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vendredi, 06 décembre 2013

La voie ukrainienne

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La voie ukrainienne

http://www.dedefensa.org

Bien entendu, les “images” abondent, c’est-à-dire les illustrations des habituelles narrative en développement pour ce genre de situation. («A broad desire to change the way their country is run is driving Ukrainians to the streets.», nous disent, la plume mouillée, Jana Kobzova et Balazs Jarabik, dans EUObserver le 3 décembre 2013.) Il y a, dominant le tout, la narrative vertueuse et pleine d’espérance démocratique de la “Révolution Orange-II”, qui a l’avantage, pour nombre de plumitifs de la presse-Système, d’user de la technique du “copié-collé” avec leurs articles de 2003-2004 pour nous présenter d’excellentes analyses-Système de la situation ukrainienne de 2013. Cela, c’est pour le décor de carton-pâte et la facilité de la lecture.

Les protestations de l’opposition ont commencé après le refus du gouvernement ukrainien de signer l’accord de coopération avec l’UE. Le lien entre les deux était évident, dans la narrative de convenance, et il a été aussitôt imposé comme allant de soi. Pourtant, la phase de la protestation n’est peut-être si complètement liée avec la question de l’accord UE refusé. C’est une interprétation qui est assez courante, et par ailleurs assez évidente ; c’est celle de Poutine, comme celle du Polonais Mateusz Piskorski, député et directeur du European Centre of Geopolitical Analysis, qui juge que si l’opposition qui tient la rue venait au pouvoir, elle-même ne signerait pas l’accord avec l’UE («I guess that even the opposition, if it comes to power in the coming months, wouldn’t be ready to sign free trade agreement with Europe...»).

Nous dirions que la phase des protestations de rue doit être détachée de la phase des négociations avec l’UE et de la rupture, pour être considérée en elle-même comme une crise interne ukrainienne, renforcée par les diverses forces extérieures de déstabilisation (celle-là, certes, sur le modèle de la “Révolution Orange”, bien entendu, avec les usual suspects, ou pour faire plus net, les coupables habituels, tout l’appareil “sociétal” de subversion et de déstructuration du bloc BAO). Finalement, la situation interne ukrainienne joue le rôle central, avec une prodigieuse corruption, touchant tous les appareils politiques, celui du gouvernement comme celui de l’opposition, une gestion grossière des situations de crise (les violences de la police), une tension endémique entre les deux parties du pays, s’opposant selon des fractures religieuses, ethniques, culturelles, etc., entre “pro-russes” à l’Est et “anti-russes” à l’Ouest. Tous ces éléments sont archi-connus et admis, d’une façon beaucoup plus évidente qu’en 2003-2004, d’autant que la situation n’a fait qu’empirer à cet égard. Le soi-disant pro-russe et président ukrainien Viktor Ianoukovitch et son gouvernement ne sont guère plus appréciés des commentateurs russes que des commentateurs du bloc BAO, et en général pour des raisons sérieuses, dénuées de l’affectivité sociétale qui marque les écrits des seconds. (Fédor Loukianov, le 29 novembre : «Mais l'esprit de compétition va se dissiper et on ignore toujours quoi faire avec ce pays voisin et aussi proche. Après tout l’Ukraine n'a fait aucun choix en faveur de Moscou, elle l’a une nouvelle fois esquivé en espérant pouvoir continuer à mener par le bout du nez les uns [l’UE] et les autres [la Russie]...») On citera ici plus en détails quelques observations sur la situation en Ukraine.

• Quelques observations sans ambages de Poutine (Russia Today, le 3 décembre 2013) lors d’une visite en Arménie, assorties de l’affirmation officielle que la Russie se tient de toutes les façons complètement en dehors des actuels événements, selon le principe de la souveraineté.

«“As far as the events in Ukraine are concerned, to me they don’t look like a revolution, but rather like 'pogrom'. However strange this might seem, in my view it has little to do with Ukrainian-EU relations,” Putin said. [...] “What is happening now is a little false start due to certain circumstances… This all has been prepared for the presidential election. And that these were preparations, in my opinion, is an apparent fact for all objective observers,” Putin stressed.

»He has said that now the Ukrainian opposition is either not in control of the protests, or it may serve as a cover-up for extremist activities. The footage from Kiev clearly shows “how well-organized and trained militant groups operate,” the Russian President said. Nobody seems to be concerned with the actual details of the Ukrainian-EU agreement, Putin said. “They say that the Ukrainian people are being deprived of their dream. But if you look at the contents of the deal – then you’ll see that the dream may be good, but many may not live to see it,” he argued. Putin then explained that the deal offered to Ukraine by the EU has “very harsh conditions”.»

• L’analyste William Engdahl estime que les événements actuels en Ukraine son essentiellement la réalisation d’un programme du bloc BAO, avec les USA “manipulant“ l’UE, avec les habituels outils de subversion (thèse de la “Révolution Orange-II”). Il met aussi en évidence la responsabilité de la direction ukrainienne. (Russia Today, le 2 décembre 2013.)

«First of all I think it’s quite right about the economic damage with the special association with the European Union. This was a Washington agenda and has been for more than six years. The EU is simply acting as a proxy for Washington to essentially strip Ukraine from Russia and weaken and isolate Russia even more. So the geopolitical stakes are huge in this.

»The Ukrainian police made a colossal blunder, the same as Milosevic made back in Yugoslavia, and the same blunder that Bashar Assad made at the onset of the protests in Syria – and that is to react with state violence, because that is exactly what the opposition was hoping and praying for: that they would lose their cool and give a red flag for the protesters to come out on mass. And that’s precisely what has happened.»

• Enfin, on citera le Polonais Mateusz Piskorski, interviewé le 2 décembre 2013 par Russia Today. Ses réponses, qui reprennent les lignes générales déjà vues, donnent des détails intéressants sur la situation interne de l’Ukraine et sur les événemets.

Russia Today : «Ukraine is a divided country, with the West ardently supporting European integration and the East historically more pro-Russian. Do you think the opposition intends to have some kind of dialogue with the easterners?»

Mateusz Piskorski : «I guess, first and foremost, all the protests that we can now see in the central squares and streets of Kiev are protests that have been raised or supported by some external factors and actors of the Ukrainian political scene. First, we see a huge professionalism of those who have organized the protests, because before the protests we heard about the activities of several embassies and NGOs financed and supported by different foreign countries. So we see this kind of pressure exerted by the external forces for the Ukrainian government to think once again about which geopolitical and geo-economic choice would be right and better for Ukraine. We can, of course, see the protests organized by the other side, by the Ukrainian Communist Party, by some members of the Party of Regions, which are in the eastern and southern towns of Ukraine. Unfortunately, in Europe and the United States we only see what is happening now in Kiev, but we cannot see the reaction of the other parts of Ukraine.» [...]

Russia Today : «Should the opposition succeed in overthrowing the government in Ukraine? Do you think the EU want to associate with such a turbulent nation as Ukraine?»

Mateusz Piskorski : «I think for the moment being any kind of association and signing a deeper and more comprehensive fair trade agreement between the EU and Ukraine would be a kind of economic suicide for Ukrainian side. If we look at the things which have happened during the last few months, I mean during the economic conflict between Russia and Ukraine, it was a clear proof that Ukraine’s economy is very closely connected to Russia. These are the ties that have remained from the Soviet times; we perfectly know that Ukraine is a part of the post-soviet economic area which is now integrating into the Eurasian bloc. We can tell only that the EU is not capable of compensating all the financial losses that Ukraine would encounter in case of closer cooperation with the EU. I guess that even the opposition, if it comes to power in the coming months, wouldn’t be ready to sign free trade agreement with Europe if it studies the possible results of such an agreement, as well as of the association agreement. This pro-European rhetoric aims at causing internal crisis and early elections, perhaps next year.»

D’une façon générale, on trouve dans ces diverses déclarations la confirmation des différents éléments déjà mentionnés : l’aspect catastrophique pour l’Ukraine de l’accord avec l’UE, la situation de corruption générale de la classe politique, l’absence d’habileté des réactions des autorités, l’intervention sans doute très importante d’éléments extérieurs de désordre et de déstabilisation. Certains détails, certaines précisions sont discutables. Il y a, notamment pour notre compte, l’analyse d’Engdahl faisant de l’UE un outil d’un “agenda” US : notre analyse est bien que l’UE agit dans ce cas sans nécessité d’impulsion ou d’“ordre” washingtonien, mais de son propre chef, selon l’impulsion-Système affectant tous les acteurs du bloc BAO dans la course à l’expansion et à la puissance quantitative. Bien entendu, les différents groupes et réseaux de déstabilisation US suivent, comme ils n’ont jamais cessé de faire en soutenant tout ce qui a un ferment de déstabilisation. Le but de déstabiliser les voisins de la Russie sinon la Russie elle-même est également évident, mais comme un comportement quasiment mécanique, se nourrissant de lui-même depuis la chute de l’URSS et surtout depuis 9/11. Il n’y a là-dedans rien de nouveau ni rien d’absolument efficace...

Le plus extrême de cette situation, d’un point de vue institutionnel, serait la chute de Ianoukovitch et l’arrivée au pouvoir de l’opposition. On se trouverait alors devant une nouvelle phase de la même séquence, aboutissant au délitement du nouveau gouvernement dans la corruption et le reste. Le seul facteur qui pourrait interrompre cette espèce d’évolution “en boucle” comme l’on dirait de l’inventeur du mouvement perpétuel serait une rupture opposant les deux parties du pays, la pro-russe et l’antirusse. Dans ce cas, le processus de déstabilisation-déstructuration de l’Ukraine passerait au stade du processus de déstabilisation-dissolution, toujours selon un cheminement classique des événements dans la crise générale qui nous affecte. On se trouverait alors devant des perspectives inconnues, les acteurs extérieurs étant cette fois directement concernés, mais des perspectives inconnues toujours marquées par les contraintes et les pesanteurs autant de l’Ukraine elle-même que de la domination du facteur de la communication.

Le principal enseignement se trouve plutôt dans le constat de la tendance au désordre de la situation considérée objectivement, et le constat de la tendance à accentuer le désordre de la part des acteurs du bloc BAO qui sont les principaux représentants du Système. On dira : rien de nouveau là-dedans, notamment par rapport au temps de la “Révolution Orange-I”, et alors pourquoi ne pas parler effectivement d’une “Révolution Orange-II” en reprenant les logiques et les accusations qui accompagnèrent l’événement ? Simplement parce qu’il s’est écoulée une quasi-décennie entre les deux événements, et si les composants ukrainiens (situation interne et interventionnisme déstabilisant) n’ont pas changé, par contre les situations internes du bloc BAO ont complètement basculé dans la crise ouverte. Dans ce sens, la poursuite des mêmes tactiques de déstabilisation et de déstructuration change complètement de sens et pourrait conduire, au niveau des relations internationales, avec le chaudron ukrainien toujours actif et conduit à une nouvelle phase paroxystique, à des situations de tension renouvelée ou accentuée, induisant alors par conséquence d’enchaînement indirect un désordre encore plus accentué où tous les acteurs seraient concernés.

C’est-à-dire qu’on ne peut revenir à la situation de la “Révolution Orange-I” où il semblait qu’une Russie encore affaiblie était assiégée par les acteurs occidentaux (non encore constitués en bloc BAO), semblant alors encore triomphants malgré les premiers revers (évolution de la situation en Irak). Aujourd’hui, la crise interne du bloc BAO, c’est-à-dire la crise du Système, et même la crise d’effondrement du Système, tout cela est partout présent et produit constamment des effets et des interférences aux conséquences insaisissables et souvent catastrophiques. Par conséquent, et à terme assez court, si le désordre en Ukraine se poursuit et débouche sur une nième déstabilisation du pays, la Russie en sera affectée, mais également le bloc BAO d’une façon ou d’une autre. En langage express des experts-Système, il s’agit d’une situation lose-lose classique, comme on en voit partout, avec la diffusion du désordre nihiliste caractérisant les effets des politiques en cours. A ce point du raisonnement, on irait même jusqu’à observer, malgré la proximité du nouveau foyer de désordre, que la Russie serait la première à réagir d’une façon constructive, si elle s'appuie comme elle a coutume de faire sur sa politique principielle de fermeté, contre le désordre anarchique des “valeurs” du bloc BAO. Et, certes, dans le cas contraire, si la situation en Ukraine s’apaise, ce ne sera que temporaire vu l’état intérieur du pays et surtout de sa direction, et le mécanisme de déstabilisation-déstructuration se manifesterait à une prochaine occasion.

Tout cela témoigne non pas d’affrontements ordonnés assortis d’“agendas” cohérents, notamment de type géopolitique, mais bien du tourbillon de désordre de l’ère psychopolitique. Chercher un vainqueur dans une telle occurrence n’a pas de sens, tout comme la situation elle-même. (Les résultats obtenus finalement, quelques années plus tard, par les diverses “révolutions de couleur” de la période 2003-2005, pourtant parties de bases infiniment mieux maîtrisées, sont éloquents à cet égard : accentuation du désordre partout où ces événements eurent lieu, renforcement de la Russie autour de sa politique principielle, qui en fait l’acteur le plus sûr mais tout de même sans capacité de vaincre ce désordre [voir le 2 décembre 2013].) Bien évidemment, si l’on s’arrête aux événements du jour, aux vociférations de foules plus ou moins malheureuses et plus ou moins manipulées à la fois, aux slogans du bloc BAO et à la narrative de ses commentateurs, on peut toujours s’exclamer devant la puissance du Système et à nouveau proclamer son invincibilité. Pour notre cas, nous verrons dans tout cela, selon notre analyse classique, la manifestation évidente de sa surpuissance se transformant instantanément en effets d’autodestruction.

lundi, 02 décembre 2013

Tajikistan remains of highest strategic value for Russia and India

Tajikistan remains of highest strategic value for Russia and India

 

Relations with Russia are of a dual nature, although it is believed that Tajikistan is one of the main allies in the region. Photo: Tajik President Emomali Rahmon (L) and Vladimir Putin. Source: Olesya Kurlyaeva/RG

Few were surprised that acting head of the state President Emomali Rahmon won the Tajikistan presidential elections with 83.6 percent of the votes. Experts believe that the courses taken by Emomali Rahmon in the last ten years will continue. This means that the coming years will be very difficult for both the president and his country.

A complete economic collapse in Tajikistan and instability in the neighboring Afghanistan, which the U.S. military will partially vacate next year, may lead to internal disturbances in the republic. To keep the situation under control Rahmon is trying to follow a multi-vector foreign policy, relying, in extreme cases, for outside help.

Relations with Russia are of a dual nature, although it is believed that Tajikistan is one of the main allies in the region. The republic accommodates the 201st Russian military base, which will remain there until 2042 according to the agreement. However, the ratification of the relevant treaty was delayed by the parliament, controlled by Rahmon for a whole year. All this time, Tajikistan extracted various concessions out of Russia.

The Ayni conondrum

Rahmon promised to rent out the Ayni military airfield near the Tajik capital to India, Russia and the US. All three countries are interested in obtaining the lease of the site. However, the president’s "multi-vector" policy complicated the situation so much that now the potential tenants are unclear about the status of the base.

India spent a significant amount of money over the last decade developing Ayni, hoping that it would be a major base for the strategically important region. New Delhi is very serious on the Ayni air base project to gain a strategic foothold in Central Asia and improve its C3I (Command, Control, Communications and Intelligence) network to fortify its operations in Afghanistan and keep a close eye on Pakistan. India has however met with Russian resistance as Moscow has been unrelenting in its stand that it doesn’t want foreign powers to deploy fighter aircraft in its backyard and a former territory.

Ayni Air Force Base, also known as Gissar Air Base, is a military air base in Tajikistan, just 10 km west of the capital Dushanbe, which served as a major military base of the Soviet Union in the Cold War era.

The situation with Ayni shows that Tajikistan is not really in position to sign a consistent and binding agreement and that Dushanbe may be left with nothing.  “Rahmon will seek preferences in the supply of arms in lieu of renting out the base,” says Azhdar Kurtov, an expert of the Russian Institute of Strategic Studies.

Dushanbe’s bargaining chips

In exchange for the ratification of the agreement on the 201st Russian military base, Moscow promised to expand a free education program in Russian military academies for citizens of Tajikistan and to provide $200 million worth of arms to the republic. In addition, Moscow has modified work permit laws for citizens of Tajikistan, allowing them to work in Russia for up to 3 years. This is relevant for Dushanbe - according to the Russian Federal Migration Service there are more than 1.2 million citizens of Tajikistan in Russia, who this year alone remitted $3.5 billion to their home country.

However, even such a dangerous dependence on Moscow does not discourage Dushanbe from demonstrating its activity in relation to other countries. For example, until recently it seemed that the US was paying considerable attention to Tajikistan. For a while, the United States and NATO were sizing the option to withdraw troops from Afghanistan via Tajikistan, but Pakistan’s conditions regarding this issue were far more suitable for the West.

Such behaviour periodically makes experts say that Tajikistan is slipping away from Russia’s influence to China, India, Iran, or even the United States. Elena Kuzmina, Manager of the Sector for Economic Development at the Institute of the economy of post-Soviet states recognizes that in the past two years, in fact, it was China that has become a major trading partner and investor in Tajikistan. Russia is only in the second place. Chinese investment accounted for 40 percent of total investments in the Tajik economy. In addition, China provides grants for the construction of infrastructure projects. With the support of the Celestial Empire, Tajikistan was able to implement large-scale projects in the energy and communication sectors.

“It would still be improper to say that Tajikistan is moving away from Russia,” says Kuzmina. There is cooperation between Moscow and Dushanbe in many areas. According to Kuzmina, it would be more accurate to say that Tajikistan has expanded the scope of its economic interests, and will continue to try to expand and diversify its cooperation with various countries.

Azhdar Kurtov also believes that there will be no sharp geopolitical fluctuations, not to mention a change of Dushanbe’s main external partner. “The republic has no oil or gas and because of the high-altitude terrain, production of other resources is more expensive.  Its geographical location does not allow the deployment of a large-scale construction, including, for example, transport communications, which Tajikistan has pinned high hopes on. Attempts to refocus on Iran by creating a union of three Persian-speaking countries (Tajikistan, Iran and Afghanistan), were not successful, “Kurtov said.

mardi, 26 novembre 2013

Russia and Middle East Policy: Story of Success and Growing Clout

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Andrei AKULOV

Ex: Strategic-Culture.org

Russia and Middle East Policy: Story of Success and Growing Clout

Resurgent Russia is asserting itself in the Middle East as a big an important international player. The recent diplomacy that averted a U.S. strike on Syria underscored the extent to which Moscow’s steadfast support for its last remaining Arab ally has helped to solidify its role. Russian President Vladimir Putin has emerged as the world leader with the single biggest influence over the outcome of a raging war that is threatening the stability of the broader region. Meanwhile new alliances and old friendships are being revived reaching out to countries long regarded as being within the Western, predominantly US, sphere of influence. Egypt, Jordan and Iraq are exploring closer ties with Moscow at a time when the Obama administration fails to come up with clear-cut regional policy.

Iraq

On October 16 Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s top media adviser said that that Baghdad had begun receiving arms from Russia under a historic $4.3-billion deal it signed last year but then scrapped amid corruption allegations. A review conducted, Baghdad had ultimately decided to keep the agreement. It makes Russia the Iraq’s second-largest arms supplier after the United States to herald its return to a lucrative Middle East market.

Iraqi officials announced at the start of the year that Baghdad had canceled the contract due to corruption allegations that were not spelled out. “We really did have suspicions about this contract,” the Iraqi government’s media adviser Ali al-Musawi told Russia’s RT state-run broadcaster. “But in the end the deal was signed. We have currently started the process of implementing one of the stages of this contract.” (1) The shopping list includes 40 MI-35 and Mi-28NE attack helicopters (4 rotary wing aircraft added as a bonus to make the deal really lucrative), as we’ll as 42 Pantsir-S1 surface-to-air missile systems. In case of helicopters, the number 40 justifies the creation of helicopter service center on Iraqi soil.  Further discussions were also held about Iraq’s eventual acquisition of MiG-29 jets and heavy armored vehicles along with other weaponry. Musawi said Iraq was primarily interested in acquiring helicopters that could be used by the military to hunt down suspected rebels staging attacks across the war-torn country. Alexander Mikheyev, deputy general director at Russian state arms exporter Rosoboronexport, said in late June that the helicopter contract also covers pilot and technical personnel training and the delivery of essential weapons systems. This is the first contract with Iraq under the package agreement, he added. (2)

By the end of last month it was reported that the northern Kurdistan regional government ordered 14 light helicopters from US MD Helicopters formally for local security forces and medical emergencies. Allegedly the rotary wing aircraft will join the inventory of Peshmerga armed formations.  Unlike in the case of the US, Baghdad may not worry about Moscow, military cooperation with Iraqi Kurds is not on its agenda.  Washington also looks disapprovingly at Iraq’s contacts with Iran, while Iraq felt small when its peace proposals on peaceful management of Syria’s conflict were ignored by Washington. Iraq’s Prime Minister put forward the detailed plan this August with no response from the US.  Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has made two trips to Moscow in the past year and none to the United States.

Jordan

 According to RIA-Novosti news agency, on November 15 an official from Russia’s state arms exporter Rosoboronexport said Jordan is interested in locally assembling Russian-designed helicopters and anti-tank missile systems. “Our Jordanian colleagues have shown interest in setting up domestic assembly of portable Kornet anti-tank missile systems and several types of helicopters,” said Mikhail Zavaly, head of the Rosoboronexport delegation at the Dubai Air Show 2013. Russia’s Kornet-E system, produced for export, has a firing range of up to 5,500 meters (18,000 feet) and features semi-automatic laser-beam guidance with a thermal imaging site. The system, armed with missiles using dual warheads with shaped charges, is highly effective against tanks with reactive or explosive armor as well as against fortified buildings and helicopters. In May this year Jordan has already launched licensed production of Russian-designed Nashab RPG-32 portable rocket-propelled grenade launchers, which the Jordan Times (3) reports is superior to the RPGs that are currently used by the Jordanian armed forces. Jordan is manufacturing weapons as part of a joint venture with Russia. The plant, which manufactures RPG-32 Hashim launchers, is located about 20 kilometers northeast of Jordan’s capital, Amman. It has been built and equipped by the Jordanian side, whereas Russia’s Rosoboronexport is supplying components for the assembly of the grenade launchers and is overseeing the production process. (4)

On October 25 Jordan announced that it has selected Russian state-owned firm Rosatom as its preferred vendor to construct two 1,000-megawatt (MW) nuclear power plants at a site near Qusayr Amra, some 60 kilometres northeast of Amman and at the edge of the northern desert by 2022. As part of the decision, the government and the Russian firm have entered negotiations over electricity pricing in order to reach a final agreement and break ground on the reactors by 2015. Energy officials listed the safety track record of the firm’s AES92 VVER1000 reactor technology among the main advantages of the Russian bid, which beat out shortlisted French firm AREVA’s experimental ATMEA1 reactor and Canadian AECL’s CANDU technology.

No doubt financial arrangements played an important role. Under the proposal Rosatom has agreed to take on 49 per cent of the plants’ $10 billion construction and operation costs on a build-own-operate basis with the government shouldering the remaining 51 per cent and retaining a majority share in the plants.

The proposal mirrors a similar agreement struck by Rosatom and Turkey in 2010, under which the firm is set to construct four 1,000MW reactors at a $20 billion price tag.

Officials say the deal aims to help achieve energy independence in Jordan, which imports around 97 per cent of its energy needs at a cost of over one-fifth of the gross domestic product, and bring stability to a sector that has been impacted by ongoing disruptions in Egyptian gas.  

Jordan has become the third Arab state to pursue peaceful nuclear energy, with the UAE set to build four reactors with a combined 5,600MW capacity by 2020 and Egypt reaffirming earlier this month its plans to establish a 1,000MW reactor by the end of the decade. (5)

On November 15 His Majesty King Abdullah and a visiting Russian Agriculture Minister Nikolai Fedorov stressed their commitment to boosting cooperation between the two countries and to maintain coordination and consultation vis-à-vis various regional issues of mutual concern. At a meeting with and the accompanying delegation, the King highlighted cooperation prospects and means to develop them in the various sectors, mainly agriculture, tourism, transport and energy as well as in economic fields. The minister is co-chairing the joint Jordanian-Russian Intergovernmental Commission’s meetings in Amman. Fedorov asserted Russia’s commitment to strengthening its relations with the Kingdom and to maintain coordination on all issues of mutual concern, stressing Russia’s willingness to support the Kingdom in the fields of energy, transport, agriculture, tourism and capacity building.

Commending the Kingdom’s track record, the Russian official expressed appreciation of Jordan’s progress in various areas and lauded the Kingdom’s position on different regional issues as well as His Majesty’s efforts to foster peace and stability.

During Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to the Kingdom last year, Jordan and Russia signed an agreement to establish a joint Jordanian-Russian committee to activate cooperation between them. The two countries are also bound by several agreements on economic cooperation.

Jordanian officials held negotiations with the Russian delegation at the Planning and International Cooperation Ministry, and agreed to form a joint business committee to boost commercial and investment cooperation between the two countries.

Saif told reporters following the meeting that Jordan and Russia had signed a memorandum of understanding in the field of nuclear technology, adding that a Jordanian official delegation would visit Moscow early next year

The Russian minister indicated that the two sides also agreed to increase the inflow of Russian tourists seeking religious and medical tourism. 

8 years ago President Putin said he was sorry the bilateral trade turnout was just over modest $50 million. It grew up to $426, 5 million in 2012.

Egypt

Russian Foreign and Defense Minister Sergey Lavrov and Sergei Shoigu paid a visit to Egypt on November 13-15 for a two-day visit to discuss «the full spectrum» of ties between the two countries, including «military-technical cooperation».  President Putin is expected to visit to Egypt pretty soon.  The talks revealed Egypt is seeking to acquire fighter planes, air-defence systems and anti-tank missiles with 24 MiG-29 M2 fighters are at the top of the shopping list added to the Buk M2, Tor M2 and Pantsir- S1 short- to medium-range Russian defence systems. 

Last month the US froze a sizable portion of the yearly $1.5 billion aid package as a sign of discontent with Egypt’s slow progress towards democracy. The step followed after the delivery of four F-16 fighter jets was suspended and biennial US-Egyptian military exercises were cancelled.

In Egypt, where the military-backed government has accused Washington of sympathy toward the Muslim Brotherhood, some protesters have hailed Putin as a potential diplomatic counterbalance to the United States. Pro-military demonstrators have even drawn parallels between the former KGB operative and their own strongman: During a July protest in the city of Alexandria, pro-military demonstrators unveiled a large poster of the Russian President wearing a naval uniform beside that of Army Chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, bearing the inscription "Bye bye, America!"

       ***

The Russia-initiated breakthrough on Syria is followed by a host of tangible Middle East policy successes. No doubt it’s a feather in the Russian leadership’s hat, the country is strongly back in the region, its clout growing by leaps and bounds, while the US faces the music having lost its way in the regional maze of overlapping problems and complexities. No calls for revival of Cold War days competition, to the contrary joining together to get down to brass tacks will benefit all. The initiative on Syria proved the possibility and expediency of this approach.        


 Endnotes:

1)    http://rt.com/news/iraq-election-candidates-dead-031/

2)    http://en.ria.ru/military_news/20131017/184210687.html

3)   http://jordantimes.com/king-abdullah-inaugurates-jordanian-russian-rpg-factory

4)  http://en.ria.ru/military_news/20131115/184734272/Jordan-Wants-to-Make-Russian-Helicopters-Anti-Tank-Missiles.html

5)   http://jordantimes.com/russian-firm-set-to-build-jordans-first-nuclear-plants

 

dimanche, 24 novembre 2013

Выпуск XXI 2013. Война

Выпуск XXI 2013. Война

 
http://www.geopolitica.ru/magazine/

Матвиенко Ю. А.
Апология полемоса...........................................................5

Савин Л. В.
Горизонты войны............................................................22

Раджпут Патьял
Принципы войны: необходимость переосмысления....35

Фрэнк Г. Хоффман
Гибридные угрозы: переосмысление изменяющегося характера

современных конфликтов................................................45

Джордж Бергер
Сунь Цзы и Клаузевиц: кто более релевантен 
современной войне..........................................................63

Чэнь Чжихао
Военно-политические отношения между Китаем и Индией:
перспективы и вызовы....................................................72

Мануэл Охзенрайтер
Военная стратегия Германии..........................................87

Николас Гвоздев
Подход Бисмарка к разрешению конфликтов XXI века.92

Ян Алмонд
Британская и израильская помощь для США в стратегии пыток
и контрповстанческих инициатив в Центральной
и Латинской Америке, 1967-96:
аргумент против комплексификации.............................95

Колин С. Грэй
Возрождение стратегии сдерживания:
Пересмотр некоторых основополагающих принципов..115

Дональд Хоровиц
Общественный конфликт: политика и возможности....125

Рецензии............................................................................141

Сведения об авторах.........................................................160

Файл в формате pdf: 

Notes sur le désordre “apolaire” du Moyen-Orient

Latuff-Obama_and_Middle_East.gif

Notes sur le désordre “apolaire” du Moyen-Orient

Ex: http://www.dedefensa.org

L’étrange “politique” américaniste au Moyen-Orient, que certains voient comme un spectacle de “folies-bouffe” (ce 7 novembre 2013), d’autres comme une quête dérisoire et sans fin de l’«America’s Top Diplomat [Kerry] Lost in Space» (voir le 3 novembre 2013, sur TomDispatch.com), conduit à un désordre considérable que certains acteurs mieux organisés songeraient à réorganiser.

De là s’explique l’entêtement considérable du site DEBKAFiles à construire, nouvelle exclusive après nouvelle exclusive, l’impression d’une sérieuse entreprise de réorganisation de la région de la part de la Russie, à laquelle Israël, incontestable pays favori du même DEBKAFiles, ne serait pas indifférent. D’où, selon une logique développée par la même source, cette rencontre Poutine-Netanyahou du 20 novembre à Moscou, annoncée le 5 novembre un peu avant que John Kerry, le “Top Diplomat Lost in Space” ait posé un pied, le gauche ou le droit, sur le sol israélien. La nouvelle de cette rencontre n’a guère suscité de commentaires ni de supputations dans la presse-Système des pays du bloc BAO, à peine son annonce ici et là, ce qui est peut-être un indice de son importance. Ainsi en est-il également (discrétion) de la visite de Lavrov et du ministre russe de la défense russe au Caire, mardi et mercredi prochain.

Note sur un “fil rouge” à suivre avec des pincettes

Si nous citons DEBKAFiles avec toutes ses casseroles des liens avec la propagande et “les services” israéliens, c’est avec les considérables réserves d’usage, maintes fois mentionnées, avec à boire et à manger, avec fort peu à boire (source claire) et beaucoup à manger (débris troubles et stagnants) ... L’expression «se dit d’un liquide, vin, bouillon, café, etc., trouble et épais» et, au figuré, «se dit d’une question qui présente deux sens, d’une affaire qui peut réussir ou ne pas réussir, d’un ouvrage où il y a du bon et du mauvais».

Il faut donc séparer le bon grain de l’ivraie (autre expression, marquant décidément combien cette sorte de situation est courante) ; c’est notre tâche et une tâche délicate, où l’intuition prend le pas sur la connaissance. Si nous citons DEBKAFiles (bis), un peu comme un fil rouge de cette Notes d’analyse, c’est parce qu’il faut reconnaître au site israélien qu’il a beaucoup insisté et “révélé” sur des événements qui commencent à se concrétiser, et notamment (voir ci-dessous), le cas du rapprochement vers une coopération stratégique et militaire, – ce qui n’est pas rien en fait de bouleversement, – de la Russie et de l’Égypte.

Judo Bandar-Poutine

Il y a plusieurs volets, plusieurs orientations, certains diraient “plusieurs pistes” dans cette supputation que constituent ces Notes d’analyse, mais la logique répond à un grand événement qui est celui d’une nouvelle “grande absence”, qui est la politique en pleine dissolution des USA au Moyen-Orient. Le premier signe déjà lointain, entretemps considérablement brouillé par divers événements où l’habileté bien connue mais un peu trop réduite à la tactique de manigance de Prince Bandar-le-diabolique, remonte à la rencontre extrêmement secrète de ce dernier avec Poutine, à la fin juillet. Rarement rencontre “secrète” n’aura reçu autant d’attention et de célébrité, autant d’interprétations, autant d’appréciations impératives et en divers sens contraires.

Le 24 août 2013, nous donnions notre appréciation de cet événement “secret” en signalant au moins un point d’accord, qui aurait été l’idée que la Russie envisage de vendre des armes à l’Égypte (Bandar parlant alors au nom des Saoudiens qui soutiennent financièrement l’Égypte depuis l’intervention des militaires et la chute de Morsi donnent aux Égyptiens une aide financière puissante, supérieure à $10 milliards). Ces échanges de vue se faisaient sur fond de mésentente grandissante entre les USA et l’Égypte, et un sentiment anti-US grandissant en Égypte, – la chose s’étant confirmée depuis par des mesures de restrictions de l’aide militaire US à l’Égypte. Le reste de l’entretien “secret” est plus incertain, voire franchement antagoniste, avec des menaces voilées de Bandar (qui s’en délectaient) à l’intention des Russes et des réactions furieuses de Poutine.

(Un conseiller de Poutine qui se trouvait, avec quelques autres, dans l’antichambre de cette rencontre en tête-à-tête [plus les interprètes] qui dura quatre heures, a fait quelques confidences à quelques amis. Il vit sortir de l’entretien un Poutine manifestement furieux, presque rouge de colère, et un Bandar avec une expression presque triomphante et certainement sardonique. Dans la perspectives qu’on connaît désormais, on fera de ces précisions d’humeur un témoignage des caractères respectifs plus qu’une mesure des résultats de la rencontre. C’est vrai qu’il y eut des mots de Bandar qui ressemblait à des menaces adressées à la Russie [le passage sur le terrorisme tchétchène et les JO de Sotchi], et Poutine n’aime pas qu’on traite la Russie comme une vulgaire Syrie ; peut-être la colère de Poutine, personnage que les gazettes anglo-saxonnes nous décrivent comme “très physique”, vint-elle de son regret qu’il n’y ait pas eu un complément à l’entretien du type rencontre de judo.)

Lavrov au Caire

Nous restons sur cette question des relations Russie-Égypte et des armes russes ... Après diverses affirmations officieuses à cet égard et dans le sens évoqué plus haut, dès le courant août (voir le 19 août 2013), notamment très péremptoires de la part de DEBKAFiles, l’idée a pris une tournure très officielles depuis hier (Novosti, le 8 novembre 2013), et une allure-turbo avec l’annonce de la visite des ministres russes de la défense et des affaires étrangères la semaine prochaine (les 12-13 novembre) pour la négociation de contrat d’armements russes modernes portant sur $4 milliards.

«“We are ready to negotiate with the Egyptian side the possibility of deliveries of new weaponry as well as repairing equipment supplied in Soviet times,” the Rosoboronexport official told RIA Novosti. He said such new deliveries would depend on Egypt’s ability to pay for them. But he noted, “Moscow is ready to discuss with Cairo a possible loan to that country.” [...]

«Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said earlier Friday that Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will meet with their Egyptian counterparts during their visit to Egypt on November 13-14. The Russian delegation will include the first deputy director of the Federal Service on Military-Technical Cooperation, Andrei Boitsov, and Rosoboronexport officials. “The upcoming visit will help us to outline the prospects of our [defense] cooperation,” the Rosoboronexport source said...»

Sur cette question des armements russes pour l’Egypte, DEBKAFiles frappait fort, le 29 octobre 2013, en écrivant que les Egyptiens, qui recevaient ce jour-là au Caire le chef d’état-major adjoint russe et chef du GRU, le général Kondrachov, voudraient effectivement beaucoup d’armes russes, dont des missiles balistiques de théâtre à portée moyenne (2 000 kilomètres), des SS-25. («[The Egyptians] told the Russian general that Moscow’s good faith in seeking to build a new military relationship between the two governments would be tested by its willingness to meet this Egyptian requirement. They are most likely after the brand-new SS-25 road-mobile ICBM which has a range of 2,000 km., which the Russians tested earlier this month.») Le 4 novembre 2013, DEBKAFiles remet cela en annonçant que les Russes demanderaient aux Égyptiens la disposition d’une port de relâche qui serait presque une base en Égypte pour leur flotte en Méditerranée (Alexandrie et Port-SaÏd étant parmi les options envisagées). Le site israélien ne manque pas de répéter ce qu’il martèle régulièrement, savoir que tout cela est soutenu, non plus encore, encouragé et même machiné par les Saoudiens de Riyad, comme vu plus haut dans le chef franc et ouvert de prince Bandar : «As DEBKAfile reported earlier, Saudi Arabia engineered the Russian-Egyptian rapprochement with a view to bringing Russian military advisers back to Egypt for the first time since they were thrown out in 1972. Moscow was designated as major arms supplier to the Egyptian army in lieu of Washington.»

Passons donc, puisqu’on nous y invite, à l’Arabie Saoudite.

Fureurs saoudiennes

Depuis près de deux mois, depuis l’attaque US avortée contre la Syrie, l’Arabie tempête. Il y a d’abord le volet opérationnel et stratégique agressif : prendre en mains les affaires, et suppléer à l’inconsistance et à la dissolution de la politique US, contre la Syrie, mais aussi contre la “machination“ US du rapprochement avec l’Iran. Il y a ensuite et surtout la dénonciation extraordinaire des USA par l’Arabie. La fureur anti-US de l’Arabie s’est étalée publiquement à partir de la mi-octobre. La “crise syrienne” (guillemets nécessaire) est ainsi devenue “la crise autour de la Syrie” avec le considérable appendice iranien. Essayons, non pas d’y voir plus clair, mais simplement de dérouler quelques nouvelles qui, mises à bout à bout, rendent un son charmant de désordre chaotique ou de chaos désordonné, c’est selon. Là-dessus, rien n’empêche de construire de grandes prospectives concernant cette région, ce n’est pas Prince Bandar qui démentira.

La colère, voire le mépris furieux des Saoudiens vis-à-vis de leurs tuteurs et alliés de plus de deux tiers de siècle s’est affichée et s’affiche sans la moindre retenue. Le 24 octobre, le service BBC Monitoring Middle East a diffusé une traduction d’un article du Elaph News Website, site réputé comme influent et bien informé pour l’Arabie Saoudite et les pays du Golfe. Il y a d’abord les remarques extrêmement acerbes, et publiques, de Prince Turki al-Fayçal, membre de la famille royale, ancien chef du renseignement saoudien, ancien ambassadeur du royaume à Londres et à Washington... «Prince Turki al-Faysal made scathing critical remarks of Obama’s policies in Syria and described them as “worthy of lamentation.” [...] Prince Turki described Obama`s policies in Syria as “lamentable” and mocked the US-Russian agreement on getting rid of the chemical weapons of Al-Asad`s government. [...] [Turki] said: “The present drama on the international control of the chemical arsenal of Bashar al-Asad will be comical, if not blatantly ridiculous, and it aims at giving the chance to Mr Obama to back down (on carrying out military strikes) and also help Al-Asad to slaughter his people.”»

Le même texte, après avoir détaillé divers aspects de la situation saoudienne en fonction de sa brouille, ou supposée avec les USA, conclut à partir d’une source saoudienne présentée comme très sûre et de très haut niveau : «The Saudi source said: “All the options are on the table now, and certainly there will be some impact.” He added that no more coordination with the United States will take place concerning the war in Syria where Saudi Arabia provides opposition groups fighting Al-Asad with weapons and money.»

L’idylle Tel Aviv-Ryhad

On sait que cette querelle entre l’Arabie et les USA a été présentée avec le complément d’un rapprochement stratégique remarquable entre les Saoudiens et Israël. Des informations officieuses ont déjà cité des visites de Prince Bandar en Israël et, dans l’autre sens, des déploiement de certains militaires israéliens, notamment en Arabie (voir notre texte du 19 octobre 2013). Le climat de la communication est à mesure ... Un commentaire israélien typique de cette situation est celui de Ariel Kahane, dans Ma’ariv du 25 octobre 2013 : «The rift between the US and its allies in the Middle East on the Iranian issue is widening. For the first time in the region’s history, the Arab countries are forming a united front with Israel against the more lenient position being taken by the Obama administration.» Il y a beaucoup d’écho aux déclarations de la ministre israélienne Tzipi Livni lors d’un récent colloque (voir Gulf News [Reuters], le 25 octobre 2013 : «Israelis, Saudis speaking same language on Iran, says Tzipi Livni. There is a need to cooperate with those who perceive Iran as a threat, says minister...»).

