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lundi, 23 novembre 2015

Russia Debates Unorthodox Orthodox Financial Alternative

Russia Debates Unorthodox Orthodox Financial Alternative

Ex: http://journal-neo.org

A significant debate is underway in Russia since imposition of western financial sanctions on Russian banks and corporations in 2014. It’s about a proposal presented by the Moscow Patriarchate of the Orthodox Church. The proposal, which resembles Islamic interest-free banking models in many respects, was first unveiled in December 2014 at the depth of the Ruble crisis and oil price free-fall. This August the idea received a huge boost from the endorsement of the Russian Chamber of Commerce and Industry. It could change history for the better depending on what is done and where it further leads.

Some 20 years ago during the Yeltsin era, within the chaos of Russian hyperinflation and IMF “shock therapy,” the Russian Orthodox Church introduced a similar proposal for interest-free banking as an alternative. During that time a gaggle of liberal pro-free-market Russian economists around Yeltsin, such as Yegor Gaider, prevailed. They instead opened Russia’s state-owned assets to literal plunder by western banks, hedge funds and corporations.

In my first visit to Russia in May 1994 to give a talk at a Russian economic institute on IMF shock therapy, I saw first-hand the lawless mafia, russkaya mafiya, speeding through the near-empty Tverskaya Street near Red Square in new state-of-the-art Mercedes 600 limos without license plates. It was a devastating time in Russia and Washington and the technocrats at the IMF knew exactly what they were doing to foster the chaos.

US sanctions focus attention

By 2014 much has changed in Russia. Most significantly, the infatuation with everything American of two decades ago has understandably vanished. The US Treasury financial sanctions were launched in stages in 1914 against specific individuals around President Putin, specific banks and corporations dependent on foreign credit. They had the effect of forcing a critical rethinking among Russian intellectuals, government officials and in the Kremlin itself.

The Washington attacks, legally-speaking acts of warfare against a sovereign nation, were initiated by the US Treasury’s Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, the only government finance agency in the world with its own in-house intelligence agency. The Office was created under the pretext of going after and freezing the assets and bank accounts of drug cartels and terrorists, something it seems strangely inept at if we judge from their record regarding groups like ISIS or Al Qaeda in Iraq. It seems to be far better going after “undesireable” countries like Iran and Russia. It has offices around the world, including in Islamabad and Abu Dhabi.

Those US Treasury financial warfare sanctions and the prospect of much worse to come have sparked a deep debate within Russia on how to defend the nation from more attacks. Vulnerability to western sanctions in their banking system has led Russia, like China, to develop an internal Russian version of SWIFT interbank payments. Now the very nature of money and its control is at the heart of the debate.

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Unorthodox Orthodox Proposal

In January 2015, in the depth of the financial crisis, with a Ruble at half what it had been months earlier and oil prices in a free-fall as a result of the September 2014 John Kerry-King Abdullah agreement, the Moscow Patriarchate reissued its idea.

Dmitri Lubomudrov, the Orthodox Church’s legal adviser told the media at that time, “We realized we couldn’t stay dependent on the Western financial system, but must develop our own. As with the Islamic system, the Orthodox one will be based not just on legislation, but on Orthodox morality as well, and will be an invitation to businessmen seeking security at a time of crisis.” Among its features would be interest-free credit issuance and prohibition of investment in gambling casinos or such activities going against Church moral values.

Then in early August this year the Orthodox plan for interest-free money creation gained a major added support. Sergei Katyrin, head of the Russian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, after meeting with Vsevolod Chaplin, the senior Orthodox cleric overseeing the project, announced, “The Chamber of Commerce and Industry supports the creation of the Orthodox Financial System… and is ready to provide its platform for detailed and professional discussion of these questions together with the relevant committees of the chamber.” The proposal is aimed at reducing Russia’s reliance on the Western banking system, an essential national economic security requirement.

Much as with Islamic banking models than ban usury, the Orthodox Financial System would not allow interest charges on loans. Participants of the system share risks, profits and losses. Speculative behavior is prohibited, as well as investments in gambling, drugs and other businesses that do not meet Orthodox Christian values. There would be a new low-risk bank or credit organization that controls all transactions, and investment funds or companies that source investors and mediate project financing. It would explicitly avoid operations with active financial risks. Priority would be ensuring financing of the real sector of the economy, its spokesman stated.

Interestingly, Russia’s largest Islamic autonomous republic, Tatarstan, recently introduced Islamic banking into Russia for the first time and it was supported positively by German Gref, CEO of the state-owned Sperbank, Russia’s largest bank. This May, Gref called it a very important instrument amid the current problems with raising funds on international markets. In July Sberbank and the Republic of Tatarstan signed an agreement on cooperation in the field of Islamic financing.

Under Czar Alexander III and his Finance Minister Nikolai Bunge, Russia established the Peasant Land Bank in the beginning of the 1880’s to give interest-free loans to the liberated peasantry that had been freed from serfdom in 1861 by his father, Alexander II and given land. The Land Bank invested in the modernization of Russian agriculture with farmers only paying a small handling charge for credits. The result was such a spectacular rise in Russian wheat, and other cereals that Russia became the world “bread basket” up to outbreak of World War I, exceeding the combined production of the USA, Argentina and Canada by some 25%.

