalanced development across Britain of employment, housing, transport and much else.

Lack of an effective energy policy.

Lack of an effective policy to encourage industry.

Lack of an effective population policy.

Inability to control immigration.

Legal confusion such as the inability to deport criminal immigrants.

Failure of the education system to produce the workforce the country needs.

These problems are no surprise when the British Government no longer has the power or the incentive to deal with them. British membership of the EU has long been a contentious issue; however it is now evident that problems associated with that membership are increasing and will continue to increase. It is apparent that British membership of the EU is opposed to the traditions of Britain and to the evolutionary destiny of Britain; sooner or later Britain will have to exit.

A further example of the way that society - ignoring the teachings of tradition, evolution and religion - can be led down a blind alley, is same-sex marriage. It is curious that the tale of same-sex marriage is linked to the EU. There were no proposals for same-sex marriage in the Conservative election manifesto; it is opposed by much of the public; it was opposed by many Conservative MPs; it was strongly opposed by religious organisations. The legislation was introduced by the Government because gay-rights activists threatened to take the issue to European Courts, and raised the possibility of forcing the Government’s hand using European rulings on equality.

The legislation by the Government on same-sex marriage is opposed to tradition, religion and evolution. It is opposed to the evidence of evolution because heterosexuality is the means by which humanity has reproduced itself and civilisation has developed; to suggest that heterosexuality and homosexuality are equal is absurd. It is opposed to tradition because throughout history it is the union of one man and one woman, and their procreation of children, that has been enshrined in traditions around the world. It is opposed to religion because the tradition of union between one man and one woman has been formalised and made sacred by religions.

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In the eyes of many people, probably the large majority, the concept of marriage between one man and one woman was a rock-like tradition of our society, our civilisation; it provides a framework for raising and educating future citizens; it is the cornerstone of community and of society. The introduction of same-sex marriage destroys this solid foundation, replaces it with a nightmare world of undefined relationships and trivialises the vital function of parenthood. It seems that the people who originated this legislation have never watched the wild life TV programmes of David Attenborough in which the primary driving force (after survival) is the mating of male and female and the procreation of offspring.

It is curious that the apparent driving force for same-sex marriage has been the principle of total equality, whereas evolution is all about inequality! Evolution accepts that a species advances by recognising that some members of the species are better able to contribute to the common good than others. This is profoundly demonstrated in the modern world by the recognition given to football players, which is given not by decision of the powerful, but by the ordinary people who watch football! Thus the idea of total equality is anathema to the principle of evolution. We know quite well that there is an enormous variety in human qualities which is part of the richness of human life and explains the success of the human species. Yet our leaders seem to be unable to distinguish between the absolutely different characteristics of heterosexuals and homosexuals, and the different contributions they are able to make to society.

Another significant aspect of the drive for same-sex marriage has been the delight that some people find in trampling on tradition, which emphasises the need for the fordces of tradition and evolution to work together to challenge those who, knowingly or not, are leading society to nihilism. The issues of same-sex marriage and British membership of the EU are not simply topics for the debating chamber; they are matters which profoundly affect the evolutionary direction of the British nation. Sooner or later we must either choose, or be forced by circumstances, to abandon these current policies.

William Deller Author of NEW DEAL – How to Transform Britain December 2014

Content on the Traditional Britain Blog and Journal does not necessarily reflect the opinions of The Traditional Britain Group

Alstom: racket américain et démission d’Etat

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L’EMPIRE DU NÉANT EN ACTION
 
Le cas Alstom: racket américain et démission d’Etat

Auran Derien
Ex: http://metamag.fr
 
Le rapport de recherche publié par le CF2R (Centre Français de Recherche sur le Renseignement) en décembre 2014 explique comment la canaille occidentale répand le néant. Consacré au dessous des cartes du rachat d’ALSTOM par Général Electric, les deux auteurs Leslie Varenne et Eric Denécé ont intitulé leur travail : “racket américain et démission d’Etat”. En 35 pages se déroule la mort d’une civilisation, d’une culture d’entreprise, de multiples talents, achevés par les méthodes de la finance mondialiste.
 