DEBKAFiles s’intéresse évidemment beaucoup à cette querelle entre USA et Arabie, d’autant plus qu’il y a cet élément de proximité de circonstance de l’Arabie avec Israël. Le 25 octobre, le site, dans son domaine payant, affirmait que les Saoudiens avaient décidé de livrer des armes avancées (missiles) antichars et antiaériennes rapprochées, du type que les pays du bloc BAO, et surtout les USA, ont officiellement prohibé de crainte qu’elles ne tombent dans les mains des extrémistes. La décision est aussi bien opérationnelle (en faveur des rebelles syriens) que politique (en défiance des USA). Le rapport de DEBKAFiles annonçait notamment  : «The US media suddenly discovered Tuesday Oct. 22 that Saudi Arabia had a serious bone to pick with US President Barack Obamaover his Middle East policies, a pivotal development which DEBKA has been carefully tracking in the four months since the first major falling-out occurred over Egypt’s military coup. [...] The Saudis had meanwhile gone into action. That same Tuesday, DEBKA's intelligence sources in the Gulf disclose, a small summit met quietly in Riyadh of likeminded Mideast and Gulf heads of state to determine how and from what territory heavy weapons systems would be put in the hands of the Syrian rebel militias backed by Saudi intelligence. They decided that those militias must be given enough anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles to stand up to Assad’s army – a direct challenge to the Obama administration’s resolve to keep out of rebel hands the heavy hardware capable of contending with Bashar Assad’s tanks and air force.»

L’Amérique qui-n’a-rien-à-craindre

Pour autant, la partie US et le bloc BAO, du côté des commentateurs, ne s’affolent nullement. Ce point de vue du type “pas de panique, la situation est sous contrôle” est appuyé sur les certitudes occidentales et surtout anglo-saxonne, d’une hégémonie continue et de la situation, pour les alliés-vassaux, de ne pouvoir rien faire d’important sans le soutien anglo-saxon. C’est ce que notait Karen Elliott House, dans le Wall Street Journal du 24 octobre 2013 ; elle parlait, pour qualifier la position de l’Arabie, d’une situation où leur propre survivance continue à dépendre de leurs protecteurs de déjà plus d’un demi-siècle : «Sadly for the Saudis, there is no alternative protector, which means the two countries will continue to share an interest, however strained, in combating terrorism and securing stability in the Persian Gulf.» On peut trouver la même analyse, par exemple, chez Shashank Joshi, du Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) britannique, rapporté par Bloomsberg.News le 23 octobre 2013.

Certains vont même jusqu’à rassurer Washington sur l’excellence de sa “politique” en l’assurant que l’Arabie et ses amis du Golfe, avec leur soi-disant politique indépendante, vont rapidement se trouver devant le monstre qu’ils ont contribué à créer : un al Qaïda gonflé aux stéroïdes du Golfe, se retournant contre le Golfe. C’est le cas de David Andrew Weinberg, Senior Fellow à la Foundation for Defense of Democracies (un think tank de tendance néoconservatrice, semble-t-il), sur CNN le 25 novembre 2013...

«Some observers are bullishly optimistic about the foreign policies of America’s Gulf allies, suggesting Saudi Arabia backs “the least Islamist component of the rebellion” and Qatar’s young new emir is displaying a more “mature” foreign policy that seeks to avoid controversy in places like Syria. However, there is worrying news coming from Syria’s Raqqa Province, now controlled by the al Qaeda affiliate Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). Hateful books described by several different sources as the area’s new academic curriculum,reportedly originate from Saudi Arabia.»

Alerte terrorisée

Tous ces avis sont relatifs dans la mesure où ils parlent d’une “politique” des USA au Moyen-Orient. On sait l’état de la chose. Par contre, là où ils n’ont pas nécessairement tort, même si par inadvertance peut-être, dans l’évaluation des situations et la perception des différents acteurs, c’est pour ce qui concerne la “politique extérieure” de l’Arabie/des pays du Golfe. On peut même prendre l’avis de Weinberg et remarquer qu’il rejoint des appréhensions de DEBKAFiles, pourtant dans le camp opposé pour ce cas puisque favorable in fine à la “politique” saoudienne de la saison, à la fois anti-iranienne et anti-US, donc proche d’Israël, – mais tout ce beau monde se trouvant, à cause de leur autre “politique“ syrienne anti-Assad, effectivement en train de fabriquer un monstre.

Donc, le 26 octobre 2013, DEBKAFiles sonne l’alarme, pour Israël, pour le Liban, pour la Jordanie, pour l’Égypte, enfin pour l’Arabie Saoudite, voire pour l’Irak et le Yemen (sans parler de la Syrie), etc. Soudain, l’on fait état d’une monstrueuse extension des effectifs et des capacités d’al Qaïda à partir du “centre” syrien, et cela malgré que les activités des divers pays cités comme étant menacés aient contribué, au moins indirectement, à cette expansion en affrontant le régime syrien d’Assad. (On notera dans cette citation qu’il est même question d’un apport de djihadistes du Caucase, ce qui nous amène à nous interroger à propos des affirmations bombastiques de prince Bandar face à Poutine fin juillet, sur sa capacité à faire faire ce qu’il veut aux terroristes islamistes du même Caucase...)

«The alarm in the Israeli and Jordanian high commands over Al Qaeda’s looming encroachments is shared by Saudi Arabia, whose intelligence services now estimate that Al Qaeda and its multiple branches have massed some 6,000 fighting activists in Syria – 12 percent of them Saudi nationals. Since more are pouring into the country all the time, intelligence experts in Riyadh calculate that the current number will double itself in the next six months. And that will not be the end: the 12,000 jihadists concentrated in Syria by next spring may have multiplied to 15-18,000 by the winter of 2014. Most of them are streaming in from across the Muslim world including the Russian Caucasian.

»Saudi Intelligence chief Prince Bandar bin Sultan, who is in charge of the Saudi effort in Syria, has warned that Riyadh cannot afford to have al Qaeda hanging massively over its front, back and side doors – in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Egyptian Sinai, and threatening to overrun Lebanon and Jordan. A jihadi victory in Syria would boost al Qaeda in Iraq on its northern border.

»Israel is in the same position...»

Perspectives iranienne et syrienne

... Tout cela nous conduit à minimiser considérablement le tohu-bohu considérable fait autour de la fronde saoudienne, menaçant de partir en guerre au côté d’un Israël qui ne sait plus exactement qui attaquer en premier. Quant à une alliance israélo-saoudienne pour ramener l’Iran “à l’âge de pierre”, selon la délicieuse recette du général LeMay en mal d’attaque aérienne, on peut s’autoriser quelque scepticisme, – entre Israël qui ne contrôle plus ses propres drones destinés à réduire la défense anti-aérienne iranienne (voir le 19 octobre 2013), et l’Arabie qui attaque à coups de $milliards et de djihadistes qui lui reviennent en boomerang “gonflé aux stéroïdes”. Il y a bien les annonces spectaculaires jusqu’au surréalisme d’une Arabie saoudite devenant nucléaire avant l’Iran, grâce à l’achat d’une bombe pakistanaise, resucée d’un vieux canard relancé par la BBC (le 6 novembre 2013) et dont profite DEBKAFiles pour étoffer ses scoops parfois très fantasyland ; le doute est de rigueur, comme chaque fois lorsqu’une narrative veut nous convaincre que l’Arabie a des muscles et aura l’audace de s’en servir. Comme dit la chanson : «Che sera, sera...»

En attendant, les négociations sur l’Iran, comme on le sait, ont avancé. Prêtes d’être bouclées ce 9 novembre, dans tous les cas pour ce qui est d’un accord intermédiaire, bloquées par la France posant en extrémiste de type neocon et défenderesse des intérêts israéliens selon ses étranges et nouvelles habitudes de politique extérieure correspondantes à une situation intérieure en complète dissolution, on espère que leur reprise, le 20 novembre, permettra effectivement un tel accord. (Voir Russia Today le 9 décembre 2013.) A côté de cela, l’autre point chaud qui faillit, lui aussi (puisqu’on a souvent parlé de guerre mondiale à propos de l’Iran), nous précipiter fin août dans une “Troisième Guerre mondiale” terriblement usée à force de n’avoir pas servi, dito la Syrie, se replie dans les violences coutumières et les amertumes des rebelles, entre ceux de ces rebelles qui croient qu’Assad va gagner (Antiwar.com le 9 novembre 2013) et ceux des rebelles qui espèrent qu’Assad l’emportera, plutôt que les extrémistes djihadistes (Buzzfeed, le 8 novembre 2013). Bien entendu, la perspective de Genève-II continue comme d’habitude à s’éloigner au plus l’on s’en rapproche, et DEBKAFiles clame bien fort (le 6 novembre 2013), se référant à de nouvelles perspectives où la rencontre Poutine-Netanyahou tient une place majeure : «Geneva II cancelled: Moscow I is the big coming event...»

... Si nous sommes si courts sur ces deux chapitres, si importants puisqu’ils ont monopolisé l’essentiel de la tension au Moyen-Orient depuis sept et trois ans, et ’attention officielle par conséquent, c’est parce que notre sentiment est que nous serons très vite en voie de découvrir, si leurs tendances actuelles se poursuivent, qu’ils sont moins importants en eux-mêmes que par les tensions centrifuges et indirectes considérables qu’ils ont suscitées. Ces deux énormes crises ont été suscitées par des montages, par des narrative, essentiellement de fabrication garantie bloc BAO comprenant Israël certes (à peu près dans la proportion, pour la paternité des narrative, de 99% contre 1% en faveur du bloc, pour prendre le rapport favori de notre Système triomphant). Ces deux crises sont, pour leur ampleur et leur expansion, l’expression des phantasmes, des paranoïas, de la “fuite en avant” mâtinée d’hybris grossière, enfin de l’auto-terrorisation des directions politiques du Système attentives aux agitations des basse-cours provinciales de leurs capitales respectives. Leurs issues, si issues il y a et si c’est dans le sens qui se dessine, ne constitueraient pas un bouleversement mais un règlement géopolitique dans une époque qui n’évolue que sous la dynamique du système de la communication. Pour prendre la perspective la plus optimiste, on dirait qu’un accord avec l’Iran ne ferait pas de l’Iran le pays hégémonique et conquérant du Moyen-Orient, parce que l’Iran, qui a une diplomatie avisée et principielle, ne mange pas de ce pain-là ; et un tel accord ne créerait pas un axe Washington-Téhéran, parce que les USA ne peuvent faire d’axe avec personne et qu’ils ont l’esprit ailleurs, complètement ailleurs, c’est-à-dire en plein effacement...

Le changement profond de ce bouleversement tourbillonnant et vibrionnaire actuel se trouve, à notre sens, dans deux orientations respectivement d’influence et de désordre, qui, toutes les deux, dépendent dans leur expansion, moins de la géopolitique que de la communication.

Le triomphe méthodologique russe

Certes, on peut parler dans l’évolution générale de la situation du Moyen-Orient d’un “triomphe russe” dans la méthodologie, obtenu avec un sang-froid remarquable et sans agitation excessive malgré des situations qu’on percevait parfois comme très pressantes, et justement ce sang-froid et cette absence d’agitation ayant projeté une perception à la fois de fermeté de comportement, de sûreté de jugement, de solidité de situation, de retenue de l’ambition. A peu près tout le contraire des USA, qui ont congénitalement un comportement erratique, un jugement changeant, une situation totalement incertaine et des ambitions grotesques de réaffirmation constante d’une hégémonie en pleine dissolution, et ainsi les USA qui ne cessent de s’éclipser de plus en plus rapidement, comme on s’efface, des restes de leur position “impériale”. Ainsi les Russes apparaissent-ils comme une “borne de stabilité” (plutôt que l’expression trop structurée de “pôle de stabilité”, – voir plus loin), dont la proximité n’est pas vraiment dangereuse, au contraire de l’instabilité US qui risquerait à chaque moment de vous emporter. (Même des acteurs devenus secondaires à cause de leur propre comportement erratique, reconnaissent cela, comme la Turquie, qui resserre ses liens aussi bien avec l’Iran qu’avec la Russie, selon cette même logique qu’on décrit ici.)

Les cas les plus remarquables concernent les deux pays les plus instables ou les plus extrêmes dans leurs positions vis-à-vis des USA et vis-à-vis des tensions en cours. D’un côté, beaucoup sinon tout semble opposer, dans nombre de circonstances, Israël et l’Arabie Saoudite d’une part, la Russie de l’autre. Il y a des occurrences où l’on pourrait même envisager qu’ils s’opposent directement dans des situations d’affrontement (la Syrie). Pourtant, la tendance inverse semble devoir trouver une possibilité de s’exprimer, voire de gagner du terrain si l’on accepte certaines interprétation, – , savoir que, pour ces deux pays, une proximité avec la Russie présente de nombreux avantages de situation, – sans qu’il soit question d’“alliance”, de “tutorat”, etc., de quelque façon que ce soit. Ainsi, et pour prendre le cas précis vu plus haut, un mouvement se dessine-t-il pour envisager que la Russie puisse constituer, en échange d’avantages stratégiques, une sorte de soutien extérieur à l’Égypte, pour tenter d’éviter à ce pays de sombrer dans une instabilité meurtrière ou suicidaire. C’est favoriser, dans le chef d’une Arabie anti-Assad, deux pays qui sont ouvertement (Russie) ou discrètement (Égypte) pro-Assad.

On peut certes parler d’un “retour triomphal” des Russes, dans la possibilité de telles perspectives, par rapport aux décennies qui viennent de s’écouler. Mais il s’agit plus d’une situation à la fois méthodologique et sanitaire qui s’imposerait devant les dégâts causés à la structuration de la région durant ces dernières années. La Russie, plus qu’une ambition, plus encore que ses intérêts, représente une référence, voire une influence principielle dont tout le monde sent la force stabilisatrice. Bien entendu, le comportement erratique et incontrôlé des pays du bloc BAO a grandement servi à mettre cette vertu en évidence.

... Mais pourtant triomphe le monde apolaire

Pour autant, nous retenons notre plume en évoquant cette perspective, cette hypothèse de développement, du moins dans toutes ses conséquences. Le côté sombre, inéluctable de la situation, c’est le désordre qui s’est installé, qui a proliféré, qui a transgressé les frontières, qui a infesté les psychologies, imprégné les esprits et orienté les pensées, et que plus rien ne semble pouvoir écarter tant il est devenu naturel aux événements. Il n’y a pas de responsabilité directe pour cette évolution, on veut dire pas un seul acteur, pas une seule politique à mettre en accusation principalement mais les divers outils, accélérateurs, fomenteurs que constituent divers acteurs et leurs politiques, d’une tendance générale et irrésistible. Certains sont des exécutants zélés certes, mais ils suivent plus qu’ils ne provoquent même s’ils contribuent à la préparation des événements.

D’une certaine façon, il y a un besoin de stabilisation des crises impliquant les acteurs étatiques (Iran, Syrie) parce que le désordre prend le dessus partout, que ce soit celui de l’expansion du terrorisme semi-idéologique et d’une exaltation nihiliste, et de plus en plus semi-mafieux ; que ce soit le désordre des pays du bloc BAO qui commence à se plonger dans sa crise interne générale (NSA et le reste) après les aventures extérieures couronnées d’échecs et de déstabilisation de ces dernières années, et eux-mêmes, ces pays, outils majeurs de la déstabilisation que l’on décrit ici et acteurs majeurs du processus d’autodestruction ; que ce soit le désordre d’acteurs incertains et passant d’une position extrême à une autre position extrême (Israël, Arabie) ; que ce soit le désordre des situations internes elles-mêmes, qu’on supposerait stabilisées en fonction des développements politiques généraux (voir l’extraordinaire reportage de Andre Vltchek dans CounterPunch, le 14 octobre 2013, sur le désespoir, l’amertume, la haine anarchiste régnant en Égypte). Ainsi, la phase actuelle où l’on perçoit la possibilité du règlement de grandes crises d’axes jusqu’alors déstabilisateurs, où l’acteur principiel prend la place centrale, n'est en rien synonyme d’apaisement, et certainement pas de restructuration ; tout au contraire, la déstructuration subsiste, et la dissolution intervient dans certains cas. Simplement, et somme toute fort logiquement, il y a de moins en moins de cohérence, de logique politique justement dans cette évolution.

D’une certaine façon, il s’agit, expression appropriée tombée miraculeusement par rapport à la politique française totalement invertie de la bouche du ministre Fabius lors d’une récente conférence à Science Po, de la découverte angoissée d’un monde apolaire (ou bien “zéropolaire”, mais nous préférons nettement la précédente, et la conservons) ; après les épisodes unipolaire et multipolaire, un monde “sans pôle”, qui a perdu toute forme et toute cohésion... Un monde de toutes les opportunités de crises et de tensions souvent surgies par surprise... Un monde de tempêtes, sans vent dominant et où tous les vents prétendent dominer dans une surenchère de souffles furieux, où la tempête lève de tous les côtés.

samedi, 23 novembre 2013

Выпуск № 5. Контргегемония

Выпуск № 5. Контргегемония

 

http://www.geopolitica.ru/magazine/

Дугин А. Г.
Контргегемония............................................................7

Дугин А. Г.
Контргегемония в теории многополярного мира....27

Мелентьева Н. В.
Контргегемония по горизонтали и по вертикали
(пролегомены к Евразийской версии).......................55

Савин Л. В.
О некоторых аспектах контргегемонии.....................80

Сперанская Н. В.
Стратегия контргегемонии....................................... 87

Стивен Гилл
Грамши и глобальная политика:
К пост-гегемонистской программе исследований...96

Роберт У. Кокс
Грамши, гегемония и международные отношения:
очерк о методе............................................................121
Часть II. 

Дугин А. Г.
Взгляд на мир с позиции моря.................................151

Джон Хобсон
Конструирование евроцентризма
и теория международных отношений
как евроцентристский конструкт..............................181

Димитрис Константакопулос
Самоубийство Европы:
триумф империи Ллойда Бланкфейна,
или как Германия уничтожает Грецию, 

Европу... и Германию
(при поддержке греческого правительства)............224

Occult Roots of the Russian Revolution

CC_21995.jpg

Occult Roots of the Russian Revolution

Ex: http://www.gnostics.com

Dearest friend, do you not see
All that we perceive –
Only reflects and shadows forth
What our eyes cannot see.
Dearest friend, do you not hear
In the clamour of everyday life –
Only the unstrung echoing fall of
Jubilant harmonies.
– Vladimir Soloviev, 1892

The Great Russian Revolution of 1917, launched by Vladimir Lenin and his Bolshevic party, profoundly influenced the history of the twentieth century. The fall of the Russian Empire and its replacement by the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics ushered in а new аgе in world politics. More than this, the Russian Revolution was the triumph of а dynamic revolutionary ideology that directly challenged Western capitalism. But what of the hidden origins of this Revolution? Did secret influences contribute to the victory of Lenin and the Bolshevics?

Innumerable books, not to forget massive scholarly studies, are devoted to examining the Russian Revolution and the rise of Soviet Communism. All this impressive research is almost exclusively devoted to the obvious political, economic and social dimensions, i.e. the surface manifestations of history. However, within or behind this mundane history lies another reality that is more interesting and more important than the everyday analysis offered by mainstream historians and writers.

Establishment historians pay little attention to the remarkable impact occult and Gnostic ideas had on the rise of Bolshevism and the victory of the Russian Revolution.

A number of social and political movements, including Marxism and Lenin’s Bolshevism, have been linked to Gnosticism, which flourished in the early centuries of the Christian era. The political scientists A. Besancon and L. Pellicani argue the intellectual roots of Russian Bolshevism are a structural repetition of the ancient Gnostic paradigm. A distinguishing feature of Gnosticism is an illusive, symbolic interpretation of reality, including history.

For the early Christian Gnostics the Absolute – termed the ‘Unknown Father’– has nothing in common with the wrathful ‘God’ worshipped by theist religion. In fact, for these Gnostics, the ‘God’ of the Old Testament is the adversary of their ‘Unknown Father’, the true God. Our world, including all human institutions, is not the work of the true God, but of a false creator, the Demiurge, who keeps us captive in the world, away from the divine light and truth.

Therefore, in Gnosticism, the world is merely a sort of illusion, a set of allegorical symbols, a reverse image of the real essence of history. Man, who is asleep to his inner potential, must awake and become an active partner of the ‘Unknown Father’ in the transformation of all life. Otherwise he remains a prisoner in what the eminent Russian Gnostic philosopher Vladimir Solviev (1853-1900) aptly described as “a kind of nightmare of sleeping humanity.” A number of Gnostic communities – like nineteenth century communists – held contempt for material goods and lived communally, teaching “the world and its laws, religious, moral and social, are of little relevance to the plan of salvation.”1

Gnostics, Mystic Sects & Radicals

Russian mystical sects played an extremely important part in the Bolshevik revolution, on the side of the Bolsheviks. In spite of their rejection of the state and the church, these sects were deeply nationalistic, since their members were hostile to foreign innovations. They hated the West.
— Mikhail Agursky, The Third Rome

Throughout nineteenth century Europe we find numerous connections between Gnostics, mystics, occultists and radical socialists. They constituted what the historian James Webb calls “a progressive underground” united by a common opposition to the established order of their day. Constantly, Webb writes, “we find socialists and occultists running in harness.”2 Sundry spiritual communities emerged across the United States, with clear Gnostic and occult doctrines, which attempted to follow a pure communistic life style. Victoria Woodhull, the president of the American Association of Spiritualists during the 1870s, was a radical socialist. Woodhull believed that Spiritualism signified not only religious enlightenment, but also a cultural, political and social revolution. She published the first English translation of the Communist Manifesto and tried in vain to persuade Karl Marx that the goals of Spiritualism and Communism were the same.

Dissident Christian mystics, spiritualists, occultists and radical socialists often found themselves together at the forefront of political movements for social justice, worker’s rights, free love and the emancipation of women. Nineteenth century occultists and socialists even used the same language in calling for a new age of universal brotherhood, justice and peace. They all shared a charismatic vision of what the future could be – a radical alternative to the oppressive old political, social, economic and religious power structures. And more often than not they found themselves facing the same common enemy in the unholy alliance of State and Church.

The birth of radical socialist ideas in Russia cannot be easily separated from the spiritual communism practiced by diverse Russian sects. For centuries folk myths nourished a widespread belief in the possibility of an earthly communist paradise united by fraternal love, where justice, truth and equality prevailed. One prominent Russian legend told of the lost land of Belovode (the Kingdom of the White Waters), said to be “across the water” and inhabited by Russian Old Believer mystics. In Belovode, spiritual life reigned supreme, and all went barefoot sharing the fruits of the land and their labour. There were no oppressive rules, crime, and war. Another Russian legend concerned Kitezh, the radiant city beneath the lake. Kitezh will only rise from the waters and appear again when Russia returns to the true Christ and is once more worthy to see it and its priceless treasures. Early in the twentieth century such myths captured the popular imagination and were associated with the hopes of revolution.

In the latter half of the seventeenth century, a schism occurred within the Russian Orthodox Church of a new religious movement called the Old Believers. The result was that many Russian spiritual dissidents took courage from the split to found their own communities, giving vent to Gnostic ideas that had long been simmering underground. The Old Believers, in the face of severe repression, clung tenaciously to their ancient mystic tradition and expressed their separation from the official world of Imperial Orthodox Russia in collective migration to the fringes of the state, mass suicide by fire, rebellion, and a monastic communism.

Gnostic communities, with their communalism and disdain for private property, proliferated throughout Russia in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. Known by a variety of names such as Common Hope, United Brotherhood, Love of Brotherhood, Righthanded Brotherhood, White Doves, Believers in Christ, Friends of God, Wanderers, their followers reportedly numbered in the hundreds of thousands. Ruthlessly persecuted by the authorities, they made up a spiritual underground, often hiding themselves from inquisitive eyes. A countrywide revolutionary sectarianism that rejected the state, the church, society, law, and even religious commandments, which they declared were abolished when the Holy Spirit descended to humanity.

The origin of Gnostic ideas in Russia is difficult to trace, but they appear to be an outgrowth of two powerful spiritual impulses in Russian religious history. The first is the Christian esoteric tradition preserved within the monastic communities of the Russian Orthodox Church. A mystical tradition going back by way of Greek Neoplatonism, Origin and Clement of Alexandria to St. John the “beloved disciple”. “Russian Orthodox mystical theology has bent more than a little in the direction of the Gnostic heresy,” notes the historian Maria Carlson.3 The second impulse originated with Essene and Manichean missionaries who reached Russia in the early centuries of the Christian era. An impulse later given new vitality by the Bogomils whose Gnostic teachings had gained a foothold in Russia by the thirteenth century.

By the end of the nineteenth century occult and Gnostic ideas enjoyed wide circulation among all segments of the Russian population. At one point the Russian philosopher Nicholas Berdyaev (1874-1948) welcomed the Gnostics, urging “Gnosticism should be revived and should enter into our life for all time.”4 After the 1917 Revolution, Gnosticism, observed the Russian scholar Mikhail Agursky, “contributed considerably to Soviet culture and even influenced Soviet political life. Its foundations were laid before the revolution…[by] several gnostic trends in nineteenth century Russian culture.”

While Russian Gnostics rejected the world order and strove to live by the apostolic precept to hold “all things in common,”5 they were also profoundly aware of the approaching end of the age. “Russian popular Gnosticism had a very pronounced apocalyptic character,” says Mikhail Agursky. “Russian mystical sectarians lived in anticipation of a catastrophe. The degradation of human life demanded purifying fire from heaven, which would devour the new Sodom and Gomorrah and replace them with the Kingdom of God. Any revolution could easily be identified by such sectarians as this fire, regardless of its external form.”6

Russian Socialism

Bolshevik collectivism had roots in long-standing Russian values of individual self-sacrifice. The suffering, martyrdom, humility, and sacrifice of Christ was deeply embedded in the texture of Russian religious thought and practice, and the lives of Russian saints were a litany of suffering. The Old Believers, heretics in the eyes of the official church for their adherence to their own version of the truth, suffered persecution for centuries at the hands of the government and sought escape in mass immolation, colonization, and, finally, economic mutual aid.
— Robert C. Williams, The Other Bolsheviks

Alexander_Herzen_7.jpgAlexander Herzen (1812-1870), seen by many as the father of Russian socialism, was a friend and admirer of the French revolutionary Proudhon, who viewed himself as a Christian socialist. Proudhon worked intermittently all his adult life on a never completed study of the original teachings of Jesus Christ. Herzen also paid special attention to Russia’s persecuted religious sectarians. He printed a special supplement for the Old Believers, the mystic Christian traditionalists who had been driven out of the Russian Orthodox Church. Nicholas Chernyshevsky, another Russian socialist thinker of the nineteenth century, wrote an article in praise of the “fools for Christ’s sake” and defended members of the spiritual underground.

The Russian radicals of the 1800s, in the words of James H. Billington, looked upon “socialism as an outgrowth of suppressed traditions within heretical Christianity.”7 They saw the genesis of Russian socialism in the spiritual underground of the Gnostics and religious sectarians. One influential network of Russian socialists openly claimed to be rediscovering “the teaching of Christ in its original purity,” which “had as its basic doctrine charity and its aim the realisation of freedom and the destruction of private property.”8

ho.jpgNicholas Chernyshevsky (1828-1889), who spent much of his life in penal servitude, penned the utopian novel What Is To Be Done? as a vision of the future new society and a guidebook for the revolutionaries who would build it. Chernyshevsky wrote:

Then say to all: this is what will come to pass in the future, a radiant and beautiful future. Have love for it, strive toward it, work on behalf of it, bring it ever nearer, bear what you can from it into your present life. The more you can carry from that future into your present life, the more your life will be radiant and good, the richer it will be in happiness and pleasure.

Chernyshevsky’s novel inspired two generations of idealistic young radicals. Among them was Alexandre Ulianov, the beloved elder brother of V.I. Lenin. He was executed in 1887 for his part in the attempted assassination of Tsar Alexander III. Vladimir Lenin told how Chernyshevsky’s What Is To Be Done? “captivated my brother, and captivated me… It transformed me completely.” What impressed the future leader of the Russian Revolution was how Chernyshevsky:

not only demonstrated the necessity for every correctly thinking and really honest man to become a revolutionary, but also showed – even more importantly – what a revolutionary should be like, what his principles should be, how he must achieve his goals, what methods and means he should employ to realise them.9

Nicholas Berdyaev observed that the “Russian revolutionaries who were to be inspired by the ideas of Chernyshevsky present an interesting psychological problem. The best of Russian revolutionaries acquiesced during this earthly life in persecution, want, imprisonment, exile, penal servitude, execution, and they had no hope whatever of another life beyond this. The comparison with Christians of that time is almost disadvantageous to the latter; they highly cherished the blessings of this earthly life and counted upon the blessings of heavenly life.”10

Chernyshevsky, like those who followed him, was passionately committed to the power of reason. His philosophy firmly grounded in the materialist outlook and a sober utilitarianism. But in his life Chernyshevsky was the embodiment of self-abnegation, single-mindedness and asceticism. Like a true saint he asked nothing for himself, but wanted everything for the people as a whole. When the police officers took him into exile in Siberia they said, “Our orders were to bring a criminal and we are bringing a saint. “These two elements, the religious and the secular, the ascetic and the calculating,” writes historian Geoffrey Hosking, “remained in unresolved tension in his personality, but on the level of theory he sought a resolution in the idea of a social revolution to be promoted by the best people on the basis of personal example.”11

Inspired by Chernyshevsky, groups of young radicals emerged committed to the reconstruction of Russia as a federation of village communes and communally run factories. The reading list of one such revolutionary cell is revealing because it included the New Testament and histories of Russian Gnostic communities. The leader of the main radical circle in the Russian capital St. Petersburg spoke of founding “a religion of humanity.” He called his circle “an Order of Knights” and included in its ranks members of a Gnostic “God-manhood sect” which taught that each individual is potentially destined to become a god. It was not uncommon for the revolutionary call “liberty, equality, and fraternity” to be written on crosses, or for Russian revolutionaries to declare their belief in “Christ, St. Paul, and Chernyshevsky.”

The Russian socialists frequently visited religious sectarians and sought their support because of their history of alienation from the tsarist regime. Emil Dillon, an English journalist who had personal contact with several persecuted religious communities, reminds us:

Among the various revolutionary agencies which were at work… the most unpretending, indirect, and effective were certain religious sectarians…. Coercion in religious matters did more to spread political disaffection than the most enterprising revolutionary propagandists. It turned the best spirits of the nation against the tripartite system of God, Tsar, and fatherland, and convinced even average people not only that there was no lifegiving principle in the State, but that no faculty of the individual or the nation had room left for unimpeded growth.12

 V.I. Lenin & The Spiritual Underground

Men who are participating in a great social movement always picture their coming action as a battle in which their cause is certain to triumph. These constructions… I propose to call myths; the syndicalist “general strike” and Marx’s catastrophic revolution are such myths.
— Georges Sorel, 1906

Religious sectarians played a significant part in the formation of Bolshevism, V.I. Lenin’s unique brand of revolutionary Marxism. Indeed, Marxism with its aggressive commitment to atheism and scientific materialism, scorned all religion as “the opium of the people.” Yet this did not prevent some Bolshevic leaders from utilising concepts taken directly from occultism and radical Gnosticism. Nor did the obvious materialist outlook of Communism, as Bolshevism became known, stop Russia’s spiritual underground from giving valuable patronage to Lenin’s revolutionary cause.

One of Vladimir Lenin’s early supporters was the radical Russian journalist V. A. Posse, who edited a Marxist journal Zhizn’ (Life) from Geneva. Zhizn’ aimed to enlist the support of Russia’s burgeoning dissident religious communities in the fight to overthrow the tsarist autocracy. Posse’s publishing enterprise received the backing of V.D. Bonch-Bruevich, a Marxist revolutionary and importantly a specialist on Russian Gnostic sects. Through Bonch-Bruevich’s connections to the spiritual underground of Old Believers and Gnostics, Posse secured important financial help for Zhizn’.

The goal of Zhizn’ was to reach a broad peasant and proletarian audience of readers that would some day constitute a popular front against the hated Russian government. Lenin soon began contributing articles to Zhizn’. To Posse, Lenin appeared like some kind of mystic sectarian, a Gnostic radical, whose asceticism was exceeded only by his self-confidence. Both Bonch-Bruevich and Posse were impressed by Lenin’s zeal to build an effective revolutionary party. Lenin disdained religion and showed little interest in the ‘religious’ orientation of Zhizn’. The Russian Marxist thinker Plekhanov, one of Lenin’s early mentors, openly expressed his hostility to the journal’s ‘religious’ bent. He wrote to Lenin complaining that Zhizn’, “on almost every page talks about Christ and religion. In public I shall call it an organ of Christian socialism.”

The Zhizn’ publishing enterprise came to an end in 1902 and its operations were effectively transferred into Lenin’s hands. This led to the organisation in 1903-1904 of the very first Bolshevic publishing house by Bonch-Bruevich and Lenin. Both men viewed the Russian sectarians as valuable revolutionary allies. As one scholar notes, “Russian religious dissent appealed to Bolshevism even before that movement had acquired a name.”13

5325987-a-stamp-printed-in-the-ussr-show-mikhail-bonch-bruevich-soviet-radio-engineerings-the-founder-of-the.jpgV.D. Bonch-Bruevich (1873-1955) came to revolutionary Marxism under the influence of the Russian novelist Leo Tolstoy’s social teachings. Like Lenin’s wife Krupskaya, he started his revolutionary career distributing Tolstoy’s The Kingdom of God Is within You, a work infused with neo-Gnostic themes. In 1899 Bonch-Bruevich left Russia for Canada to live among the Doukhobors, Russian Gnostic communists whose refusal to pay taxes and serve in the army drove them into exile. Bonch-Bruevich reported on the secret doctrines of the Doukhobors and put in writing their fundamental oral teachings known as the ‘Living Book’. On his return to Europe in 1901 Bonch-Bruevich introduced Lenin to the chief tenets of these Gnostic communists. The Doukhobors, with their radical rejection of the Church and State, with their denial of the uniqueness of the historical Christ, and their neglect of the Bible in favour of their own secret tradition, were of some interest to the founder of Bolshevism.

In 1904 Bonch-Bruevich, with Lenin’s support, began publishing Rassvet (Dawn) in an effort to spread revolutionary Marxism among the religious dissidents. His first editorial attacked all the Russian tsars for their persecution of the Old Believers and sectarians, and stated that the journal’s goal was to report events occurring world wide, “in various corners of our vast motherland, and among the ranks of Sectarians and Schismatics.” Rassvet combined Communist and apocalyptic themes that were both compelling and comprehensible to Russia’s spiritual underground.

By the early years of the twentieth century Russia was in a revolutionary mood. Bonch-Bruevich wrote that this would soon produce a “street battle of the awakened people.” He urged his fellow Communist revolutionaries to use the language of the spiritual underground in persuading the masses that the government was “Satan” and that “all men are brothers” in the eyes of God. He wrote:

If the proletariat-sectarian in his speech requires the word ‘devil’, then identify this old concept of an evil principle with capitalism, and identify the word ‘Christ’, as a concept of eternal good, happiness, and freedom, with socialism.

 Communist God-Builders  & The Occult

If a newcomer to the vast quantity of occult literature begins browsing at random, puzzlement and impatience will soon be his lot; for he will find jumbled together the droppings of all cultures, and occasional fragments of philosophy perhaps profound but almost certainly subversive to right living in the society in which he finds himself. The occult is rejected knowledge: that is, an Underground whose basic unity is that of Opposition to an establishment of Powers That Are.
— James Webb, Occult Underground

A Marxist pamphlet written before 1917 and later reissued by the Soviet government bluntly declared that man is destined to “take possession of the universe and extend his species into distant cosmic regions, taking over the whole solar system. Human beings will be immortal.” Anatoly Lunacharsky, the first Commissar of Enlightenment in the new Soviet state, believed that as religious conviction had been a great force of change in history, Marxists should conceive the struggle to transform nature through labor as their form of devotion, and the spirit of collective humanity as their god.

lunacharski_.jpgA.V. Lunacharsky (1875-1933) and the Russian writer Maxim Gorky (1868-1936), close friends of Vladimir Lenin, were acquainted with a broad spectrum of occult thought, including Rudolf Steiner’s Anthroposophy and Helena Blavatsky’s Theosophy. Both these prominent Bolshevic revolutionaries shared a life-long interest in ancient mystery cults, religious sectarianism, parapsychology and Gnosticism. Maria Carlson maintains that Gorky’s “vision of a New Nature and a New World, subsequently assimilated to its socialist expression as the Radiant Future, is fundamentally Theosophic.”14 Gorky valued the writings of the occultists Emanuel Swedenborg and Paracelsus, as well as those of Fabre d’Olivet and Eduard Schure.

Drawing on the imagery of the ancient solar mysteries, Gorky declared in Children of the Sun, “we people are the children of the sun, the bright source of life; we are born of the sun and will vanquish the murky fear of death.” In his Confession, the “people” have become God, creators of miracles, possessors of true religious consciousness, and immortal. Gorky envisioned a beautiful future of work for the love of work and of man as “master of all things.” Revealing his familiarity with parapsychology and faith healing, Gorky tells how an assembled crowd uses its collective energy to heal a paralysed girl. He was deeply impressed by research into thought transference, often writing of the “miraculous power of thought”, while expressing the hope that one day reason and science would end fear.

The ideas advanced by Lunacharsky and Gorky became known as God building, described by one researcher as a “movement of secular rejuvenation with mystery cult aspects.”15 God building implied that a human collective, through the concentration of released human energy, can perform the same miracles that were assigned to supra-natural beings. God builders regarded early Christianity as an authentic example of collective God building, Christ being nothing other than the focus of collective human energy. “The time will come,” said Gorky, “when all popular will shall once again amalgamate in one point. Then an invincible and miraculous power will emerge, and God will be resurrected.”16 Years before, Fyodor Dostoyevsky had written in The Possessed, “God is the synthetic personality of the whole people.” According to Mikhail Agursky:

For Gorky, God-building was first of all a theurgical action, the creation of the new Nature and the annihilation of the old, and therefore it coincided fully with the Kingdom of the Spirit. He considered God to be a theurgical outcome of a collective work, the outcome of human unity and of the negation of the human ego.17

Before the Russian Revolution, Lunacharsky’s political propaganda relied heavily on words and images ultimately derived from Russian Gnostics and religious sectarians. In one pamphlet he urged readers to refuse to pay taxes or serve in the army, to form local revolutionary committees, to demand ownership of their land, overthrow the autocracy and replace it with a “brotherly society” of socialism. Indeed, there was as much attention given to Christ as to Marx in Lunacharsky’s writings. “Christianity, in all its forms, even the purest and most progressive,” he wrote, “is the ideology of the downtrodden classes, the hopelessly immobile, those who cannot believe in their own powers; Christianity is also a weapon of exploitation.” But Lunacharsky realised there is also an underground spiritual tradition, the arcane language and symbols of which might be used to mobilise the people to carry out the revolution.

Occult elements are obvious in Lunacharsky’s early plays and poems, including a reference to the “astral spirit”, and a familiarity with white magic and demonology. He discussed Gnosticism, the Logos, Pythagoras, and solar cults in his two volume work Religion and Socialism. After the Bolshevic Revolution, Lunacharsky wrote an occult play called Vasilisa the Wise. This was to be followed by a never published “dramatic poem” entitled Mitra the Saviour, a clear reference to the pre-Christian occult deity. Significantly, it is Lunacharsky, along with the scholar of Russian Gnostic sects V.D. Bonch-Bruevich, who is credited with developing the so-called “cult of Lenin” which dominated Soviet life following the Bolshevic leaders’ death in 1924.