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Glazyev proposals

The new prominence of the Orthodox Monetary model in Russian discussions comes at a time when one of Vladimir Putin’s economic advisers, Sergei Glayzev, the person advising the President on Ukraine as well as relations with fellow-members of the Eurasian Economic Union, has presented a plan for enhancing Russia’s national economic and financial security under the quite sensible assumption that the financial sanctions and now military pressures from Washington and NATO are no whimsical accident but a deep-seated strategy of weakening and economically destroying one of the two nations which stand in a way of a globalist US New World Order.

In May 2014, a few weeks after the Obama Administration imposed a series of select sanctions on key Russian individuals, banks and energy companies, striking at the heart of the economy, Glazyev made an interview with the Russian financial paper, Vedomosti, in which he proposed a number of prudent defensive measures. Among them were several which are now policy. This has included a credit and currency swap with China to finance critical imports and a shift to settlement in national currencies–Ruble and RMB; creation of a Russian interbank information exchange system, analogous to SWIFT, for payments and settlements within the Eurasian Economic Union and other partner countries.

A strategic proposal of Glazyev that the state impose a halt on all export of gold, precious metals, and rare earth elements, and that the Central Bank buy up gold mined by foreign companies to build monetary gold reserve strength, was, unfortunately, refused by Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina who told the Duma, “We don’t believe that a moratorium is needed on gold exports. We are able to buy enough gold to diversify our gold and currency reserves.”

Nabiullina has come under criticism from members of the Duma for being far too slow in building the gold reserves of the ruble. Russia today is the world’s second largest gold producer after China, and China has been building its Peoples’ Bank of China gold reserves in recent years at a feverish pace. Western central banks, led by the Federal Reserve, since gold backing for the dollar was abandoned in August, 1971, have done everything, including brazen market manipulation, to discourage gold currency reserves around the world.

Most recently, on September 15 Glazyev presented a new series of economic proposals to the Presidential Russian Security Council to, as he stated it, reduce the vulnerability to western sanctions over the coming five years and achieve foundations for long-term growth and economic sovereignty. Among his proposals were creation of a State Committee on Strategic Planning under the President of the Russian Federation, together with a State Committee for Scientific and Technological Development, modeled on a system created in Iran during the 1990s following the introduction of Western sanctions there.

The first measure, creation of a Committee on Strategic Planning, echoes the highly successful French national Planification model introduced under President Charles de Gaulle, that was credited with transforming France from a stagnant peasant-dominated economy to an advanced, innovative modern industrial nation by the early 1970’s.

In the 1960’s France had a General Commission of the Plan which surveyed the entire economy to identify critical weaknesses that needed attention for overall national development. They would set goals for the coming 5 years. General Commission members were senior civil servants consulting with business leaders, trade unions and other representative groups. Each proposed plan was then sent to the national parliament for voting approval or change.

The crucial difference between France’s 5-year Planification and the Soviet 5-year central planning model was that the French was indicative and not imperative as was the Soviet Five Year Plan. Private or state companies could freely decide to focus on a sector such as railway development knowing the state would encourage the investment with tax incentives or subsidies to lower risk and make it attractive. It was highly successful until the mid-1970’s when the massive oil shocks and increasing Brussels supra-national rule-making made it increasingly difficult to implement.

There are other features to the detailed Glazyev proposal, among the most interesting his proposal to use Central Bank resources to provide targeted lending for businesses and industries by providing them with low interest rates between 1-4 percent, made possible by quantitative easing to the tune of 20 trillion rubles over a five year period. The program also suggests that the state support private business through the creation of “reciprocal obligations” for the purchase of products and services at agreed-upon prices.

Russia is in a fascinating process of rethinking every aspect of her national economic survival because of the reality of the western attacks. It could produce a very healthy transformation away from the deadly defects of the Anglo-American free-market banking model.

F. William Engdahl is strategic risk consultant and lecturer, he holds a degree in politics from Princeton University and is a best-selling author on oil and geopolitics, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.
First appeared: http://journal-neo.org/2015/11/22/russia-debates-unorthod...

jeudi, 19 novembre 2015

Dugin sobre Siria: “Estamos en la mayor crisis de la historia geopolítica moderna”

Ex: http://www.elespiadigital.com

Entrevista de Manuel Ochsenreiter al importante intelectual ruso Aleksandr Dugin sobre la crisis siria y la posición en la que se encuentran actualmente Estados Unidos y Rusia, resaltando que vivimos en un momento histórico en que se juegan bastante cosas con dos posibles escenarios futuros: La caída de Estados Unidos como superpotencia o una guerra a las puertas de Rusia.

Manuel Ochsenreiter: Prof. Dugin, en estos momentos el mundo se enfrenta en Siria a la mayor crisis internacional desde la caída del Bloque Oriental en 1989/90. Washington y Moscú se encuentran en una confrontación a través de terceros en el campo de batalla sirio. ¿Es esta una nueva situación?