Les assassins pieux

La société ALSTOM a été victime en premier lieu d’attaques permanentes venant de financiers mondialistes. Ces types font gober aux Européens que le droit américain vaut pour l’humanité, et que leurs méthodes sont légales alors que celles des autres ne le sont pas. Ils ont donc déposé des plaintes contre Alstom pour corruption dans de multiples pays : USA, G.B., Slovénie, Lituanie, Brésil. Et Alstom a été déjà condamné au Mexique (2004), en Italie (2008), en Suisse (2011), en Zambie (2012).
 
 
Face à cela, aucune réaction. Les voyous ont pu emprisonner des cadres d’Alstom sans que jamais il y eût la moindre réaction de la part de l’Etat. Terrorisés par ces attaques et condamnations, la direction d’Alstom a décidé de tout bazarder en échange d’une immunité pour le clan dirigeant, situation officialisée le 16 décembre 2014, trois jours avant la vente. On observe ici un terrorisme systématique organisé par l’oligarchie étatsunienne qui utilise la loi comme arme de guerre et dont les guerriers sont les membres du système judiciaire. Bien entendu, ils veulent étendre cela à toute l’humanité à travers les diktats trans-atlantiques et trans-pacifiques. Pour échapper à ces lois, il faudrait pratiquer les mêmes méthodes de corruption, inspirées par les pratiques de blanchiment d’argent mises au point dans le trafic de drogue par les éléments de l’oligarchie qui ont ce secteur en charge (Leslie VARENNE - Eric DENÉCÉ : Racket Américain et démission d’Etat. Le dessous des cartes du rachat d’Alstom par Général Electric. Rapport de Recherche nº13 - Décembre 2014).
 
La facilité avec laquelle les cadres d’Alstom ont été attaqués et, pour certains, mis en prison est liée évidemment au système d’espionnage que la NSA a mis au service du business. Dans ce monde de brutes, l’argent et la divinité ne sont qu’une seule et même chose, de sorte que l’espionnage de tous et de tout est justifié par la nécessité de ne pas laisser s’écouler des flux de revenus vers les impurs.
 
Des hommes sans qualité

Côté Alstom et côté France, la médiocrité et la mentalité de petit trafiquant sont aux commandes. Les cours de l’action, clairement atypiques, ne soulèveront jamais d’enquêtes, car on ne doit pas sanctionner. Emmanuel Macron, qui traînassait à la Présidence de la République comme secrétaire général adjoint a toujours œuvré en faveur de Général Electric car il incarne parfaitement le syndrome de Stockolm : les voyous sont divins. Emmanuel Macron a travaillé pour Rothschild, banque conseil d’Alstom. Aujourd’hui, en tant que ministre chargé du dossier, il apparaît clairement qu’il est un sordide complice des éradicateurs d’Alstom.
 
La liste des vilenies, tout au long du dossier, n’oublie pas de citer les membres du conseil d’administration. Ils se sont gobergés, obtenant une augmentation des jetons de présence, élément favorable à un assouplissement de l’échine. Le président d’Alstom a lui même reçu un bonus de plusieurs millions d’euros, car il convenait de huiler les rouages de la machine à liquider le patrimoine. Pour finir, le rapport du CF2R cite Clara Gaymard, présidente de GE France et vice-présidente de GE International, au grand cœur yankee. Flaubert disait, en d’autres temps il est vrai, “j’appelle bourgeois quiconque pense bas”. Penser bas aujourd’hui c’est ne pas décoller de l’obsession de l’argent pour consommer des choses inutiles alors que la grandeur de l’homme provient de sa qualité et en particulier de ses manières. Or, celles de Clara Gaymard sont crasseuses. En tant que femme d’un ministre n’avait-elle pas choisi un duplex de 600 m2 dans le quartier le plus cher de Paris, aux frais de la collectivité bien évidemment ? 