 Soviet Power & Spiritual Revolution

A Weltanschauung has conquered a state, and emanating from this state it will slowly shatter the entire world and bring about its collapse. Bolshevism, if unchecked, will change the world as completely as Christianity did. Three hundred years from now it will no longer be said that it is merely a question of organising production in a different way… If this movement continues to develop, Lenin, three hundred years from now, will be regarded not only as one of the revolutionaries of 1917, but as the founder of a new world doctrine, and he will be worshipped as much perhaps as Buddha.
— Adolf Hitler, 193218

In the wake of the total collapse of Imperial Russia and the devastation caused by the First World War, Lenin and the Bolshevics seized power in October 1917. A revolution that would not have been possible without the active support and participation of the Russian spiritual underground. The Bolshevics, in the opinion of one Russian scholar:

most probably would not have been able to take power or to consolidate it if the multimillion masses of Russian sectarians had not taken part in the total destruction brought about by the revolution, which acquired a mystical character for them. To them the state and the church were receptacles of all kinds of evil, and their destruction and debasement were regarded as a mystic duty, exactly as it was with the [medieval Gnostic sects of] Anabaptists, Bogomils, Cathars, and Taborites.19

Ground down by centuries of autocratic tsarist rule as well as the Orthodox Church, its mere appendage, the Russian people came to accept the Communism of Lenin. “Bolshevism is a Russian word,” wrote an anti-Communist Russian in 1919. “But not only a word. Because in that guise, in that form and in those manifestations which have crystallized in Russia… Bolshevism is a uniquely Russian phenomenon, with deep ties to the Russian soul.”20 Even the Nazi propaganda minister Dr. Goebbels, who built his political career fighting Communism, confessed that no tsar had ever understood the Russian people as deeply as Lenin, who gave them what they wanted most – land and freedom.

Lenin wedded the dialectical materialism of Marx to the deep-rooted tradition of Russian socialism permeated as it was by Gnostic, apocalyptic, and messianic elements. In the same manner he reconciled the Marxist commitment to science, atheism and technological progress with the Russian ideas of justice, truth and self-sacrifice for the collective. Similarly the leader of Bolshevism merged the Marxist call for proletarian internationalism and world revolution with the centuries old notion of Russia’s great mission as the harbinger of universal brotherhood. Violently opposed to all religion, atheistic Bolshevism drew much from the spiritual underground, becoming in the words of one of Lenin’s comrades, “the most religious of all religions.”

“Nonetheless we have studied Marxism a bit,” wrote Lenin, “we have studied how and when opposites can and must be combined. The main thing is: in our revolution… we have in practice repeatedly combined opposites.” Several centuries earlier the Muslim Gnostic teacher Jalalladin Rumi pointed out, “It is necessary to note that opposite things work together even though nominally opposed.”

After the 1917 Bolshevic Revolution:

occultism was part of a cluster of ideas that inspired a mystical revolutionism based on the belief that great earthly events such as revolution reflect a realignment of cosmic forces. Revolution, then, had eschatological significance. Its result would be a ‘new heaven and a new earth’ peopled by a new kind of human being and characterized by a new kind of society cemented by love, common ideals, and sacrifice.

The Bolshevic Revolution did not quash interest in the occult. Some pre-revolutionary occult ideas and symbols were transformed along more ‘scientific’ lines. Mingled with compatible concepts, they permeated early Soviet art, literature, thought, and science. Soviet political activists who did not believe in the occult used symbols, themes, and techniques drawn from it for agitation and propaganda. Further transformed, some of them were incorporated in the official culture of Stalin’s time.21

Apocalyptic and mess-ianic themes, popularised for centuries by the Russian spiritual underground, were played out in the Bolshevic Revolution and fueled the drive to build a classless, communist society. The dream of a communist paradise on earth created by human hands, a new world adorned by technological perfection, social justice and brotherhood, was found both in Marx and in the Russian spiritual underground.

Lenin promulgated a law exempting religious sectarians from military service. Writers and poets, drawing inspiration from the Russian religious underground, hailed the Revolution as a messianic, world mystery. One writer compared the Bolshevic Revolution with the origin of Christianity. “Christ was followed,” he exclaimed, “not by professors, nor by virtuous philosophers, nor by shopkeepers. Christ was followed by rascals. And the revolution will also be followed by rascals, apart from those who launched it. And one must not be afraid of this.”

alexander_blok.jpgAlexander Blok (1880-1921) was the most important Russian poet to recognise the Bolshevics. A student of Gnosticism, Blok discerned the inner meaning of the tumultuous political and social events. There was a hidden spiritual content at the core of the external upheavals of the Revolution and the bloody Civil War that followed. Blok clearly expressed this in his famous poem The Twelve, where the invisible Christ leads the revolutionary march.

Another Russian poet and occultist, Andrei Bely, a disciple of Steiner’s Anthroposophical movement, hailed the Revolution as the first stage of a far greater cultural and spiritual revolution to come. For Bely, as for his contemporary Blok, the Bolshevic Revolution was above all a powerful theurgical instrument. Andrei Bely (1880-1934) saw theurgy as a means to change the world actively in collaboration with God. In spite of the turmoil and bloodshed, for these Russian occultists the revolution served as an instrument of the new creation. Bely celebrated the 1917 Revolution in a poem, Christ is Resurrected, in which the Bolshevic take over is compared with the mystery of Crucifixion and Resurrection. Rudolf Steiner understood why the Russians welcomed the October Revolution, but criticised Bolshevism as a dangerous mix of Western abstract thinking and Eastern mysticism.

The Russian spiritual underground spawned several important writers and poets who welcomed the Bolshevic Revolution. Two of the most outstanding were Nikolai Kliuev (1887-1937) and Sergei Esenin (1895-1925). Occult images and Russian messianic themes abound in their poems. Kliuev saw Lenin as the popular leader and embodiment of the Old Belief. In typically Gnostic fashion Esenin disdained the old God of the Church and proclaimed a “new Nazareth”. The young Esenin gave support to the Bolshevic Red Army and even tried to join the Bolshevic party. Tragically, Kliuev felt betrayed by the Revolution, was arrested and died on the way to a labor camp in 1937. Esenin took his own life in 1925 believing dark forces had usurped the Russian Revolution.

By the early 1920s the Bolshevics had consolidated their hold over much of the former Russian Empire. The Communist Party emerged as the monolithic embodiment of the popular will. All occult societies, including the Theosophists and Anthroposophists, were disbanded. Freemasonry was virulently condemned and its lodges closed. In the drive to modernise Russia and build a technologically advanced Soviet Union, occult notions were publicly classed as superstition and openly ridiculed. The new Soviet State, with its Marxist-Leninist ideology, became the sole arbitrator of all thought. Leading occult teachers were forced into exile. Yet many of those associated with the spiritual underground joined the Communist Party and found employment in various Soviet organisations.

The sway of the spiritual underground did not disappear. Arcane truths and primordial urges took on new forms in keeping with the new reality. Esoteric ideas were clothed in the language of a new epoch. One writer explains:

In Stalin’s time, occult themes and techniques detached from their doctrinal base became part of the official culture…. The occult themes of Soviet literature of the 1920s were transformed into the magical or fantastic elements that observers have noted in Socialist Realism. Stalin himself was invested with occult powers.22

The Russian thinker, Isai Lezhnev (1891-1955), insisted on the profoundly religious character of Communism, which was “equal to atheism only in a narrow theological sense.” Emotionally, psychologically, Bolshevism was extremely religious, seeing itself as the only custodian of absolute truth. Lezhnev correctly discerned in Bolshevism the rise of a “new religion” which brought with it a new culture and political order. He embraced Marxism-Leninism and welcomed Stalin as a manifestation of the “popular spirit”.

The Russian Revolution, which gave rise to the super power known as the Soviet Union, cast a gigantic shadow over the twentieth century. Bolshevism, the materialistic worldview developed by Vladimir Lenin, left its mark on all aspects of modern thought. And the roots of Lenin’s Communism and the Soviet Union go deep into the ancient secret tradition of humanity.

Was atheistic Bolshevism, for all its worship of science and materialism, the expression of something supra-natural? Many in the spiritual underground passionately believed so. The Gnostic poet Valery Briusov (1873-1924), who joined the Bolshevic party in 1920, had been involved in magick, occultism and spiritualism prior to the revolution. Briusov stressed that Russia’s destiny was being worked out, not on earth, but by mystic forces for which the 1917 Revolution was part of the occult plot.

Another prominent Russian occultist, the acclaimed artist Nicholas Roerich, acknowledged Lenin and Communism as cosmic phenomenon. In 1926 he wrote:

He [Lenin] incorporated and circumspectly fitted every material into the world order. This opened up for him the path into all parts of the world. And people have formed a legend not only as a record of his deeds but also as a mark of his aspirations…. We have seen for ourselves how the nations have understood the magnetic power of communism. Friends, the worst counsellor is negativity. Behind every negation ignorance is concealed.

The philosopher Nicholas Berdyaev, a former Marxist who came to embrace Christian mysticism, was exiled from the Soviet Union in the 1920s. He had studied occultism and was acquainted with many Russian Gnostic sects. His 1909 book The Philosophy of Freedom is full of Gnostic themes. And like the Gnostics, Berdyaev opposed the institution of the family as yoking men and women to “necessity” and the endless chain of birth and death. Writing from exile, more than twenty-five years after the Revolution, Berdyaev observed:

Russian communism is a distortion of the Russian messianic idea; it proclaims light from the East which is destined to enlighten the bourgeois darkness of the West. There is in communism its own truth and its own falsehood. Its truth is a social truth, a revelation of the possibility of the brotherhood of man and of peoples, the suppression of classes, whereas its falsehood lies in its spiritual foundations which result in a process of dehumanisation, in the denial of the worth of the individual man, in the narrowing of human thought…. Communism is a Russian phenomenon in spite of its Marxist ideology. Communism is the Russian destiny, it is a moment in the inner destiny of the Russian people and it must be lived through by the inward strength of the Russian people. Communism must be surmounted but not destroyed, and into the highest stage which will come after communism there must enter the truth of communism also but freed from its element of falsehood. The Russian Revolution awakened and unfettered the enormous powers of the Russian people. In this lies its principle meaning.23

 

The Hammer and Sickle: Occult Symbols?

Throughout the twentieth century the hammer and sickle were universally recognised as symbols of communism and the Soviet Union. For millions of people the hammer and sickle symbolised a new political and economic order offering progress, justice and liberty. While countless others looked on the same hammer and sickle as ominous emblems of oppression, hatred and tyranny.

Occultists and students of ancient wisdom saw something more. Behind the outward appearance of these communist emblems, which officially represented the emancipation of labor, there was an element unknown to the masses.

Russian occultists saw the Bolshevics as unconsciously working for the cosmic mission of Russia and interpreted the Soviet hammer and sickle as hidden symbols of the blacksmith’s art, hinting at future transmutation and transformation. Both metallurgy and alchemy (regarded as an occult science) sort to destroy impure elements with fire and thereby release a refined product, whether forged metal (the smith) or spiritual gold (the alchemist). Fire is associated with transfiguration, regeneration, and purification, while iron is associated with Mars (the god of war) and the astral world.

To the occultist, the communist hammer and sickle symbolised conflict and transmutation. The forging – in the fires of struggle – of base elements into a purer, higher form. The atheistic Bolshevic, like the occultist, proclaimed that ordinary man must be transformed into new man, free of the bonds of selfish desires and of the oppressive past, in order to freely build the new civilisation of the future.


Footnotes:

1. Benjamin Walker, Gnosticism Its History & Influence

2. James Webb, Occult Underground

3. Maria Carlson, No Religion Higher Than Truth

4. As quoted in Maria Carlson, No Religion Higher Than Truth

5. Acts 2:44-47

6. Mikhail Agursky, The Third Rome

7. James H. Billington, The Icon and the Axe

8. As quoted in James H. Billington, The Icon and the Axe

9. As quoted in Nina Tumarkin, Lenin Lives: The Lenin Cult in Soviet Russia

10. Nicholas Berdyaev, The Russian Idea

11. Geoffrey Hosking, Russia: People and Empire

12. As quoted in Mikhail Agursky, The Third Rome

13. Robert C. Williams, The Other Bolsheviks

14. Maria Carlson, No Religion Higher Than Truth

15. Richard Noll, The Jung Cult

16. Mikhail Agursky, The Third Rome

17. The Occult in Russian and Soviet Culture, edited by Bernice Glatzer Rosenthal

18. As quoted in Hitler’s Words, edited by Gordon Prange

19. Mikhail Agursky, The Third Rome

20. As quoted in Richard Pipes, Russia Under the Bolshevik Regime 1919-1924

21. The Occult in Russian and Soviet Culture, edited by Bernice Glatzer Rosenthal

22. Ibid

23. Nicholas Berdyaev, The Russian Idea

mercredi, 20 novembre 2013

Entrevista a Alexander Dugin

Alexander-Dugin.jpg

Entrevista a Alexander Dugin: El Occidente actual debe ser aniquilado y la humanidad debe ser reconstruida en un terreno diferente

Ex: http://paginatransversal.wordpress.com

[Aecio] Excelente entrevista que realiza la revista lituana Radikaliai a Alexander Dugin, donde con un toque más personal se habla del posible colapso del mundo occidental, la Cuarta Teoría Política y sus fundamentos, la situación actual del Eurasianismo de la mano de Rusia y la visión del mundo post-moderno que nos depara.

Mindaugas Peleckis: Estimado profesor ¿podríamos iniciar la conversación con su muy interesante biografía? Antes que nada ¿es cierto lo que está escrito en Wikipedia y otras fuentes oficiales? ¿Qué es verdad y qué no lo es? Padre que trabajaba en la GRU; nazi del círculo dirigido por E. Golovin; muchas perturbaciones políticas; un buen amigo del Sr. Putin…

Alexander Dugin: Todo es pura mentira. Ni Putin, ni nazi, ni padre en el GRU y así sucesivamente. Mi biografía es mi bibliografía (cf. J.Evola). No cambio nada en Wikipedia por dos razones:

1) Hay un grupo de administradores Wiki liberales que restablecerán de inmediato todas las mentiras para conservar la imagen peyorativa de mi persona (la guerra cibernética – es sólo una democracia, no es nada personal, pero la democracia es siempre una mentira).

2) El individuo (Yo mismo) no importa. Para mí, sólo importa la misión.

Hasta ahora no me siento inclinado a hablar de mi persona. Lea mis libros, forme su opinión personal acerca de mis ideas (primero) y la personalidad del autor (segundo – es opcional).

M. P.: De todas maneras lo principal a discutir en esta entrevista son sus ideas, las cuales considero bastante interesantes y de importancia global a medida que el mundo occidental parece estar colapsando. ¿Lo es? El fin de la civilización occidental se predijo bastante tiempo atrás. ¿Cuánto tiempo tenemos que esperar? ¿Hay algo que tiene que suceder? ¿La Tercera Guerra Mundial? ¿Revolución mundial? ¿Nada (significando el colapso como un proceso natural)?

A. D.: Yo más bien creo que no pasará nada, nada en absoluto. Eso es algo que es realmente terrible. La eternidad es el momento perpetuo del aburrimiento. Heidegger estudió en su obra “Die Grundbegriffen der Metaphysik” el fenómeno del aburrimiento profundo. Como la función existencial del Dasein moderno. El gnóstico Basílides describió al mundo después del fin como completamente equilibrado, el mundo sin ningún acontecimiento. Eso no quiere decir que no haya más eventos, significa más bien que no vivimos los acontecimientos como eventos. El colapso duradero es bien analizado por el escritor inglés Alex Kurtagić.

El verdadero problema viene cuando nadie percibe que es un problema. Así que estamos aquí. El Occidente es el centro del aburrimiento. No explota, más bien implosiona cada vez más y más profundo.

Tienen razón en que durará para siempre. El fin del mundo es la imposibilidad del mundo a acabarse. El mundo sin fin ya no es más el mundo, es la suma de los fragmentos sin sentido del todo inexistente. Estamos viviendo en las hipótesis 6-9 de “Parménides” de Platón – hay multitudes (πολλά), pero no hay ninguna unidad (ἓν). Tal mundo no puede existir (según los neoplatónicos). Estoy bastante de acuerdo con ellos, no con los medios de comunicación y la cultura prêt a porter o con los intelectuales hegemónicos.

M. P.: Usted publicó muchos libros – ni siquiera puedo contarlos ¿usted podría?. Recuerdo el primero que leí – era sorprendente- en 1999, sobre conspirología. ¿Usted cree en una conspiración global seria como Bilderberg/Masones/ Illuminati o cualquier otro que esté realmente pasando en este momento? Si es así, por favor explique cómo funciona y qué debemos esperar más adelante.

A. D.: No recuerdo la cantidad de mis libros, recuerdo su calidad. La calidad es muy diferente, ya que los libros fueron escritos para públicos diversos. La conspirología es descrita por mí como una especie de sociología primitiva. Para la sociología, hay un punto muy importante: lo que la sociedad piensa sobre lo que está sucediendo a su alrededor es importante, no menos de lo que sucede realmente o lo que los expertos científicos piensan. Así que estudiando las teorías de conspiración estudiamos la mente de la gente, los mitos, la cultura, los miedos, las estructuras gnoseológicas y cognitivas. La gente cree en conspiraciones. Eso significa que “existen” o ” subsisten ” (de acuerdo a la ontología diferenciada de Alexius Meinong).

M. P.: Se le considera como el padre del Eurasianismo y de la Cuarta Teoría Política. ¿Podría explicar los fundamentos de sus ideas?

A. D.: El Eurasianismo no ve a Rusia como país, sino como una civilización. Por lo tanto, debe compararse no con países europeos o asiáticos, si no con Europa o el islam o las civilizaciones hindúes. Rusia-Eurasia consiste en elementos modernos y pre-modernos, de culturas y etnias europeas y orientales. Esta identidad particular debe ser reconocida y reafirmada en el marco de un nuevo proyecto de integración. El eurasianismo niega la universalidad de la civilización occidental y la unidimensionalidad del proceso histórico (dirigida hacia el liberalismo, la democracia, los derechos humanos, la economía de marcado y así sucesivamente).

Hay diferentes culturas con diferentes antropologías, ontologías, valores, tiempos y espacios. El Occidente no es otra cosa que el mundo hipertrofiado e insolente con megalomanía. Es el caso más abyecto del hybris. La humanidad debe luchar contra Occidente con el fin de poner sus pretensiones en los límites legítimos. El mundo debe convertirse en lo que es -la provincia, el caso aislado histórico, la elección – no el destino universal y normativo o el objetivo común.

La Cuarta Teoría Política es la teoría que afirma:

1) Las tres principales ideologías políticas modernas (liberalismo, comunismo/socialismo, fascismo /nacionalsocialismo) ya no son adecuadas – así que tenemos que descartarlas todas, lo que significa no más liberalismo, socialismo, fascismo (chequee lo del fascismo y compare con lo que dicen de mí);

2) Necesitamos construir la Cuarta Teoría Política más allá, descartando las tres, y esta debe ser no-moderna (puede ser post-moderna, puede ser pre-moderna);

3) El sujeto de la Cuarta Teoría Política es el Dasein que Heidegger ha descrito en sus obras (no el individuo como en el liberalismo, ni la de clase como en el marxismo, ni la raza/estado como en el nacionalsocialismo/fascismo) – El Dasein debe ser liberado del modo inauténtico de la existencia;

4) El Dasein es plural y depende de la cultura, por lo que el mundo debe ser multipolar (cada cultura, etnia o religión tiene su propio Dasein – no son necesariamente contradictorios pero sí son diferentes)

5) Hacemos un llamado a la revolución mundial existencial de los DaseinsDaseins de las sociedades humanas unidas por la lucha contra hegemónica – en contra de la globalización occidental y el universalismo liberal, así como en contra de la dominación de Estados Unidos.

M. P.: La Unión Euroasiática se estableció hace varios años. Ahora parece que está en el limbo, aunque se puede ver que la parte oriental del mundo (China, Irán, etc.) es cada vez más fuerte mientras la occidental se debilita. ¿Sucede así? ¿Cuál es la situación actual con la Unión Euroasiática y cual que es su predicción para el futuro?

A. D.: La Unión Euroasiática es nuestra idea tomada por los burócratas de Putin. Creo que es la única manera de asegurar el futuro de Rusia y una condición indispensable para la multipolaridad. Rusia debe estar en el lado de las potencias no occidentales. Hay muchos problemas con la Unión Euroasiática, objetiva y subjetivamente. La hegemonía de Estados Unidos y la quinta columna en Rusia la sabotean activamente, y la ineficacia de la burocracia rusa empeora la situación. No obstante, se llevará a cabo, porque debe hacerse.

M. P.: Guerras y revoluciones suceden en todas partes actualmente… Malí, Siria, Palestina, Túnez… ¿Qué piensa acerca de la situación en el Magreb/Oriente Medio? ¿Terminará en un baño de sangre y con otros diez años de guerra?

A. D.: No, nunca va a terminar. Es el proyecto caótico patrocinado por el Occidente que está perdiendo su poder para controlar las sociedades no occidentales por otros medios. La sangre será derramada más y más. Sólo cuando todos los musulmanes apunten sus armas contra los occidentales y se unan a la batalla eurasianista final contra la hegemonía esta se detendrá. El Imperio sigue dividiendo, pero ya no puede controlar todo efectivamente. Así que empieza a dividir y eso es todo. No puede gobernar, sólo matar. Así que tenemos que devolver el golpe.

M. P.: ¿Cuál es su opinión sobre el Islam e Irán?

A. D.: Admiro Irán y admiro el Chiísmo y el Sufismo. Es una tradición espiritual que lucha en contra de la modernidad apuntando a su centro. Hay muchos tipos de Islam. Me gustar el Islam tradicional y tengo algunas dudas sobre la versión wahabista. Es una versión modernista y universalista del Islam, además que parece funcionar acorde a los intereses de Estados Unidos como una especie de unidad sub-imperialista. Así que apoyo el tradicionalismo en todas las religiones. Sin embargo, amo con mi corazón a Irán y a la tradición chií.

M. P.: ¿Qué mundo futuro (cercano y lejano) te gustaría ver? ¿Cuál es su visión?

A. D.: En la situación actual estamos desprovistos de futuro. Entiendo el futuro existencialmente como el horizonte de la auténtica existencia del Dasein, como Ereignis (acontecimiento/ser parte de), la llegada del último Dios (letzte Gott). Pero este futuro es incompatible con el Logos en descomposición de la historia occidental. El Occidente actual (Estados Unidos y parte de Europa) debe ser aniquilado y la humanidad debe ser reconstruida en un terreno diferente – en frente de la cara de la Muerte y el Abismo.

Debe haber un nuevo comienzo de la filosofía o… nada de nada. La misma nada como ahora, no se percibe más como tal. Así que el futuro no vendrá por sí mismo. Tenemos que hacerlo. Pero antes hay que destruir lo que es o parece ser.

M. P.: Como veo en Facebook y páginas de Internet, hay un montón de gente dispuesta a algún cambio revolucionario de paradigma en su mente, e incluso quizás a revoluciones físicas. ¿Son cambios reales que vienen a nuestro mundo? ¿Podría predecir cuándo y cómo?

A. D.: El cambio de paradigma es absolutamente necesario. No veo suficientes hombres y mujeres dispuestos a cambiarse a sí mismos y el mundo que los rodea. Pero veo algo. Es demasiado pequeño para la esperanza, pero demasiado grande para la desesperación. Me gustaría ver medidas más decididas y concretas. Es bueno que algunos comiencen a despertar. Obviamente el odio a Occidente, a la globalización, al consumismo, a los medios de comunicación, a las mentiras democráticas, a la basura de los derechos humanos, a la dictadura del capitalismo, a la llamada “sociedad civil” y a la dominación estadounidense es cada vez mayor. Así que debemos ir más allá. La vigilia significa la revolución y la guerra. Es poco probable que comience ahora. Pero deberían comenzar ahora mismo, porque mañana será demasiado tarde.

M. P.: Deseándole todo lo mejor y dándole las gracias por las respuestas, la última pregunta por ahora: ¿cuáles son las principales ideas en las que está trabajando actualmente?

A. D.: Algunos proyectos actuales son:

-El manual de Relaciones Internacionales para las universidades rusas.
-La teoría de mundo multipolar (publicada, pero aún en desarrollo).
-El desarrollo de la Cuarta Teoría Política.
-Estudios de Heidegger en el campo de la filosofía (He escrito dos libros sobre Heidegger ya y seguiré trabajando sobre el mismo tema).
-El tradicionalismo (Henri Corbin, el círculo Eranos – Recientemente he comprado todos los números de la Eranos Jahrbuch en Suiza).
-La sociología de la imaginación (en el estilo de G.Durand – Hice hace dos años el doctorado sobre el tema).
-Nuevos libros de geopolítica (geopolítica histórica de Rusia, las regiones del mundo, y así sucesivamente).
-Platonismo y neoplatonismo, eurasianismo (por supuesto).
-La teología ortodoxa.
-Antropología Social y etnosociología.
-Economía (vías alternativas).
-Estudios conservadores.

También:

-La enseñanza en la Universidad Estatal de Moscú (siendo jefe del departamento de Sociología de Relaciones Internacionales) – Relaciones Internacionales, Geopolítica, Etnosociología, Sociología.
-Conferencias (en todo el mundo)
-Asesorar al Gobierno ruso y el Parlamento (siendo miembro oficial del consejo de asesores del jefe del Estado del Parlamento, S. Narishkin).
-Dirigir el Movimiento Eurasiático Internacional

M. P.: Gracias.

A. D.: De nada

Fuente: The Four Political Theory

lundi, 11 novembre 2013

“Rusia es la Tercera Roma”

El 16 de octubre de 2013 se publicaba esta entrevista en el prestigioso medio italiano BARBADILLO, laboratorio di idee nel mare del web. Alfonso Piscitelli entrevistaba a Adolfo Morganti, presidente de la asociación italiana IDENTITÀ EUROPEA, que estudia y promueve la construcción de una Europa fiel a sus raíces clásicas y cristianas. El tema central que aborda la entrevista es Rusia, pero la cultura del entrevistador y del entrevistado logran que sea todo un diálogo ameno y provechoso. Hemos creído oportuno traducirla y publicarla en RAIGAMBRE para el público hispanohablante

La asociación Identità Europea tiene en los históricos Franco Cardini y Adolfo Morganti, editor del “Il Cerchio”, a sus exponentes más importantes. Hace años que promueve iniciativas que reclaman una reflexión sobre las raíces del continente europeo (raíces clásicas y cristianas) y sobre su destino. Recientemente “Identità Europa” ha organizado en San Marino un Congreso sobre “Europa en la época de las grandes potencias, desde 1861 a 1914”, en el ámbito de ese discurso se ha abordado también la naturaleza compleja de las relaciones entre Italia y Rusia. Replanteamos el argumento a menudo descuidado por los historiadores contemporáneos, con el presidente de Identità Europea, Morganti.

Alfonso Piscitelli.: En la segunda mitad del XIX se articulaba una red compleja de alianzas entre naciones europeas continentales: la Triple Alianza (Alemania, Austria, Italia) y por un cierto tiempo el Pacto de los Tres Emperadores (Alemania, Austria, Rusia). ¿Fue el intento de superar los nacionalismos en orden a una cooperación continental?

Adolfo Morganti: Era la tentativa de superar los límites y los conflictos cebados por el nacionalismo jacobino, pero al mismo tiempo eran fuertes las tensiones estratégicas que se localizaban en el área balcánica con Rusia, que patrocinaba los movimientos nacionalistas del pueblo eslavo y Austria que contenía estas pulsiones subrayando el aspecto supranacional del Imperio de los Habsburgo. Sarajevo no fue una sorpresa, como localización del foco de la primera guerra mundial.

A. P.: E Italia, ¿cómo se movía sobre el plano internacional?

A. M.: Todos conocemos el impulso profundo que el arte italiano dio a Rusia: un impulso evidente en San Petersburgo. Menor fue la intensidad de las relaciones marítimas entre Italia y el Mar Negro, que han plasmado la estructura económica misma de aquellas regiones. Sobre el plano diplomático, después de la intervención piamontesa en la Guerra de Crimea, las relaciones con Rusia indudablemente tenían que recuperarse: en efecto, por largo tiempo, Rusia representó algo extraño y distante, en los mismos años en los que Italia establecía una alianza con Austria y Hungría.

A. P.: Con el enemigo por excelencia de la época del Risorgimento [Austria].

A. M.: Más tarde, con el viraje que supuso 1914, obviamente la situación cambió las tornas: los rusos vinieron a ser aliados en el curso de la Primera Guerra Mundial, pero las relaciones gubernamentales y diplomáticas no fueron tan frecuentes y orgánicas como lo fueron, en cambio, las relaciones económicas.

A. P.:: ¿Crees que hoy Rusia deba ser incluida en la identidad europea, a la que alude el nombre de tu asociación?

A. M.: Con seguridad, la parte europea de Rusia debe ser considerada un elemento importante en el discurso sobre la Europa contemporánea. A partir de su conquista de Siberia, relativamente reciente, Rusia ha adquirido una vocación más amplia: la de Eurasia; pero Europa es impensable sin su área oriental, así como la identidad cristiana del continente es impensable sin contemplar el papel de la ortodoxia. Rusia, por una parte es Europa y reconocida como tal (y desde un punto de vista existencial hoy defiende los valores europeos incluso más que muchos estados de la Comunidad Europea), por otra parte, se atribuye una misión y una identidad que rebasa los confines de la misma Europa.

A. P.: El diálogo ortodoxo se ha reanudado a lo grande en los años sesenta con Pablo VI, con la recíproca retirada de excomuniones y el abrazo con el patriarca Atenagoras.

A. M.: Generando entusiasmos y resistencias a las dos bandas: resistencias que en el ámbito ortodoxo amenazaron con producir un cisma, que más tarde se hizo realidad.

A. P.: Y el hecho de que Juan Pablo II fuese un eslavo, un polaco (no extraño al “humus cultural” del nacionalismo polaco), ¿ha facilitado o ha creado alguna fricción y malentendidos entre las dos partes?

A. M.: Ciertamente, cuando la primera jerarquía católica de la Rusia post-soviética fue elegida por Juan Pablo II, la presencia de prelados polacos fue relevante y esto creó notables problemas de coexistencia con los ortodoxos. La misma acción de los franciscanos en Rusia era vista como una fuerza de penetración católica en el área del cristianismo ortodoxo. Ahora, con el cambio de jerarquía, en que la presencia de Italia está representada autorizadamente por el actual Obispo de Moscú, estos problemas casi se han disuelto.

A. P.: Si recuerdo bien, fue Ratzinger quien determinó una nueva relación, promoviendo el cambio de jerarcas.

A. M.:: Exactamente.

A. P.: Un recordatorio siempre es útil… ¿por qué se originó y por qué persiste la división entre cristianos católicos y cristianos ortodoxos?

A. M.: Hay toda una serie de diferencias dogmáticas que dividen a católicos y ortodoxos: la cuestión del “filioque” (de la procesión del Espíritu Santo), la diversas valoraciones de ultratumba (los ortodoxos no conciben el purgatorio), el diverso modo de entender la confesión. Son diferencias importantes, pero en la historia del cristianismo tales divergencias no han impedido necesariamente la unidad de las iglesias: por caso, pensemos que, durante una época en la historia, el cristianismo irlandés calculaba la Pascua de manera diferente al cristianismo continental. Ya hemos tenido otras situaciones de diversidad, que no afectan a la unidad subyacente. En el caso ortodoxo vino, en cambio, una separación profunda, pero no ocultemos que el cisma maduró sobre la cuestión del primado del Obispo de Roma, primado de honor, según los ortodoxos; primado jerárquico, según los católicos.

A. P.: También hay temas fuertes que unen a los dos mundos espirituales, pensemos en la gran devoción a la Madre de Dios; y en lo que atañe al tema mariano no podemos olvidar que al inicio del siglo XX, la profecía de Fátima está estrechamente ligada al tema de Rusia. ¿Qué ideas te has hecho a propósito de esto?

A. M.: La profecía de Fátima veía en Rusia el centro de una gran apostasía, que luego se verificó con el comunismo; pero las profecías son un terreno resbaladizo. Sin lugar a dudas, el gran gigante ruso constituye un escenario fundamental para la articulación de las fuerzas en la confrontación entre tradición y modernidad, entre el cristianismo y la tentativa ilustrada de disolverlo o reducirlo a la esfera privada, está a los ojos de todos.

A. P.:  ¿Es verdad o solo es una simplificación decir que el espíritu cristiano de Rusia está atraído particularmente por el Evangelio de San Juan y por el Apocalipsis?

A. M.: Es un enfoque para la escatología en general. Pero este enfoque es compartido con la milenaria tradición católica: en el ámbito católico hasta lo que no ha mucho se hacía en las llamadas meditaciones sobre los “Novísimos” (muerte, juicio universal, infierno y paraíso) era intensa; después (por usar un eufemismo) no ha sido valorada al máximo…

A. P.: Y el tema típicamente ruso de la Tercera Roma, ¿puede todavía jugar el papel de idea movilizadora en el ánimo de Rusia y en el ánimo de los europeos que miran con atención a Rusia?

A. M.:: Rotundamente: sí. Rusia es la Tercera Roma, tanto para los rusos creyentes como para los laicos. Los laicos ven en el poder de Moscú la continuación efectiva de una autoridad imperial a través de todas las modificaciones históricas posibles. Para el creyente, el concepto de Tercera Roma tiene una resonancia ulterior, pero todos los sujetos político-culturales rusos comparten el sentido de esta misión histórica, sean comunistas o nacionalistas, religiosos o laicos.

A. P.: Sin embargo, en el inmenso territorio ruso existen también otras tradiciones religiosas: el ministro de defensa Shoigú es un budista de la zona siberiana.

A. M.: También hay regiones de la Federación Rusa de mayoría hebrea y zonas en las que se arraigó el islam chiíta (principalmente en la parte ocupada por población turcófona) o sunnita. Desde los tiempos del imperio zarista, la multiplicidad de tradiciones religiosas no ha creado problemas de convivencia.

A. P.: ¿Podría decirnos su valoración personal de la figura de Vladimir Putin?

A. M.: ¡Putin es un ruso! En cuanto tal, él continúa encarnando esta misión de Rusia, cristiana e imperial. El hecho de que Putin sea más creyente o menos es indiferente. Su misión personal es la de proteger a Rusia y Rusia tiene esta identidad (imperial y cristiana) y no otra alguna…

(Traducción al español por Manuel Fernández Espinosa)

Fuente original en italiano: L’intervista. L’editore Adolfo Morganti: “Mosca è ancora la Terza Roma”

Fuente: Raigambre

samedi, 09 novembre 2013

Wall Street & the November 1917 Bolshevik Revolution

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Wall Street & the November 1917 Bolshevik Revolution

By Kerry Bolton 

Ex: http://www.counter-currents.com

My last article [2] documented the funding of the March 1917 Revolution in Russia.[1] The primary financier of the Russian revolutionary movement 1905–1917 was Jacob Schiff, of Kuhn Loeb and Co., New York. In particular Schiff had provided the money for the distribution of revolutionary propaganda among Russians prisoners-of-war in Japan in 1905 by the American journalist George Kennan who, more than any other individual, was responsible for turning American public and official opinion against Czarist Russia. Kennan subsequently related that it was thanks to Schiff that 50,000 Russian soldiers were revolutionized and formed the cadres that laid the basis for the March 1917 Revolution and, we might add–either directly or indirectly–the consequent Bolshevik coup of November. The reaction of bankers from Wall Street and The City towards the overthrow of the Czar was enthusiastic.

This article deals with the funding of the subsequent Bolshevik coup eight months later which, as paradoxical as it might seem to those who know nothing of history other than the orthodox version, was also greeted cordially by banking circles in Wall Street and elsewhere.

Apologists for the bankers and other highly-placed individuals who supported the Bolsheviks from the earliest stages of the communist takeover, either diplomatically or financially, justify the support for this mass application of psychopathology as being motivated by patriotic sentiment, in trying to thwart German influence over the Bolsheviks and to keep Russia in the war against Germany. Because Lenin and his entourage had been able to enter Russia courtesy of the German High Command on the basis that a Bolshevik regime would withdraw Russia from the war, Wall Street capitalists explained that their patronage of the Bolsheviks was motivated by the highest ideals of pro-Allied sentiment. Hence, William Boyce Thompson in particular stated that by funding Bolshevik propaganda for distribution in Germany and Austria this would undermine the war effort of those countries, while his assistance to the Bolsheviks in Russia was designed to swing them in favor of the Allies.

These protestations of patriotic motivations ring hollow. International banking is precisely what it is called–international, or globalist as such forms of capitalism are now called. Not only have these banking forms and other forms of big business had overlapping directorships and investments for generations, but they are often related through intermarriage. While Max Warburg of the Warburg banking house in Germany advised the Kaiser and while the German Government arranged for funding and safe passage of Lenin and his entourage from Switzerland across Germany to Russia;[2] his brother Paul,[3] a partner of Jacob Schiff’s at Wall Street, looked after the family interests in New York. The primary factor that was behind the bankers’ support for the Bolsheviks whether from London,[4] New York, Stockholm,[5] or Berlin, was to open up the underdeveloped resources of Russia to the world market, just as in our own day George Soros, the money speculator, funds the so-called “color revolutions” to bring about “regime change” that facilitates the opening up of resources to global exploitation. Hence there can no longer be any doubt that international capital a plays a major role in fomenting revolutions, because Soros plays the well-known modern-day equivalent of Jacob Schiff.

Recognition of Bolsheviks Pushed by Bankers

This aim of international finance, whether centered in Germany, England or the USA, to open up Russia to capitalist exploitation by supporting the Bolsheviks, was widely commented on at the time by a diversity of well-informed sources, including Allied intelligence agencies, and of particular interest by two very different individuals, Henry Wickham Steed, editor of The London Times, and Samuel Gompers, head of the American Federation of Labor.

On May 1, 1922 The New York Times reported that Gompers, reacting to negotiations at the international economic conference at Genoa, declared that a group of “predatory international financiers” were working for the recognition of the Bolshevik regime for the opening up of resources for exploitation. Despite the rhetoric by New York and London bankers during the war that a Russian revolution would serve the Allied cause, Gompers opined that this was an “Anglo-American-German banking group,” and that they were “international bankers” who did not adhere to any national allegiance. He also noted that prominent Americans who had a history of anti-labor attitudes were advocating recognition of the Bolshevik regime.[6]

What Gompers claimed, was similarly expressed by Henry Wickham Steed of The London Times, based on his observations. In a first-hand account of the Paris Peace Conference of 1919, Steed stated that proceedings were interrupted by the return from Moscow of William C. Bullitt and Lincoln Steffens, “who had been sent to Russia towards the middle of February by Colonel House and Mr. Lansing, for the purpose of studying conditions, political and economic, therein for the benefit of the American Commissioners plenipotentiary to negotiate peace.”[7] Steed also refers to British Prime Minister Lloyd George as being likely to have known of the Mission and its purpose. Steed stated that international finance was behind the move for recognition of the Bolshevik regime and other moves in favor of the Bolsheviks, and specifically identified Jacob Schiff of Kuhn, Loeb & Co., New York, as one of the principal bankers “eager to secure recognition”:

Potent international financial interests were at work in favor of the immediate recognition of the Bolshevists. Those influences had been largely responsible for the Anglo-American proposal in January to call Bolshevist representatives to Paris at the beginning of the Peace Conference—a proposal which had failed after having been transformed into a suggestion for a Conference with the Bolshevists at Prinkipo. . . . The well-known American Jewish banker, Mr. Jacob Schiff, was known to be anxious to secure recognition for the Bolshevists . . .[8]

In return for diplomatic recognition, Tchitcherin, the Bolshevist Commissary for Foreign Affairs, was offering “extensive commercial and economic concessions.”

Wickham Steed with the support of The Times’ proprietor, Lord Northcliffe, exposed the machinations of international finance to obtain the recognition of the Bolshevik regime, which still had a very uncertain future.