Alexander Dugin: Tenemos que ver la lucha por el poder geopolítico como el viejo conflicto del poder terrestre, representado por Rusia, y el poder del mar, representado por los Estados Unidos y sus socios de la OTAN. Esto no es un fenómeno nuevo, sino que es la continuación de la vieja lucha geopolítica y geoestratégica. La década de los 90 fue la época de la gran derrota del poder terrestre representado por la URSS. Michail Gorbachov se negó a la continuación de esta lucha. Esto era una especie de traición y resignación frente al mundo unipolar. Pero con el presidente Vladimir Putin, a principios de la primera década del 2000 llegó una reactivación de la identidad geopolítica de Rusia como una potencia terrestre. Este fue el comienzo de un nuevo tipo de competencia entre el poder del mar y el poder terrestre.

MO: ¿Cómo empezó esta reactivación?

AD: Todo comenzó con la segunda guerra de Chechenia (1999-2009). Rusia en ese momento estaba bajo presión por los ataques terroristas chechenos y el posible separatismo del Cáucaso Norte. Putin tuvo que darse cuenta que todo Occidente, los EE.UU. y la Unión Europea estaban del lado de los separatistas chechenos y terroristas islámicos que combatían contra el ejército ruso. Este es el mismo argumento que presenciamos hoy en Siria o ayer en Libia. Occidente dio apoyo a la guerrilla chechena, y este fue el momento de la revelación del nuevo conflicto entre el poder terrestre y el poder marítimo. Con Putin, el poder terrestre se reafirmó. El segundo momento de la revelación fue en agosto de 2008, cuando el régimen prooccidental de Georgia atacó Zchinwali en Osetia del Sur. La guerra entre Rusia y Georgia fue el segundo momento de la revelación.

MO: ¿La crisis siria es actualmente el tercer momento de la revelación?

AD: Exactamente. Tal vez sea incluso el último, porque ahora todo está en juego. Si Washington no interviene y acepta la posición de Rusia y China, este sería el final de los Estados Unidos como candidato a superpotencia y poder único. Esta es la razón por la cual creo que Obama va a llegar lejos en Siria. Pero si Rusia se hace a un lado y acepta la intervención de Estados Unidos, y si Moscú finalmente traiciona Bashar al-Assad, esto significaría de inmediato un golpe muy duro a la identidad política rusa. Esto significaría la gran derrota del poder terrestre. Después de esto, le seguiría un ataque a Irán, e incluso en el Cáucaso Norte. Entre los poderes separatistas en el Cáucaso Norte hay muchas personas que son apoyadas por las potencias Anglo-Americana, Israel y Arabia Saudita. Si Siria cae, comenzarán inmediatamente la guerra en Rusia, nuestro país. Significado: Putin no puede hacerse a un lado, no puede renunciar a Assad, porque esto significaría el suicidio geopolítico de Rusia. Tal vez estamos en este momento en la mayor crisis de la historia geopolítica moderna.

MO: Así que ahora ambas potencias mundiales dominantes, EE.UU. y Rusia, están en una lucha por su existencia futura…

AD: En efecto. Por el momento no hay ninguna otra solución posible. No podemos encontrar ningún tipo de compromiso. En esta situación no hay una solución que satisfaga a ambos lados. Lo sabemos por otros conflictos como el armenio-azerí o el conflicto palestino-israelí. Es imposible encontrar una solución para ambas partes. Somos actualmente testigos de lo mismo en Siria, pero en una escala más grande. La guerra es la única manera de hacer una revisión de la realidad.

MO: ¿Por qué?

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AD: Tenemos que imaginar este conflicto como un tipo de juego de cartas como el póker. Los jugadores tienen la posibilidad de ocultar sus capacidades, para hacer todo tipo de trucos psicológicos, pero cuando comienza la guerra todas las tarjetas están sobre la mesa. Ahora estamos presenciando el momento final del juego de cartas, antes de que las cartas se tiren sobre la mesa. Este es un momento muy serio, porque la posición como potencia mundial está en juego. Si Estados Unidos tiene éxito, podría otorgarse por algún tiempo una posición dominante absoluta. Esto sería la continuación de la unipolaridad y el liberalismo mundial estadounidense. Este sería un momento muy importante porque hasta ahora los EE.UU. no han sido capaces de implementar su dominio de forma estable, pero en el momento en que ganen la guerra, lo harán. Pero si Occidente pierde la tercera batalla (la primera fue la guerra de Chechenia, la segunda la guerra de Georgia), este sería el final de los EE.UU. y de su dominio. Veamos lo siguiente: ni EE.UU. ni Rusia pueden renunciar a esa situación. Sencillamente, es imposible para ambos no reaccionar.

MO: ¿Por qué vacila Estados Unidos y el presidente Barack Obama con su agresión contra Siria? ¿Él apela a la decisión del Congreso? ¿Por qué pedir permiso cuando no lo necesita para su ataque?