 
L’étude de Varenne et Denécé se limite au cas Alstom, un parmi ceux qui encadrent la route de la servitude. Les auteurs signalent que les banques islamiques jouent un rôle non négligeable dans le blanchiment qui permet à l’oligarchie yankee de renaître pure de toute corruption. La relation maître/esclave, fondement de l’activité économique, est vivement encouragée chez les responsables que l’empire du néant recrute et place à la direction des affaires du monde. La ruine du monde civilisé européen est liée à l’étouffement de ses élites remplacées par de « petites choses » pour lesquelles il conviendrait de relancer la science du coup de pied dans le fondement.

Thomas Cromwell was the Islamic State of his day


         
       

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Hans Holbein’s portrait of Thomas Cromwell Photo: Alamy

On July 24, 2014, worshippers in Mosul were asked to leave one of the city’s most historic and famous buildings — an ancient Nestorian-Assyrian church that had long ago been converted into the Mosque of the Prophet Younis (biblical Jonah). The Islamic State then rigged the entire building with explosives, and blew it into oblivion. Tragically, it was a Shia mosque - one of many that have suffered the same fate.

The UK's current primetime TV fantasy blockbuster du jour is Wolf Hall. Everyone loves a costume drama, but there is a world of difference between fictional history and historical fiction. One dramatizes real people and events. The other is an entirely made-up story set in the past. The current tendency is to blur the two, which Wolf Hall does spectacularly.

Thomas Cromwell, whose life it chronicles, comes across as a plucky, self-made Englishman, whose quiet reserve suggests inner strength and personal nobility. Back in the real world, Cromwell was a “ruffian” (in his own words) turned sectarian extremist, whose religious vandalism bears striking comparison with the iconoclasm of Islamic State or the Afghani Taliban.

Thanks to Wolf Hall, more people have now heard of Thomas Cromwell, and this is a good thing. But underneath its fictionalized portrayal of Henry VIII’s chief enforcer, there is a historical man, and he is one whose record for murder, looting, and destruction ought to have us apoplectic with rage, not reaching for the popcorn.

Historians rarely agree on details, so a lot about Cromwell’s inner life is still up for debate. But it is a truly tough job finding anything heroic in the man’s legacy of brutality and naked ambition.

Against a backdrop of Henry VIII’s marital strife, the pathologically ambitious Cromwell single-handedly masterminded the break with Rome in order to hand Henry the Church, with its all-important control of divorce and marriage. There were, to be sure, small pockets of Protestantism in England at the time, but any attempt to cast Cromwell’s despotic actions as sincere theological reform are hopeless. Cromwell himself had minimal truck with religious belief. He loved politics, money, and power, and the reformers could give them to him.

Flushed with the success of engineering Henry’s divorce from Catherine of Aragon and his marriage to Anne Boleyn, Cromwell moved on to confiscating the Church’s money. Before long, he was dissolving monasteries as fast as he could, which meant seizing anything that was not nailed down and keeping it for himself, for Henry, and for their circle of friends. It was the biggest land-grab and asset-strip in English history, and Cromwell sat at the centre of the operation, at the heart of a widely-loathed, absolutist, and tyrannical regime. When Anne Boleyn pointed out that the money should be going to charity or good works, he fitted her up on charges of adultery, and watched as she was beheaded.

As an adviser to Henry, Cromwell could have attempted to guide the hot-headed king, to tame his wilder ambitions, counsel him in patience, uphold the many freedoms enjoyed by his subjects. But Cromwell had no interest in moderation. He made all Henry’s dreams come true, riding roughshod over the law of the land and whoever got in his way. For instance, we are hearing a lot about Magna Carta this year, but Cromwell had no time for tedious trials and judgement by peers. With lazy strokes of his pen, he condemned royalty, nobles, peasants, nuns, and monks to horrific summary executions. We are not talking half a dozen. He dispatched hundreds under his highly politicised “treason” laws. (When his own time came and the tables had turned, he pleaded to Henry: “Most gracyous prynce I crye for mercye mercye mercye.” But he was given all the mercy he had shown others.)