Steed related that he was called upon by US President Wilson’s primary adviser, Edward Mandel House, who was concerned at Steed’s exposé of the relationship between Bolshevists and international financers:

That day Colonel House asked me to call upon him. I found him worried both by my criticism of any recognition of the Bolshevists and by the certainty, which he had not previously realized, that if the President were to recognize the Bolshevists in return for commercial concessions his whole “idealism” would be hopelessly compromised as commercialism in disguise. I pointed out to him that not only would Wilson be utterly discredited but that the League of Nations would go by the board, because all the small peoples and many of the big peoples of Europe would be unable to resist the Bolshevism which Wilson would have accredited.[9]

Steed stated to House that it was Jacob Schiff, Warburg and other bankers who were behind the diplomatic moves in favor of the Bolsheviks:

I insisted that, unknown to him, the prime movers were Jacob Schiff, Warburg, and other international financiers, who wished above all to bolster up the Jewish Bolshevists in order to secure a field for German and Jewish exploitation of Russia.[10]

Steed here indicates an uncharacteristic naïveté in thinking that House would not have known of the plans of Schiff, Warburg, et al. House was throughout his career close to these bankers and was involved with them in setting up a war-time think tank called The Inquiry, and following the war the creation of the Council on Foreign Relations, in order to shape an internationalist post-war foreign policy. It was Schiff and Paul Warburg and other Wall Street bankers who called on House in 1913 to get House’s support for the creation of the Federal Reserve Bank.[11]

House in Machiavellian manner asked Steed to compromise; to support humanitarian aid supposedly for the benefit of all Russians. Steed agreed to consider this, but soon after talking with House found out that British Prime Minister Lloyd George and Wilson were to proceed with recognition the following day. Steed therefore wrote the leading article for the Paris Daily Mail of March 28th, exposing the maneuvers and asking how a pro-Bolshevik attitude was consistent with Pres. Wilson’s declared moral principles for the post-war world?

. . . Who are the tempters that would dare whisper into the ears of the Allied and Associated Governments? They are not far removed from the men who preached peace with profitable dishonour to the British people in July, 1914. They are akin to, if not identical with, the men who sent Trotsky and some scores of associate desperadoes to ruin the Russian Revolution as a democratic, anti-German force in the spring of 1917.[12]

Here Steed does not seem to have been aware that some of the same bankers who were supporting the Bolsheviks had also supported the March Revolution.

Charles Crane,[13] who had recently talked with President Wilson, told Steed that Wilson was about to recognize the Bolsheviks, which would result in a negative public opinion in the USA and destroy Wilson’s post-War internationalist aims. Significantly Crane also identified the pro-Bolshevik faction as being that of Big Business, stating to Steed: “Our people at home will certainly not stand for the recognition of the Bolshevists at the bidding of Wall Street.” Steed was again seen by House, who stated that Steed’s article in the Paris Daily Mail, “had got under the President’s hide.” House asked that Steed postpone further exposés in the press, and again raised the prospect of recognition based on humanitarian aid. Lloyd George was also greatly perturbed by Steed’s articles in the Daily Mail and complained that he could not undertake a “sensible” policy towards the Bolsheviks while the press had an anti-Bolshevik attitude.[14]

Thompson and the American Red Cross Mission

As mentioned, House attempted to persuade Steed on the idea of relations with Bolshevik Russia ostensibly for the purpose of humanitarian aid for the Russian people. This had already been undertaken just after the Bolshevik Revolution, when the regime was far from certain, under the guise of the American Red Cross Mission. Col. William Boyce Thompson, a director of the NY Federal Reserve Bank, organized and largely funded the Mission, with other funding coming from International Harvester, which gave $200,000. The so-called Red Cross Mission was largely comprised of business personnel, and was according to Thompson’s assistant, Cornelius Kelleher, “nothing but a mask” for business interests.[15] Of the 24 members, five were doctors and two were medical researchers. The rest were lawyers and businessmen associated with Wall Street. Dr. Billings nominally headed the Mission.[16] Prof. Antony Sutton of the Hoover Institute stated that the Mission provided assistance for revolutionaries:

We know from the files of the U.S. embassy in Petrograd that the U.S. Red Cross gave 4,000 rubles to Prince Lvoff, president of the Council of Ministers, for “relief of revolutionists” and 10,000 rubles in two payments to Kerensky for “relief of political refugees.”[17]

The original intention of the Mission, hastily organized by Thompson in light of revolutionary events, was ‘”nothing less than to shore up the Provisional regime,” according to the historian William Harlane Hale, formerly of the United States Foreign Service.[18] The support for the social revolutionaries indicates that the same bankers who backed the Kerensky regime and the March Revolution also supported the Bolsheviks, and it seems reasonable to opine that these financiers considered Kerensky a mere prelude for the Bolshevik coup, as the following indicates.

Thompson set himself up in royal manner in Petrograd reporting directly to Pres. Wilson and bypassing US Ambassador Francis. Thompson provided funds from his own money, first to the Social Revolutionaries, to whom he gave one million rubles,[19] and shortly after $1,000,000 to the Bolsheviks to spread their propaganda to Germany and Austria.[20] Thompson met Thomas Lamont of J. P. Morgan Co. in London to persuade the British War Cabinet to drop its anti-Bolshevik policy. On his return to the USA Thompson undertook a tour advocating US recognition of the Bolsheviks.[21] Thompson’s deputy Raymond Robbins had been pressing for recognition of the Bolsheviks, and Thompson agreed that the Kerensky regime was doomed and consequently “sped to Washington to try and swing the Administration onto a new policy track,” meeting resistance from Wilson, who was being pressure by Ambassador Francis.[22]

The “Bolshevik of Wall Street”

Such was Thompson’s enthusiasm for Bolshevism that he was nicknamed “the Bolshevik of Wall Street” by his fellow plutocrats. Thompson gave a lengthy interview with The New York Times just after his four month tour with the American Red Cross Mission, lauding the Bolsheviks and assuring the American public that the Bolsheviks were not about to make a separate peace with Germany.[23] The article is an interesting indication of how Wall Street viewed their supposedly “deadly enemies,” the Bolsheviks, at a time when their position was very precarious. Thompson stated that while the “reactionaries,” if they assumed power, might seek peace with Germany, the Bolsheviki would not. “His opinion is that Russia needs America, that America must stand by Russia,” stated the Times. Thompson is quoted: “The Bolsheviki peace aims are the same as those of the Untied States.” Thompson alluded to Wilson’s speech to the United States Congress on Russia as “a wonderful meeting of the situation,” but that the American public “know very little about the Bolsheviki.” The Times stated:

Colonel Thompson is a banker and a capitalist, and he has large manufacturing interests. He is not a sentimentalist nor a “radical.” But he has come back from his official visit to Russia in absolute sympathy with the Russian democracy as represented by the Bolsheviki at present.

Hence at this time Thompson was trying to sell the Bolsheviks as “democrats,” implying that they were part of the same movement as the Kerensky regime that they had overthrown. While Thompson did not consider Bolshevism the final form of government, he did see it as the most promising step towards a “representative government” and that it was the “duty” of the USA to “sympathize” with and “aid” Russia “through her days of crisis.” He stated that in reply to surprise at his pro-Bolshevik sentiments he did not mind being called “red” if that meant sympathy for 170,000,000 people “struggling for liberty and fair living.” Thompson also saw that while the Bolsheviki had entered a “truce” with Germany, they were also spreading Bolshevik doctrines among the German people, which Thompson called “their ideals of freedom” and their “propaganda of democracy.” Thompson lauded the Bolshevik Government as being the equivalent to America’s democracy, stating:

The present government in Russia is a government of workingmen. It is a Government by the majority, and, because our Government is a government of the majority, I don’t see how it can fail to support the Government of Russia.

Thompson saw the prospects of the Bolshevik Government being transformed as it incorporated a more Centrist position and included employers. If Bolshevism did not proceed thus, then “God help the world,” warned Thompson. Given that this was a time when Lenin and Trotsky held sway over the regime, subsequently to become the most enthusiastic advocates of opening Russia up to foreign capital (New Economic Policy) prospects seemed good for a joint Capitalist-Bolshevik venture with no indication that an upstart named Stalin would throw a spanner in the works.

The Times article ends: “At home in New York, the Colonel has received the good-natured title of ‘the Bolshevik of Wall Street.’”[24] It was against this background that it can now be understood why labor leader Samuel Gompers denounced Bolshevism as a tool of “predatory international finance,” while arch-capitalist Thompson lauded it as “a government of working men.”

The Council on Foreign Relations Report

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) had been established in 1921 by President Wilson’s chief adviser Edward Mandel House out of a previous think tank called The Inquiry, formed in 1917–1918 to advise President Wilson on the Paris Peace Conference of 1919. It was this conference about which Steed had detailed his observations when he stated that there were financial interests trying to secure the recognition of the Bolsheviks.[25]

Peter Grose in his semi-official history of the CFR writes of it as a think tank combining academe and big business that had emerged from The Inquiry group.[26] Therefore the CFR report on Soviet Russia at this early period is instructive as to the relationship that influential sections of the US Establishment wished to pursue in regard to the Bolshevik regime. Grosse writes of this period:

Awkward in the records of The Inquiry had been the absence of a single study or background paper on the subject of Bolshevism. Perhaps this was simply beyond the academic imagination of the times. Not until early 1923 could the Council summon the expertise to mobilize a systematic examination of the Bolshevik regime, finally entrenched after civil war in Russia. The impetus for this first study was Lenin’s New Economic Policy, which appeared to open the struggling Bolshevik economy to foreign investment. Half the Council’s study group were members drawn from firms that had done business in pre-revolutionary Russia, and the discussions about the Soviet future were intense. The concluding report dismissed “hysterical” fears that the revolution would spill outside Russia’s borders into central Europe or, worse, that the heady new revolutionaries would ally with nationalistic Muslims in the Middle East to evict European imperialism. The Bolsheviks were on their way to “sanity and sound business practices,” the Council study group concluded, but the welcome to foreign concessionaires would likely be short-lived. Thus, the Council experts recommended in March 1923 that American businessmen get into Russia while Lenin’s invitation held good, make money on their investments, and then get out as quickly as possible. A few heeded the advice; not for seven decades would a similar opportunity arise.[27]

However, financial interests had already moved into Soviet Russia from the beginning of the Bolshevik regime.

The Vanderlip Concession

H. G. Wells, historian, novelist, and Fabian-socialist, observed first-hand the relationship between Communism and big business when he had visited Bolshevik Russia. Travelling to Russia in 1920 where he interviewed Lenin and other Bolshevik leaders, Wells hoped that the Western Powers and in particular the USA would come to the Soviets’ aid. Wells also met there “Mr. Vanderlip” who was negotiating business contracts with the Soviets. Wells commented of the situation he would like to see developing, and as a self-described “collectivist” made a telling observation on the relationship between Communism and “Big Business”:

The only Power capable of playing this role of eleventh-hour helper to Russia single-handed is the United States of America. That is why I find the adventure of the enterprising and imaginative Mr. Vanderlip very significant. I doubt the conclusiveness of his negotiations; they are probably only the opening phase of a discussion of the Russian problem upon a new basis that may lead it at last to a comprehensive world treatment of this situation. Other Powers than the United States will, in the present phase of world-exhaustion, need to combine before they can be of any effective use to Russia. Big business is by no means antipathetic to Communism. The larger big business grows the more it approximates to Collectivism. It is the upper road of the few instead of the lower road of the masses to Collectivism.[28]

In addressing concerns that were being expressed among Bolshevik Party “activists” at a meeting of the Moscow Organization of the party, Lenin sought to reassure them that the Government was not selling out to foreign capitalism, but that, in view of what Lenin believed to be an inevitable war between the USA and Japan, a US interest in Kamchatka would be favorable to Soviet Russia as a defensive position against Japan. Such strategic considerations on the part of the US, it might be added, were also more relevant to US and other forms of so-called “intervention” during the Russian Civil War between the Red and the White Armies, than any desire to help the Whites overturn the Bolsheviks, let alone restore Czarism. Lenin said of Vanderlip to the Bolshevik cadres:

We must take advantage of the situation that has arisen. That is the whole purpose of the Kamchatka concessions. We have had a visit from Vanderlip, a distant relative of the well-known multimillionaire, if he is to he believed; but since our intelligence service, although splendidly organized, unfortunately does not yet extend to the United States of America, we have not yet established the exact kinship of these Vanderlips. Some even say there is no kinship at all. I do not presume to judge: my knowledge is confined to having read a book by Vanderlip, not the one that was in our country and is said to be such a very important person that he has been received with all the honors by kings and ministers—from which one must infer that his pocket is very well lined indeed. He spoke to them in the way people discuss matters at meetings such as ours, for instance, and told then in the calmest tones how Europe should be restored. If ministers spoke to him with so much respect, it must mean that Vanderlip is in touch with the multimillionaires.[29]

Of the meeting with Vanderlip, Lenin indicated that it was based on a secret diplomacy that was being denied by the US Administration, while Vandrelip returned to the USA, like other capitalists such as Thompson, praising the Bolsheviks. Lenin continued:

. . . I expressed the hope that friendly relations between the two states would be a basis not only for the granting of a concession, but also for the normal development of reciprocal economic assistance. It all went off in that kind of vein. Then telegrams came telling what Vanderlip had said on arriving home from abroad. Vanderlip had compared Lenin with Washington and Lincoln. Vanderlip had asked for my autographed portrait. I had declined, because when you present a portrait you write, “To Comrade So-and-so,” and I could not write, “To Comrade Vanderlip.” Neither was it possible to write: “To the Vanderlip we are signing a concession with” because that concession agreement would be concluded by the Administration when it took office. I did not know what to write. It would have been illogical to give my photograph to an out-and-out imperialist. Yet these were the kind of telegrams that arrived; this affair has clearly played a certain part in imperialist politics. When the news of the Vanderlip concessions came out, Harding—the man who has been elected President, but who will take office only next March—issued an official denial, declaring that he knew nothing about it, had no dealings with the Bolsheviks, and had heard nothing about any concessions. That was during the elections, and, for all we know, to confess, during elections, that you have dealings with the Bolsheviks may cost you votes. That was why he issued an official denial. He had this report sent to all the newspapers that are hostile to the Bolsheviks and are on the pay roll of the imperialist parties . . .[30]

This mysterious Vanderlip was in fact Washington Vanderlip who had, according to Armand Hammer, come to Russia in 1919, although even Hammer does not seem to have known much of the matter.[31] Lenin’s rationalizations in trying to justify concessions to foreign capitalists to the “Moscow activists” in 1920 seem disingenuous and less than forthcoming. Washington Vanderlip was an engineer whose negotiations with Russia drew considerable attention in the USA. The New York Times wrote that Vanderlip, speaking from Russia, denied reports of Lenin’s speech to “Moscow activists” that the concessions would serve Bolshevik geopolitical interests, with Vanderlip declaring that he had established a common frontier between the USA and Russia and that trade relations must be immediately restored.[32] The New York Times reporting in 1922: “The exploration of Kamchatka for oil as soon as trade relations between this country and Russia are established was assured today when the Standard Oil Company of California purchased one-quarter of the stock in the Vanderlip syndicate.” This gave Standard Oil exclusive leases on any syndicate lands on which oil was found. The Vanderlip syndicate comprised sixty-four units. The Standard Oil Company has just purchased sixteen units. However, the Vanderlip concessions could not come into effect until Soviet Russia was recognized by the USA.[33]

The Vanderlip syndicate holds concessions for the exploitation of coal, oil, and timber lands, fisheries, etc., east of the 160th parallel in Kamchatka. The Russian Government granted the syndicate alternate sections of land there and will draw royalties amounting to approximately 5 percent on all products developed and marketed by the syndicate.[34]

It is little wonder then that US capitalists were eager to see the recognition of the Soviet regime.

Bolshevik Bankers

In 1922 Soviet Russia’s first international bank was created, Ruskombank, headed by Olof Aschberg of the Nye Banken, Stockholm, Sweden. The predominant capital represented in the bank was British. The foreign director of Ruskombank was Max May, vice president of the Guaranty Trust Company.[35] Similarly to “the Bolshevik of Wall Street,” William Boyce Thompson, Aschberg was known as the “Bolshevik banker” for his close involvement with banking interests that had channeled funds to the Bolsheviks.

Guaranty Trust Company became intimately involved with Soviet economic transactions. A Scotland Yard Intelligence Report stated as early as 1919 the connection between Guaranty Trust and Ludwig C. A. K. Martens, head of the Soviet Bureau in New York when the bureau was established that year.[36] When representatives of the Lusk Committee investigating Bolshevik activities in the USA raided the Soviet Bureau offices on May 7, 1919, files of communications with almost a thousand firms were found. Basil H. Thompson of Scotland Yard in a special report stated that despite denials, there was evidence in the seized files that the Soviet Bureau was being funded by Guaranty Trust Company.[37] The significance of the Guaranty Trust Company was that it was part of the J. P. Morgan economic empire, which Dr. Sutton shows in his study to have been a major player in economic relations with Soviet Russia from its early days. It was also J. P. Morgan interests that predominated in the formation of a consortium, the American International Corporation (AIC), which was another source eager to secure the recognition of the still embryonic Soviet state. Interests represented in the directorship of the American International Corporation (AIC) included: National City Bank; General Electric; Du Pont; Kuhn, Loeb and Co.; Rockefeller; Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Ingersoll-Rand; Hanover National Bank, etc.[38]

The AIC’s representative in Russia at the time of the revolutionary tumult was its executive secretary William Franklin Sands, who was asked by US Secretary of State Robert Lansing for a report on the situation and what the US response should be. Sands’ attitude toward the Bolsheviks was, like that of Thompson, enthusiastic. Sands wrote a memorandum to Lansing in January 1918, at a time when the Bolshevik hold was still far from sure, that there had already been too much of a delay by the USA in recognizing the Bolshevik regime such as it existed. The USA had to make up for “lost time,” and like Thompson, Sands considered the Bolshevik Revolution to be analogous to the American Revolution.[39] In July 1918 Sands wrote to US Treasury Secretary McAdoo that a commission should be established by private interests with government backing, to provide “economic assistance to Russia.”[40]

Armand Hammer

One of those closely associated with Ludwig Martens and the Soviet Bureau was Dr. Julius Hammer, an emigrant from Russia who was a founder of the Communist Party USA. There is evidence that Julius Hammer was the host to Leon Trotsky when the latter with his family arrived in New York in 1917, and that it was Dr. Hammer’s chauffeured car that provided transport to Natalia and the Trotsky children. The Trotskys were met on disembarkation at the New York dock by Arthur Concors, a director of the Hebrew Sheltering and Immigrant Aid Society, whose advisory board included Jacob Schiff of Kuhn, Loeb and Co.[41] Dr. Hammer was the “primary owner of Allied Drug and Chemical Co.,” and “one of those not so rare creatures, a radical Marxist turned wealthy entrepreneur,” who lived an opulent lifestyle, according to Professor Spence.[42] Another financier linked to Trotsky was his own uncle, banker Abram Zhivotovskii, who was associated with numerous financial interests including those of Olof Aschberg.[43]

The intimate association of the Hammer family with Soviet Russia was to be maintained from start to finish, with an interlude of withdrawal during the Stalinist period. Julius’ son Armand, chairman of Occidental Petroleum Corporation, was the first foreigner to obtain commercial concessions from the Soviet Government. Armand was in Russia in 1921 to arrange for the reintroduction of capitalism according to the new economic course set by Lenin, the New Economic Policy. Lenin stated to Hammer that the economies of Russia and the USA were complementary, and in exchange for the exploitation of Russia’s raw materials he hoped for America’s technology.[44] This was precisely the attitude of significant business interests in the West. Lenin stated to Hammer that it was hoped the New Economic Policy would accelerate the economic process “by a system of industrial and commercial concessions to foreigners. It will give great opportunities to the United States.”[45]

Hammer met Trotsky, who asked him whether “financial circles” in the USA regard Russia as a desirable field of investment? Trotsky continued:

Inasmuch as Russia had its Revolution, capital was really safer there than anywhere else because, “whatever should happen abroad, the Soviet would adhere to any agreements it might make. Suppose one of your Americans invest money in Russia. When the Revolution comes to America, his property will of course be nationalized, but his agreement with us will hold good and he will thus be in a much more favorable position than the rest of his fellow capitalists.[46]

The manner by which Russia fundamentally changed direction, resulting eventually in the Cold War when Stalin refused to continue the wartime alliance for the purposes of establishing a World State via the United Nations Organization, traces its origins back to the divergence of opinion, among many other issues, between Trotsky and Stalin in regard to the role of foreign investment in the Soviet Union.[47] The CFR report had been prescient in warning big business to get into Russia immediately lest the situation changed radically.

Regimented Labor

But for the moment, with Trotsky entrenched as the warlord of Bolshevism, and Lenin favorable towards international capital investment, events in Russia seemed to be promising. A further major factor in the enthusiasm certain capitalist interests had for the Bolsheviks was the regimentation of labor under the so-called “dictatorship of the proletariat.” The workers’ state provided foreign capitalists with a controlled workforce. Trotsky had stated:

The militarization of labor is the indispensable basic method for the organization of our labor forces. . . . Is it true that compulsory labor is always unproductive? . . . This is the most wretched and miserable liberal prejudice: chattel slavery too was productive. . . . Compulsory slave labor was in its time a progressive phenomenon. Labor obligatory for the whole country, compulsory for every worker, is the basis of socialism. . . . Wages must not be viewed from the angle of securing the personal existence of the individual worker [but should] measure the conscientiousness, and efficiency of the work of every laborer.[48]

Hammer related of his experiences in the young Soviet state that although lengthy negotiations had to be undertaken with each of the trades unions involved in an enterprise, “the great power and influence of the trade unions was not without its advantages to the employer of labor in Russia. Once the employer had signed a collective agreement with the union branch there was little risk of strikes or similar trouble.”

Breaches of the codes as negotiated could result in dismissal, with recourse by the sacked worker to a labor court which, in Hammer’s experience, did not generally find in the worker’s favor, which would mean that there would be little chance of the sacked worker getting another job.[49]

However, Trotsky’s insane run in the Soviet Union was short-lived. As for Hammer, despite his greatly expanding and diverse businesses in the Soviet Union, after Stalin assumed power Hammer packed up and left, not returning until Stalin’s demise. Hammer opined decades later:

I never met Stalin—I never had any desire to do so—and I never had any dealings with him. However it was perfectly clear to me in 1930 that Stalin was not a man with whom you could do business. Stalin believed that the state was capable of running everything without the support of foreign concessionaires and private enterprise. That is the main reason I left Moscow. I could see that I would soon be unable to do business there and, since business was my sole reason to be there, my time was up.[50]

Foreign capital did nonetheless continue to do business with the USSR[51] as best as it was able, but the promising start that capitalists saw in the March and November revolutions for a new Russia that would replace the antiquated Czarist system with a modern economy from which they could reap the rewards was, as the 1923 CFR report warned, short-lived. Gorbachev and Yeltsin provided a brief interregnum of hope for foreign capital, to be disappointed again with the rise of Putin and a revival of nationalism and opposition to the oligarchs. The policy of continuing economic relations with the USSR even during the era of the Cold War was promoted as a strategy in the immediate aftermath of World War II when a CFR report by George S Franklin recommended attempting to work with the USSR as much as possible, “unless and until it becomes entirely evident that the U.S.S.R. is not interested in achieving cooperation . . .”

The United States must be powerful not only politically and economically, but also militarily. We cannot afford to dissipate our military strength unless Russia is willing concurrently to decrease hers. On this we lay great emphasis.

We must take every opportunity to work with the Soviets now, when their power is still far inferior to ours, and hope that we can establish our cooperation on a firmer basis for the not so distant future when they will have completed their reconstruction and greatly increased their strength. . . . The policy we advocate is one of firmness coupled with moderation and patience.[52]

Since Putin, the CFR again sees Russia as having taken a “wrong direction.” The current recommendation is for “selective cooperation” rather than “partnership, which is not now feasible.”[53]

The Revolutionary Nature of Capital

Should the fact that international capital viewed the March and even the November Revolutions with optimism be seen as an anomaly of history? Oswald Spengler was one of the first historians to expose the connections between capital and revolution. In The Decline of the West he called socialism “capitalistic” because it does not aim to replace money-based values, “but to possess them.” H. G. Wells, it will be recalled, said something similar. Spengler stated of socialism that it is “nothing but a trusty henchman of Big Capital, which knows perfectly well how to make use of it.” He elaborated in a footnote, seeing the connections going back to antiquity:

Herein lies the secret of why all radical (i.e. poor) parties necessarily become the tools of the money-powers, the Equites, the Bourse. Theoretically their enemy is capital, but practically they attack, not the Bourse, but Tradition on behalf of the Bourse. This is as true today as it was for the Gracchuan age, and in all countries . . .[54]

It was the Equites, the big-money party, which made Tiberius Gracchu’s popular movement possible at all; and as soon as that part of the reforms that was advantageous to themselves had been successfully legalized, they withdrew and the movement collapsed.[55]

From the Gracchuan Age to the Cromwellian and the French Revolutions, to Soros’ “color revolutions” of today, the Russian Revolutions were neither the first nor the last of political upheavals to serve the interests of Money Power in the name of “the people.”

 Notes

[1] K. R. Bolton, “March 1917: Wall Street & the March 1917 Russian Revolution,” Ab Aeterno, No. 2 (March 2010).

[2] Michael Pearson, The Sealed Train: Journey to Revolution: Lenin–1917 (London: Macmillan, 1975).

[3] Paul Warburg, prior to immigrating to the USA, had been decorated by the Kaiser in 1912.

[4] Col. William Wiseman, head of the British Secret Service, was the British equivalent to America’s key presidential adviser, Edward House, with whom he was in constant communication. Wiseman became a partner in Kuhn, Loeb & Co. From London on May 1, 1918 Wiseman cabled House that the Allies should intervene at the invitation of the Bolsheviks and help organize the Bolshevik army then fighting the White Armies in a bloody Civil War at a time when the Bolshevik hold on Russia was doubtful (Edward M. House, ed. Charles Seymour, The Intimate Papers of Col. House [New York: Houghton, Mifflin Co., 1926], Vol. III, p. 421).

[5] Olof Aschberg of the Nye Banken, Stockholm, the so-called “Bolshevik banker” who became head of the first Soviet international bank, Ruskombank, channeled funds to the Bolsheviks. On September 6, 1948 The London Evening Star commented on Aschberg’s visit to Swiss bankers that he had “advanced large sums to Lenin and Trotsky in 1917. At the time of the revolution Mr. Aschberg gave Trotsky money to form and equip the first unit of the Red Army.”

[6] Samuel Gompers, “Soviet Bribe fund Here Says Gompers, Has Proof That Offers Have Been Made, He Declares, Opposing Recognition. Propaganda Drive. Charges Strong Group of Bankers With Readiness to Accept Lenin’s Betrayal of Russia,” The New York Times, May 1, 1922. Online at Times’ archives: http://query.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=9E00E3D81739EF3ABC4953DFB3668389639EDE [3]

[7] Henry Wickham Steed, “Through Thirty Years 1892–1922 A personal narrative,” The Peace Conference, The Bullitt Mission, Vol. II.  (New York: Doubleday Page and Co., 1924), p. 301.

[8] Ibid.

[9] Ibid.

[10] Ibid.

[11] Charles Seymour, 165–66. House was assigned by Wilson to draw up the constitution for the League of Nations, and in 1918 formed a think tank at Wilson’s request, called The Inquiry, to advise on post-war policy, which became the Council on Foreign Relations. House was the US chief negotiator at the Peace Conference in Paris, 1919–1920.

[12] Henry Wickham Steed, “Peace with Honor,” Paris Daily Mail, 28 March 1922; quoted in Steed (1924).

[13] Crane was a member of a 1917 Special Diplomatic Mission to Russia, and a member of the American Section of the Paris Peace Conference in 1919.

[14] H. W. Steed, 1924, op. cit.

[15] Antony Sutton, Wall Street and the Bolshevik Revolution (New York: Arlington House Publishers, 1974), p. 71.

[16] Ibid., p. 75.

[17] Ibid., p. 73.

[18] William Harlan Hale, “When the Red Storm Broke,” America and Russia: A Century and a Half of Dramatic Encounters, ed. Oliver Jensen (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1962), p. 150.

[19] Ibid., p.151.

[20] “Gives Bolsheviki a Million,” Washington Post, 2 February 1918, cited by Sutton, ibid., pp. 82–83.

[21] A. Sutton, op.cit., p. 8.

[22] W. Harlan Hale, op.cit., p. 151.

[23] Trotsky while still in the USA had made similar claims. “People War Weary. But Leo Trotsky Says They Do Not Want Separate Peace,” New York Times, March 16, 1917. This was why he became the focus of British intelligence efforts via R. H. Bruce Lockhart, special agent to the British War Cabinet in Russia.

[24] “Bolsheviki Will Not Make Separate Peace: Only Those Who Made Up Privileged Classes Under Czar Would Do So, Says Col. W. B. Thompson, Just Back From Red Cross Mission,” New York Times, January 27, 1918.

[25] Robert S. Rifkind, ‘”The Wasted Mission,” America and Russia, op. cit., p. 180.

[26] Peter Grose, Continuing The Inquiry: The Council on Foreign Relations from 1921 to 1996 (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2006). The entire book can be read online at: Council on Foreign Relations: http://www.cfr.org/about/history/cfr/index.html [4] (Accessed on February 27, 2010).

[27] Ibid. Chapter: “Basic Assumptions.”

[28] H. G. Wells, Russia in the Shadows, Chapter VII, “The Envoy.” Wells went to Russia in September 1920 at the invitation of Kamenev, of the Russian Trade Delegation in London, one of the leaders of the Bolshevik regime. Russia in the Shadows appeared as a series of articles in The Sunday Express. The whole book can be read online at: gutenberg.net.au/ebooks06/0602371h.html [5]

[29] V. I. Lenin, December 6, 1920, Collected Works, 4th English Edition (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1965), Volume 31, 438–59 http://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1920/dec/06.htm [6] (Accessed on August 4, 2010).

[30] Ibid.

[31] A. Hammer, Witness to History (Reading, England: Hodder and Stoughton, 1988), pp.151-152.

[32] “Vanderlip’s Empire,” The New York Times, December 1, 1920, 14.

[33] “Standard Oil Joins Vanderlip Project,” The New York Times, January 11, 1922, p. 1.

[34] Ibid.

[35] Antony Sutton, Wall Street and the Bolshevik Revolution (New York: Arlington House Publishers, 1974), pp. 62–63.

[36] “Scotland Yard Intelligence Report,” London 1919, US State Dept. Decimal File, 316-22-656, cited by A. Sutton, ibid., p. 113.

[37] Basil H. Thompson, British Home Office Directorate of Intelligence, “Special Report No. 5 (Secret),” Scotland Yard, London, July 14, 1919; cited by Sutton, ibid., p. 115.

[38] A Sutton, op.cit., pp. 130–31.

[39] Sands’ memorandum to Lansing, p. 9; cited by Sutton, ibid., pp. 132, 134.

[40] A. Sutton, ibid., p. 135.

[41] Richard B Spence, “Hidden Agendas: Spies, Lies and Intrigue Surrounding Trotsky’s American Visit, January-April 1917,” Revolutionary Russia, Vol. 21, #1 (2008).

[42] Ibid.

[43] Ibid.

[44]  A. Hammer, Witness to History, op. cit., p. 143.

[45] Ibid.

[46] Ibid., p. 160.

[47] K. R. Bolton, “Origins of the Cold War: How Stalin Foiled a New World Order,” Foreign Policy Journal, May 31, 2010, http://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2010/05/31/origins-of-the-cold-war-how-stalin-foild-a-new-world-order/all/1 [7]

[48] Leon Trotsky, Third All-Russian Congress of Trade Unions, April 6th, 1920. http://www.marxists.org/archive/brinton/1970/workers-control/05.htm [8] (Accessed on August 4, 2010).

[49] A. Hammer, op. cit., p. 217.

[50] Ibid., p. 221.

[51] Charles Levinson, Vodka-Cola (West Sussex: Biblias, 1980). Antony Sutton, National Suicide: Military Aid to the Soviet Union (New York: Arlington House, 1973).

[52] Peter Grose, op. it., “The First Transformation,” http://www.cfr.org/about/history/cfr/first_transformation.html [9]

[53] Jack Kemp, et al., Russia’s Wrong Direction: What the United States Can and Should do, Independent Task Force Report, no. 57 (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2006) xi. The entire publication can be downloaded at: http://www.cfr.org/publication/9997/ [10]

[54] Oswald Spengler, The Decline of The West (London: George Allen & Unwin, 1971), Vol. 2,  p. 464.

[55] Ibid., p. 402.

Source: Ab Aeterno, no. 5, Fall 2010

 


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vendredi, 08 novembre 2013

Wall Street & the March 1917 Russian Revolution

1007777-Aleksandr_Fedorovitch_Kerenski.jpg

Wall Street & the March 1917 Russian Revolution

By Kerry Bolton 

Ex: http://www.counter-currents.com

“There is no proletarian, not even a communist, movement that has not operated in the interests of money, in the directions indicated by money, and for the time permitted by money — and that without the idealists amongst its leaders having the slightest suspicion of the fact.” Oswald Spengler.[1]

The “Russian Revolution” (sic) is heralded in both the popular imagination and by academe as a triumph of the people against Czarist tyranny, even if most concede that the utopian vision turned sour, at least with the eventual dictatorship of Stalin. However a look behind the multiple facades of history shows that the “Russian Revolution” was one of many upheavals that have served those who provide the funding. Few–whether laymen or supposed “experts”–ever seem to question as to where the money comes to finance these revolutions, and we are expected to believe that they are “spontaneous uprisings of the people against oppression,” just as today we are still expected to believe that the so-called “colour revolutions” in the Ukraine, Georgia, Serbia, etc., are “spontaneous demonstrations.” This essay examines the funding of the March 1917 Russian Revolution, the so-called First Revolution that served as an opening scene for the Bolsheviks, and concludes that there are forces at work behind he scenes, whose goals are far removed from the welfare of the masses.

March 2010 marks the ninety-third anniversary of the (First) Russian Revolution, which served as the prelude for the Bolshevik coup the following November, known as the “Bolshevik Revolution.” A look beyond orthodoxy shows with ample documentation that socialism, from social democracy and fabianism[2] to communism, has generally “operated in the interests of money” as Spengler observed.

The Fabian historian and novelist H. G. Wells, when in Russia in 1920 observing the still precarious Bolshevik regime, commenting on how arch-capitalists were even then already going into the embryonic Soviet republic to negotiate commercial concessions[3], wrote:

. . . Big business is by no means antipathetic to Communism. The larger big business grows the more it approximates to Collectivism. It is the upper road of the few instead of the lower road of the masses to Collectivism.[4]

Big Business saw in socialism a means for both destroying the traditional foundations of nations and societies and as a control mechanism. In the case of Old Russia where a State based on monarchical and rural traditions was not amenable to being opened up for global business exploitation of its resources the scene was set for the upheavals of 1917 back in 1905 at the time of the Russo-Japanese War, which played a significant role in the formation of a Russian revolutionary cadre.[5] The funding for the formation of that cadre came from Jacob Schiff, senior partner of Kuhn, Loeb & Co., New York, who backed Japan in the war against Russia.[6]

The individual most responsible for turning American opinion, including government and diplomatic opinion, against Czarist Russia was the journalist George Kennan[7], who was sponsored by Schiff. In a collection of essays on American-Russian diplomacy, Cowley states that during the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-1905 Kennan was in Japan organising Russian POWs into ‘revolutionary cells’ and claimed to have converted “52,000 Russian soldiers into ‘revolutionists’”. Cowley also adds, significantly, “Certainly such activity, well-financed by groups in the United States, contributed little to Russian-American solidarity.”[8]

The source of the revolutionary funding “by groups in the United States” was explained by Kennan at a celebration of the March 1917 Russian Revolution, as reported as by the New York Times:

Mr. Kennan told of the work of the Friends of Russian Freedom in the revolution.

He said that during the Russian-Japanese war he was in Tokio, and that he was permitted to make visits among the 12,000 Russian prisoners in Japanese hands at the end of the first year of the war. He had conceived the idea of putting revolutionary propaganda into the hands of the Russian army.

The Japanese authorities favoured it and gave him permission. After which he sent to America for all the Russian revolutionary literature to be had . . .

“The movement was financed by a New York banker you all know and love,” he said, referring to Mr Schiff, “and soon we received a ton and a half of Russian revolutionary propaganda. At the end of the war 50,000 Russian officers and men went back to their country ardent revolutionists. The Friends of Russian Freedom had sowed 50,000 seeds of liberty in 100 Russian regiments. I do not know how many of these officers and men were in the Petrograd fortress last week, but we do know what part the army took in the revolution.”

Then was read a telegram from Jacob H. Schiff, part of which is as follows: “Will you say for me to those present at tonight’s meeting how deeply I regret my inability to celebrate with the Friends of Russian Freedom the actual reward of what we had hoped and striven for these long years.”[9]

The reaction to the Russian revolution by Schiff and indeed by bankers generally, in the USA and London, was one of jubilation. Schiff wrote enthusiastically to the New York Times:

May I through your columns give expression to my joy that the Russian nation, a great and good people, have at last effected their deliverance from centuries of autocratic oppression and through an almost bloodless revolution have now come into their own. Praised be God on high! Jacob H. Schiff.[10]

Writing to The Evening Post in response to a question about revolutionary Russia’s new status with world financial markets, Schiff replied as head of Kuhn, Loeb & Co.:

Replying to your request for my opinion of the effects of the revolution upon Russia’s finances, I am quite convinced that with the certainty of the development of the country’s enormous resources, which, with the shackles removed from a great people, will follow present events, Russia will before long take rank financially amongst the most favoured nations in the money markets of the world.[11]

Schiff’s reply reflected the general attitude of London and New York financial circles at the time of the revolution. John B. Young of the National City Bank, who had been in Russia in 1916 in regard to a US loan stated in 1917 of the revolution that it has been discussed widely when he had been in Russia the previous year. He regarded those involved as “solid, responsible and conservative.”[12] In the same issue, the New York Times reported that there had been a rise in Russian exchange transactions in London 24 hours preceding the revolution, and that London had known of the revolution prior to New York. The article reported that most prominent financial and business leaders in London and New York had a positive view of the revolution.[13] Another report states that while there had been some disquiet about the revolution, “this news was by no means unwelcome in more important banking circles.”[14]

These bankers and industrialists are cited in these articles as regarding the revolution as being able to eliminate pro-German influents in the Russian government and as likely to pursue a more vigorous course against Germany. Yet such seemingly “patriotic sentiments” cannot be considered the motivation behind the plutocratic support for the revolution. While Max Warburg of the Warburg banking house in Germany, advised the Kaiser and while the German Government arranged for funding and safe passage of Lenin and his entourage from Switzerland across Germany to Russia; his brother Paul,[15] as associate of Schiff’s,[16] looked after the family interests in New York. The factor that was behind this banking support for the revolution whether from London, New York, Stockholm,[17] or Berlin, was that of the tremendous largely untapped resources that would become available to the world financial markets, which had hitherto been denied control under the Czar. It must be kept in mind that these banking dynasties were–and are–not merely national or local banks but are international and do not owe loyalty to any particular nation, unless that nation happens to be acting in their interests at a particular time. [18]

The Bolshevik Revolution of eight months later, despite the violent anti-capitalist rhetoric, was to open Russia’s vast resources up to world capitalism, although with the advent of Stalin, not to the extent that the plutocrats had thought when the Lenin-Trotsky regime had held sway for several years.

Notes 

This essay is based on parts of chapters in my book Revolution From Above: Manufacturing “Dissent” in the New World Order (London: Arktos, 2011). I hope to submit a similar essay on the funding of the November 1917 Russian Bolshevik Revolution for the October-November-December issue of Ab Aeterno.

[1] Oswald Spengler, The Decline of The West, 1918, 1926 (London: G. Allen & Unwin, 1971), vol. 2, p. 402.

[2] The Fabian Society features on its coat-of-arms a wolf in sheep’s clothing. Prominent among the founding members were literati such as H. G. Wells and G. B. Shaw. The Fabians founded the London School of Economics and Political Science as a training academy for the future governing elite in a collectivist state. According to co-founder Beatrice Webb, funding for this came from Sir Ernest Cassel of Vickers armaments and Kuhn, Loeb & Co., New York; and the Rothschilds, et al. (K. R. Bolton, op.cit., “Revolution By Stealth”).

[3] Washington A. Vanderlip was in Russia at the same time as Wells, negotiating commercial concessions with the Soviet regime–successfully.