AD: No debemos cometer el error y empezar a hacer análisis psicológicos sobre Obama. La guerra principal se lleva a cabo en estos momentos entre bastidores. Y esta guerra se está librando en torno a Vladimir Putin. Él está bajo una gran presión de los funcionarios liberales, pro-estadounidenses y pro-israelíes que rodean al presidente ruso. Ellos tratan de convencerlo de hacerse a un lado. La situación en Rusia es completamente diferente a la situación en Estados Unidos. Un individuo, Vladimir Putin, y la gran mayoría de la población rusa que lo apoya, están en un lado, y la gente alrededor de Putin son la quinta columna de Occidente. Esto significa que Putin es el único. Él tiene la población a su lado, pero no a la élite política. Así que tenemos que ver la decisión de la administración de Obama de pedir permiso al Congreso como una especie de espera. Ellos tratan de forzar la presión sobre Putin. Ellos usan todas sus redes en la élite política rusa para influir en la decisión de Putin. Esta es la guerra invisible que está pasando en estos momentos.

MO:¿Es este un fenómeno nuevo?

AD: (Risas) ¡No, en absoluto! Es la forma moderna de las tribus arcaicas que tratan de influir en el jefe del enemigo con ruidos fuertes, gritos y tambores de guerra. Ellos se golpean en el pecho para imponer el miedo en el enemigo. Creo que los esfuerzos de los Estados Unidos para influir a Putin son una forma moderna de guerra psicológica previa a la batalla real. La Administración estadounidense tratará de ganar esta guerra sin el oponente ruso en el campo de batalla. Para ello tienen que convencer a Putin de hacerse a un lado. Ellos tienen muchos instrumentos para hacerlo.

MO: Pero una vez más: ¿Qué pasa con la posición de Barack Obama?

AD: Creo que todos esos aspectos personales en el lado estadounidense son menos importantes que en el lado ruso. En Rusia, una persona decide hoy sobre la guerra y la paz. En Estados Unidos, Obama es más un tipo de administrador burocrático. Obama es mucho más predecible. Él no actúa en su nombre, sino que se limita a seguir la línea central de la política exterior estadounidense. Tenemos que darnos cuenta de que Obama no decide nada en absoluto. Él es la figura de un sistema político que toma las verdaderas decisiones importantes. La élite política toma las decisiones, Obama sigue el guión escrito para él. Para decirlo claramente, Obama no es nada, Putin es todo.

MO: Usted dijo que Vladimir Putin tiene la mayoría de la población rusa de su lado. Pero ahora es época de paz. ¿Le apoyarán también en una guerra en Siria?

AD: Esta es una pregunta muy buena. En primer lugar, Putin perdería gran parte de su apoyo si no reacciona en una intervención occidental en Siria. Su posición se debilitaría por hacerse a un lado. Las personas que apoyan a Putin lo hacen porque quieren apoyar a un líder fuerte. Si no reacciona y se hace a un lado debido a la presión de Estados Unidos, sería considerado por la mayoría de la población como una derrota personal de Putin. Así que ya lo ves, esto es más la guerra de Putin que la guerra de Obama. Pero si interviene en Siria se enfrentará a dos problemas: La sociedad rusa quiere ser una gran potencia mundial, pero no está lista para pagar los costos. Cuando el volumen de estos costos queden claros, esto podría causar una especie de shock para la población. El segundo problema es lo que ya he dicho, que la mayoría de la élite política es pro-occidental. Ellos se opondrían a la guerra de inmediato y comenzarían con su propaganda para criticar las decisiones de Putin. Esto podría provocar una crisis interior. Creo que Putin es consciente de estos dos problemas.

MO: Cuando usted dice que los rusos pueden ser sorprendidos por los costos de una guerra, ¿no existe el peligro de que pudieran no apoyar Putin por esa razón?

AD: No lo creo. Nuestra gente es muy heroica. Vaya hacia atrás en la historia. Nuestro pueblo no estaba preparado para entrar en una guerra, pero cuando se vieron obligados a hacerlo, ganaron la guerra a pesar de los costos y sacrificios. Mira las guerras napoleónicas o la Segunda Guerra Mundial. Nosotros los rusos perdimos muchas batallas, pero al final ganamos esas guerras. Así que nunca estamos preparados, pero siempre ganamos.

Traducido del inglés por Manuel Ortiz y Página Transversal.

Fuente: El Ministerio

mercredi, 18 novembre 2015

Russische interventie in Syrië Intervention russe en Syrie

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Russische interventie in Syrië 

Intervention russe en Syrie

Dendermonde: Ronde Tafel in Nederlands en Frans.
Termonde: Table Ronde en néerlandais et en français.

Op 28 november komt taalkundige, geopolitiek specialist en geschiedkundige Robert Steuckers spreken over de Russische interventie in Syrië en de geopolitieke gevolgen.

Le 28 Novembre, le linguiste, expert en géopolitique et historien Robert Steuckers parlera de l'intervention russe en Syrie et de ses conséquences géopolitiques.

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In het Nederlands en het Frans, aangevuld met Engels en Russisch
En néerlandais et en français, ainsi qu'en anglais et en russe
In Dutch and French, plus English and Russian
На Голландском и французском языке, а также на английском и русском языке

inkom gratis - entrée gratuite

www.eurorus.org

dimanche, 15 novembre 2015

Effroyable prédiction de Poutine concernant l’Europe et la crise des migrants

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Effroyable prédiction de Poutine concernant l’Europe et la crise des migrants

Vladimir Poutine a présenté le 25 septembre dernier deux voies possibles pour l’Union Européenne par rapport à la crise des migrants.