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And then there is his impact on this country’s artistic and intellectual heritage. No one can be sure of the exact figure, but it is estimated that the destruction started and legalised by Cromwell amounted to 97% of the English art then in existence. Statues were hacked down. Frescoes were smashed to bits. Mosaics were pulverized. Illuminated manuscripts were shredded. Wooden carvings were burned. Precious metalwork was melted down. Shrines were reduced to rubble. This vandalism went way beyond a religious reform. It was a frenzy, obliterating the artistic patrimony of centuries of indigenous craftsmanship with an intensity of hatred for imagery and depicting the divine that has strong and resonant parallels today.

It can only be a good thing that people are again thinking about Cromwell. Because as we look to the east, to the fanaticism that is sacking the cultural and artistic heritage of other ancient societies, we can all draw the same, inevitable conclusions about religious extremism in any age, whether Christian, Muslim, Jewish, Hindu, or Buddhist. None of it is pretty. All of it is real. And we, in England, are not in some way removed from it. We only have to survey the smashed up medieval buildings the length and breadth of the country, or contemplate Cromwell’s record of public beheadings and other barbarous executions.

It is plain that extremists come in all shapes and sizes.

DÉMOGRAPHIE ET CIVILISATION

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DÉMOGRAPHIE ET CIVILISATION
Gérard DUSSOUY *
Ex: http://metamag.fr

De temps à autre, il faut aller au fond des choses, il faut réfléchir et aller au-delà du vernis médiatique quotidien, boursoufflé par l’émotionnel et l’ethnocentrique. Et les événements peuvent, paradoxalement, y obliger quand ils mettent en exergue un enjeu civilisationnel (en l’occurrence la liberté d’expression, aussi vulgairement instrumentalisée et dévoyée soit-elle, et la tolérance) et que l’on sait que celui-ci a un rapport direct avec la démographie, c'est-à-dire avec le substrat humain qui l’a toujours porté et fait vivre. Or, ce rapport est en cause parce que les populations française et européenne ont changé, déjà et cela va continuer, et parce que leur environnement démographique mondial est bouleversé. Rien n’est jamais acquis et tout est contextuel, faut-il le rappeler ?


Les civilisations, comme l’a expliqué, en long et en large, Fernand Braudel, sont, justement, des contextes, à la fois, matériels (états d’avancement de la technique et des conditions de vie) et historico-culturels (systèmes de valeurs et de croyances) qui conditionnent tous ceux qui, individuellement ou collectivement, en sont issus. Réciproquement, il va de soi que chaque civilisation dépend, pour sa vitalité et sa durabilité, des hommes qui la portent, et de leur attachement à leurs valeurs et à leurs styles de vie. Or, les sociétés européennes sont vieillissantes, dramatiquement pour certaines d’entre elles, et on assiste au remplacement progressif des générations par des populations jeunes issues d’autres civilisations. Sachant que « la religion est le trait le plus fort, au cœur des civilisations, à la fois leur passé et leur présent » (F. Braudel), il est logique que les nouveaux arrivants, quand ils sont devenus les plus nombreux, imposent leur culte, leur manière d’être au monde et leur conception de la liberté. La journée du Dimanche 11 Janvier 2015, dans son « unanimisme » apparent, aura-t-elle été celle du « chant du cygne » de la pensée moderne ? Il faut souhaiter que non, mais cette dernière a commis l’erreur fatale, après avoir séparé la nature de la culture, d’avoir surévalué le rôle de l’idéologie.