[4] H. G. Wells, Russia in the Shadows, Chapter VII, “The Envoy.”  Wells went to Russia in September 1920 at the invitation of Kamenev, of the Russian Trade Delegation in London, one of the leaders of the Bolshevik regime. Russia in the Shadows appeared as a series of articles in The Sunday Express. The whole book can be read online at: gutenberg.net.au/ebooks06/0602371h.html [2]

[5] The Russian monarchy and the Russian peasant were both considered historically passé by the Western financial establishment, in the same manner that in our own time the Afrikaner farming folk were considered passé and their system of apartheid hindered the globalisation of South Africa’s economy. Like the March and November 1917 Russian Revolutions, the ostensibly “Black” revolution in South Africa eliminated the Afrikaner anachronism and under “socialism” has privatised the parastatals (state-owned utility companies) and privatised the economy.

[6] “Jacob Schiff,” Dictionary of American Biography, Vol. XVI, p. 431. Schiff gave a loan of $200,000,000 to the Japanese aggressors, for which he was decorated by the Japanese Emperor.

[7] Robert Cowley, “A Year in Hell,” America and Russia: A Century and a Half of Dramatic Encounters, ed. Oliver Jensen (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1962), pp. 92-121. The introductory note to the chapter indicates the nature of Kennan’s influence: “An American journalist, George Kennan, became the first to reveal the full horrors of Siberian exile and the brutal, studied inhumanity of Czarist ‘justice’.” Cowley quotes historian Thomas A. Bailey as stating of Kennan: “No one person did more to cause the people of the United States to turn against their presumed benefactor of yesteryear.” (A reference to Czarist Russia’s support for the Union during the American Civil War). Cowley, ibid., p. 118.

[8] Ibid., p. 120.

[9] New York Times, 24 March, 1917, pp. 1-2.

[10] Jacob H. Schiff, “Jacob H. Schiff Rejoices, By Telegraph to the Editor of the New York Times,” New York Times, 18 March, 1917. This can be viewed in The New York Times online archives: http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=9802E4DD163AE532A2575BC1A9659C946696D6CF [3] (accessed 12 January 2010).

[11] “Loans easier for Russia,” The New York Times, 20 March 1917. http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=9B04EFDD143AE433A25753C2A9659C946696D6CF [4] (accessed 12 January 2010).

[12] “Is A People’s Revolution.” The New York Times, 16 March 1917.

[13] “Bankers here pleased with news of revolution,” ibid.

[14] “Stocks strong – Wall Street interpretation of Russian News,” ibid.

[15] Paul Warburg, prior to emigrating to the USA, had been decorated by the Kaiser in 1912.

[16] Paul Warburg was also Schiff’s brother-in-law.

[17] Olof Achberg of the Nye Banken, Stockholm was to serve as the conduit for funds between international banks and the Bolsheviks.

[18] For example, what national or prior imperial loyalties could a banking dynasty such as the Rothschilds owe, when they had family branches of the bank in London, Paris, Frankfurt, and Berlin? The same question applies to all such banks, and in our own time to the trans-national corporations.

Source: Ab Aeterno: Journal of the Academy of Social and Political Research, no. 2, March 2010


Article printed from Counter-Currents Publishing: http://www.counter-currents.com

URL to article: http://www.counter-currents.com/2013/10/wall-street-and-the-march-1917-russian-revolution/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://www.counter-currents.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/jacobschiff.jpg

[2] gutenberg.net.au/ebooks06/0602371h.html: http://www.counter-currents.comgutenberg.net.au/ebooks06/0602371h.html

[3] http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=9802E4DD163AE532A2575BC1A9659C946696D6CF: http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=9802E4DD163AE532A2575BC1A9659C946696D6CF

[4] http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=9B04EFDD143AE433A25753C2A9659C946696D6CF: http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=9B04EFDD143AE433A25753C2A9659C946696D6CF

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mercredi, 06 novembre 2013

Europa opta por South Stream

Ex: http://www.elespiadigital.com/

Continúa el tendido del gasoducto South Stream (Flujo Sur) en Europa. Bulgaria ha empezado a constuir el tramo que suministrará el gas ruso a Europa Central y del Sur. En lo que resta de año, se dará inicio a la construcción de la correspondiente infraestructura en Serbia, luego de lo cual le tocará el turno a Hungría. Además, los contratos sobre el tendido ya están suscritos con Grecia, Eslovenia, Croacia y Austria.

La extensión del tramo búlgaro supera 500 kilómetros. Las obras de construcción se iniciaron en la más económicamente deprimida parte noroccidental de Bulgaria, donde la tasa de desempleo supera el 20 %. Se pronostica que la ejecución del proyecto impulsará el crecimiento económico del país. Gracias a South Stream, Bulgaria recibirá inversiones por importe de tres mil quinientos millones de euro, casi tres mil millones de euro engrosarán sus arcas públicas, exenciones sobre el precio del gas y trabajo para los contratistas locales.

Además, al Holding energético de Bulgaria, socio del gigante gasístico ruso Gazprom, se le otrogará un crédito por el monto de seiscientos veinte millones de euro.

South Stream es un proyecto costoso, los gastos en su tendido ascienden a 16 mil millones de euro. Pero, desde la óptica de la seguridad energética, sus ventajas son evidentes, según ha expresado en Bulgaria el presidente de Gazprom, Alexéi Míller:

–Se trata de un importantísimo componente de la seguridad energética para todo el continente europeo, pues el gas se suministrará directamente desde Rusia a Bulgaria y a la Unión Europea, sin atravesar los países de tránsito.

Bajo el término "los países de tránsito" se sobrentiende a Ucrania que sistemáticamente genera problemas, icnumpliendo los compromisos de pago, bombeando ilíctamente este hidrocarburo en sus depósitos subterráneos. En un pasado, este país eslavo causó irregularidades en el suministro de gas a Europa. Al alcanzar South Stream la capacidad proyectada, estos problemas pasarán a la historia, se muestra seguro el director del departamento analítico en la entidad Alpari, Alexánder Razuváev:

–Después de que Gazprom adquiriera Beltransgaz (operadora del sistema de gasoductos de Bielorrusia) y se pusiera en marcha la tubería North Stream, estos riesgos disminuyeron considerablemente. Cuando comience a funcionar South Stream, los riesgos prácticamente dejarán de existir. Por lo que se refiere a Europa, tendrá los suministros garantizados. Se barajaba una variante optativa, el gasoducto Nabucco, que no resultó ser viable. Correspondientem ente, Europa optó por South Stream.

South Stream empezará a suministrar gas a la población de Europa ya a finales de 2015. La capacidad de su primera ramificación superará los quince mil millones de metros cúbicos anuales. En toral, a esta arteria gasera le corresponderá un 10 % del consumo continental de este hidrocarburo.

south-stream-bulgaria-first-welding.jpg


mardi, 29 octobre 2013

Spengler e l’anima russa

estland3_aleksander_nevski_.jpg

Spengler e l’anima russa

La Russia antica e la “pseudomorfosi” illuminista

Autore:

Ex: http://www.centrostudilaruna.it/

OswaldSpengler.jpgNel Tramonto dell’Occidente[1], Oswald Spengler si sofferma ampiamente sulle peculiarità dell’anima russa. Tale analisi è collocata nella seconda parte dell’opera, che si intitola “Prospettive della storia mondiale[2], la prima parte essendo dedicata a “Forma e realtà”, ove delinea la sua visione ciclica della storia, definisce l’“anima” di ogni civiltà, con le famose fasi, l’una ascendente (Kultur) e l’altra  discendente (Zivilisation) di ogni ciclo storico, per poi tracciare una morfologia comparata delle civiltà che offre un grande scenario di macrostoria [3].

Altrettanto interessante e stimolante è l’applicazione del metodo comparativo spengleriano per studiare e decifrare l’affinità morfologica che connette interiormente la lingua delle forme di tutti i domini interni ad una data civiltà, dall’arte alla matematica alla geometria, al pensiero filosofico e al linguaggio delle forme della vita economica, essa stessa espressione di una data “anima”, ossia di un “sentimento del mondo” che contraddistingue un certo tipo di sensibilità.

In questa prospettiva, anche i fatti politici, assumono il valore di potenti simboli; per Spengler occorre saper cogliere che cosa significa il loro apparire, l’ “anima” di cui essi sono espressione.

Pseudomorfosi

Nella seconda parte dell’opera, l’Autore colloca lo studio dell’anima russa nel capitolo sulle pseudomorfosi storiche ed è partendo da questa categoria spengleriana che si può comprendere il suo modo di descrivere il mondo russo.

il-tramonto-dell-occidentePer spiegare la pseudomorfosi, Spengler parte da una nozione di mineralogia. Egli attinge  ad un fenomeno naturale per spiegare e definire un fenomeno storico, in ciò accogliendo un procedimento di osservazione scientifico-naturalistico tipico di Goethe, al quale esplicitamente si richiama nella prima parte della sua opera.

Si supponga uno strato di calcare che contenga cristalli di un dato minerale. Si producono crepacci e fessure; l’acqua si infiltra e a poco a poco, passando, scioglie e porta via i cristalli, di modo che nel conglomerato non restano più che le cavità da essi occupate. Sopravvengono fenomeni vulcanici che fendono la montagna; colate di materiale incandescente penetrano negli spacchi, si solidificano e danno luogo ad altri cristalli. Ma esse non possono farlo in una forma propria: sono invece costrette a riempire le cavità preesistenti, e così nascono forme falsate, nascono cristalli nei quali la struttura interna contraddice  la conformazione esterna, un dato minerale apparendo ora sotto le specie esteriori di un altro. E’ ciò  che i mineralogisti  chiamano pseudomorfosi[4].

Dalla nozione di mineralogia passa quindi alle pseudomorfosi storiche.

Chiamo pseudomorfosi storiche i casi nei quali una vecchia civiltà straniera grava talmente su di un paese che una civiltà nuova, congenita a questo paese, ne resta soffocata e non solo non giunge a forme sue proprie e pure di espressione, ma nemmeno alla perfetta coscienza di sé stessa. Tutto ciò che emerge dalle profondità di una giovane animità va a fluire nelle forme vuote di una vita straniera; una giovane sensibilità si fissa in opere annose e invece dell’adergersi in una libera forza creatrice nasce soltanto un odio sempre più vivo per la costrizione che ancora si subisce da parte di una realtà lontana nel tempo”[5].

Di questo fenomeno Spengler ci offre vari esempi quali la civiltà araba – che egli fa risalire,  come sentimento del mondo, al III secolo a.C. – che fu costretta e soffocata nelle forme di una civiltà straniera, quale quella macedone col suo relativo dominio (impresa di Alessandro Magno e civiltà ellenistica).

Non è questa la sede per esaminare la pseudomorfosi araba, perché tale tema ci porterebbe lontano, considerando la peculiarità della visione storica spengleriana, rispetto allo specialismo della storiografia occidentale del suo tempo con la quale egli polemizza e argomenta in modo approfondito.

Altra pseudomorfosi è quella che inizia con la battaglia di Azio del 31 a. C.

Qui non si trattò di una lotta per la supremazia della romanità o dell’ellenismo; una lotta del genere era stata già combattuta a Canne e a Ama, ove ad Annibale toccò il destino tragico di battersi non per la sua patria bensì per l’ellenismo. Ad Azio la nascente civiltà araba si trovò di fronte alla civilizzazione antica senescente. Si doveva decidere il trionfo dello spirito apollineo o di quello magico, degli dei o del Dio, del principato o del califfato. La vittoria di Antonio avrebbe liberato l’anima magica; invece la sua sconfitta ebbe per conseguenza che sul paesaggio di tale anima si riaffermarono le rigide, disanimate strutture del periodo imperiale”[6].

Pseudomorfosi russa

Un ulteriore esempio di pseudomorfosi ce lo offre la Russia di Pietro il Grande. L’anima russa originaria si esprime nelle saghe di Kiev riguardanti il principe Vladimiro (verso il 1000 d. C.) con la sua Tavola Rotonda e l’eroe popolare Ilja di Muros. Qui il pensatore tedesco coglie l’immensa differenza fra anima russa e anima faustina (ossia quella europea tesa verso l’infinito e simboleggiata dalle cattedrali gotiche) nel divario che intercorre fra tali poemi slavi e quelli sincronici – rispetto ad essi – della saga di Malthus e dei Nibelunghi del periodo delle invasioni “nella forma dell’epica di Ildebrando[7].

Il periodo “merovingio” russo (ossia il periodo aurorale) inizia con la liberazione dal dominio tartaro di Ivan III (1480) e si sviluppa attraverso gli ultimi Rurik e i primi Romanov fino a Pietro il Grande (1689-1725). Esso corrisponde al periodo che va, in Francia, da Clodoveo(465-511) fino alla battaglia di Testry (687) con la quale i Carolingi si assicurano il potere  effettivo. Spengler coglie qui un’affinità morfologica.

albe-e-tramonti-deuropaA questo periodo moscovita delle grandi stirpi bojare e dei patriarchi, durante il quale un partito della Vecchia Russia lottò continuamente contro gli amici della civiltà occidentale, segue, con la fondazione di Pietroburgo (1703) la pseudomorfosi, la quale impose all’anima russa primitiva le forme straniere dell’alto Barocco, poi quelle dell’illuminismo e infine quelle del diciannovesimo secolo. Pietro il Grande fu fatale per la civiltà russa. Si pensi alla sua corrispondenza “sincronica”, a Carlomagno, che metodicamente e con tutte le sue energie attuò ciò che Carlo Martello pochi anni prima aveva scongiurato con la sua vittoria sugli Arabi; il sopravvento dello spirito mauro-bizantino”[8]

Nella visione spengleriana, Pietro il Grande impone alla Russia una forma che non le è congeniale, che è lontana dallo spirito contadino, antico, mistico e religioso della Vecchia Russia. Carlomagno avrebbe mutuato in Occidente una forma mauro-bizantina (l’Impero, la struttura gerarchizzata sul modello romano-orientale) che non sarebbe stata congeniale all’Europa dell’alto  Medio Evo (adopero questa periodizzazione per farmi intendere, anche se essa non è affatto spengleriana).

Qui lo studioso tedesco introduce una riflessione che è di rilievo centrale e che contribuisce a far comprendere anche la storia della Russia contemporanea.

Lo zarismo primitivo di Mosca è l’unica forma che ancor oggi sia conforme alla natura russa, ma esso a Pietroburgo fu falsato nella forma dinastica propria all’Europa occidentale. La tendenza verso il Sud sacro, verso Bisanzio e Gerusalemme, profondamente radicata in tutte le anime greco-ortodosse, si trasformò in una diplomazia mondana, in uno sguardo rivolto verso l’Occidente … Furono importate arti e scienze tarde, l’illuminismo, l’etica sociale, il materialismo cosmopolita, benché in questo primo periodo del ciclo russo la religione fosse l’unica lingua nella quale ognuno comprendeva se stesso e comprendeva il mondo[9].

Questa imposizione di un modello straniero generò un sentimento di odio “davvero apocalittico” contro l’Europa, intendendo con tale termine tutto quanto non era russo, anche Roma e Atene, insomma l’Occidente nella varietà ed anche nell’antichità delle sue manifestazioni.”La prima condizione a che il sentimento nazionale russo si liberi è odiare Pietroburgo con tutto il cuore e con tutta l’anima” scriveva Aksakoff a Dostoevskij.

In altri termini, Mosca è sacra, Pietroburgo è Satana e Pietro il Grande, in una leggenda popolare, viene presentato come l’Anticristo[10].

Tolstoi e Dostoevskij

Per Spengler, se si vogliono comprendere i due grandi interpreti della pseudomorfosi russa, occorre vedere in Dostoevskij il contadino, in Tolstoi l’uomo cosmopolita.

L’uno non poté mai liberarsi interiormente dalla campagna, l’altro la campagna, malgrado ogni suo disperato sforzo, non riusci mai a ritrovarla[11].

Qui la lettura di Spengler diviene dirompente e innovativa, con tratti tipici da “rivoluzione conservatrice.

Egli considera, infatti, Tolstoi come la Russia del passato e Dostoevskij come simbolo della Russia dell’avvenire, il che equivale a dire che l’anima contadina antica della Russia, l’anima legata al sentimento delle radici e delle tradizioni, rappresenta l’avvenire, mentre lo spirito cosmopolita e illuminista, di stampo occidentale moderno, è destinato a tramontare.

Peraltro, questa spirito cosmopolita era profondamente divorato da un odio viscerale contro un’Europa moderna da cui non poteva liberarsi, essendovi profondamente legato. In altri termini, una sorta di amore/odio verso l’Europa.

Tolstoi odiò potentemente l’Europa da cui non poteva liberarsi. Egli l’odiò in sé stesso e odiò se stesso. Per questo fu il padre del bolscevismo[12]..

Dostoevskij, al contrario, non nutrì un tale odio ma un fervido amore per tutto ciò che è occidentale, nel senso delle antiche radici culturali dell’Europa.

Un simile odio Dostoevskij non lo conobbe. Egli nutrì un amore altrettanto fervido per tutto quello che è occidentale. “Io ho due patrie, la Russia e L’Europa”[13]. Questa affermazione dello scrittore russo è molto sintomatica delle sue inclinazioni. Spengler passa poi a citare un brano del romanzo I Fratelli Karamazov che è molto eloquente circa quello che lo scrittore russo intende per richiamo interiore verso l’Europa.

“Partirò per l’Europa – dice Ivan Karamazov al fratello Alioscia – io so di non andare che verso un cimitero, ma so anche che questo cimitero mi è caro, che è il più caro di tutti i cimiteri. I nostri sacri morti sono seppelliti  là, ogni pietra delle loro tombe parla di una vita passata così fervida, di una fede così appassionata nelle azioni che hanno compiute, nelle loro verità, nelle loro lotte e nelle loro conoscenze che io, lo so di già, mi prosternerò per baciare quelle pietre e per piangere su di esse[14]

L’Europa, per Dostoevskij, è quella delle radici antiche, della memoria storica, dell’identità, degli avi, delle antiche fedi e delle antiche lotte. In altri termini, l’Europa non è quella dell’illuminismo cui guardava Pietro il Grande, ma esattamente il contrario.

Mentre Tolstoi si muove nell’ottica dell’economia politica e dell’etica sociale, in una dimensione intellettualistica, tipicamente occidentale e moderna, Dostoevskij era al di là delle categorie occidentali, comprese quelle di rivoluzione e di conservatorismo.

Per lui fra conservatorismo e rivoluzione – scrive Spengler – non vi era differenza alcuna: entrambi erano per lui fenomeni occidentali. Lo sguardo di una tale anima si librava di là da tutto quanto è sociale. Le cose di questo mondo gli apparivano così insignificanti, che egli non dette alcuna importanza al tentativo di migliorarle. Nessuna vera ragione vuole migliorare il mondo dei fatti. Come ogni vero Russo, Dostoevskij un tale mondo non lo nota affatto: gli uomini come lui vivono in un secondo mondo, in un mondo metafisico esistente di là da esso. Che cosa hanno a che vedere i tormenti di un’anima col comunismo?[15]

Spengler conclude asserendo che “il Russo autentico è un discepolo di Dostoevskij benché non lo abbia letto, anzi proprio perché non sa leggere. Lui stesso è un pezzo di Dostoevskij[16]

Per Spengler il cristianesimo sociale di Tolstoi era intriso di marxismo; Tolstoi parlava di Cristo ma intendeva Marx, mentre “al cristianesimo di Dostoevskij appartiene invece il millennio che viene”[17]

la-foresta-e-la-steppaL’analisi spengleriana si proietta nel futuro, anticipando di circa un secolo gli sviluppi della storia russa, in un momento storico in cui trionfava il bolscevismo e tutto sembrava andare in direzione contraria. Il punto è capire cosa intenda Spengler per “cristianesimo  di Dostoevskij”. Lo studioso tedesco ha fatto riferimento a questa vocazione mistica che trascende il mondo dei fenomeni, dei fatti, ai quali l’anima russa non attribuisce un valore decisivo, il mondo metafisico essendo l’oggetto di interesse centrale e prioritario.

L’immensa differenza fra anima faustiana e anima russa si tradisce già nel suono di certe parole.  Il termine russo per cielo è njèbo ed è negativo nel suo n. L’uomo d’Occidente volge il suo sguardo verso l’alto, mentre il Russo fissa i lontani orizzonti. Occorre dunque vedere la differenza dell’impulso verso la profondità dell’uno e dell’altro nel fatto che nel primo esso è una passione di penetrare da ogni lato nello spazio infinito, nel secondo è un esteriorizzarsi fino a che l’elemento impersonale nell’uomo si faccia uno con la pianura senza fine…La mistica russa non ha nulla di quel fervore, proprio al gotico, a Rembrandt, a Beethoven, che si porta verso l’alto e che può svilupparsi fino ad un giubilo che invade il cielo. Qui Dio non è la profondità azzurra delle altezze. L’amore mistico russo è quello della pianura, quello verso fratelli che subiscono lo stesso giogo, sempre nella direzione terrestre; è quello per i poveri animali tormentati che vagano sulla terra,  per le piante, mai per gli uccelli, per le nubi e per le stelle[18].

Il cristianesimo russo-ortodosso è, dunque, per Spengler, un misticismo della Madre Terra, dell’immensa pianura, degli spazi sconfinati.

Fra Spengler e Steiner

Introduco qui alcune mie riflessioni. Questa pianura sconfinata è geograficamente -  e simbolicamente -  un ponte fra Oriente e Occidente. La Russia è una terra che sente storicamente il richiamo di Bisanzio, ossia dell’Impero Romano d’Oriente, come ho dimostrato nei miei contributi su Toynbee e su Zolla ed il loro modo di intendere l’anima russa e i suoi archetipi.

La Russia risente, però, anche di influssi spirituali e culturali spiccatamente orientali.

Un fenomeno che merita di essere osservato con attenzione è quello dell’attuale diffusione del buddhismo in Russia (di cui abbiamo testimonianze e riscontri anche qui in Italia presso i centri buddhisti frequentati dai russi provenienti direttamente dalla loro terra), particolarmente di quello tibetano che, nella sua iconografia e nel suo simbolismo, è segnato da figure luminose, da un senso di chiarità e di Luce spirituale che tradisce anche antiche influenze iraniche, come Filippani Ronconi ha evidenziato in Zarathustra e il Mazdeismo [19].

Questa “mistica della Luce” (adopero qui tale termine in un senso lato, non tecnico) si incontra necessariamente col misticismo della Madre Terra, con propensioni tipiche dell’anima slava.

È a questo punto che va considerata la previsione di Rudolf Steiner, secondo il quale in Russia rinascerà la religione di Zarathustra[20] , ossia una nuova mistica della Luce ed un nuovo sentimento del mondo, quello della lotta fra Luce e Tenebre nella storia, nella dimensione terrena, in forme adatte ad un ben diverso contesto storico, etnico e geografico rispetto a quello in cui maturò la riforma spirituale del Profeta iranico. Nella morfologia delle civiltà di Steiner la civiltà russa sarebbe la sesta civiltà – quella del futuro – dopo le prime cinque (Indiana, Iranica, Egizio-Caldaica-Babilonese, greco-romana, anglo-tedesca) che nel loro susseguirsi denotano una sorta di movimento pendolare da est ad ovest e poi di nuovo verso est. Una tale previsione sulla rinascita della religione di Zarathustra può avere una sua plausibilità ove si consideri appunto la posizione di ponte che la terra russa ha fra Oriente e Occidente e quindi simbolicamente di collegamento, di raccordo spirituale e culturale.

Il bolscevismo aveva significato, per un arco di 70 anni, una interruzione nella comunicazione spirituale fra Oriente e Occidente, un blocco materialistico, nel che può vedersi l’azione di influenze non meramente profane, secondo quella dimensione di profondità della storia che è tipica del “metodo tradizionale”di cui Evola ha parlato ampiamente in Rivolta contro il mondo moderno e sul quale chi scrive è tornato ampiamente ne I Misteri del Sole.

Un tale culto della Luce, ove un domani dovesse diffondersi, dovrà necessariamente innestarsi sul “sentimento della pianura” costitutivo dell’anima russa, per dirla con Spengler, e cogliere nella Madre Terra – la “Santa Madre Russia” – il teatro di una lotta fra Luce e Tenebre, fra Verità e Menzogna, fra elevazione dello spirito e demonìa della materia e dell’economia.

Si colgono, in definitiva, i primi segni premonitori – dal Buddhismo al rilancio dell’Ortodossia – dell’affiorare graduale di una nuova “forma spirituale” che ha profonde connessioni col risveglio del sentimento nazionale russo, di un forte senso delle proprie tradizioni e della propria identità che si esprime oggi nella linea politica di Putin e nel suo rilancio del ruolo di grande potenza della Russia, della sua proiezione mediterranea, del suo interagire e fare blocco con le nazioni del BRICS.

La stessa legislazione contraria alla propaganda dei gay, il rifiuto di Putin a dare i bambini russi in adozione alle coppie gay in Occidente, il forte richiamo alla tradizione religiosa russo-ortodossa, l’opposizione al “politicamente corretto”, sono tutti fatti politici sintomatici di un risveglio dell’anima russa, quella antica, interpretata e sentita da Dostoevskij.

I fatti politici, come diceva Spengler, vanno letti nella loro valenza simbolica, cogliendo i fermenti profondi di cui essi sono espressione e cercando d’intuire e anticipare le linee di tendenza che essi prefigurano.


[1] L’opera è del 1917 in prima edizione; la traduzione che ho consultato e studiato fa riferimento alla seconda edizione del 1923.

[2] O.Spengler, Il Tramonto dell’Occidente, Guanda, Parma, 1991, p. 653 ss.

[3] Id., op.cit., p. 89 ss.

[4] Id., op.cit., p.927.

[5] Id., op.cit., pp.927-928

[6] Id., op .cit., pp. 930-931.

[7] Id., op.cit., p.932.

[8] Id., op.cit., p.932.

[9] Id., op.cit., pp.932-933.

[10] Id., op.cit., p. 934.

[11] Id., op.cit., p.934.

[12] Id., op.cit., p. 936.

[13] Id., op.cit., p. 936

[14] Id., op.cit., p.936.

[15] Id., op.cit., p.937.

[16] Id., op.cit., p. 939.

[17] Id., op.cit., p.939.

[18] Id., op.cit., nt.178,  pp.1459-1460.

[19] P. Filippani Ronconi, Zarathustra  e il Mazdeismo, Irradiazioni, Roma, 2007.

[20] R. Steiner, Miti e Misteri dell’ Egitto rispetto alle forze spirituali attive nel presente, Antroposofica, Milano, 2000.

vendredi, 25 octobre 2013

Eurasian Union: Substance and the Subtext

EurasianUnion_6051.jpg

Eurasian Union: Substance and the Subtext


Ph.D., Professor of the School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, India.
 
Ex: http://www.geopolitica.ru
 

The Eurasian Union has come to the present stage in its evolution within a remarkably compressed time-frame. Although the idea was first mooted by the Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbaev in 1994, it hibernated for long years.[1] It was only in late 2011 that Vladimir Putin revived the idea; visualised it as one of the major centres of economic power alongside the EU, the US, China and APEC; and initiated the process of its implementation. In November 2011, the presidents of Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus signed an agreement to establish the Eurasian Economic Space (EES) that would graduate towards the Eurasian Union. The EES came into existence on 1 January 2012. The paper proposes to examine the origin of the idea and assess its implementation todate with an analysis of the substance and subtext of the organization.

Eurasian Union: The Origins

On 3 October 2011, Vladimir Putin published a signed article in the daily newspaper Izvestia titled “New Integration Project in Eurasia: Making the Future Today.” Putin was the Russian Prime Minister at that time and set to take over the Russian Presidency. The article can thus be interpreted as the assignment he set for himself in his second tenure. On the ground, the “Treaty on the Creation of a Union State of Russia and Belarus” already existed. The Treaty envisaged a federation between the two countries with a common constitution, flag, national anthem, citizenship, currency, president, parliament and army. On 26 January 2000, the Treaty came into effect after the due ratifications by the Russian Duma and the Belarus Assembly. It provided for political union of the two, creating a single political entity. Whether the Treaty laid down a proto Eurasian Union remains to be seen.

The European Union (EU) announcement in 2008 of its Eastern Partnership Programme (EPP) may also have inspired the Russian drive towards reintegration of the Eurasian space. The EPP was initiated to improve political and economic relations between the EU and six "strategic" post-Soviet states -- Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine -- in the core areas of democracy, the rule of law, human rights, the promotion of a market economy, and sustainable development.[2]  There was much debate over whether to include Belarus, whose authoritarian dictatorship disqualified it. The eventual invitation to Belarus was the concern over an excessive Russian influence in that country.

The US plan to deploy the NATO missile defence system in Poland and Czech Republic was already a source of concern for the Russians. China was emerging as a serious player in the region through its heavy investments in energy and infrastructure. The Russian determination to keep the post-Soviet states away from the US, the EU and China made the Eurasian project a priority in its foreign policy. The Treaty between Russia and Belarus intended to keep the latter into the Russian fold.[3]

 Eurasianism: The Idea

Eurasianism as an idea predates the Soviet Union. The Russian identity has been contested by the Occidentalists, the Slavophils and the Eurasianists. The latter claim Russia as the core of the Eurasian civilization. Today, the former Soviet states accept the Russian centrality but not the core-periphery division bet Russia and the rest.

Within Russia itself, the Eurasianists always considered the Soviet Union to be a Greater Russia. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Eurasian political project is to reunite the Russians from the former Soviet territories and ultimately to establish a Russian state for all the Russians. Aleksander Dugin is an ideologue and activist for neo-Eurasianism in Russia. His political activities are directed at restoring the Soviet space and unification of the Russian-speaking people. The South Ossetian President Eduard Kokoity is a sworn Eurasianist himself and eager to make his country a part of Russia.

Organization and Accomplishments

The Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC), the governing body of the EES is set up in Moscow for the time being. Kazakhstan has already staked its claim to host its permanent headquarters. The formula under which the 350-member body would be filled allots Russians 84 percent of staff, the Kazakhs 10 percent and the Belarusians a mere 6 percent. The formula has been worked out on the basis of the population in the three countries. The expenses towards accommodation and infrastructure would be borne by Russia.

The EEC will be eligible to make decisions with regard to customs policies, as also the issues relating to macroeconomics, regulation of economic competition, energy policy, and financial policy. The Commission will also be involved in government procurement and labour migration control.[4] The right of the EEC to sign contracts on behalf of all of them is contested.

The Supreme Eurasian Union Council will be the apex body of the group. The vice- premiers of the three countries would be leading their countries’ delegations in this body. There are differing opinions on the powers of its apex body.

Eurasian Union is an economic grouping. Its objective is to expand markets and rebuild some of the manufacturing chains destroyed by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The Customs Union of Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus had set the process toward this goal and the Eurasian Union is a continuation of the same process.[5]

The EEC has made some progress, in the meantime. It has simplified the trade rules, eliminated border customs and facilitated free movement of goods, services and capital. It has also encouraged migration of labour among its signatories. The trade among the three is estimated to have gone up by forty percent last year alone. Russia has benefitted from cheaper products and labour force from the rest of the two and several hundred Russian enterprises have re-registered in Kazakhstan to avail cheaper tax rates. Kazakhs and Belarusians have found a large market for their products in Russia.

Major hurdles still remain. A common currency has not been agreed to. The pace of economic integration is yet another point of debate among the three. Belarus would not be comfortable with market integration, which would require economic reforms. Eventually, the economic reforms could lead to political reforms and even changes in political system. Belarus is least prepared for such an eventuality.

Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan         

Within Russia, the Eurasianism still holds an appeal; and not just among the marginal groups. The Eurasian Union is perceived as an expression of Eurasianism that would lead to the state of Russia for all Russians. There are calls to invite countries like Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Finland and even China and Mongolia to join the Eurasian Union. At the leadership level, Putin may also prefer ruling over an expanded space encompassing the entire or most of the former Soviet territory.

The Russian raison d’état for the Eurasian Union cannot be traced to such feelings alone. The missionary zeal to reach out to the neighbours involves subsidizing them. As a general rule, economic integration must necessarily involve mutual benefits for all the parties - even when the benefits are not in equal measure. An economic arrangement does not only eliminate tariffs and other restrictive trade barriers among the signatories, it also formulates and implements tariffs and trade barriers against the non-signatories. Facilitating trade among themselves and restricting trade with the outsiders is the dual track of any economic group. 

As regional integration proceeds in much of the world (not just through the EU but also via NAFTA, ASEAN and Washington’s proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership, among others), the post-Soviet space remains largely on the sidelines. A lack of horizontal trading links and isolation from global markets contribute to the region’s persistent underdevelopment. By reorienting members’ economies to focus on the post-Soviet space, a Eurasian Union would create new barriers between member states and the outside world.[6] Russia is particularly worried about the Chinese forays into its neighbourhood. And the EU Eastern Partnership Programme threatens to encroach into the space that Moscow considers its own sphere of influence.

A second powerful reason for Russia to reach out to its neighbours is that the neighbours are steadily making Russia their home. The influx of migrants from the former Soviet territories has generated a lot of resentment and will soon become a serious political issue. In the circumstances, helping to improve the economic situation beyond the Russian borders and assimilate the new arrivals in a common citizenship is being considered. The then president Dmitry Medvedev explicitly linked the issue of immigrants to the expansion of the state borders. He spoke of the time when the giant state had to comprise different nationalities that created “Soviet People”. "We should not be shy when bringing back the ideas of ethnic unity. Yes, we are all different but we have common values and a desire to live in a single big state," he said.[7]

Russia is not single-mindedly committed to the Eurasian Union. It has initiated and nurtured several other multi-lateral organizations and become a member of scores of others initiated by others. The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) consisting of Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan[8] is one such. So is the Commonwealth of Independent States comprising most of the post-Soviet countries. It is a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization that is clearly a China-led group. The Quadrilateral Forum comprising Russia, Tajikistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan is a Russian project.

It has not shied away from making deals with the EU, either. In 2003, it entered into an agreement with the EU to create four common spaces: 1. of freedom, security and justice; 2. cooperation in the field of external security; 3. economy; and 4. research, education and cultural exchange. Since the formalisation of the Customs Union, Putin has insisted that the EU formalise its relations with the Customs Union before a new basic treaty between the EU and Russia could be formalised. At the EU-Russia Summit in June 2012, he also sought the EU support for the Kazakh and Belarusian bids to join the WTO.[9]

Kazakhstan has formulated and pursued a “multivector” foreign policy since independence. It seeks good relations with its two large neighbours as also with the West. Its operational idiom, therefore, is “diversify, diversify and diversify”.

Its relations with the US are centred on counter-terrorism. In Central Asia, it is now the most favoured US partner in the war on terror. It has welcomed the US-sponsored New Silk Road. The Aktau Sea port is expected to emerge as the capital city on this cross-Caspian Road as the central point for transportation, regional educational cooperation and tourism. The Transportation and Logistics Centre is being developed in the city. Aktau hopes to play a role within the New Silk Road that Samarkand played in the Old Silk Road.[10]

Its relations with Europe are as good. Its bilateral cooperation with the EU dates back to 1999, when it entered into the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement with it. The European Commission has agreed to support its application for membership of the WTO. On 1 January 2010, Kazakhstan became the first post-Soviet state to assume the chairmanship of the 56-member Vienna-based Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. Its trade with the EU accounts for as much as the trade of all the Central Asian countries put together. France has a trade agreement with it that is worth $2 billion under which France would help build a space station and cooperate on nuclear development.

It is its close ties – in fact, too close ties – with China that explains its active membership of the Eurasian Union. China’s presence in the country is pervasive. In 2005, the Asatu-Alashanku oil pipeline between the two countries went into use. The second stage of the same from Kenkyiak to Kumkol is already in works. A gas pipeline is being discussed. In the same year, China bought Petrokazakhstan that was the former Soviet Union’s largest independent oil company. At $4.18 billion, it was the largest foreign purchase ever by a Chinese company. In 2009, it gained a stake in the MangistauMunaiGas, a subsidiary of the KazMunaiGas, which is the Kazakh national upstream and downstream operator representing the interests of the state in the petroleum sector. Even as economic ties get stronger, there could be a point of friction between the two regarding the Uighur-based East Turkestan Islamic Movement in the Xinjiang province of China. There are 180,000 Kazakhs of Uighur descent, which is a source of discomfort to China.

Belarus is a landlocked country and dependent on Russia for import of raw materials and export to the foreign markets. Its dependence on Russia is aggravated by the fact that the US has passed the “Belarus Democracy Act”, which authorizes funding for pro-democracy Belarusian NGOs and prevents loans to the government. The EU has imposed a visa ban on its president Alexander Lukashenko. Even as the Belarus’s dependence on Russia is overwhelming, their bilateral relations have gone through severe frictions. In 2004, there was a gas dispute as Russia stopped the gas supply for six months before a compromise on the price was worked out.

In 2009, the two fought what has come to be called “milk wars”. Moscow banned import of Belarusian dairy products, claiming that they did not meet Russian packaging standards, a non-tariff measure allowed under the common customs code. The disagreement cost Belarus approximately $1 billion. The real problem was that Belarusian farmers were heavily subsidized, meaning that the cost of milk production in Belarus was substantially lower than that in Russia. As a result, Russian dairy producers were on the verge of bankruptcy and looked to their government for support. In response to Russian action, Belarus introduced a ban on the purchase of Russian agricultural machinery, accusing Russia of not providing leasing for Belarusian tractors (a major source of income for Belarus).[11]

Destination Ukraine?

Ukraine is the raison d’être for the entire Eurasian project, according to many. “Once past the verbal hype, it becomes clear that in fact it [Eurasian Union] has nothing to do with Eurasia and has everything to do with a single country, which, incidentally, is situated in Europe of all places: Ukraine,” according to an analyst.[12] Its key task is to draw Kiev into the integration project.

The primary reason for Russian stake in Ukraine is the Ukraine-Russia-Turkmen gas pipeline. Till the break-up of the Soviet Union, it was a domestic grid. Today, the gas trade between Turkmenistan, Russia and Ukraine is not just a commercial proposition, but an illustration of triangular dependencies of the three countries. The key issues in terms of transit are that all Turkmenistan’s gas exports outside Central Asia pass through Russia, which puts the latter in complete control of around three-quarters of Turkmenistan’s exports. Russia’s position vis-à-vis Ukraine is extremely vulnerable in that more than ninety percent of its gas exports to Europe pass through that country.

Thus, Ukraine is the transit point as well as the choke point of the Turkmen and Russian exports. It has also been a leaking point of the deliveries. In early 1990s, there were serious disruptions as Ukraine pilfered the gas for its own domestic use. Since then the gas deliveries have become an important issue in the political and security relationship between Russia and Ukraine, having featured in the package of agreements which have included issues such as the future of the Black Sea Fleet and Ukrainian nuclear weapons. There was a serious stand-off between the two in 2009, when the Russians cut off natural gas supplies to Ukraine over price dispute. A compromise was reached only after Ukraine agreed to pay more for the gas that was, till then, subsidised.[13]

The second most important Russian stake in Ukraine is that Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula hosts a Russian navy base whose lease term was extended for twenty-five years in 2010 by a special agreement between Presidents Dmitry Medvedev and Viktor Yanukovych, despite an unresolved gas dispute. This facility provides Moscow with strategic military capabilities in an area that Russia once considered crucial for the security of its southwestern borders and its geopolitical influence near the “warm seas.”[14] In return for the extension of the lease, Russia agreed to a thirty percent drop in the price of natural gas it sold to Ukraine.

A third reason for Russian interest in Ukraine could be that the latter represents a promising market of 45 million potential consumers, in the context where Russia seeks to diversify its own economy and export destinations.

Russian diplomacy to retain control over Ukraine and the US diplomacy to extend its control over the same have repeatedly to come to a clash. Till recently, Ukraine was pointedly excluded from both the EU and the NATO expansions[15]; as also from the list of possible invitees. Since the “Orange Revolution”, the situation has radically changed. How the energy pipeline politics plays out in the changed circumstances remains to be seen.