L’une d’elle serait de défendre par la force physique et l’armée les frontières de Schengen, la deuxième serait de laisser venir les migrants clandestins et avec eux des terroristes, ce serait alors la fin de l’Union Européenne ce qui pourrait induire/amener la troisième guerre mondiale et même un nouvel holocauste.

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Selon le président russe, le plus important serait d’en finir avec l’arrivée des migrants au sein de l’UE et de dire clairement aux migrants, par les dirigeants de l’UE, de cesser de venir en Europe car ils seront rejetés.

« Si les politiciens de l’UE ne se réveillent pas à temps, en moins d’une année l’enfer se déchaînera en Europe

Pour les migrants qui fuient la guerre, ils devront être gardés dans des camps de réfugiés en Turquie jusqu’à ce que la guerre soit finie Syrie.

Selon Poutine, si les politiciens de l’UE ne se réveillent pas à temps, en moins d’une année l’enfer se déchaînera en Europe.

Reproduction autorisée avec la mention suivante : © Plj Kandel pour Dreuz.info.

source: hirek.in

vendredi, 13 novembre 2015

Le Nouvel Ordre Mondial passe par Damas

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Le Nouvel Ordre Mondial passe par Damas

par Laid Seraghni

Ex: http://sans-langue-de-bois.eklablog.fr

Si la Syrie tombait, la Russie serait, en plus d’une humiliation diplomatique, menacée dans son intégrité territoriale, ce qui pourrait induire un éclatement de la Fédération de Russie. Les événements qui se déroulent actuellement en Syrie ne sont en aucun cas liés à la question de démocratisation de la société ni pour plus de liberté pour les Syriens. 

Il s’agit d’un ordre mondial que cherchent à imposer les États-Unis avec leurs vassaux occidentaux prédateurs à un autre monde qui, la Russie en tête, réclame plus de participation dans la gestion des affaires internationales desquelles ils ont été exclus depuis des décennies.

Le point de départ pour la nouvelle configuration géopolitique du monde passe aujourd’hui par Damas. L’avenir de la Russie s’y joue actuellement. Poutine sur la ligne de Catherine II (1) qui considérait que « Damas détient la clé de maison Russie » comprend bien que « Damas est la clé d’une nouvelle ère ». Depuis le début des contestations en Syrie, la Russie, appuyée notamment par la Chine et l’Iran, a décidé de faire échouer toutes les tentatives d’un changement de régime car elle était persuadée que si le plan des Occidentaux réussissait, elle serait confinée dans un rôle de second plan et serait menacée dans son intégrité territoriale.

C’est pourquoi, dès le début de la crise, la Russie s’était montrée très ferme et s’est opposée à toute intervention militaire, et ce malgré les pressions du Conseil de sécurité, de l’assemblée générale de l’ONU et de la Ligue arabe. A chaque tentative visant la reproduction du scénario libyen ou yéménite, elle opposa un refus catégorique. Hypocritement, les Occidentaux semblent ne pas comprendre les raisons de la position russe en avançant que Moscou avait, en Syrie, des intérêts économiques et de soutiens logistiques pour sa flotte militaire.

Ce ne sont nullement les contrats d’armement passés avec ce pays, ni le port de Tartous qui sont les enjeux stratégiques russes dans la région au point de mener une lutte atroce pour éviter que l’État syrien ne tombe. Cela est confirmé en partie par le directeur du Centre d’analyse sur les stratégies et les technologies-Moscou Rousslan Poukhov, qui a déclaré : « penser que la Russie soutient Damas en raison des ventes d’armes est une aberration !

C’est totalement hors sujet ». (2)Loin de l’instauration de la démocratie ou des libertés, c’est le rôle résistant de la Syrie qui est visé. En soutenant les mouvements des résistances palestiniennes et libanaises, la Syrie a fait avorter tous les plans américains pour la mise en place du Grand Moyen-Orient dans lequel les États arabes seront atomisés et soumis au diktat israélien. Par ailleurs, son alliance stratégique avait l’Iran a fait que l’axe hostile aux plans étatsuniens se consolide dans la région.Pourquoi la Russie n’admettra-elle pas une victoire des prédateurs de la Syrie ?

Si la Syrie venait à tomber, de sérieuses menaces pèseraient sur elle, et les plus manifestes sont :A- AU PLAN ECONOMIQUEPoutine sait parfaitement que pour que son pays puisse prétendre au statut de grande puissance il faut qu’au travers de son économie il renforce sa force militaire et rende sa politique étrangère plus agressive en vue d’une influence réelle au niveau mondial. Il affiche ses prétentions en disant « en d’autres termes, nous ne devrions tenter personne en nous autorisant d’être faibles. » (3).