Dans la dialectique entre le matériel et l’idéel, le premier l’emporte plus souvent que ne veulent le croire les idéologues français. De même, la démographie conditionne souvent la puissance d’une culture ou d’une civilisation. Allez donc dire aux Indiens d’Amérique que le « grand remplacement » n’existe pas, et que l’arrivée massive des Européens dans le second quart du XIX° siècle n’a pas totalement « transformé » leur civilisation ! Quant à la Chine, elle s’homogénéise de mieux en mieux, grâce à sa réserve considérable d’individus appartenant à l’ethnie des Hans. Leurs déplacements d’Est en Ouest, et du Nord au Sud, aux dépens des Ouïgours et des Tibétains, aujourd’hui, après que cela fut le cas, autrefois, des Mandchous et des Mongols (de la Mongolie Intérieure), les rend de plus en plus largement majoritaires dans les provinces périphériques de la Chine.


Parallèlement à la montée des inquiétudes face à l’installation et au durcissement récent des communautarismes, l’opinion publique en Europe prend conscience des nouveaux rapports de forces démo-économiques irrésistibles (comme la montée en puissance de la Chine le lui démontre) qui ont été engendrés par la mondialisation. Ils sont la conséquence de la modernisation des « masses amorphes » de l’ancien Tiers-monde, comme pouvait les dénommer Gaston Bouthoul au beau milieu du XX° siècle. Et qui sont devenues, du même coup, de redoutables concurrents. Comme l’a développé à maintes reprises Pierre Chaunu, l’histoire démographique, mise en relation avec le progrès technique, prime sur tout. Selon cet historien français, l’union et la pérennité du couple (démographie/technologie), à l’intérieur d’un espace-temps donné, permettent de dégager une « succession des systèmes de civilisation » dans l’espace-temps mondial. Il avait donc tendance à croire que sur l’axe Méditerranée (Europe)-Inde-Chine, « sur lequel tout se joue » d’après ses propres termes, après le basculement en faveur de l’Occident (Grandes Découvertes du XVI° siècle, puis la révolution scientifique des XVIII° et XIX° siècles) on assisterait maintenant au retour du balancier vers l’Asie. Sauf, peut-on le penser, si l’Occident et l’Europe, pour ce qui nous concerne, réaffirmaient leurs avancées technologiques (la technologie étant le seul facteur qui pourrait encore leur octroyer une suprématie relative). Aujourd’hui, de toute évidence, la mutation de la croissance des hommes et des moyens est fondatrice d’une mondialité de plus en plus centrée sur le continent asiatique (3 milliards d’individus entre la Chine et l’Inde, susceptibles d’être « technologisés », contre 300 millions pour l’Amérique du Nord).

 

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Le devenir de la civilisation européenne est donc lié, à la fois à la réorganisation du monde, elle-même en grande partie commandée par les masses humaines les mieux étatiquement structurées et les plus culturellement enracinées, et à la capacité des Européens à vouloir demeurer ce qu’ils sont. Des romans ou des pamphlets, plutôt que des travaux scientifiques sur ces sujets qui font gravement défaut, révèlent par leurs succès le début d’une prise de conscience générale. Les menaces démographiques, culturelles et économiques (on ne va pas tarder à reparler de la question des retraites) commencent à cumuler leurs effets. En attestent les grandes manifestations organisées en Allemagne par le mouvement Pegida, dont il faut apprécier, au passage, la référence patriote européenne qui devrait en inspirer beaucoup d’autres en Europe, notamment en France, où l’on préfère envisager le plus souvent le recroquevillement xénophobe. Si c’était le cas, s’il essaimait sur le continent, il y aurait alors tout intérêt à ce que ce mouvement élargisse sa plateforme politique et revendicative au-delà de la seule résistance à l’islamisation de l’Europe.


Dans l’Histoire, la démographie occupe une place primordiale qui ne se dément pas. Cela se vérifie dans la restructuration en cours du système international, et cela crée des enjeux existentiels et civilisationnels réels.


* auteur de : Les théories de la mondialité. Traité de relations internationales, Paris, L’Harmattan, 2009 et Contre l’Europe de Bruxelles, fonder un Etat européen, Blois, Tatamis, 2013.

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