For its part, Ukraine has not closed its options between the EU and the Eurasian Union. Its prime minister Mykola Azarov, speaking at a meeting to discuss “Ukraine at the Crossroads: The EU and/or the Eurasian Union: Benefits and Challenges” said, “Ukraine has never contrasted one economic organization with the other and we cannot do that from many points of view. We are in ‘between’ and we must have friends both here and there.”[16]

Conclusions

There is no Eurasian Union todate. And yet, it has been the subject of intense scholarly scrutiny as also of prescriptive analysis. Its future membership, the direction of its evolution and the gamut of its activities must remain speculative in the meanwhile.

In lieu of the final conclusions, some tentative recapitulation of the above is in order. The Russians aim to retain the former Soviet space within their own sphere of influence, seeking to diminish the US, Chinese and the EU presence out of it to the extent possible. The Kazakhs are keeping all their options open: seeking a central role in the US-sponsored war on terror and the New Silk Road, permitting pervasive Chinese presence in their economy, promoting bilateral and institutional ties with the EU, and becoming a member of the Eurasian Union. “Diversify” is the name of the Kazakh game. Belarus is landlocked and dependent on Russia for its trade exports and imports, and the Belarus president is persona non grata in much of the West. Under the circumstances, the Eurasian Union is a solution to much of its problems.

Ukraine has signed a Memorandum of Understanding on trade cooperation with Eurasian Economic Commission. Much will depend on whether and when Ukraine decides to join the Eurasian Union.

Published in Journal of Eurasian Affairs


[1] The Kazakh people like to point out that Kazakhstan’s president Nursultan Nazabaev was the first leader to propose the Eurasian Union in 1994. Chinara Esengul, “Regional Cooperation”, March 27, 2012. http://www.asiapathways-adbi.org/2012/03/does-the-eurasian-union-have-a-future/

[2] Kambiz Behi and Daniel Wagner, “Russia’s Growing Economic Influence in Europe and beyond”,  23 July 2012. 

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/kambiz-behi/russias-growing-economic-influence_b_1696304.html

[3]  On 30 September 2011, Belarus withdrew from the EU initiative citing discrimination and substitution of the founding principles. Three days thereafter, it refuted its decision to withdraw. The EU-Russia competition was obviously at work in quick turnarounds in Belarusian position.

[4] Retrieved from news.mail.ru and kremlin.ru in Russian. Quoted in Wikipedia, “Eurasian Union”.

[5] The Customs Union came into existence on 1 January 2010. Removing the customs barriers among them, the countries took the first step towards economic integration.

[6]Jeffrey Mankoff, “What a Eurasian Union Means for Washington”, National Interest  http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/what-eurasian-union-means-washington-6821

[7] Gleb Bryanski, “Putin, Medvedev Praise Values of the Soviet Union”, Reuters, 17 November 2011,  http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/11/17/idINIndia-60590820111117   

[8] In June 2012, Uzbekistan decided to suspend its membership of the CSTO.

[9] http://www.euractiv.com/europes-east/putin-promotes-eurasian-union-eu-news-513123 “Putin Promotes Eurasian Union at the EU Summit”, 5 June 2012

[11] Behi and Wagner, n. 2

[12] Fyodor Lukyanov, gazeta.ru. 17 September 2012. Quoted in http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/russianow/opinion/9548428/eurasian-union-explanation.html   

[13] The Ukrainian prime minister at that time, Yulia Tomashenko, has since been sentenced to seven years in prison for abusing the authority and signing the deal.

[14]  Georgiy Voloshin, “Russia’s Eurasian Union: A Bid for Hegemony?”, http://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/russias-eurasian-union-a-bid-for-hegemony-4730

[15] Putin was reported to have declared at the NATO-Russian Summit in 2008 that if Ukraine were to join the NATO, he would consider annexing the Eastern Ukraine and Crimea in retaliation.

 

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mardi, 22 octobre 2013

Vers un chasseur russo-brésilien?

Su-3511.jpg

Résilience de la NSA ...

Vers un chasseur russo-brésilien?

Ex: http://www.dedefensa.org

Ce qui paraît à la fois logique et inévitable depuis le début des sidérantes aventures de la NSA au Brésil, révélées par Greenwald & Cie, se concrétise. Les premiers jalons sont posés pour une éventuelle coopération entre le Brésil et la Russie pour un avion de combat, disons russo-brésilien, qui pourrait être considéré à partir de l’hypothèse d’un développement du modèle russe de cinquième génération (le Soukhoi T-50, programme russe avec déjà une coopération indienne), ou d’une extrapolation de ce programme. La chose (l’exploration d’une coopération) a été dévoilée après une rencontre entre le ministre russe de la défense et le ministre brésilien de la défense. Le ministre russe a fait une visite fructueuse en Amérique du Sud, continent d’ores et déjà antiaméricaniste où la Russie voudrait renforcer ses ventes stratégiques d’armement. De façon plus concrète pour un autre domaine, la rencontre au Brésil devrait déboucher sur la finalisation, début 2014, d’un contrat entre le Brésil et la Russie pour un ensemble de missiles sol-air pour une valeur annoncée de un $milliard, avec transfert de technologies.

Pour ce qui concerne l’avion de combat, une dépêche AFP du 16 octobre 2013 dit ceci, en y ajoutant un cas hors-domaine où un geste des Russes pourrait faire avancer le dossier : «Brazil said Wednesday it hopes to develop state-of-the-art combat aircraft with Russia, and purchase surface-to-air missile batteries from Moscow. [...] “We are very interested in discussing projects relating to fifth generation (combat) aircraft with new partners,” Defense Minister Celso Amorim told reporters after talks here with his Russian counterpart Sergei Shoigu. “The issue was mentioned as a basis for discussion, but it is for the medium term.” [...]

» [Shoigu] stop in Brazil also coincides with Rousseff pressing for the release of a Brazilian biologist detained in Russia along with 29 other Greenpeace activists after protesting Arctic oil drilling. Ana Paula Maciel was one of 30 activists from 18 countries arrested by Russia in late September and charged with piracy after authorities said they had found “narcotic substances” on the Dutch-flagged Arctic Sunrise, used in their protest.»

La même dépêche mentionne évidemment le contrat actuellement en cours, pour 36 avions de combat pour le Brésil, dits de “quatrième génération”. (Ce concept de “générations” est douteux dans sa signification opérationnelle. Son développement argumentaire constitue plus une manœuvre de relations publiques des USA d’il y a quelques années, pour verrouiller le JSF dans la présentation de son exceptionnalité supposée. L’exceptionnalité du JSF est d’ores et déjà admise, dans le domaine de la catastrophe technologique proche de l’impasse bien entendu, mais le mythe de la “génération” comme facteur rupturiel de progrès survit, de la quatrième des chasseurs actuels à la cinquième des chasseurs nouveaux “du futur”. L’argument de RP s’insère du fait de la catastrophe-JSF dans l’image d’un mythe de plus en plus érodé et de plus en plus contestable, cela dans un contexte de mise en cause générale de la fiabilité fondamentale de l’avancement technologique à ce stade, voire d'une impasse pure et simple du technologisme.)

Le contrat 36 avions/4ème génération a connu bien des vicissitudes. Le Rafale était en 2009 un énorme favori, quasiment choisi selon une cohérence française stratégique prometteuse où même la Russie était incluse (voir le 4 septembre 2009) ; il devint bientôt un favori perdu et sans doute sans plus aucune chance à cause de l’effondrement du sens stratégique indépendant de la France (voir le 24 mai 2011). Le F-18 lui a succédé comme favori, selon la logique habituelle des pressions US sur une nouvelle présidente (Rousseff), soucieuse d’améliorer ses relations avec les USA. Tout cela été pulvérisé par la crise Snowden/NSA, touchant d’abord directement le F-18 (voir le 13 août 2013), puis, d’une façon radicale, les relations du Brésil avec les USA (voir le 25 septembre 2013).

... Ainsi tiendra-t-on les assurances du ministre brésilien de la défense sur la poursuite de ce contrat plutôt comme un vœu pieux de l’establishments militaire brésilien que comme une prévision assurée. D’ailleurs, la partie américaniste, comme indiqué également ci-dessous, ne prend plus de gants pour signifier sa position désespérée.

«Amorim said he hoped the fourth-generation aircraft bidding process would be “finalized soon.” But Boeing's bid to win the contract appears to have been damaged by reports of extensive US spying on Brazil. The allegations, based on documents leaked by fugitive US intelligence analyst Edward Snowden, led President Dilma Rousseff to cancel a state visit to Washington, putting Boeing's bid on hold, Boeing Brazil chief Donna Hrinak said last week. “The postponement of the visit means that any progress about the issue (aircraft contract) was also postponed,” Hrinak, a former US ambassador to Brazil, said during a seminar on the Brazilian economy.»

En effet, la perspective de ce contrat 36 avions de combat/quatrième génération nous paraît extrêmement réduite. Elle est aujourd’hui réduite de facto au seul Gripen si l’on tient compte de l’effondrement successif probable des offres Rafale et F-18. Un tel achat d’un avion suédois tenu par des contraintes US draconiennes interdisant tout transfert de technologies sur près de 50% de l’avion (moteurs et électronique sont US) n’a plus guère de sens politique ni industriel dans le contexte actuel, alors que le Brésil est dans une position socio-économique tendue, avec une agitation de rue qui rend impopulaire toute dépense publique qui n’est pas vitale. Bien entendu, le climat politique général (la Suède est dans le bloc BAO et sous obédience US affirmée) est un facteur très important allant contre ce choix. Bref, c’est tout le marché des 36 avions de combat/quatrième génération, entièrement appuyé sur des offres du bloc BAO alors qu’il était au départ diversifié par la perception d’une stratégie française indépendante, qui est menacé d'effondrement par la politique du bloc BAO.

La démarche russe a ainsi tout son sens et sa logique, et la probabilité est que le contexte politique va pousser au développement de l’examen du projet envisagé, sinon à son accélération, le moyen terme pouvant notablement se raccourcir. Le vrai problème est d’ordre de la politique industrielle. Le programme russe de cinquième génération, le T-50, est largement orienté vers une coopération avec l’Inde, avec les transferts de technologie qui vont avec, et déjà largement avancé. Le Brésil pourrait-il s’y insérer ? Pourrait-on envisager une version spéciale de coopération pour le Brésil, ou une coopération à deux passant à trois ? La politique dit “oui”, d’autant qu’il s’agit de trois pays-BRICS et que la Russie veut donner une dimension stratégique au BRICS. Les domaines industriel et technologique, avec une bureaucratisation touchant parfois à la paralysie (surtout dans le cas de l’Inde) suggèrent bien plus de réserves alors qu’un tel domaine de la coopération à ce niveau nécessite une très grande souplesse. Plus encore, les problèmes fondamentaux de blocage technologique des projets avancés, illustré magnifiquement par le JSF, jettent une ombre universelle sur tous les projets de cet ordre. Quoi qu’il en soit, il reste que la question est non seulement posée mais ouverte.

Elle est aussi ouverte que la question précédente semble se fermer. La question qui concernait la pénétration stratégique du Brésil par un pays occidental au travers du contrat de quatrième génération actuellement en discussion, semble effectivement avoir obtenu une réponse catastrophique. L’orientation politique des pays concernés ayant évolué vers le standard bloc BAO, on a pu mesurer la profondeur de la catastrophe de la politique française avec Sarkozy à partir de 2009/2010, avec Hollande suivant fidèlement ces traces. Il n’y a guère de commentaire à faire devant l’évidence du constat, sinon à observer une fois de plus que l’“intelligence française” est capable d’accoucher en période de basses eaux son double inverti absolument radical, dans le chef de l’aveuglement et de la fermeture de l’esprit. Quant à la partie américaniste, l’aventure en cours de la désintégration de la NSA, avec ses effets collatéraux colossaux dont celui du Brésil est le fleuron, ne fait que confirmer dans le sens du bouquet de la chose la constance d’un aveuglement qui doit tout, lui, à la sottise profonde d’une politique US de brute force malgré les atours du soft power dont elle prétend se parer (voir le 9 octobre 2013).

Cette affaire des chasseurs brésiliens est exemplaire, quatrième et cinquième générations confondues, ou même sixième pour les experts rêveurs qui pensent, les braves gens pleins d’espoir, à la situation d’ici 10-15 ans... Elle est exemplaire de l’effondrement de la politique de la civilisation occidentale prise comme un bloc (bloc BAO), et dans un temps incroyablement court. Elle est exemplaire aussi de l’affirmation diversifiée et très puissante, et aussi rapide, des pays qu’on a peine à qualifier encore d’“émergents”, notamment les BRICS, et la Russie et la Brésil dans ce cas, dans ce cadre spécifique des renversements politiques. Elle est exemplaire enfin, – cela ne peut être dissimulé car c’est finalement le principal, – de la rapide détérioration de tous les attributs de la “contre-civilisation”, que ce soit les conditions stratégiques, le technologisme, les conditions courantes de la “gouvernance”, etc., et cela aux dépens des principaux producteurs de la chose (le bloc BAO) mais aussi des autres (y compris les BRICS), l’ensemble du monde étant simplement confronté à la réalité terrible d’un effondrement civilisationnel sans aucun précédent historique dans son ampleur et sa rapidité.

lundi, 21 octobre 2013

La geopolítica rusa del siglo 21

por Alfredo Jalife-Rahme

Ex: http://paginatransversal.wordpress.com

La Jornada, Bajo la Lupa – Entre los prominentes invitados al seminario internacional del Centro de Estudios de la Transición/Centro de Estudios Geoestratégicos de la UAM-X estuvo Sivkov Konstantin Valentinovich, primer vicepresidente de la Academia de Problemas Geopolíticos y doctor en ciencias militares.

Konstantin es segundo de a bordo de Leonid Ivashov, anterior jefe del departamento de asuntos generales en el Ministerio de Defensa de la URSS. Cobra mayor relieve su postura a raíz del triunfo diplomático de Rusia en Siria (ver Bajo la Lupa, 22/9/13).

Ivashov es muy conocido en los multimedia internacionales y sus puntos de vista suelen ser polémicos (v.gr. el terrorismo internacional no existe: su despliegue beneficia a la oligarquía global) y considera que mientras el imperio de Estados Unidos se encuentra al borde del colapso, corresponde a los BRICS la misión de reconfigurar el mundo (Réseau Voltaire, 15/6/11).

De la ponencia de Konstantin, La geopolítica de la URSS y Rusia, me enfocaré en la parte de Rusia.

A su juicio, la lucha geopolítica global basada en la ideología fue cambiada a la confrontación de civilizaciones: la civilización occidental (euro-estadunidense) confronta las civilizaciones ortodoxa, islámica, confuciana (china). Resalta la similitud con la tesis huntingtoniana del choque de civilizaciones que lleva a la inevitabilidad del conflicto de la civilización occidental con el resto (del planeta).

Identifica cuatro de los más importantes factores al desarrollo de la geopolítica mundial:

1. Formación intensiva de un único sistema mundial de poder dominado por EEUU.

2. Intenso crecimiento poblacional y presión al ecosistema por consumismo occidental.

3. Desequilibrio global industrial y de materias primas: el mayor potencial industrial se concentra en EEUU/Europa/Japón, mientras los recursos de materias primas se concentran en Rusia y en los países del tercer mundo, y

4. El carácter independiente de las trasnacionales como sujeto geopolítico

La activación de los cuatro actores genera una crisis global por la contradicción entre el consumismo y la escasez de materias primas. Define a Rusia como una entidad geopolítica cuya base es Eurasia.

Su inmenso potencial intelectual, su posición del centro euroasiático y su potencial militar significativo pone en duda la durabilidad del modelo unidireccional sin remover (sic) a Rusia como sujeto de la geopolítica” a la que habría que demoler como a su antecesora URSS.

Arguye que la etapa más lúgubre de la historia de Rusia en la década de los 90 del siglo 20 (nota: la era entreguista Yeltsin) encontró a la élite política rusa bajo el control total (¡supersic!) de EEUU.

Ocurre el desmantelamiento científico de Rusia y la privatización de sus joyas geoestratégicas, llegando hasta el asesinato de sus principales científicos, mientras las principales empresas de petróleo/gas e infraestructura de transporte acabaron en manos de compradores (sic) domésticos y trasnacionales.

Así la geopolítica de Rusia operó bajo el control directo de los servicios de espionaje de EEUU: capitulación total. ¡Uf!

Peor aún: el liderazgo ruso fomentó la de-sintegración interna. Pero no contaron con la resistencia oculta de los bajos niveles de la jerarquía y las protestas de la población que hicieron fracasar el esquema desintegrativo que permitió la llegada al poder de Putin, con su equipo proveniente de las fuerzas armadas y los servicios de seguridad, como nuevo estadio de la geopolítica rusa.

Considera que el fracaso de las campañas de Irak y Afganistán, la liberación de Sudamérica de la hegemonía de EEUU, en particular Venezuela, y el fracaso de la operación (¡supersic!) Primavera Árabe, debilitaron la influencia de EEUU en Rusia cuando Occidente exhibió sus pies de barro.

Rusia se libera así de su subordinación a los dictados de EEUU en la esfera de la geopolítica global y comienza un regreso suave a los principios de la geopolítica soviética, pero con diferentes bases conceptuales e ideológicas.

Juzga que los instrumentos más importantes de la influencia geopolítica rusa fueron creados con el único plan de una red de oleo/gasoductos.

A partir de la derrota de EEUU en Irak, Rusia operó un acercamiento con China cuando estableció sus tres proyectos geopolíticos exitosos: el Grupo de Shanghai, los BRICS y la Unión Euroasiática. El Grupo de Shanghai genera el espacio euroasiático de Bielorrusia a China mediante una unión económica.

Los BRICS han cortado en términos económicos el asa Anaconda (nota: del nombre de la ominosa serpiente constrictora más grande del mundo) rompiendo una profunda brecha en el sistema de zonas, la influencia de EEUU que cubre a Rusia.

En una entrevista a Pravda.ru (15/9/11), Konstantin explica el significado del cerco a Rusia por EEUU y su despliegue misilístico en la periferia inmediata rusa, parte del proyecto Anaconda: Rusia es todavía percibida por EEUU como el principal adversario estratégico y su tarea consiste en neutralizar las armas nucleares de Rusia y empujarlo fuera de las principales áreas de los océanos mundiales, aun del mar Negro.

La Unión Euroasiática (Rusia, Bielorrusia y Kazajstán) cubre 85 por ciento del territorio de la ex URSS y es el precursor de mayor integración en el espacio postsoviético.

Rusia se pronuncia por la multipolaridad, en cooperación particular con Europa continental que desea sacudirse la hegemonía de EEUU.

Juzga que los cambios tectónicos en la geopolítica global asociados a la transferencia del centro económico de gravedad a la región Asia/Pacífico, sumado de la crisis financiera occidental, implican la inevitabilidad de una seria reorganización del panorama geopolítico, acoplado con la amenaza de conflictos militares de gran escala (sic).

Aduce que el triunfo presidencial de Putin significó una fuerte derrota para las fuerzas occidentales internas en Rusia, lo cual disminuyó considerablemente su impacto en la geopolítica rusa, ya que el control occidental del país es un factor crítico para la restauración y conservación de la dominación del mundo por Occidente.

Los vectores prioritarios de la geopolítica rusa: 1. Al oeste: desarrollo de relaciones igualitarias con Europa y normalización de relaciones con EEUU, para prevenir el desliz a una nueva guerra fría. 2. Al sur: la zona del Cáucaso, medioriente y noráfrica, donde Rusia aspira a normalizar la situación militar y política y frenar los conflictos militares, sobre todo en Siria (¡supersic!) 3. En Sudamérica (nota: no Norteamérica ni Centroamérica: desarrollo de relaciones económicas), y 4. En Asia: el más importante hoy (¡supersic!) para Rusia donde se compromete a un mayor reforzamiento de buenas relaciones con sus grandes vecinos China e India, Vietnam, las dos (sic) Coreas, y la normalización de relaciones con Japón.

Llama la atención que Konstantin no haya citado la invasión de Georgia a Osetia del Sur y la vigorosa respuesta rusa que, a mi juicio, cambió dramáticamente al mundo (El mundo cambió en el Cáucaso; Bajo la Lupa, 20/8/08).

Ahora al unísono de Rusia, la misma serpiente constrictora Anaconda ha reaparecido en el océano Pacífico, donde tiene en la mira a la apetecible China, muy difícil de digerir.

Fuente: alfredojalife.com

Twitter: @AlfredoJalife

Facebook: AlfredoJalife

Kopp online 319

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Nr. 319 vom 17.10.2013

Crash-Gefahr in den USA steigt: die Hintergründe

Redaktion

Die Einigung der Politik in den USA auf eine neue Schuldenobergrenze wurde weltweit erleichtert kommentiert. Dieses Theater jedoch ist für objektive Betrachter nicht nachzuvollziehen. Denn das Problem wurde nicht aufgeschoben, sondern sogar noch verschlimmert.

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Geopolitische Kräfteverlagerung: Russland sucht Handel und Investitionen mit China

F. William Engdahl

Während sich die meisten Medien im Westen auf den Fortschritt bei den Gesprächen über die dubiose, von den USA unterstützte Transpazifische Partnerschaft (TPP) zur Liberalisierung des Handels konzentrieren - China ist von den Verhandlungen ausgeschlossen -, zeigt man sich darüber in China nicht allzu betrübt. Denn zurzeit werden Investitionen und Handelsbeziehungen im und zum Nachbarland Russland, dem ehemaligen Gegner im Kalten Krieg, stark ausgeweitet. Die auf den ersten Blick unspektakulären Vereinbarungen deuten auf eine tektonische geopolitische Verschiebung hin, die dem Westen, vor allem den USA, noch zu schaffen machen wird.

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dimanche, 20 octobre 2013

The ceremonial changing of the Guard at the Kremlin, Russia

 

The ceremonial changing of the Guard at the Kremlin, Russia

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Entretien avec Aymeric Chauprade sur la Russie

aymchau.jpg

"Si la Russie court derrière le modèle occidental, elle sera toujours en retard"

Aymeric Chauprade bonjour, pourriez-vous vous présenter aux lecteurs de RIA-Novosti qui ne vous connaîtraient pas?

Je suis géopolitologue. Une formation scientifique d'abord (mathématiques) puis de sciences politiques (docteur) et dix années titulaire de la Chaire de géopolitique de l'Ecole de Guerre à Paris, entre 1999 et 2009. J'ai aussi enseigné la géopolitique et l'histoire des idées politiques en France à la Sorbonne et en Suisse à l'Université de Neuchâtel.

Je suis maintenant également consultant international et très heureux de travailler de plus en plus avec la Russie. Mais je suis également souvent en Amérique Latine et j'ai des réseaux africains développés.

Vous êtes considéré comme l’un des fondateurs de la nouvelle géopolitique française, pluridisciplinaire, attentive à décrire le « continu et le discontinu » dans l’analyse des questions internationales, pourriez vous expliquer aux lecteurs de RIA-Novosti ce qu’il en est exactement?

Je me rattache au courant dit réaliste qui tient compte de la force des facteurs de la géographie physique, identitaire et des ressources, dans l'analyse des relations internationales. Mais pour autant, je ne néglige pas les facteurs idéologiques. Ils viennent en combinaison des facteurs classiques de la géopolitique que j'évoquais à l'instant à savoir les déterminants liés à l'espace, aux hommes dans leur identité culturelle (ethnie, religion...), et à la quête des ressources. J'insiste sur la multicausalité (il n'y a pas de cause unique mais chaque situation est la combinaison unique, un peu comme l'ADN d'une personne, d'une multiplicité de facteurs déterminants) et sur la multidisciplinarité (je refuse l'idée que ma matière, la géopolitique, puisse rendre compte à elle seule de la complexité de l'histoire ; attention au "tout géopolitique", au "tout économique" ou "tout sociologique"). La tentation de tout expliquer par sa discipline, comme le font beaucoup les sociologues aujourd'hui, est une dérive née de l'hyperspécialisation qui nous éloigne de l'époque des savants généralistes, ces savants du XVIe siècle qui étaient à la fois philosophes, mathématiciens et souvent hommes de lettres!

Quant au "continu et au discontinu" c'est ce souci qui me vient de ma première formation scientifique de séparer la dimension continue et même parfois linéaire des phénomènes, de leur dimension discontinue et parfois erratique. Il faut savoir suivre les courbes des facteurs de temps long (la démographie par exemple) mais il faut aussi savoir lire les discontinuités, les sauts, de l'Histoire.

Vous avez le mois dernier été invité au prestigieux Forum Valdaï, cofondé par RIA-Novosti. Pourriez-vous nous faire part de vos impressions sur ce forum?

D'abord j'ai été très honoré de figurer parmi les nouveaux invités du Forum de Valdaï. Ce fut une expérience véritablement passionnante. Les débats sont de qualité, l'organisation rigoureuse. C'est une sorte de Davos russe mais avec une différence notable : il n'y a pas de pensée unique mondialiste unanimement partagée. Des sensibilités différentes sont représentées. Si l'on voulait simplifier d'un côté, les Occidentalistes qui, Russes ou Occidentaux, célèbrent le "modèle démocratique occidental", essentiellement américain et considèrent que celui-ci doit être l'horizon vers lequel doit tendre la société russe, et de l'autre côté, les partisans d'un modèle original russe, dont je fais partie, bien que n'étant pas russe, qui considèrent que la Russie n'est pas seulement une nation, mais une civilisation, dont la profondeur historique est telle qu'elle permet de proposer aux Russes un modèle original. A Valdai, j'ai beaucoup entendu les Occidentalistes se lamenter du fait que la Russie était encore loin des standards occidentaux, à cause d'un prétendu déficit démocratique et d'une forte corruption. Je n'idéalise pas la Russie sous Poutine qui travaille d'arrache-pied au redressement de ce pays depuis 13 ans ; j'en mesure les maux mais je dis simplement que lorsque l'on parle de corruption il faudrait premièrement rappeler que les indicateurs de mesure sont faits pour l'essentiel par les Occidentaux, et les Américains en particulier, ce qui n'est pas une assurance d'objectivité, et deuxièmement s'intéresser non seulement à la corruption de l'Occident lui-même mais à son fort pouvoir corrupteur dans les pays en voie de développement!

Par ailleurs je considère que si la Russie court derrière le modèle occidental, elle sera toujours en retard. Bien au contraire, un pays qui a su pousser si loin la création artistique et scientifique, me paraît plus que capable de proposer un contre-modèle, lequel ne devra pas être fondé sur la toute puissance de l'individualisme, mais au contraire sur l'âme russe, sur la dimension spirituelle de ce pays. Il faut faire attention à une chose : le communisme, comme rouleau compresseur de l'esprit critique et de la dimension spirituelle de l'homme, a été un préparateur redoutable pour le projet de marchandisation de l'homme que propose l'individualisme américain.

Je suis convaincu que le retour à la Sainte Russie, au contraire, peut être un formidable réveil du génie créateur russe, qui seul lui permettra de reconstruire, au-delà des hydrocarbures et d'autres secteurs, une économie performante et innovatrice.

La question de l’identité a été extrêmement discutée et le président russe a utilisé une rhétorique eurasiatique pour parler de l’Etat Civilisation russe, pensez vous comme certains que le réveil russe l’éloigne de l’Occident, et donc de l’Europe, et devrait intensifier son rapprochement avec la Chine?

Si la Russie s'éloigne de l'Occident ce sera de la faute de l'Occident américain. La Russie est en effet diabolisée dans les médias américains dominants et par conséquent dans les médias européens qui s'en inspirent. Cette diabolisation est injuste, c'est de la mauvaise foi qui vise à présenter le redressement russe comme agressif alors que celui-ci cherche à consolider sa souveraineté face à l'impérialisme américain qui fait glisser les frontières de l'OTAN aux frontières de la Russie et de la Chine.

La Russie développe ses relations avec la Chine, dans le cadre notamment du groupe de Shangaï et aussi parce que les Chinois ont compris que les Russes pouvaient être des partenaires solides dans un monde multipolaire. De fait, ces deux puissances partagent la même vision de l'organisation du monde : elles respectent la souveraineté des Etats, refusent l'ingérence chez les autres, veulent l'équilibre des puissances comme garantie de la paix mondiale. Toutes deux s'opposent au projet unipolaire américain qui, il suffit de le constater, a déclenché une succession de guerres depuis l'effondrement soviétique : Irak, Yougoslavie, Afghanistan, Libye, Syrie maintenant... Où avez-vous vu les Russes dans toutes ces guerres?

Je pense que la Russie ne veut pas se contenter d'un partenariat avec la Chine. Certes la Russie est une puissance eurasiatique, mais il suffit de s'intéresser à son histoire, à son patrimoine culturel, pour voir qu'elle est une puissance profondément européenne et qu'elle n'entend pas se couper de l'Europe. Si les Européens se libéraient de leur dépendance à l'égard des Etats-Unis tout pourrait changer et un fort partenariat stratégique pourrait se nouer entre l'Europe et la Russie.

Vous aviez lancé le 13 juin dernier un « Appel de Moscou », quel regard global portez vous sur la Russie d’aujourd’hui?

aymchaup55.jpgD'abord j'essaie de ne pas idéaliser la Russie même si je ne vous cache pas que je me sens extrêmement bien dans ce pays, parce que le matérialisme m'y paraît sans cesse équilibré par une sorte de profondeur d'âme insondable. Je pense que quelque chose est en train de se passer dans la Russie de Poutine et j'espère seulement que le Président Poutine pense à la manière de perpétuer son héritage, car la pire chose qui pourrait arriver ce serait le retour des occidentalistes de l'ère Eltsine, qui prennent la Russie pour un pays du Tiers monde qu'il faudrait mettre aux normes occidentales. L'appel de Moscou que j'ai lancé poursuivait deux buts: d'abord montrer mon soutien au refus russe du programme nihiliste venu d'Occident (mariage homosexuel, théorie du genre, merchandisation du corps), ensuite montrer aux Français qui défendent la famille et les valeurs naturelles que la Russie peut être une alliée précieuse dans ce combat. Je suis très surpris et heureux de constater à quel point mon appel de Moscou lancé à la Douma le 13 juin 2013 a circulé en France dans les milieux catholiques qui se sont mobilisés contre le mariage homosexuel.

Le souverainisme est à vos yeux une notion clef de l’équilibre mondial. Très curieusement ce concept est abandonné en Europe alors qu’en Russie et dans nombre de pays émergents l’affirmation et le maintien de la souveraineté semble au contraire un objectif essentiel. Comment expliquez-vous cette différence d’orientation?

La souveraineté est une évidence pour tous les peuples du monde, et en particulier pour ceux qui ont pris leur indépendance récemment ou qui aspirent à créer un Etat indépendant. Les Européens de l'Ouest, ou plutôt leur fausses élites gouvernantes, sont les seules du monde à avoir abdiqué la souveraineté de leurs peuples. C'est une trahison dont elles devront répondre devant l'Histoire. Des millions de Français ont péri à travers l'Histoire pour défendre la liberté et la souveraineté du peuple français, sous les monarques comme en République. Mon nom est inscrit sur les monuments aux morts français. Si les Français voulaient s'en souvenir, il n'est pas une famille française qui n'ait son nom inscrit sur ces monuments aux morts, de la Première, de la Deuxième ou des guerres de défense de l'Empire français.

Imaginez-vous un Américain ou un Russe abdiquer sa souveraineté? Pour eux le patriotisme est une évidence, qui va d'ailleurs tellement de soi que tout parti affirmant un programme nationaliste en Russie est perçu comme extrémiste parce qu'il n'y a nul besoin là-bas d'affirmer l'évidence. Nos amis russes doivent comprendre en revanche qu'en France ce n'est plus l'évidence et par conséquent qu'il est normal qu'un parti politique qui veut rendre au peuple la souveraineté, mette celle-ci au sommet de son programme!

Aujourd’hui nous assistons à une relative rapide modification des relations internationales, avec le basculement du monde vers l’Asie et la potentielle fin du monde unipolaire. Comment envisagez vous que cette transition puisse se passer?

Ce que je vois c'est que les Etats-Unis refusent de perdre leur premier rang mondial et peuvent créer de grands désordres, peut-être même des guerres de grande ampleur, dans les décennies à venir, et que les Européens, quant à eux, sont dans la gesticulation kantienne, la proclamation de belles leçons de morale qui s'accompagnent d'un déclin en puissance dramatique et donc pathétique.

Au sein de cet basculement, la France semble quant à elle pourtant de plus en plus aligner sa politique étrangère sur les intérêts américains, cela est visible avec la crise en Syrie. Comment l’expliquez-vous?

Je l'explique très simplement. L'oligarchie mondialiste a pris le contrôle des principaux partis de gouvernement français, le PS et l'UMP. La majorité de ses dirigeants ont été initiés dans les grands clubs transatlantiques. Ils ont épousé le programme mondialiste et ne raisonnent plus en patriotes français comme le faisait le général de Gaulle. Lorsque le peuple français l'aura compris, ces fausses élites seront balayés car elles n'ont pour bilan que le déclin en puissance de la France et la perte de sa souveraineté.

Vous avez soutenu Philippe de Villers en 2004, auriez appelé à Voter pour Nicolas Sarkozy en 2007 et vous venez de vous ranger au coté de Marine Le Pen. Souhaitez-vous désormais entamer une carrière politique?

Le mot carrière ne me va guère. Si j'avais choisi de faire une carrière dans le système, alors j'aurais choisi de proclamer autre chose que des vérités qui dérangent. Je n'ai qu'une ambition, pouvoir dire à mes enfants, au seuil de la mort, que j'ai fait ce que je pouvais pour défendre la liberté et la souveraineté du peuple français. J'ai soutenu Philippe de Villiers que je respecte.

Mais je n'ai jamais appelé à voter pour Nicolas Sarkozy, que je vois comme soumis aux intérêts américains. Je ne sais qui a pu dire une chose pareille mais je vous mets au défi de trouver un seul texte de soutien de ma part à Nicolas Sarkozy. C'est d'ailleurs son gouvernement, en la personne de son ministre de la défense Hervé Morin, qui m'a brutalement écarté de l'Ecole de Guerre parce j'étais trop attaché à l'indépendance de la France et que je m'opposait au retour de la France dans les structures intégrées de l'OTAN. Donc de grâce que l'on ne dise jamais que j'ai soutenu ou appelé à voter Sarkozy.

En revanche, oui je soutiens Marine le Pen et il est possible que je joue prochainement un rôle sur la scène politique à ses côtés. Marine a un caractère fort, une carapace héritée des coups que son père a pris pendant tant d'années, et je la sens donc capable de prendre en main avec courage le destin du pays. Le courage plus que l'intelligence est ce qui manque aux pseudo-élites françaises, lesquelles sont conformistes et soumises à l'idéologie mondialiste par confort.

Comment envisageriez vous la relation franco-russe?

Je l'ai dit et je le redis haut et fort. Si le Front national arrive au pouvoir, il rompra avec l'OTAN et proposera une alliance stratégique avec la Russie. Ce sera un tremblement de terre énorme au niveau international et c'est la raison pour laquelle, avant d'arriver en haut des marches, et même avec le soutien du peuple, il nous faudra affronter des forces considérables. Nous y sommes prêts. Et n'oubliez pas que la France est le pays de Jeanne d'Arc. Tout est possible donc, même quand tout semble perdu!

Merci Aymeric Chauprade.

Les lecteurs souhaitant en savoir plus peuvent consulter votre blog ou le site Realpolitik-TV.

L’opinion exprimée dans cet article ne coïncide pas forcément avec la position de la rédaction, l'auteur étant extérieur à RIA Novosti.

Alexandre Latsa est un journaliste français qui vit en Russie et anime le site DISSONANCE, destiné à donner un "autre regard sur la Russie".

vendredi, 18 octobre 2013

La era de la ginecocracia

por Evgueni Golovín*

Ex: http://paginatransversal.wordpress.com

golovin.jpgMuchos libros en nuestro siglo se han escrito sobre la visión del mundo femenina, sobre la psicología femenina y el erotismo femenino. Muy pocos fueron escritos sobre los hombres. Y estos pocos estudios dejan una impresión bastante desoladora. Dos de ellos, escritos por conocidos sociólogos son especialmente sombríos: Paul Duval – “Hombres. El sexo en vías de extinción”, David Riseman – “El mito del hombre en América”. La multitud masculina de rostros variopintos no inspira optimismo. Al contemplar a la multitud masculina uno se entristece: “él”, “ello”, “ellos”… con sus discretos trajes, corbatas mal atadas… sus estereotipados movimientos y gestos están sometidos a la fatal estrategia de la más pulcra pesadilla. Tienen prisa porque “están ocupados”. ¿Ocupados en qué? En conseguir el dinero para sus hembras y los pequeños vampiros que están creciendo.

Son cobardes y por eso les gusta juntarse en manadas. Si prescindimos de las refinadas divagaciones, la cobardía no es más que una tendencia centrípeta, deseo de encontrar un centro seguro y estable. Los hombres tienen miedo de sus propias ideas, de los bandidos, de los jefes, de “la opinión pública”, de las arañas que se chupan el dinero y que lo dan. Pero las mujeres son las que más miedo les dan. “Ella” camina multicolor y bien centrada, su pecho vibra tentadoramente… y los ansiosos ojos siguen sus curvas, y la carne se rebela dolorosamente. Su frialdad – qué desgracia, su compasión erótica – ¡qué felicidad! “Ella” es la materia formada de manera atrayente en este mundo material, en el que vivimos solo una vez, “ella” – es una idea, un ídolo, sus emergentes encantos saltan de los carteles, portadas de revistas y pantallas. “Ella” es un bien concreto. El cuerpo femenino bonito cuesta caro, tal vez más barato que “La maja desnuda” de Goya, pero hay que pagarlo. Una prostituta cobra por horas, la amante o la esposa, naturalmente, piden mucho más. El lema del matrimonio estadounidense es sex for support. Las puertas del paraíso sexual se abren con la llavecita de oro. El cuerpo masculino sin cualificar y sin muscular no vale nada.

La realidad de la civilización burguesa

Aunque nos acusen de cargar las tintas, la situación sigue siendo triste. La igualdad, emancipación, feminismo son los síntomas del creciente dominio femenino, porque la “igualdad de los sexos” no es más que otro fantasma demagógico de turno. El hombre y la mujer debido a la marcada diferencia de su orientación están luchando permanentemente de forma abierta o encubierta, y el carácter del ciclo histórico-social depende del dominio de uno u otro sexo. El hombre por naturaleza es centrípeto, se mueve de izquierda a derecha, hacia adelante, de abajo a arriba. En la mujer es todo al revés. El impulso “puramente masculino” es entregar y apartar, el impulso “puramente femenino” es quitar y conservar. Claro que se trata de impulsos muy esquemáticos, porque cada ser en mayor o menor medida es andrógino, pero está claro que de la ordenación y armonización de estos impulsos depende el bienestar del individuo en particular y de la sociedad en su conjunto, pero semejante armonía es imposible sin la activa irracionalidad del eje del ser, convencimiento intuitivo de la certeza del sistema de valores propios, la instintiva fe en lo acertado del camino propio. De otro modo la energía centrípeta o destrozará al hombre, o le obligará a buscar algún centro y punto de aplicación de sus fuerzas en el mundo exterior. Lo cual lleva a la destrucción de la individualidad y a la total pérdida de control del principio masculino propio. La energía erótica en vez de activar y templar el cuerpo, como ocurre en un organismo normal, comienza a dictar al cuerpo sus propias condiciones vitales.

La androginia del ser está provocada por la presencia femenina en la estructura psicosomática masculina. La “mujer oculta” se manifiesta en el nivel anímico y espiritual como el principio regulador que sujeta o el ideal estrellado del “cielo interior”. El hombre debe mantener la fidelidad hacia esta “bella dama”, la aventura amorosa es la búsqueda de su equivalente terrenal. En el caso contrario estará cometiendo una infidelidad cardinal, existencial.

¿Pero de qué estamos hablando?

Del amor.

La mayoría de los hombres actuales pensarán que se trata de tonterías románticas, que solo valen cuando se habla de los trovadores y caballeros. Oigan, nos dirán, todos nosotros – mujeres y hombres – vivimos en un mundo cruel y tecnificado en condiciones de lucha y competencia. Todos por igual dependemos de estas duras realidades, y en este sentido se puede hablar de la igualdad de los sexos. En cuanto a la dependencia del sexo, sabrá que en todos los tiempos ha habido obsesos y erotómanos. En efecto, las mujeres ahora juegan mucho mayor papel, pero no es suficiente para hablar de no se sabe qué “matriarcado”.