Dans cette notion de puissance, le facteur économique est déterminant. Si l’opposition syrienne l’emportait, cela signifierait que la bataille féroce pour le contrôle des sources d’énergie tournerait en faveur des États-Unis et de leurs alliés, permettant à ceux-ci d’étendre leur influence de la Syrie jusqu’en Australie. Les implications qui en découleraient seraient : l’avortement du programme ambitieux de développement économique basé sur la réduction de la dépendance de l’économie vis-à-vis des matières premières et sur l’innovation articulée autour des hautes technologies pour devenir une grande économie mondiale.

Dans une interview à la BBC, Douglas MC Williams, Chef du Centre de Recherches Britannique (CBER), déclarait : « La Russie arrivera en quatrième position dans le classement des plus grandes économies mondiales d’ici l’horizon 2020 » (4)Les ressources du financement de ce projet provenant essentiellement des exportations gazières seraient compromises.

Les recettes de Gazprom 2011 qui contrôle plus de 80% de la production de gaz s’élèvent à 118 M $. En vue d’empêcher que ces recettes atteignent le niveau escompté,, il devient impératif, de torpiller l’exportation du gaz russe vers l »Europe à travers les gazoducs paneuropéens en projet ; le South Stream et le Nord Stream. Les pays européens devraient être approvisionnés par le gaz iranien par le Nabucco (5), gazoduc reliant l’Iran à l’Europe centrale via la Turquie.

Le Qatar pourrait faire transiter son gaz pour l’Europe également par la nouvelle Syrie amie, écartant définitivement l’alimentation de ce continent par le gaz russe. Dans cette hypothèse, la Russie ne peut qu’enterrer son programme de développement, notamment son ambitieux programme militaire d’armement 2011/2020 d’armement pour l’équipement de ses forces armées pour lequel elle prévoit une enveloppe financière de 650 milliards de dollars » (6) au titre d’un programme et « 114 milliards de dollars au titre de la modernisation des équipements ». (7)

Les USA contrôleraient le Liban, la Syrie et l’Iran et, par conséquent, maitriseraient les sources d’approvisionnement énergétique situant dans un espace géographique et stratégique énergétique Liban Syrie, Irak et Iran. D’où cette lutte acharnée pour faire tomber la Syrie.B – AU PLAN SECURITAIRE :La chute de B. Al-Assad, ouvre la politique d’endiguement mis en place en 1946 par Georges. F. Kennan (8). Les actions d’encerclement de la Russie seront relancées. Cette stratégie, en matière de géopolitique, est fondée sur la ligne Brezinski (9) qui prévoyait la domination de l’Union Soviétique en deux étapes, l’encerclement de la Russie en premier lieu, pour ensuite passer à sa déstabilisation, pour mieux contrôler son espace périphérique. Cette stratégie est aussi valable pour la Russie d’aujourd’hui.

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La politique de Gorbatchev que Poutine qualifiait de « La plus grande catastrophe du XXème siècle » (10) serait de retour pour démanteler définitivement la Fédération de Russie. Ce démantèlement induirait probablement un transfert, au nord du Caucase, des Djihadistes qui opèrent actuellement en Syrie en vue d’instaurer une république islamique. Il est rappelé que le nord du Caucase (Daghestan et Tchétchénie) est à prédominance musulmane.

Doku Umarov (11) n’avait-il pas proclamé « l’Emirat caucasien. » en 2007. (12)Un des pivots américains dans la région montrera ses crocs pour la restauration de l’Empire Ottoman. Il s’agit de la Turquie qui, base avancée des intérêts américains en Eurasie, rêve toujours d’un empire qui s’étendrait jusqu’à l’Asie centrale, ex territoires soviétiques. Une aubaine pour qu’elle étende son hégémonie jusqu’aux confins de Moscou sur les républiques turcophones qui sont l’Azerbaïdjan, le Kazakhstan, le Turkménistan, le Tadjikistan et le Kirghizistan.

L’éventualité de leur intégration dans une alliance avec l’ancien occupant pourrait être envisagée. Elle est encouragée par les États-Unis pour faire désintégrer la Communauté des États Indépendants, composée de 11 sur 15 anciennes républiques soviétiques, créée le 8 décembre 1991 par le Traité de Minsk. Il est clairement établi que cette puissance soutient discrètement les mouvements séparatistes et ethno-religieux dans l’optique de briser définitivement la Communauté des États Indépendants (CEI).C – AU PLAN STRATEGIQUE.

Dans le prolongement de la ligne de Catherine II, Poutine considère Damas comme étant le point de départ du nouvel ordre mondial. Si cette capitale tombait, la Russie perdrait définitivement son rêve de retrouver son statut de grande puissance dans le monde du temps de la guerre froide. L’inflexion des rapports serait à son désavantage, avec en plus une humiliation diplomatique.En effet, une fois la Syrie soumise, l’Iran à son tour sera attaqué. L’axe chiite Syrie-Irak-Iran brisé sera sous la botte de l’Arabie Saoudite qui imposera la normalisation des relations avec Israël aux autres pays arabes.Ainsi, le proche orient sera modelé géographiquement au profit exclusivement des États-Unis et d’Israël, et de leurs vassaux occidentaux et arabes.