Ciertamente, no se puede hablar del “matriarcado” en la actualidad en el sentido estricto. Según Bachofen, el matriarcado es más bien un concepto jurídico, relacionado con el “derecho de las madres”. Pero perfectamente podemos ocuparnos de la ginecocracia, del dominio de la mujer, debido a la orientación eminentemente femenina de la Historia Moderna. Aquí está la definición de Bachofen:

El ser ginecocrático es el naturalismo ordenado, el predominio de lo material, la supremacía del desarrollo físico”

J.J. Bachofen. Mutterrecht, 1926, p. 118

Nadie podrá negar el éxito de la Época Moderna en este sentido. A lo largo de los últimos dos siglos en la psicología humana se ha producido un cambio fundamental. De entrada a la naturaleza masculina le son antipáticas las categorías existenciales tales como “la propiedad” y el tiempo en el sentido de “duración”. El carácter centrípeto, explosivo del falicismo exige instantes y “segundos” que están fuera de la “duración”, que no se componen en “duración”. El destino ideal del hombre es avanzar hacia adelante, superar la pesadez terrenal, buscar y conquistar nuevos horizontes del ser, despreciando su vida, si por vida se entiende la existencia homogénea, rutinaria, prolongada en el tiempo. Los valores masculinos son el desinterés, la bondad, el honor, la interpretación celestial de la belleza. Desde este punto de vista, “Lord Jim” de Joseph Conrad es casi la última novela europea sobre un “hombre de verdad”. Jim, simple marinero, ofendido en su honor, no lo puede perdonar, ni superar. Por eso el autor le concedió el título, porque el honor es el privilegio y el valor de la nobleza. El justo y el caballero errante son los auténticos hombres.

Podrán replicar: si todos se ponen a hacer de Quijote o a hablar con los pájaros ¿en qué se convertirá la sociedad humana? Es difícil contestar a esta pregunta, pero es fácil observar en qué se convertiría dicha sociedad sin San Francisco y sin Don Quijote. Don Quijote es mucho más necesario para la sociedad que una docena de consorcios automovilísticos.

La civilización burguesa es medio civilización, es un sinsentido. Para crear la civilización hacen falta los esfuerzos conjuntos de los cuatro estamentos.

Decimos: centralización, centrípeto. Sin embargo no es nada fácil definir el concepto “centro”. El centro puede ser estático o errante, manifestado o no, se puede amarlo u odiarlo, se puede saber de él, o sospechar, o presentirlo con la sutilísima y engañosa antena de la intuición. Es posible haber vivido la vida sin tener ni idea acerca del centro de la existencia propia. Se trata del paradójico e inmóvil móvil de Aristóteles. En el centro coinciden las fuerzas centrífugas y las centrípetas. Cuando una de ellas apaga a la otra el sistema o explota o se detiene en una muerte gélida. Es evidente: lo incognoscible del centro garantiza su centralidad, porque el centro percibido y explicado siempre se arriesga a trasladarse hacia la periferia. De ahí la conclusión: el centro permanente no se puede conocer, hay que creer en él. Por eso Dios, honor, bien, belleza son centros permanentes. Es la condición principal de la actividad masculina dirigida, radial.

En los dos primeros estamentos – el sacerdotal y el de la nobleza – la actividad masculina, entendida de esta forma, domina sobre la femenina. Y únicamente con la posición normal, es decir alta, de estos estamentos se crea la civilización, en todo caso la civilización patriarcal. El burgués reconoce los valores ideales nominalmente, pero prefiere las virtudes más prácticas: el honor se sustituye por la honradez, la justicia por la decencia, el valor por el riesgo razonable. En el burgués la energía centrífuga está sometida a la centrípeta, pero el centro no se encuentra dentro de la esfera de su individualidad, el centro hay que afirmarlo en algún lugar del mundo exterior para convertirse en su satélite. La tendencia de “entregar y apartar” en este caso es posible como una maniobra táctica de la tendencia de “quitar, conservar, adquirir, aumentar”.

Después de la revolución burguesa francesa y la fundación de los estados unidos norteamericanos vino el derrumbe definitivo de la civilización patriarcal. La rebelión de La Vendée, seguramente, fue la última llamarada del fuego sagrado. En el siglo XIX el principio masculino se desperdigó por el mundo orientado hacia lo material, haciéndose notar en el dandismo, en las corrientes artísticas, en el pensamiento filosófico independiente, en las aventuras de los exploradores de los países desconocidos. Pero sus representantes, naturalmente, no podían detener el progreso positivista. La sociedad expresaba la admiración por sus libros, cuadros y hazañas, pero los veía con bastante suspicacia. Marx y Freud contribuyeron bastante al triunfo de la ginecocracia materialista. El primero proclamó la tendencia al bienestar económico como la principal fuerza motriz de la historia, mientras que el segundo expresó la duda global acerca de la salud psíquica de aquellas personas, cuyos intereses espirituales no sirven al “bien común”. Los portadores del auténtico principio masculino paulatinamente se convirtieron en los “hombres sobrantes” al estilo de algunos protagonistas de la literatura rusa. “Wozu ein Dichter?” (¿Para qué el poeta?) – preguntaba Hölderlin con ironía todavía a principios del siglo XIX. Ciertamente ¿para qué hacen falta en una sociedad pragmática los soñadores, los inventores de espejismos, de las doctrinas peligrosas y demás maestros de la presencia inquietante? Gotfied Benn reflejó la situación con exactitud en su maravilloso ensayo “Palas Atenea”:

“… representantes de un sexo que se está muriendo, útiles tan solo en su calidad de copartícipes en la apertura de las puertas del nacimiento… Ellos intentan conquistar la autonomía con sus sistemas, sus ilusiones negativas o contradictorias – todos estos lamas, budas, reyes divinos, santos y salvadores, quienes en realidad nunca han salvado a nadie, ni a nada – todos estos hombres trágicos, solitarios, ajenos a lo material, sordos ante la secreta llamada de la madre-tierra, lúgubres caminantes… En los estados de alta organización social, en los estados de duras alas, donde todo acaba en la normalidad con el apareamiento, los odian y toleran tan solo hasta que llegue el momento”.

Los estados de los insectos, sociedades de abejas y termitas están perfectamente organizados para los seres que “solo viven una vez”. La civilización occidental muy exitosamente se dirige hacia semejante orden ideal y en este sentido representa un episodio bastante raro en la historia. Es difícil encontrar en el pasado abarcable una formación humana, afianzada sobre las bases del ateísmo y una construcción estrictamente material del universo. Aquí no importa qué es lo que se coloca exactamente como la piedra angular: el materialismo vulgar o el materialismo dialéctico o los procesos microfísicos paradójicos. Cuando la religión se reduce al moralismo, cuando la alegría del ser se reduce a una decena de primitivos “placeres”, por los que además hay que pagar ni se sabe cuánto, cuando la muerte física aparece como “el final del todo” ¿acaso se puede hablar del impulso irracional y de la sublimación? Por eso en los años veinte Max Scheler ha desarrollado su conocida tesis sobre la “resublimación” como una de las principales tendencias del siglo. Según Scheler la joven generación ya no desea, a la manera de sus padres y abuelos, gastar las fuerzas en las improductivas búsquedas del absoluto: continuas especulaciones intelectuales exigen demasiada energía vital, que es mucho más práctico utilizar para la mejora de las condiciones concretas corporales, financieras y demás. Los hombres actuales ansían la ingenuidad, despreocupación, deporte, desean prolongar la juventud. El famoso filósofo Scheler, al parecer, saludaba semejante tendencia. ¡Si viera en lo que se ha convertido ahora este joven y empeñado en rejuvenecerse rebaño y de paso contemplara en lo que se ha convertido el deporte y otros entretenimientos saludables!

Y además.

¿Acaso la sublimación se reduce a las especulaciones intelectuales? ¿Acaso el impulso hacia adelante y hacia lo alto se reduce a los saltos de longitud y de altitud? La sublimación no se realiza en los minutos del buen estado de humor y no se acaba con la flojera. Tampoco es el éxtasis. Es un trabajo permanente y dinámico del alma para ampliar la percepción y transformar el cuerpo, es el conocimiento del mundo y de los mundos, atormentado aprendizaje del alpinismo celestial. Y además se trata de un proceso natural.

Si un hombre tiene miedo, rehúye o ni siquiera reconoce la llamada de la sublimación, es que, propiamente, no puede llamarse hombre, es decir un ser con un sistema irracional de valores marcadamente pronunciado. Incluso con la barba canosa o los bíceps imponentes seguirá siendo un niño, que depende totalmente de los caprichos de la “gran madre”. Obligando el espíritu a resolver los problemas pragmáticos, agotando el alma con la vanidad y la lascivia, siempre se arrastrará hasta sus rodillas buscando la consolación, los ánimos y el cariño.

Pero la “gran madre” no es en absoluto la amorosa Eva patriarcal, carne de la carne del hombre, es la siniestra creación de la eterna oscuridad, pariente próxima del caos primordial, no creado: bajo el nombre de Afrodita Pandemos envenena la sangre masculina con la pesadilla sexual, con el nombre de Cibeles le amenaza con la castración, la locura y le arrastra al suicidio. Algunos se preguntarán ¿qué relación tiene toda esta mitología con el conocimiento racional y ateísta? La más directa. El ateísmo no es más que una forma de teología negativa, asimilada de manera poco crítica o incluso inconsciente. El ateo cree ingenuamente en el poder total de la razón como instrumento fálico, capaz de penetrar hasta donde se quiera en las profundidades de la “madre-naturaleza”. Sucesivamente admirando la “sorprendente armonía que reina en la naturaleza” e indignándose ante las “fuerzas elementales, ciegas de la naturaleza” es como un niño mimado que quiere recibir de ella todo sin dar nada a cambio. Aunque últimamente, asustado ante las catástrofes ecológicas y la perspectiva de ser trasladado en un futuro próximo a las hospitalarias superficies de otros planetas, apela a la compasión y el humanismo.

Pero el “sol de la razón” no es más que el fuego fatuo del pantano y el instrumento fálico no es más que un juguete en las depredadoras manos de la “gran madre”. No se debe acercar al principio femenino que crea y que también mata con la misma intensidad. “Dama Natura” exige mantener la distancia y la veneración. Lo entendían bien nuestros patriarcales antepasados, teniendo cuidado de no inventar el automóvil, ni la bomba atómica, que ponían en los caminos la imagen del dios Término y escribían en las columnas de Hércules “non plus ultra”.

El espíritu se despierta en el hombre bruscamente y este proceso es duro, – esta es la tesis principal de Erich Neumann, un original seguidor de Jung, en su “Historia de la aparición de la conciencia”. El mundo orientado ginecocráticamente odia estas manifestaciones y procura acabar con ellas utilizando diferentes métodos. Lo que en la época moderna se entiende por “espiritualidad”, destaca por sus características específicamente femeninas: hacen falta memoria, erudición, conocimientos serios, profundos, un estudio pormenorizado del material – en una palabra, todo lo que se puede conseguir en las bibliotecas, archivos, museos, donde, cual si fuera el baúl de la vieja, se guardan todas las bagatelas. Si alguien se rebela contra semejante espiritualidad, siempre podrán acusarlo de ligereza, superficialidad, diletantismo, aventurerismo – características esencialmente masculinas. De aquí los degradantes compromisos y el miedo del individuo ante las leyes ginecocráticas del mundo exterior, que la psicología profunda en general y Erich Neumann en particular denominan el “miedo ante la castración”. “Tendencia a resistir, – escribe Erich Neumann, – el miedo ante la “gran madre”, miedo ante la castración son los primeros síntomas del rumbo centrípeto tomado y de la autoformación”. Y continúa:

La superación del miedo ante la castración es el primer éxito en la superación del dominio de la materia”.

Erich Neumann. Urspruggeschichte des Bewusstseins, Munchen, 1975, p. 83

Ahora, en la era de la ginecocracia, semejante concepción constituye en verdad un acto heroico. Pero el “auténtico hombre” no tiene otro camino. Leamos unas líneas de Gotfried Benn del ya citado ensayo:

De los procesos históricos y materiales sin sentido surge la nueva realidad, creada por la exigencia del paradigma eidético, segunda realidad, elaborada por la acción de la decisión intelectual. No existe el camino de retorno. Rezos a Ishtar, retournons a la grand mere, invocaciones al reino de la madre, entronización de Gretchen sobre Nietzsche – todo es inútil: no volveremos al estado natural”.

¿Es así?

Por un lado: conocimiento dulce, embriagador: sus vibraciones, movimientos gráciles, zonas erógenas… paraíso sexual.

Por el otro:

Atenas, nacida de la sien de Zeus, de ojos azules, resplandeciente armadura, diosa nacida sin madre. Palas – la alegría del combate y la destrucción, cabeza de Medusa en su escudo, sobre su cabeza el lúgubre pájaro nocturno; retrocede un poco y de golpe levanta la gigantesca piedra que servía de linde – contra Marte, quien está del lado de Troya, de Helena… Palas, siempre con su casco, no fecundada, diosa sin hijos, fría y solitaria”.

1 de enero de 1999.

* Evgueni Golovín (1938-2010) fue un genio inclasificable. Situado completamente fuera del mundo actual, cuya legitimidad rechazaba de plano. “Quien camina contra el día no debe temer a la noche” – era su lema vital. Profundo conocedor de alquimia y de tradición hermética europea, también era especialista en los “autores malditos” franceses, románticos y expresionistas alemanes, traductor de libros de escritores europeos cuya obra está catalogada como “de la presencia inquietante”. Su identificación con el mundo pagano griego llegó al punto de que algunos que le conocieron íntimamente llegaron a definirlo como “Divinidad” (para empezar por el principio, Golovín aprendió el griego a los 16 años y comenzó con la lectura de Homero). En los años 60 del siglo pasado se convirtió en la figura más carismática de la llamada “clandestinidad mística moscovita”, conocido como “Almirante” (de la flotilla hermética, formada por los “místicos”). Fue el primero en la URSS en difundir la obra de autores tradicionalistas como Guénon y Évola. Ya en los años 90 y 2000 redactó la revista Splendor Solis, publicó varios libros y una recopilación de sus poemas. Veía con recelo las doctrinas orientales que consideraba poco adecuadas para el hombre europeo. Y, sobre todo, nunca buscó el centro de gravedad del ser en el mundo exterior. En su “navegación” sin fin siempre se mantuvo firmemente anclado a su interiore terra. El encuentro con Evgueni Golovín, en distintas etapas de sus vidas, fue decisivo para la formación de futuras figuras clave en la vida intelectual rusa como Geidar Dzhemal o

Alexandr Duguin

24/08/2012

Fuente: Poistine.com

(Traducido del ruso por Arturo Marián Llanos)

jeudi, 17 octobre 2013

La Russie et l’ONU contre l’OTAN

La Russie et l’ONU contre l’OTAN

La Russie et l’ONU contre l’OTAN

Ex: http://www.realpolitik.tv

Nous avions déjà fait un parallèle entre les faux-massacres attribués aux Serbe en Bosnie et au Kosovo, et les tentatives de montages du même type en Syrie. La manipulation des cadavres des civils, la volonté de faire fi des inspections de l’ONU, le règne absolu de la mauvaise foi et du mensonge, le soutien total au terrorisme, sont bien les marques de la diplomatie américaine.

La question est de savoir désormais si les États-Unis vont intervenir. Le rôle de la France et de l’Angleterre n’étant important que pour donner une légitimité à cette fameuse communauté internationale, incarné en fait par les États-Unis et eux seuls.

Pour continuer notre parallèle avec le Kosovo, il faut prendre en compte plusieurs facteurs.

Premièrement, les opérations au sol au Kosovo ont été un échec. La mafia albanaise, même encadrée par les services secrets occidentaux, s’est faite laminer par les unités serbes. L’OTAN n’a jamais osé venir affronter les Serbes directement, consciente de la faible valeur combattive du soldat américain face à son homologue serbe. De plus dans le cas de la Syrie, les États-Unis n’ont pas 250.000 hommes prêts à envahir le pays comme pour l’Irak.

Deuxièmement, le bombardement par des missiles de type « Tomawak » n’aura pas plus d’effet sur l’armée syrienne que sur l’armée serbe. Rappelons que l’action de « Raytheon » avait été diminuée de moitié après les résultats de la campagne de bombardement sur la Serbie. Du point de vue militaire, ces bombardements n’auront en effet que peu d’efficacité. Les troupes syriennes combattent imbriquées avec les islamistes dans des zones urbanisées. Il restera aux Américains les bombardements pour terroriser les populations civiles, ce qui constitue leur spécialité, mais qui en Serbie a au contraire mobilisé la population contre l’envahisseur. Ils pourront cependant être utilisés pour éviter la débandade des islamistes, en leur faisant croire à une intervention américaine. L’enjeu étant d’arriver à Genève 2 avec quelque chose à négocier.

Troisièmement, les bombardements aériens à haute altitude. Ils n’auront guère plus d’efficacité que les missiles, et comme eux pourraient viser les cibles fixes des infrastructures civiles ou militaires, aéroports, centrales électriques, bâtiments administratifs ou de télévision, etc. En outre la DCA syrienne, même avec des bombardements à haute altitude, risque de faire des dégâts dans une aviation habituée à bombarder impunément les civils comme les militaires.

F117 "furtif" abattu au-dessus de l'ex-Yougoslavie le 27 mars 1999, à l'aide d'un vieux radar des années 70...

F117 “furtif” abattu au-dessus de l’ex-Yougoslavie le 27 mars 1999, grâce un vieux radar des années 70…

Quatrièmement, les bombardements d’appuis au sol. Dans ce cas-là, les pertes seront encore plus grandes, et à moins que l’armée turque envahisse la Syrie, elles seront sans effet réel sur les résultats des combats, à moins de concéder la perte de dizaines d’avions.

Cinquièmement, la suprématie aérienne. C’est un objectif auquel l’OTAN peut prétendre, avec également de nombreuses pertes à la clé, et toujours un faible impact sur les combats au sol. Le fait que le ciel serbe fut américain n’a rien changé sur les combats d’infanterie.

Sixièmement, l’action diplomatique. Ce qui fit basculer la volonté au demeurant très faible de Milošević en 1999, fut le soutien insignifiant de la Russie et pour finir, la pression de Viktor Tchernomyrdine sur le Président serbe. La Russie d’alors avait un Président malade, une oligarchie corrompue et pro-américaine et était ruinée après la crise de 1998. Seule l’action symbolique du Premier Ministre de l’époque, Evguéni Primakov, sauva en partie l’honneur de la Russie. Rappelons tout de même que Milošević obtint satisfaction sur tout ce qu’il demandait déjà à Rambouillet.

Aujourd’hui, la Russie de Vladimir Poutine est tout sauf un pays faible, et ce sont les pays occidentaux, qui sont ruinés et qui ne peuvent plus se permettre d’autres aventures militaires. Les systèmes S-300 sont sans doute déjà en Syrie, même s’ils n’ont pas encore été livrés. Dans ce cas les pertes en chasseurs bombardiers seront importantes. Le dernier sondage montre que seuls 9% de la population américaine est favorable à une intervention. Comment expliquer la mort de pilotes dans un conflit qui, une fois de plus, ne mènera qu’à une impasse ?

Si l’on part du principe, pas toujours évident, que les États-Unis sont un acteur rationnel, l’agitation actuelle ne se justifie une nouvelle fois, uniquement par le fait qu’il faut donner de l’espoir aux djihadistes, pour éviter une débandade complète, et que le conflit syrien s’arrête avant même la réunion de Genève 2. Il est possible que les menaces soient suivies de bombardements, mais leur efficacité restera limitée et risque de provoquer une escalade dans la région où l’Iran n’a pas l’intention d’abandonner son allié. Pour les États-Unis, l’enjeu est de taille, une défaite des islamistes par l’armée syrienne les privera de leur meilleur allié depuis l’Afghanistan, en passant par la Yougoslavie, jusqu’à aujourd’hui. Plus que jamais, la Russie, comme le prévoyait Emmanuel Todd en 2002, est la puissance pacificatrice nécessaire à l’ordre multipolaire, qui quoi que fassent les États-Unis, se met en place peu à peu.

Xavier Moreau

mardi, 15 octobre 2013

L'allemand Siemens investira plus d'un milliard d'euros en Russie

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L'allemand Siemens investira plus d'un milliard d'euros en Russie

Joe Käser
 
Ex: http://fr.ria.ru
TOUAPSE, 11 octobre - RIA Novosti

Le consortium allemand Siemens AG continuera d'investir en Russie en dépassant le montant d'un milliard d'euros prévu pour 2013-2015, a déclaré vendredi à Touapse (littoral russe de la mer Noire) le président de Siemens AG Joe Käser, lors d'une rencontre avec le président russe Vladimir Poutine.

"Il est toujours difficile d'investir le premier milliard, mais cela devient plus facile avec le deuxième (…). Nous continuerons d'investir dans l'industrialisation de la Russie, l'efficacité énergétique de l'industrie russe et les technologies médicales. J'estime que nous pouvons élargir notre partenariat pour le bien des habitants de la Russie et de notre consortium bien sûr", a indiqué M.Käser.

M.Poutine a pour sa part déclaré que le consortium allemand pouvait également coopérer avec les sociétés russes en Allemagne. "Vous avez mentionné le groupe pétrolier Rosneft parmi vos partenaires. Rosneft est déjà actionnaire de quatre entreprises en Allemagne", a rappelé le président russe.

samedi, 12 octobre 2013

Multipolarism as an Open Project

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Multipolarism as an Open Project

 Professor of the Moscow State University, Doctor of political sciences, founder of the contemporary Russian school of Geopolitics, leader of the International Social Movement “Eurasian Movement”, Moscow, Russian Federation.

 

I. Multipolarism and “Land Power”

Geopolitics of the Land in the Global World

In the previous part we discussed the subject of globalism, globalization, and mondialism in a view considered to be generally accepted and “conventional”. Geopolitical analysis of the phenomenon of the subject of globalism, globalization, and mondialism has showed that in the modern globalism we only deal with one of the two geopolitical powers, namely, with a thalassocracy, a “Sea Power” that from now on claims for uniqueness, totality, and normativeness and strives to pretend to be the only possible civilization, sociological and geopolitical condition of the world.

Therewith, the philosophy of globalism is based upon the internal surety with universalism of exactly the Western-European value system thought to be the summary of all the diverse experience of the human cultures on all stages of their history.

And finally, in its roots, globalization has an active ideology (mondialism) and power structures that spread and bring this ideology into use. If taking into account that the latter are the most authoritative intellectual US centers (such as CFR and neoconservatives), structures of the US Supreme Military Command and their analysts (Owens, Sibrowsky, Barnett, Garstka), international oligarchs (such as George Soros), a number of international organizations (The Bilderberg Club, Trilateral Commission, etc.), and innumerous amount of analysts, politicians, journalists, scientists, economists, people of culture and art, and IT sector employees spread all over the world, we can understand the reason why this ideology seems to be something that goes without saying for us. That we sometimes take globalization as an “objective process” is the result of a huge manipulation with public opinion and the fruit of a total information war.

Therefore, the picture of global processes we described is an affirmation of the real state of affairs just in part. In such a description, there is a significant share of a normative and imperative volitional (ideological) wish that everything should be quite so, which means, it is based upon wrenches and, to some extent, striving to represent our wishful thinking as reality.

In this part, we will describe an absolutely different point of view on globalization and globalism that is impossible from inside the “Sea Power”, i.e. out of the environment of the nominal “Global World”. Such a view is not taken into account either in antiglobalism or in alterglobalism because it refuses from the most fundamental philosophical and ideological grounds of Eurocentrism.  Such a view rejects the faith in:

  •  universalism of the Western values, that Western societies, in their history, have passed the only possible way all the other countries are expected to pass;
  • progress as an indisputable forwardness of historical and social development;
  • that it is limitless technical, economical, and material development, which is the answer for the most vital needs of all humankind;
  • that people of all cultures, religions, civilizations, and ethnoses are principally the same as the people of the West and they are governed by the same anthropological motives;
  • absolute superiority of capitalism over other sociopolitical formations;
  • absence of any alternative for market economy;
  • that liberal democracy is the only acceptable form of political organization of the society;
  • individual freedom and individual identity as the superior value of human being;
  • liberalism as a historically inevitable, higher-priority, and optimal ideology.

In other words, we proceed to the position of the “Land Power” and consider the present moment of the world history from the point of view of Geopolitics-2, or the thalassocratic geopolitics as an episode of the “Great Continent War”, not as its conclusion.

Of course, it is difficult to refuse that the present moment of historical development demonstrates a number of unique features that, if desired, can be interpreted as the ultimate victory of the Sea over the Land, Carthage over Rome and Leviathan over Behemoth. Indeed, never in history the “Sea Power” was such a serious success and stretched might and influence of its paradigm in such a scale. Of course, Geopolitics-2 acknowledges this fact and the consequences included. But it clearly realizes that globalization can be also interpreted otherwise, namely, as a series of victories in combats and battles, not as the ultimate win in the war.

Here, a historical analogy suggests itself: when German troops were approaching to Moscow in 1941, one could think that everything was lost and the end of the USSR was foredoomed. The Nazi propaganda commented the course of the war quiet so: the “New Order” is created in the occupied territory, the authorities work, economical and political hierarchy is created, and the social life is organized. But the Soviet people kept on violently resisting – at all the fronts as well as in the rear of the enemy, while systematically moving to their goal and their victory.

Now, there is precisely this moment in the geopolitical stand of the Sea and the Land. Information policy inside the “Sea Power” is built so as no-one has any doubt that globalism is an accomplished fact and the global society has come about in its essential features, that all the obstacles from now on are of a technical character. But from certain conceptual, philosophical, sociological, and geopolitical positions, all of it can be challenged by suggesting an absolutely different vision of the situation. All the point is in interpretation. Historical facts make no sense without interpretation. Likewise in geopolitics: any state of affairs in the field of geopolitics only makes sense in one or another interpretation. Globalism is interpreted today almost exclusively in the Atlantist meaning and, thus, the “sea” sense is put into it. A view from the Land’s position doesn’t change the state of affairs but it does change its sense. And this, in many cases, is of fundamental importance.

Further, we will represent the view on globalization and globalism from the Land’s position – geopolitical, sociological, philosophical, and strategical.

Grounds for Existence of Geopolitics-2 in the Global World

How can we substantiate the very possibility of a view on globalization on the part of the Land, assuming that the structure of the global world, as we have shown, presupposes marginalization and fragmentation of the Land?

There are several grounds for this.

  1. The human spirit (conscience, will, faith) is always capable to formulate its attitude to any ambient phenomenon and even if this phenomenon is presented as invincible, integral, and “objective”, it is possible to take it in a different way – accept or reject, justify or condemn. This is the superior dignity of man and his difference from animal species. And if man rejects and condemns something, he has the right to build strategies to overcome it in any, most difficult and insuperable, situations and conditions. The advance of the global society can be accepted and approved but it can be rejected and condemned as well. In the former case, we float adrift the history, in the latter one – we seek a “fulcrum” to stop this process. History is made by people and the spirit plays the central part here. Hence, there is a theoretical possibility to create a theory radically opposite to the views that are built on the base of the “Sea Power” and accept basic paradigms of the Western view on the things, course of history, and logic of changing sociopolitical structures.
  2. The geopolitical method allows to identify globalization as a subjective process connected with a success of one of the two global powers. Be the Land ever so “marginal and fragmentized», it has serious historical grounds behind itself, traditions, experience, sociological and civilization background. The Land’s geopolitics is not built on a void place; this is a tradition that generalizes some fundamental historical, geographical, and strategical trends. Therefore, even on the theoretical level, estimation of globalization from the position of Geopolitics-2 is absolutely relevant. Just as well as there is the “subject” of globalization in its center (mondialism and its structures), the Land Power can and does have its own subjective embodiment. In spite of a huge scale and massive forms of the historical polemics of civilizations, we, first of all, deal with a stand of minds, ideas, concepts, theories, and only then – with that of material things, devices, technologies, finances, weapons, etc.
  3. The process of desovereignization of national states has not yet become nonreversible, and the elements of the Westphalian system are still being partly preserved. That means that a whole range of national states, by virtue of certain consideration, can still bank on realization of the land strategy, i.e. they can completely or partially reject globalization and the “Sea Power’s” paradigm. China is an example of it; it balances between globalization and its own land identity, strictly observing that the general balance is kept and that only what consolidates China as a sovereign geopolitical formation is borrowed from the global strategies. The same can be also said about the states the US have equaled to the “Axis of Evil” — Iran, Cuba, North Korea, Venezuela, Syria, etc. Of course, the threat of a direct intrusion of US troops hangs over these countries like the sword of Damocles (on the model of Iraq or Afghanistan), and they are continuously subject to more politic network attacks from inside. However, at the moment their sovereignty is preserved what makes them privileged areas for development of the Land Power. It is also possible to refer here a number of hesitant countries, such as India, Turkey and others, which, being significantly involved into the globalization orbit, preserve their original sociological features, getting out of accord with the official precepts of their governing regimes. Such situation is characteristic of many Asian. Latin-American and African societies. 
  4. And, finally, the most general. — The present state of Heartland. The world dominance, as we know, and thus, reality or evanescence of monopolar globalization depends on it. In 1980-90-s, Heartland fundamentally reduced its influence area. Two geopolitical belts – Eastern Europe (whose countries were within the “Socialist Block”, “Warsaw Pact», Comecon, etc.) and the Federative Republics of the USSR consistently withdrew from it. By the mid 1990-s, a bloody testing for a possibility of further breakdown of Russia into “national republics” had started in Chechnya. This fragmentation of Heartland, down to a mosaic of marionette dependent states in place of Russia, had to become the final accord of construction of the global world and the “end of history”, after which it would be much more difficult to speak about the Land and Geopolitics-2. Heartland is of central importance in the possibility of strategical consolidation of all Eurasia and, thus, the “Land Power”. If the processes that took place in Russia in 1990-s had moved in a groove and its disintegration kept on, it would be much more difficult to challenge globalization. But since late 1990-s — early 2000-s, a turning-point has taken place in Russia, disintegration was stopped; moreover, the federal authorities have restored control over the rebellious Chechnya. Then V. Putin implemented a legal reform of the Federation subjects (excision of the article about “sovereignty”, governors’ appointment, etc.) that has consolidated the power vertical all over Russia. The CCI integration processes have started gathering pace. In August 2008, in the course of the five-day conflict of Russia with Georgia, Russia took its direct control over territories beyond the borders of the Russian Federation (Southern Ossetia, Abkhazia), and acknowledged their independence, in spite of a huge support of Georgia on the part of the US and the NATO countries and pressure of the international public opinion. Generally, since early 2000-s Russia as Heartland has ceased the processes of its self-disintegration, has reinforced its energetics, has normalized the issues of energy supply abroad, has refused from the practice of unilateral reduction of armaments, having preserved its nuclear potential. Whereby, influence of the network of geopolitical agents of Atlantism and Mondialism on the political authority and strategical decision making has qualitatively diminished, consolidation of the sovereignty has been understood as the top-priority issue, and integration of Russia into a number of globalist structures menacing its independence has been ceased. In a word, Heartland keeps on remaining the foundation of Eurasia, its “Core” — weakened, suffered very serious losses, but still existing, independent, sovereign, and capable to pursue a policy, if not on a global scale, then on a regional one. In its history, Russia has several times fallen yet lower: the Domain Fragmentation on the turn of the 13th century, The Time of Troubles, and the events of 1917-1918 show us Heartland in a yet more deplorable and weakened condition. But every time, in some period, Russia revived and returned to the orbit of its geopolitical history again. The present state of Russia is difficult to recognize brilliant or even satisfactory from the geopolitical (Eurasian) point of view. Yet in general — Heartland does exist, it is relatively independent, and therefore, we have both a theoretical and practical base to consolidate and bring to life all the pre-conditions for development of a response to the phenomenon of monopolar globalization on the part of the Land.

Such an answer of the Land to the challenge of globalization (as a triumph of the “Sea Power”) is Multipolarism, as a theory, philosophy, strategy, policy, and practice.

Multipolarism as a Project of the World Order from the Land’s Position

Multipolarism represents a summary of Geopolitics-2 in actual conditions of the global process evolution. This is an extraordinarily capacious concept that demands a through consideration.

Multipolarism is a real antithesis for monopolarity in all its aspects: hard (imperialism, neocons, direct US domination), soft (multilateralism) and critical (alterglobalism, postmodernism, and neo-Marxism) ones.

The hard monopolarity version (radical American imperialism) is based upon the idea that the US represents the last citadel of the world order, prosperity, comfort, safety, and development surrounded by a chaos of underdeveloped societies. Multipolarism states the directly opposite: the US is a national state that exists among many others, its values are doubtful (or, at least, relative), its claims are disproportional, its appetites are excessive, methods of conducting its foreign policy are inacceptable, and its technological messianism is disastrous for the culture and ecology of the whole world.  In this regard, the multipolar project is a hard antithesis to the US as an instance that methodically builds a unipolar world, and it is aimed to strongly disallow, break up, and prevent this construction.

The soft monopolarity version does not only act on behalf of the US, but on behalf of “humanity”, exclusively understanding it as the West and the societies that agree with universalism of Western values. Soft monopolarity does not claim to press by force, but persuade, not to compel, but explain profits peoples and countries will obtain from entering into globalization. Here the pole is not a single national state (the US), but Western civilization as a whole, as a quintessence of all the humanity.

Such, as it is sometimes called, “multilateral” monopolarity (multilateralism, multilateralization) is rejected by Multipolarism that considers Western culture and Western values to represent merely one axiological composition among many others, one culture among different other cultures, and cultures and value systems based on some absolutely different principles to have the full right for existence. Consequently, the West in a whole and those sharing its values, have no grounds to insist on universalism of democracy, human rights, market, individualism, individual freedom, secularity, etc. and build a global society on the base of these guidelines.

Against alterglobalism and postmodern antiglobalism, Multipolarism advances a thesis that a capitalist phase of development and construction of worldwide global capitalism is not a necessary phase of society development, that it is despotism and an ambition to dictate different societies some kind of single history scenario. In the meantime, confusion of mankind into the single global proletariat is not a way to a better future, but an incidental and absolutely negative aspect of the global capitalism, which does not open any new prospects and only leads to degradation of cultures, societies, and traditions. If peoples do have a chance to organize effective resistance to the global capitalism, it is only where Socialist ideas are combined with elements of a traditional society (archaic, agricultural, ethnical, etc.), as it was in the history of the USSR, China, North Korea, Vietnam and takes place today in some Latin-American countries (e. g., in Bolivia, Venezuela, Cuba, etc.).

Further, Multipolarism is an absolutely different view on the space of land than bipolarity, a bipolar world.

map1

map2

Multipolarism represents a normative and imperative view on the present situation in the world on the part of the Land and it qualitatively differs from the model predominated in the Yalta World in the period of the “Cold War”.

The Bipolar World was constructed under the ideological principle, where two ideologies – Capitalism and Socialism – acted as poles. Socialism as an ideology did not challenge universalism of the West-European culture and represented a sociocultural and political tradition that threw back to the European Enlightenment. In a certain sense, Capitalism and Socialism competed with each other as two versions of Enlightenment, two versions of progress, two versions of universalism, two versions of the West-European sociopolitical idea.

Socialism and Marxism entered into a resonance with certain parameters of the “Land Power”, and therefore they did not win where Marx had supposed, but where he excluded this possibility – in an agricultural country with the predominant way of life of a traditional society and imperial organization of the political field. Another case of an (independent) victory of Socialism – China – also represented an agricultural, traditional society.

Multipolarism does not oppose monopolarity from the position of a single ideology that could claim for the second pole, but it does from the position of many ideologies, a plenty of cultures, world-views and religions that (each for its own reasons) have nothing in common with the Western liberal capitalism.  In a situation, when the Sea has a unified ideological aspect (however, ever more going to the sphere of subauditions, not explicit declarations), and the Land itself doesn’t, representing itself as several different world-view and civilization ensembles, Multipolarism suggests creating a united front of the Land against the Sea.

Multipolarism is different from both the conservative project of conservation and reinforcement of national states. On the one hand, national states in both colonial and post-colonial period reflect the West-European understanding of a normative political organization (that ignores any religious, social, ethnical, and cultural features of specific societies) in their structures, i.e. the nations themselves are partially products of globalization. And on the other hand, it is only a minor part of the two hundred fifty-six countries officially itemized in the UN list today that are, if necessary, capable to defend their sovereignty by themselves, without entering into a block or alliance with other countries. It means that not each nominal sovereign state can be considered a pole, as the degree of strategical freedom of the vast majority of the countries acknowledged is negligible. Therefore, reinforcement of the Westphalian system that still mechanically exists today is not an issue of Multipolarism.

Being the opposition of monopolarity, Multipolarism does not call to either return to the bipolar world on the base of ideology or to fasten the order of national states, or to merely preserve the status quo. All these strategies will only play in hands of globalization and monopolarity centers, as they have a project, a plan, a goal, and a rational route of movement to future; and all the scenarios enumerated are at best an appeal to a delay of the globalization process, and at worst (restoration of bipolarity on the base of ideology) look like irresponsible fantasy and nostalgia.

Multipolarism is a vector of the Land’s geopolitics directed to the future. It is based upon a sociological paradigm whose consistency is historically proven in the past and which realistically takes into account the state of affairs existing in the modern world and basic trends and force lines of its probable transformations. But Multipolarism is constructed on this basis as a project, as a plan of the world order we yet only expect to create.

2 Multipolarism and its Theoretical Foundation

The absence of the Multipolarism Theory

In spite of the fact that the term “Multipolarism” is quite often used in political and international discussions recently, its meaning is rather diffuse and inconcrete. Different circles and separate analysts and politicians insert their own sense in it. Well-founded researches and solid scientific monographs devoted to Multipolarism can be counted on fingers[1]. Even serious articles on this topic are quite rare[2]. The reason for this is well understood: as the US and Western countries set the parameters of the normative political and ideological discourse in a global scale today, according to these rules, whatever you want can be discussed but the sharpest and most painful questions. Even those considering unipolarity to have been just a “moment[3]” in the 1990-s and a transfer to some new indefinite model to be taking place now are ready to discuss any versions but the “multipolar” one. Thus, for example, the modern head of CFR Richard Haass tells about “Non-Polarity” meaning such stage of globalization where necessity in presence of a rigid center falls off by itself[4]. Such wiles are explained by the fact that one of the aims of globalization is, as we have seen, marginalization of the “Land Power”. And as far as Multipolarism can only be a form of an active strategy of the “Land Power” in the new conditions, any reference to it is not welcome by the West that sets the trend in the structure of political analysis in the general global context. Still less one should expect that conventional ideologies of the West take up development of the Multipolarism Theory.

It would be logical to assume that the Multipolarism Theory will be developed in the countries that explicitly declare orientation upon a multipolar world as the general vector of their foreign policy. The number of such countries includes Russia, China, India, and some others. Besides, the address to Multipolarism can be encountered in texts and documents of some European political actors (e.g., former French minister of Foreign Affairs Hubert Vidrine[5]). But at the moment, we can as well hardly find something more than materials of several symposiums and conferences with rather vague phrases in this field. One has to state that the topic of Multipolarism is not properly conceptualized also in the countries that proclaim it as their strategical goal, not to mention the absence a distinct and integral theory of Multipolarism.

Nevertheless, on the base of the geopolitical method from the position of the “Land Power” and with due account for the analysis of a phenomenon called globalism, it is quite possible to formulate some absolute principles that must underlie the Multipolarism Theory when the matter comes to its more systemized and expanded development.

Multipolarism: Geopolitics and Meta-Ideology

Let’s blueprint some theoretical sources, on whose base a valuable theory of Multipolarism must be built.

It is only geopolitics that can be the base for this theory in the actual conditions. At the moment, no religious, economical, political, social, cultural or economical ideology is capable to pull together the critical mass of the countries and societies that refer to the “Land Power” in a single planetary front necessary to make a serious and effective antithesis to globalism and the unipolar world. This is the specificity of the historical moment (“The Unipolar Moment”[6]): the dominating ideology (the global liberalism/post-liberalism) has no symmetrical opposition on its own level. Hence, it is necessary to directly appeal to geopolitics by taking the principle of the Land, the Land Power, instead of the opposing ideology. It is only possible in the case if the sociological, philosophical, and civilization dimensions of geopolitics are realized to the full extent.