L’espace sunnite » modéré » dominera l’espace géographique qui s’étend du Maghreb, au Pakistan et l’Afghanistan en passant par la Turquie et la corne Africaine. La barrière séparant la Turquie des autres pays de confession musulmane sunnite n’existera plus. La Turquie, membre de l’Otan, qui constitue pour la Russie le chemin le plus court pour rejoindre les eaux chaudes, deviendrait une menace stratégique pour ce pays tant que celle-ci peut bloquer et assiéger sa flotte militaire de la mer Noire.Ainsi, la Russie aura devant elle un espace hostile qui s’étendra alors de la France à l’ouest jusqu’à la Chine à l’est. Elle sera chassée définitivement de la région du Grand Moyen-Orient où elle était naguère fortement présente.

A la lumière de ce qui précède, nous estimons que le soutien de Moscou à Damas est indéfectible car dicté par des impératifs liés à l’existence même de la fédération de Russie en l’état actuel. Pour contrer toutes les manoeuvres de l’Occident pour la déstabiliser et la fragiliser sur la scène internationale, elle fera tout ce qu’elle peut pour que l’ordre géopolitique du Moyen-Orient ne subisse aucun changement.Grâce au levier énergétique, elle cherche à renverser les alliances en se rapprochant de l’Europe, de la Chine, de l’Iran et de l’Inde.

Elle compte créer un espace eurasien pour contrer l’hyperpuissante Américaine.

Laid SERAGHNI

Références :

1- Catherine II, impératrice de Russie (1762-1796), surnommée Catherine la grande. Elle disait « je laisse à la prospérité de juger impartialement ce que je fais pour la Russie. ». Durant le plus long règne de l’histoire de la Russie, outre le développement et la modernisation de la société russe, elle tint tête à tous les envahisseurs voisins ou lointains.

2- Le Figaro du 31 mai 2012.

3- Atlantico du 21 février 2012.

4- RIA Novosil du 27 décembre 2012.

5- Nabucco dont le titre initial est Nabuchodonosor est un opéra de Verdi. Il évoque l’épisode de l’esclavage des juifs à Babylone. Cela dénote que tout l’enjeu en Syrie est centré autour de la sécurité d’Israël.

6- Voix de la Russie 14 décembre 2012.

7- Géostratégique.net du 6 mars 2012.

8- Diplomate, politologue et historien américain dont les thèses eurent une grande influence sur la politique américaine envers l’Union Soviétique au sortie de la deuxième guerre mondiale.

9- Z Brezinski : politologue américain, il a été entre autres, conseiller à la sécurité nationale du Président des Etats-Unis Jimmy Carter, de 1979 à 1981.

10- La dépêche.fr du 20 février 2012

11- Né en 1964 en Tchétchénie, Doku Umarov fut en 2005 le cinquième président de la république d’Ichkérie (Tchétchénie). Il abolit cette dernière pour en 2007 pour la remplacer par un « Émirat Tchétchénie » dont il s’autoproclame émir.

12- affaires géostratégiques.Info du 22 octobre 2012

Zo dreigt de NAVO binnen enkele jaren oorlog met Rusland te veroorzaken

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Zo dreigt de NAVO binnen enkele jaren oorlog met Rusland te veroorzaken
 
Ex: http://xandernieuws.punt.nl

Bevolking Europa en Amerika heeft niet veel tijd meer om WO-3 te voorkomen

Het is 2018. President Hillary Clinton (God verhoede het!) beschuldigt de Russen ervan haar ‘no fly zone’ boven Syrië te hebben geschonden. Damascus staat op het punt te vallen. Islamitische terreurgroepen die deels bewapend en gesteund worden door de VS bereiden een sloffensief voor om de hoofdstad in te nemen. Een Russisch gevechtsvliegtuig komt bijna in botsing met een Amerikaans toestel, dat de opdracht heeft de ‘gematigde’ moslimrebellen te beschermen. Ondertussen bereidt het door de CIA geïnstalleerde ultranationalistische regime in Kiev een aanval op de Krim voor met de bedoeling het schiereiland te ‘heroveren’. De aan de grenzen verzamelde troepen van Oost en West worden in hoogste staat van paraatheid gebracht...

Het Oekraïense leger heeft de afgelopen jaren grote hoeveelheden nieuwe wapens van de VS en Europa gekregen, en staat klaar voor een invasie van de Krim. Aan het front staat de neonazistische Azov Brigade, die het bevel heeft om de controle te nemen over Mariupol, dat in een door het Westen ‘illegaal’ verklaard volksreferendum voor aansluiting bij Rusland heeft gekozen.

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In Kaliningrad, de geïsoleerde Russische enclave tussen Polen, Litouwen en de Baltische Zee in, worden door de EU georganiseerde en gefinancierde demonstraties gehouden waarin de hereniging met Duitsland wordt geëist. Rusland, dat zich bedreigd voelt door de almaar groter wordende NAVO troepenmacht in de Baltische staten, stuurt een sterke legermacht naar zijn grenzen.