AD4pt-greece.jpgThe “Sea Power” will serve us as a proof for this statement. We have seen that the very matrix of this civilization does not only occur in the Modem Period, but also in thalassocratic empires of the Antiquity (e.g., in Carthage), in the ancient Athens or in the Republic of Venice. And within the Modern World itself atlantism and liberalism do not as well find complete predominance over the other trends at once. And nevertheless, we can trace the conceptual sequence through a series of social formations: the “Sea Power” (as a geopolitical category) moves through history taking various forms till it finds its most complete and absolute aspect in the global world where its internal precepts become predominant in a planetary scale. In other words, ideology of the modern mondialism is only a historical form of a more common geopolitical paradigm. But there is a direct relation between this (probably, most absolute) form and the geopolitical matrix.

There is no such direct symmetry in case of the “Land Power”. The Communism ideology just partly (heroism, collectivism, antiliberalism) resonated with geopolitical percepts of the “ground” society (and this just in the concrete form of the Eurasian USSR and, to a lesser degree, of China), as the other aspects of this ideology (progressism, technology, materialism) fitted badly in the axiological structure of the “Land Power”. And today, even in theory, Communism cannot perform the mobilizing ideological function it used to perform in the 20th century in a planetary scale. From the ideological point of view the Land is really split into fragments and, in the nearest future, we can hardly expect some new ideology capable to symmetrically withstand the liberal globalism to appear. But the very geopolitical principle of the Land does not lose anything in its paradigmatic structure. It is this principle that must be taken as a foundation for construction of the Multipolarism Theory. This theory must address directly to geopolitics, draw principles, ideas, methods and terms out of it. This will allow to otherwise take both the wide range of existing non-globalist and counter-globalist ideologies, religions, cultures, and social trends. It is absolutely unnecessary to shape them to transform into something unified and systematized. They can well remain local or regional but be integrated into a front of common stand against globalization and “Western Civilization’s” domination on the meta-ideological level, on the paradigmatic level of Geopolitics-2 and this moment – plurality of ideologies – is already laid in the very term “Multi-polarism” (not only within the strategical space, but also in the field of the ideological, cultural, religious, social, and economical one).

Multipolarism is nothing but extension of Geopolitics-2 (geopolitics of the Land) into a new environment characterized with the advance of globalism (as atlantism) on a qualitatively new level and in qualitatively new proportions. Multipolarism has no other sense.

Geopolitics of the Land and its general vectors projected upon the modern conditions are the axis of the Multipolarism Theory, on which all the other aspects of this theory are threaded. These aspects constitute philosophical, sociological, axiological, economical, and ethical parts of this theory. But all of them are anyway conjugated with the acknowledged – in an extendedly sociological way – structure of the “Land Power” and with the direct sense of the very concept of “Multipolarism” that refers us to the principles of plurality, diversity, non-universalism, and variety.

3 Multipolarism and Neo-Eurasianism

Neo-Eurasianism as Weltanschauung

Neo-Eurasianism is positioned nearest to the theory of Multipolarism. This concept roots in geopolitics and operates par excellence with the formula of “Russia-Eurasia” (as Heartland) but at the same time develops a wide range of ideological, philosophical, sociological and politological fields, instead of being only limited with geostrategy and application analysis.

What is in the term of “Neo-Eurasianism” can be illustrated with fragments of the Manifesto of the International “Eurasian Movement” “Eurasian Mission»[7]. Its authors point out five levels in Neo-Eurasianism allowing to interpret it in a different way depending on a concrete context.

The first level: Eurasianism is a Weltanschauung.

According to the authors of the Manifesto, the term “Eurasianism” “is applied to a certain Weltanschauung, a certain political philosophy that combines in itself tradition, modernity and even elements of postmodern in an original manner. The philosophy of Eurasianism proceeds from priority of values of the traditional society, acknowledges the imperative of technical and social modernization (but without breaking off cultural roots), and strives to adapt its ideal program to the situation of a post-industrial, information society called “postmodern”.

The formal opposition between tradition and modernity is removed in postmodern. However, postmodernism in the atlantist aspect levels them from the position of indifference and exhaustiveness of contents. The Eurasian postmodern, on the contrary, considers the possibility for an alliance of tradition with modernity to be a creative, optimistic energetic impulse that induces imagination and development.

In the Eurasianism philosophy, the realities superseded by the period of Enlightenment obtain a legitimate place – these are religion, ethnos, empire, cult, legend, etc. In the same time, a technological breakthrough, economical development, social fairness, labour liberation, etc. are taken from the Modern. The oppositions are overcome by merging into a single harmonious and original theory that arouses fresh ideas and new decisions for eternal problems of humankind. (…)

The philosophy of Eurasianism is an open philosophy, it is free from any forms of dogmatism. It can be appended by diversified areas – history, religion, sociological and ethnological discoveries, geopolitics, economics, regional geography, culturology, various types of strategical and politological researches, etc. Moreover, Eurasianism as a philosophy assumes an original development in each concrete cultural and linguistic context: Eurasianism of the Russians will inevitably differ from Eurasianism of the French or Germans, Eurasianism of the Turks from Eurasianism of the Iranians; Eurasianism of the Arabs from Eurasianism of the Chinese, etc. Whereby, the main force lines of this philosophy will, in a whole, be preserved unalterable.(…)

The following items can be called general reference points of the Eurasianism philosophy:

  • differentialism, pluralism of value systems against obligatory domination of a single ideology (in our case and first of all, of the American liberal democracy);
  • traditionalism against destruction of cultures, beliefs and rites of the traditional society;
  • a world-state, continent-state against both bourgeois national states and “the world government”;
  • rights of nations against omnipotence of “the Golden Billion” and neo-colonial hegemony of “the Rich North”;
  • an ethnos as a value and subject of history against depersonalization of nations and their alienation in artificial sociopolitical constructions;
  • social fairness and solidarity of labour people against exploitation, logic of coarse gain, and humiliation of man by man.»[8]

Neo-Eurasianism as a Planetary Trend

On the second level: Neo-Eurasianism is a planetary trend. The authors of the Manifesto explain:

«Eurasianism on the level of a planetary trend is a global, revolutionary, civilization concept that is, by gradually improving, addressed to become a new ideological platform of mutual understanding and cooperation for a vast conglomerate of different forces, states, nations, cultures, and confessions that refuse from the Atlantic globalization.

It is worth carefully reading the statements of the most diverse powers all over the world: politicians, philosophers, and intellectuals and we will make sure that Eurasianists constitute the vast majority. Mentality of many nations, societies, confession, and states is, though they may not suspect about it themselves, Eurasianist.

If thinking about this multitude of different cultures, religions, confessions, and countries discordant with “the end of history” we are imposed by atlantism, our courage will grow up and the seriousness of risks of realization of the American 21st century strategical security concept related with a unipolar world establishment will sharply increase.

Eurasianism is an aggregate of all natural and artificial, objective and subjective obstacles on the way of unipolar globalization, whereby it is elevated from a mere negation to a positive project, a creative alternative. While these obstacles exist discretely and chaotically, the globalists deal with them separately. But it is worth just integrating, pulling them together in a single, consistent Weltanschauung of a planetary character and the chances for victory of Eurasianism all over the world will be very serious.»[9]

Neo-Eurasianism as an Integration Project

On the next level, Neo-Eurasianism is treated as a project of strategical integration of the Eurasian Continent:

“The concept “the Old World” usually defining Europe can be considered much wider. This huge multicivilization space populated with nations, states, cultures, ethnoses and confessions connected between each other historically and spatially by the community of dialectical destiny. The Old World is a product of organic development of human history.

The Old World is usually set against the New World, i.e. the American continent that was discovered by the Europeans and has become a platform for construction of an artificial civilization where the European projects of the Modern, the period of Enlightenment have taken shape. (…)

In the 20th century Europe realized its original essence and had gradually been moving to integration of all the European states into a single Union capable to provide all this space with sovereignty, independence, security, and freedom.

Creation of the European Union was the greatest milestone in the mission of Europe’s return in history. This was the response of “the Old World” to the exorbitant demands of the “New” one. If considering the alliance between the US and Western Europe – with US domination – to be the Atlantist vector of European development, then the integration of European nations themselves with predomination of the continental countries (France-Germany) can be considered Eurasianism in relation to Europe.

It becomes especially illustrative, if taking into account the theories that Europe geopolitically stretches from the Atlantic to the Urals (Ch. de Gaulle) or to Vladivostok. In other words, the interminable spaces of Russia are also valuably included in the field of the Old World subject to integration.

(…) Eurasianism in this context can be defined as a project of strategical, geopolitical, economical integration of the North of the Eurasian Continent realized as the cradle of European history, matrix of nations and cultures closely interlaced between each other.

And since Russia itself (like, by the way, the ancestors of many Europeans as well) is related in a large measure with the Turkish, Mongolian world, with Caucasian nations, through Russia – and in a parallel way through Turkey – does the integrating Europe as the Old World already acquire the Eurasianism dimension to full extent; and in this case, not only in symbolic sense, but also in geographical one. Here Eurasianism can be synonimically identified with Continentalism.[10]»

These three most general definitions of Neo-Eurasianism demonstrate that here we deal with a preparatory basis for construction of the Multipolarism Theory. This is the ground view on the sharpest challenges of modernity and attempt to give an adjust response to them taking into account geopolitical, civilization, sociological, historical and philosophical regularities.


[1]  Murray D.,  Brown D. (eds.) Multipolarity in the 21st Century. A New World Order. Abingdon, UK: Routledge, 2010; Ambrosio Th. Challenging America global Preeminence: Russian Quest for Multipolarity. Chippenheim, Wiltshire: Anthony Rose, 2005; Peral L. (ed.) Global Security in a Multi-polar World. Chaillot

Paper. Paris: European Institute for Security Studies, 2009; Hiro D. After Empire: The Birth of a Multipolar World. Yale: Nation Books , 2009.

[2] Turner Susan. Russia, Chine and the Multipolar World Order: the danger in the undefined// Asian Perspective. 2009. Vol. 33, No. 1. C. 159-184; Higgott Richard Multi-Polarity and Trans-Atlantic Relations: Normative Aspirations and Practical Limits of EU Foreign Policy. – www.garnet-eu.org. 2010. [Electronic resource] URL: http://www.garnet-eu.org/fileadmin/documents/working_papers/7610.pdf (дата обращения 28.08.2010); Katz M. Primakov Redux. Putin’s Pursuit of «Multipolarism» in Asia//Demokratizatsya. 2006. vol.14 № 4. C.144-152.

[3] Krauthammer Ch. The Unipolar Moment// Foreign Affairs. 1990 / 1991 Winter. Vol. 70, No 1. С. 23-33.

[4] Haass R. The Age of Non-polarity: What will follow US Dominance?’//Foreign Affairs.2008. 87 (3). С. 44-56.

[5] Déclaration de M. Hubert Védrine, ministre des affaires étrangères sur la reprise d’une dialogue approfondie entre la France et l’Hinde: les enjeux de la resistance a l’uniformisation culturelle et aux exces du monde unipolaire. New Delhi — 1 lesdiscours.vie-publique.fr. 7.02.2000.  [Electronic resource] URL: http://lesdiscours.vie-publique.fr/pdf/003000733.pdf

[6] Krauthammer Ch. The Unipolar Moment. Op.cit.

[7] Евразийская миссия. Манифест Международного «Евразийского Движения». М.: Международное Евразийское Движение, 2005.

[8] Ibid

[9] Ibid.

[10] Ibid.

This entry was posted in Journal of Eurasian Affairs, vol.1, Num.1, 2013 by eurasianaffairs. Bookmark the permalink.

vendredi, 11 octobre 2013

Too Much Putin?

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Too Much Putin?

By Michael O'Meara 

Ex: http://www.counter-currents.com

US hegemony may be approaching its end. Once the world refuses to acknowledge the imperial authority of its humanitarian missiles, and thus stops paying tribute to its predatory model of the universe (as momentarily occurred in Syria), then American power inevitably starts to decline – and not simply on the world stage, but also domestically, among the empire’s subjects, who in the course of the long descent will be forced to discover new ways to assert themselves.

***

Historically, America’s counter-civilizational system was an offshoot of the Second World War, specifically the US conquest of Europe — which made America, Inc. (Organized Jewry/Wall Street/the military-industrial complex) the key-holder not solely to the New Deal/War Deal’s Washingtonian Leviathan, but to its new world order: an updated successor to Disraeli’s money-making empire, upon which the sun never set.[1]

The prevailing race-mixing, nation-destroying globalization of the last two and a half decades, with its cosmopolitan fixation on money and commerce and its non-stop miscegenating brainwashing, is, as such, preeminently a product of this postwar system that emerged from the destruction of Central Europe and from America’s Jewish/capitalist-inspired extirpation of its European Christian roots.[2]

The fate of white America, it follows, is closely linked to the “order” the United States imposed on the “Free World” after 1945 and on the rest of the world after 1989. This was especially evident in the recent resistance of the American “people” to Obama’s flirtation with World War III – a resistance obviously emboldened by the mounting international resistance to Washington’s imperial arrogance, as it (this resistance) momentarily converged with the worldwide Aurora Movements resisting the scorch-earth campaigns associated with US power.[3]

***

Everyone on our side recognizes the ethnocidal implications of America’s world order, but few, I suspect, understand its civilizational implications as well as Russia’s Vladimir Putin.

On September 19, barely a week after our brush with the Apocalypse, the Russian president delivered an address to the Valdai International Discussion Club (an international forum on Russia’s role in the world), which highlighted the extreme degree to which Putin’s vision of world order differs from that of Obama and the American establishment.[4] Indeed, Putin’s entire line of thought, in its grasp of the fundamental challenges of our age, is unlike anything to be found in the discourse of the Western political classes (though from the misleading reports in the MSM on his Valdai address this would never be known).[5]

Putin, to be sure, is no White Nationalist and thus no proponent of a racially-homogenous ethnostate. This makes him like everyone else. Except Putin is not like everyone else, as we’ll see.

Certain East Europeans, instinctively anti-Russian, like our Cold War “conservatives,” refuse to appreciate Russia’s new international role because of historical grievances related to an earlier legacy of Tsarist or Soviet imperialism (though their grievances, they should know, bare little comparison to those “We Irish” hold against the English ruling class). In any case, such tribal grievances are not our concern, nor should they prevent the recognition that East Europeans and Russians, like Irish and English – and like all the national tribes belonging to that community of destiny distinct to the white man – share a common interest (a life-and-death interest) in being all prospective allies in the war against the globalist forces currently assaulting them in their native lands.

It’s not simply because Russia is anti-American that she is increasingly attractive to the conscious remnants of the European race in North America (though that might be reason enough). Rather it’s that Russia, in defying the globalist forces and reaffirming the primacy of her heritage and identity, stands today for principles that lend international legitimacy – and hence a modicum of power – to patriots everywhere resisting the enemies of their blood.

***

Qualitative differences of world-shaping consequence now clearly separate Russians and Americans on virtually every key issue of our age (more so than during the Cold War) – differences in my view that mark the divide between the forces of white preservation and those of white replacement, and, more generally, between the spirit of European man and the materialist, miscegenating depravity of the US system, which approaches the whole world as if it were a flawed and irredeemable version of itself.

In this sense, the decline of American global power and the rising credibility of Russia’s alternative model can only enhance the power of European Americans, increasing their capacity to remain true to their self-identity. US imperial decline might even eventually give them a chance to take back some of the power that decides who they are.

Putin’s discourse at the Valdai Club addressed issues (to paraphrase) related to the values underpinning Russia’s development, the global processes affecting Russian national identity, the kind of 21st-century world Russians want to see, and what they can contribute to this future.

His responses to these issues were historically momentous in being unlike anything in the West today. Cynics, of course, will dismiss his address as mere PR, though the Russian leader has a documented history of saying what he thinks – and thus ought not be judged like American politicians, who say only what’s on the teleprompter and then simply for the sake of spin and simulacra.

Foremost of Russia’s concerns, as Putin defined it in his address to the club’s plenary session, is “the problem of remaining Russian in a globalizing world hostile to national identity.” “For us (and I am talking about Russians and Russia), questions about who we are and who we want to be are increasingly prominent in our society.” In a word, Putin sees identitarianism as the central concern of Russia’s “state-civilization,” (something quite staggering when you consider that the very term [“identitarianism”] was hardly known outside France when I started translating it a decade ago). Identitarianism in the 21st century may even, as Putin implies, prove to be what nationalism and socialism were to the 20th century: the great alternative to liberal nihilism.

Like Bush, Clinton, or other US flim-flam artists, Obama could conceivably mouth a similar defense of national identity if the occasion demanded it, but never, not in a thousand years, could he share the sentiment motivating it, namely the sense that: “It is impossible to move forward without spiritual, cultural, and national self-determination. Without this we will not be able to withstand internal and external challenges, nor will we succeed in global competitions.”[6]

The operative term here is “spiritual, cultural and national self-determination” – not diversity, universalism, or some putative human right; not even money and missiles – for in Putin’s vision, Russia’s historical national, cultural, and spiritual identities are the alpha and omega of Russian policy. Without these identities and the spirit animating them, Russia would cease to be Russia; she would be nothing – except another clone of America’s supermarket culture. With her identity affirmed, as recent events suggest, Russia again becomes a great power in the world.

The question of self-determination is necessarily central to the anti-identitarianism of our global, boundary-destroying age. According to Putin, Russia’s national identity

is experiencing not only objective pressures stemming from globalisation, but also the consequences of the national catastrophes of the twentieth century, when we experienced the collapse of our state two different times [1917 and 1991]. The result was a devastating blow to our nation’s cultural and spiritual codes; we were faced with the disruption of traditions and the consonance of history, with the demoralisation of society, with a deficit of trust and responsibility. These are the root causes of many pressing problems we face.

Then, following the Soviet collapse of 1991, Putin says:

There was the illusion that a new national ideology, a development ideology [promoted by Wall Street and certain free-market economists with Jewish names], would simply appear by itself. The state, authorities, intellectual and political classes virtually rejected engaging in this work, all the more so since previous, semi-official ideology was hard to swallow. And in fact they were all simply afraid to even broach the subject. In addition, the lack of a national idea stemming from a national identity profited the quasi-colonial element of the elite – those determined to steal and remove capital, and who did not link their future to that of the country, the place where they earned their money.

Putin here has obviously drawn certain traditionalist conclusions from the failings of the former Communist experiment, as well as from capitalism’s present globalizing course.

A new national idea does not simply appear, nor does it develop according to market rules. A spontaneously constructed state and society does not work, and neither does mechanically copying other countries’ experiences. Such primitive borrowing and attempts to civilize Russia from abroad were not accepted by an absolute majority of our people. This is because the desire for independence and sovereignty in spiritual, ideological and foreign policy spheres is an integral part of our national character . . . [It’s an integral part of every true nation.]

The former Communist KGB officer (historical irony of historical ironies) stands here on the stump of that political/cultural resistance born in reaction to the French Revolution and its destruction of historical organisms.

In developing new strategies to preserve Russian identity in a rapidly changing world, Putin similarly rejects the tabula rasa contentions of the reigning liberalism, which holds that you can “flip or even kick the country’s future like a football, plunging into unbridled nihilism, consumerism, criticism of anything and everything . . .” [Like Burke, he in effect condemns the “junto of robbers” seeking to rip the traditional social fabric for the sake of short term profit, as these money-grubbers prepare the very revolution they dred.]

Programmatically, this means:

Russia’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity [against which America’s counter-civilizational system relentlessly schemes] are unconditional. These are red lines no one is allowed to cross. For all the differences in our views, debates about identity and about our national future are impossible unless their participants are patriotic.” [That is, only Russians, not Washington or New York, ought to have a say in determining who or what a Russian is.]

Self-criticism is necessary, but without a sense of self-worth, or love for our Fatherland, such criticism becomes humiliating and counterproductive. [These sorts of havoc-wreaking critiques are evident today in every Western land. Without loyalty to a heritage based on blood and spirit, Russians would be cast adrift in a historyless stream, like Americans and Europeans.] We must be proud of our history, and we have things to be proud of. Our entire, uncensored history must be a part of Russian identity. Without recognising this it is impossible to establish mutual trust and allow society to move forward. . .

The challenges to Russia’s identity, he specifies, are

linked to events taking place in the world [especially economic globalization and its accompanying destruction of traditional life]. Here there are both foreign policy and moral aspects. We can see how many of the Euro-Atlantic countries are actually rejecting their roots, including the Christian values that constitute the basis of Western civilisation. They are denying moral principles and all traditional identities: national, cultural, religious, and even sexual. They are implementing policies that equate large families with same-sex partnerships, belief in God with the belief in Satan.

The excesses of political correctness have reached the point where people are seriously talking about registering political parties whose aim is to promote paedophilia. People in many European countries are embarrassed or afraid to talk about their religious affiliations. Holidays are abolished or even called something different; their essence is hidden away, as is their moral foundation. And people [i.e., the Americans and their vassals] are aggressively trying to export this model all over the world. I am convinced that this opens a direct path to degradation and primitivism, resulting in a profound demographic and moral crisis. [Hence, the US-sponsored desecrations of Pussy Riot.]

What else but the loss of the ability to self-reproduce could act as the greatest testimony of the moral crisis facing a human society? Today almost all developed nations [infected with the system’s counter-civilizational ethos] are no longer able to reproduce themselves, even with the help of migration. Without the values embedded in Christianity and other world religions, without the standards of morality that have taken shape over millennia, people will inevitably lose their human dignity. We consider it natural and right to defend these values. One must respect every minority’s right to be different, but the rights of the majority must not be put into question.

Tolerant and pluralist though he is here, Putin nevertheless affirms the primacy of Russia herself. Our politicians get this 100 percent wrong, Putin only 50 percent – which puts him at the head of the class.

At the same time we see attempts to somehow revive a standardized [i.e., Americanized] model of a unipolar world and to blur the institutions of international law and national sovereignty. Such a unipolar, standardised world does not require sovereign states; it requires vassals. In a historical sense this amounts to a rejection of one’s own identity, of the God-given diversity of the world.

Russia agrees with those who believe that key decisions should be worked out on a collective basis, rather than at the discretion of and in the interests of certain countries or groups of countries. Russia believes that international law, not the right of the strong, must apply. And we believe that every country, every nation is not exceptional [as the Americans think they are], but unique, original, and benefits from equal rights, including the right to independently choose their own development path . . .

This is our conceptual outlook, and it follows from our own historical destiny and Russia’s role in global politics. [Instead, then, of succumbing to America’s suburban consumer culture and its larger dictates, Russia seeks to preserve her own identity and independence.]

Our present position has deep historical roots. Russia itself has evolved on the basis of diversity, harmony and balance, and brings such a balance to the international stage.

The grandeur of Putin’s assertion here has to be savored: against the latest marketing or policy scheme the US tries to impose on Russia, he advances his queen, pointing to a thousand years of Russian history, as he disperses America’s corrupting ploys with a dismissive smirk.

Though seeing Russia as a multiethnic/multi-confessional state that has historically recognized the rights of minorities, he insists she must remain Russian:

Russia – as philosopher Konstantin Leontyev vividly put it – has always evolved in ‘blossoming complexity’ as a state-civilisation, reinforced by the Russian people, Russian language, Russian culture, Russian Orthodox Church and the country’s other traditional religions. It is precisely the state-civilisation model that has shaped our state polity….

Thus it is that Russians, among other things, “must restore the role of great Russian culture and literature. . . to serve as the foundation for people’s personal identity, the source of their uniqueness, and their basis for understanding the national idea. . .” Following Yeats, he might have added that the arts dream of “what is to come,” providing Russians new ways of realizing or re-inventing themselves.

I want to stress again that without focusing our efforts on people’s education and health, creating mutual responsibility between the authorities and each individual, and establishing trust within society, we will be losers in the competition of history. Russia’s citizens must feel that they are the responsible owners of their country, region, hometown, property, belongings and their lives. A citizen is someone who is capable of independently managing his or her own affairs . . .

Think of how the “democratic” powers of the Americanosphere now hound and persecute whoever insists on managing his own affairs: e.g., Greece’s Golden Dawn.

The years after 1991 are often referred to as the post-Soviet era. We have lived through and overcome that turbulent, dramatic period. Russia has passed through these trials and tribulations and is returning to herself, to her own history, just as she did at other points in its history. [This forward-looking orientation rooted in a filial loyalty to the Russian past makes Putin something of an archeofuturist.] After consolidating our national identity, strengthening our roots, and remaining open and receptive to the best ideas and practices of the East and the West, we must and will move forward.

***

As an ethnonationalist concerned with the preservation and renaissance of my own people, I hope Russia succeeds not only in defending her national identity (and ideally that of others), but in breaking America’s anti-identitarian grip on Europe, so as to insure the possibility of a future Euro-Russian imperium federating the closely related white, Christian peoples, whose lands stretch from the Atlantic to the Urals.

But even barring this, Russia’s resistance to the ethnocidal forces of the US global system, will continue to play a major role in enabling European Americans trapped in the belly of the beast to better defend their own blood and spirit.

And even if Europeans should persist in their servility and the United States continues to lead its “mother soil and father culture” into the abyss, Russians under Putin will at least retain some chance of remaining themselves – which is something no mainstream American or European politician seeks for his people.

If only for this reason, I think there can never be “too much Putin,” as our Russophobes fear.

Notes

1. Desmond Fennell, Uncertain Dawn: Hiroshima and the Beginning of Post-Western Civilization (Dublin: Sanas, 1996); Julius Evola, “Disraeli the Jew and the Empire of the Shopkeepers” (1940), http://thompkins_cariou.tripod.com/id34.html [2].

2. “Boreas Rising: White Nationalism and the Geopolitics of the Paris-Berlin-Moscow Axis [3]” (2005).

3. “Against the Armies of the Night: The Aurora Movements [4]” (2010).

4. President of Russia, “Address to the Valdai International Discussion Club” September 19, 2013. http://eng.news.kremlin.ru/transcripts/6007/print [5]. (I have made several grammatical and stylistic changes to the translation.)

5. Much of my understanding of this comes from Dedefensa, “Poutine, la Russie et le sens de la crise” (September 23, 2013) at http://www.dedefensa.org/article-poutine_la_russie_et_le_sens_de_la_crise_23_09_2013.html [6].

6. Samuel P. Huntington was the last major representative of the US elite to uphold a view even vaguely affirmative of the nation’s historical culture – and he caught hell for see. Who Are We?: The Challenges to America’s National Identity (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2005).


Article printed from Counter-Currents Publishing: http://www.counter-currents.com

URL to article: http://www.counter-currents.com/2013/10/too-much-putin/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://www.counter-currents.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/putin.jpg

[2] http://thompkins_cariou.tripod.com/id34.html: http://thompkins_cariou.tripod.com/id34.html

[3] Boreas Rising: White Nationalism and the Geopolitics of the Paris-Berlin-Moscow Axis: http://www.counter-currents.com/2011/08/boreas-risingwhite-nationalism-the-geopolitics-of-the-paris-berlin-moscow-axis-part-1/

[4] Against the Armies of the Night: The Aurora Movements: http://www.counter-currents.com/2010/07/against-the-armies-of-the-night/

[5] http://eng.news.kremlin.ru/transcripts/6007/print: http://eng.news.kremlin.ru/transcripts/6007/print

[6] http://www.dedefensa.org/article-poutine_la_russie_et_le_sens_de_la_crise_23_09_2013.html: http://www.dedefensa.org/article-poutine_la_russie_et_le_sens_de_la_crise_23_09_2013.html

Challenges and Opportunities for Russia

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Restructuring the World by Normative Means: Challenges and Opportunities for Russia

 
Ex: http://www.geopolitica.ru

In the light of global crisis lasting for almost five years the traditional advantages of the West in world politics have turned obviously relative. Its military power is ever more costly and ever less effective for imposing stable order in strategically important regions. Its economy is creeping and prospects of its growth are still obscure. And with resurfacing deep societal imbalances Western ideational leadership is also fading away. In many respects the West finds itself excessively dependent upon foreign markets including those of rising powers which strive to retain and expand their political autonomy.

This means that the gap between the West and the Rest cannot be sustained by usual power instruments and in several years it can be narrowed to a dangerous and irreversible extent. Such perspective prompts the United States as well as the European countries to exert urgent efforts in order to prevent imminent assault on Western leadership in the global system.

The strategy to be deployed for this purpose has crystallized in the last two years and consists in promoting major realignments of global and regional powers around the newly consolidated Western community. This strategy has as its main vehicle the normative influence wielded through redefining economic and political rules within and outside that community. And its practical implementation proceeds along two initiatives presented as a centrepiece of Barack Obama second presidency – Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP or ‘Economic NATO’) and Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).

These projects are intended to form an exclusive circle of countries with close political proximity and high-level normative convergence. Within these frameworks new basic socioeconomic rules could be agreed that would further be extrapolated outwards to the markets of alien regions. Economically this circle would benefit from revitalized capital flows leading to essential reindustrialization of its economies, while normative expansion to third countries, spurred by their aspirations to have an access to the core zone, would enable the renewed West to shape external markets according to the own needs. Rising powers remaining outside the core, first of all China and Russia, would have to adapt to the new rules and make strategic concessions. Thus the centre-periphery structure of world economy and hence of world politics would be secured and Western leadership reasserted.

This strategy of economic and normative consolidation may be quite logical outcome of the tendencies unfolded in recent years where consensus on global rules is hardly attainable, and the economic weight of rising powers makes the increase of their formal representation and political influence in the global institutions inescapable. Perhaps normative impact is actually the only potentially efficient and not so costly leverage at the West’s disposal now. But in political sense it is quite risky and may bring destabilizing outcomes in no less scope than military force. In addition, its implementation is far from unproblematic given the trends dominating the transatlantic relations as well as in US interaction with Asian states over the past years.

Problems with implementation

Despite widely spread idea that crisis may generate radical renovation of domestic and foreign policies, the key global players demonstrate the opposite inclination towards sticking to decades-old reliable methods and ties. In this vein, after several not very convincing attempts at opening to the ‘new horizons’ Washington again returned to traditional alliances and partnerships that underpinned its international posture after the Second World War. Though shattered by centrifugal forces due to inevitable differentiation of interests, these alliances seem more promising in the sense of resource sharing and political solidarity in times when going-it-alone is not a viable option any more. Leaving aside an even more intricate constellation in the Trans-Pacific dimension of US policy let’s focus upon its transatlantic component.

The European states still remain the closest allies for the US since, as Simon Serfaty argues, no other two poles in the world may form a more complete partnership than the US and the EU[1]. But the situation looks not so unequivocal from the vantage point of the EU interests and priorities.

On the one hand, since the beginning of 2000s the EU has persistently aspired to forge a new quality of transatlantic partnership in order to maintain American security engagement in the European continent and retain own position and influence in transatlantic compact. But at the same time, European capitals exhibited little enthusiasm to the prospect of being drawn into American strategy of military interventions outside Europe. Ensuing indifference on the part of Washington generated anxiety over possible ‘transatlantic divorce’. Election of Barack Obama raised far-reaching hopes in this regard and led to amelioration of political atmosphere between the two shores of the Atlantic. But the actual shifts in relationship turned rather ambiguous, and the clear common vision of the future global order as well as of major international issues has not emerged[2], due to reasons not dissimilar to those of George W. Bush era. The kind of conceptual stalemate was aggravated by disagreements over anti-crisis measures and US announced ‘pivot to Asia’ threatening to further reduce American engagement in Europe.

On the other hand, in the post-bipolar era the European Union managed to accumulate important assets which however modest as they may seem provide it with a capability to pursue own strategy in the international scene. In the economic dimension the EU has long turned into US competitor allowing the analyst to speak about ‘transatlantic bipolarity’ in trade matters[3]. It also elaborated a full-fledged normative basis and consistently employs it as a power leverage in interactions with third countries precisely in the way the US envisage for TTIP. At last, in the past decade the EU built up its own web of relationships with neighbouring and remote regions which although not extremely influential lays the ground for its political autonomy, and renouncing it for the sake of supporting US global strategy looks fairly unreasonable.

Certainly, Washington put forward potent arguments behind its ambitious proposal. It portrays it as a last resort means that can avert EU economic stagnation and political downscaling and, in general, keep alive the euro zone and the European integration as a whole. Its appeal may be even greater if combined with substantial political benefits for particular member states, first of all Germany and Great Britain or for communitarian institutions like the European Commission.

But the real implications of this project should be assessed more carefully. The economic benefits of a suggested free trade area for both sides seem disputable and much depending upon its concrete parameters. Even in the best case the foreseen growth rate does not exceed 0,5 % of the EU’s GDP provided the complete opening of markets, which is far from guaranteed.

No more clarity is there in political and institutional side of the matter. Here the main challenge stem from the prospect that streamlined transatlantic integration may really absorb the European project and thus put a brake upon its movement towards a kind of federal model. The recent history already witnessed such a shift when EU-NATO cooperation forestalled essential deepening of European defence integration as was predicted by Hanna Ojanen[4].

An even more significant problem emanates from the process of converging of regulatory rules and eliminating non-tariff barriers. Up to now the EU rejected to make its normative basis subject to negotiations with a third state and it is hard to imagine how it may compromise it this time especially when several major agreements with solid normative components are underway with neighbouring countries.

The matter is complicated by the fact that the conceptual ground for such convergence is also out of sight. it is an open secret that the US and European practices of economic regulation and state-society relations differ to a serious degree. In essence, consolidation inside the supposed core circle may prove no easier to carry out than potentially projecting it outwards after that.

Apparently, all the above mentioned problems may find more or less satisfying solution provided sufficient political will. Initially there was abundant voluntarism on the part of the EU institutions to strike a lucrative trade deal but as far as the issue is discussed by foreign ministries in the course of setting the mandate for negotiations, numerous reservations arise which can postpone reaching agreement within the EU. And the calendar of the project is rather pressing – American side urges to sign the deal in 2015 and the European Commission dared to set the deadline even earlier in 2014 before the elections to the European Parliament. But these terms are hardly realistic.

Another serious nuance must be mentioned in this context. The post-bipolar era unleashed a process of rediscovering mental, societal and cultural divergences between US and the EU. Together with generational shifts in the United States away from Cold War mass affinity with Europe it produces a context where transatlantic proximity is not taken as granted by European and American public. Such considerations stipulate a necessity in blurring distinctions and reinforcing societal solidarity between the two shores of the Atlantic while accentuating the divergences and gaps with non-Western societies. Ostensibly, a recent wave of same-sex marriage campaign is an integral part of such tactics and it actually contributed to further cultural fence-mending with the outer word.

In sum, the key transatlantic question today is whether the US manages to impose China threat on the EU to an extent justifying economic and normative subordination like it managed to impose Soviet threat to subordinate it strategically sixty years ago. But the EU should realize that agreeing to the US proposal amounts to agreeing to the global strategy it promulgates, a strategy where there would be scarcely an autonomous role for the EU.

Global and regional risks

Normative strategies as such – and the EU has amply experienced it elsewhere – are accompanied by a range of problems starting from the problem of indirect political effect due to which normative influence in each concrete case depends on the reaction of the recipients. But the US ‘two-rings’[5] strategy contains even more serious risks for global governance that cannot be voluntarily dispelled.

As many observers pointed out, it threatens to subvert current multilateral order where general political compromise by all stakeholders is the imperative conditions for progress. In the first turn it will challenge global trade and development institutions, notably the WTO. For the EU that has ever been a protagonist of effective multilateralism inscribed even in its security strategy assuming its failure and contributing to it is a rather confusing political step[6]. It has ever constructed its foreign policy identity in terms of ‘the other West’ acting in contrast to US exceptionalism and arrogance to smooth the disproportions of world development. In fact, its ‘normative power Europe’ pretence is founded upon contrasting its international posture with that of US[7].

But the weakening of global institutions is only part of the problem. Their functionality is already fading and the time when their reforming alone could be sufficient for adjusting world power balance is over. But substituting them with bilateral deals is by no means an optimal solution. Preferring bilateral bargaining over multilateral compromise in order to sustain the power asymmetries may engender new round of balancing unchecked by any universal claims. It should be born in mind that asymmetry even on cooperative terms may endure only when recognised and accepted by both sides, otherwise it produces only exacerbation and desire to vindicate own status. In present day multipolar world it is not the case. Artificial fixing of global hierarchy through arbitrary limiting the range of countries participating in elaboration of economic rules will lead to antagonizing rising powers, entrenching polarization of the global system and setting a new overwhelming conflicting structure.

Perhaps for somebody conflicting structure may seem quite pertinent and even attractive owing to its disciplining effects but there are no reasons to deem that in such structure the West will be able to retain its pre-eminence indefinitely. Unilateral escalating tension and rising stakes would create significant pressure for the West itself which not all of its participators would be willing to withhold. Burden sharing has always been a delicate issue for transatlantic community ever containing an essential element of free-riding. Can Washington this time throw behind its design sufficient weight to bind its partners and simultaneously to impose necessary concessions on its rivals? The answer is far from obvious.

Moving global competition into normative realm is hardly a stabilizing development. Norms and values are deeply interlinked with societal worldviews and the rifts they promote elicit highly emotional reactions in the public-at-large. Instead of intended delaying the shaping of already crystallized multipolar landscape, normative differentiation may catalyze its emergence in an explosive balance-of-power mode deprived of meaningful multilateral restraints.

Russia: how to win the game without participating in it

The role of Russia in the US normative strategy is clearly defined as an outsider that at a certain stage will be compelled to accept the Western terms due to economic or strategic reasons. But even if the task of ‘coercion into cooperation’ of Russia is somehow secondary for this policy in comparison to containing China, Russian front nevertheless is important for elaborating and sophisticating the Western normative toolbox. Russia and East European states are primary objects of the EU normative strategy developed under Eastern Partnership programme which is wholly supported by Washington. And recent trends demonstrate a new round of intentional bringing of normative differences to the fore of the US and EU’s Russia policy.

Russia’s response to those trends is two-fold. On the one hand, Moscow adopted the tactics of overt rejecting Western allegations against its normative pitfalls and voices public criticism at the Western values and their practices that sometimes bring about the ever more visible societal distortions and imbalances. On the other hand, Russia embarked on creating an own normative platform within the framework of Customs / Eurasian Union. Such steps are useful though their implementation as for now looks clumsy and hardly improving Russian international and domestic profile.

But the game that is unfolding in world politics does not allow for purely defensive strategies. Normative fence-mending by the West cannot be matched by symmetrical fence-mending by Russia not least because Russian capabilities for that are below the necessary scope. What is more telling, for Russia trying to build own fences means playing the US game and pouring water at the mill of American projects. Russia is gradually getting entangled in normative competition over values, standards and worldviews before producing an alternative she can come up with.

That competition in itself is highly unfavourable for Russia forcing upon it a choice of either norm-contender role that she is yet not apt for, or norm-taker status that she cannot and should not reconcile itself with. Russia needs an own normative strategy which can be projected outwards and its shaping is currently underway but lacks two essential elements that constitute the principal underpinning of Western normative power – firstly, a pretended universal legitimacy of its norms and, secondly, high living standards of its society.

Russia will not gain much from simply criticizing Western norms or creating a set of technical rules relevant for restricted Eurasian space. No more will it benefit from adopting a staunch anti-Western posture. Delimiting mental and cultural distinctions from the West makes sense only with subsequent formulation of an own universal message and worldview upheld with perceptible improvement of socioeconomic situation in own society. Russian potential ability to offer such a message for its direct environment as well as for the world as a whole emerges its key political advantage in comparison to other rising powers. But proceeding from a defensive stance Russia will hardy be able to formulate it. To that end much can be drawn from its XIX century strategy of promoting universal value of Russian culture[8].

Of course, such normative strategy should proceed along adequate political and economic efforts aimed at preventing the disruption of the existing multilateral world order and emphasising the risks of such disruption together with the progress that can be achieved through multilateral consensus-building process. But under present circumstances relevant normative positioning is indispensable for successful pursuing of the likewise policy line.

Published in Journal of Eurasian Affairs


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[8] Почепцов Г.Г. Cмислові війни в сучасному світі http://osvita.mediasapiens.ua/material/17967