Terwijl president Clinton de nucleaire strijdkrachten in Duitsland, die zojuist zijn gemoderniseerd, in alarmfase brengt, kondigt president Vladimir Putin aan dat Rusland zich uit het INF verdrag, dat destijds door president Reagan werd ondertekend om de kernwapens voor de middellange afstand te beperken, terugtrekt. Door de hoog opgelopen spanningen wisselden Amerika en Rusland sinds 2016 al geen informatie meer over deze wapens met elkaar uit, waardoor beide partijen geen zicht meer op elkaars activiteiten hadden.

Dan pikt een NAVO radarstation in het oosten van Duitsland signalen op van wat mogelijk een squadron Russische gevechtsvliegtuigen is dat richting Kaliningrad vliegt. Het sinds vorig jaar actief geworden raketafweersysteem in Polen wordt geactiveerd. Terwijl in Europa een nieuwe wereldoorlog dreigt los te barsten, gaat bij Hillary Clinton midden in de nacht de rode telefoon rinkelen...

NAVO heeft Koude Oorlog tegen Rusland hervat

Gezien de hervatting van de Koude Oorlog in de afgelopen jaren is het bovenstaande scenario –of een variant daarvan- niet alleen heel goed mogelijk, maar zelfs bijna onvermijdelijk. Het INF verdrag dreigt inderdaad uit elkaar te vallen nu de NAVO steeds meer troepen en materieel naar de Russische grenzen transporteert, en het Kremlin weinig anders kan doen dan daar op reageren.

De Amerikaans-Europese staatsgreep in Oekraïne, Georgiës aanstaande toetreding tot de NAVO, het moderniseren van de Amerikaanse kernwapens in Duitsland, en de steeds extremer wordende anti-Russische propaganda in de Westerse media hebben in korte tijd het gevaar van een kernoorlog, waarvan we na de val van de Muur en het communisme dachten voorgoed te zijn verlost, doen oplaaien.

Beschuldigingen dat Rusland het INF verdrag reeds geschonden heeft zijn vooralsnog niet bewezen. Wèl bewezen is het verplaatsen van zware wapens door de NAVO naar de oostelijke grenzen, en het verdubbelen van de ‘snelle reactiemacht’ in Europa. Rusland kondigde vervolgens een modernisering van zijn kernwapens aan, maar loopt in dat opzicht nog altijd ver achter op de VS, omdat het weliswaar veel raketten heeft, maar veel minder lanceerplatforms om deze af te schieten.

Niet Rusland, maar Amerika brak met verdragen

Het was Amerika dat in 2002 eenzijdig het ABM (anti-ballistische raket) verdrag opzegde en deze verboden wapensystemen in twee Oost Europese landen stationeerde. Tegelijkertijd werd de NAVO -tegen alle eerdere beloften aan Moskou in- uitgebreid naar het Oosten, bijna tot aan ‘de poorten’ van de Russische hoofdstad. Het verdrag over de beperking van de gewapende strijdkrachten in Europa, dat in 1990 door de presidenten Bush sr. en Gorbachev werd ondertekend, werd eveneens door de VS gebroken toen er militaire bases in Roemenië en Bulgarije werden gebouwd.

Vijf jaar later trokken ook de Russen zich uit het ABM verdrag terug, daartoe gedwongen door de anti-raketsystemen die Amerika in Oost Europa opzette. Het Kremlin zag met argusogen hoe de Amerikanen stap voor stap Rusland omsingelden, niet alleen in Europa, maar ook in Centraal Azië. Zo werd ook in Oezbekistan een militaire basis gebouwd, en wordt een luchtmachtbasis in Kirgizië gebruikt voor de bevoorrading van Amerikaanse troepen in Afghanistan.

Mensenrechten – alleen als het uitkomt

Vragen over de slechte mensenrechtensituatie in Oezbekistan worden niet op prijs gesteld. Immers, Washington –en in zijn slaafse kielzog Brussel- brengt alleen mensenrechten ter sprake als Putin daarmee (valselijk) beschuldigd kan worden. Van de arrestatie en gevangenneming van talloze journalisten in bijvoorbeeld ‘bondgenoten’ Oekraïne en Turkije wordt zelden of nooit enige melding gemaakt, laat staan dat er tegen wordt geprotesteerd.

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Oorlogszuchtige presidentskandidaten

Deze Westerse politieke- en media hetze tegen Putin en Rusland wordt almaar heftiger. Hillary Clinton noemt de Russen een ‘bedreiging’ en is inderdaad voor het instellen van een Amerikaanse no-flyzone boven Syrië, wat onmiddellijk een confrontatie met Rusland –dat daar in tegenstelling tot de VS wèl op uitnodiging van de wettig gekozen Syrische regering opereert- zal veroorzaken.

De Republikeinse presidentskandidaat Marco Rubio vindt zelfs dat Russische vliegtuigen gewoon uit de lucht moeten worden geschoten, dat er nog meer ABM-systemen in Europa moeten worden opgezet, en dat Oekraïne lid moet worden van de NAVO. Gelukkig is er niet zoveel kans dat Rubio de Republikeinse genomineerde wordt en daarna tot president wordt gekozen, want hij zou met deze acties zonder twijfel een ‘hete’ oorlog met Rusland ontketenen.

Maar ook de andere kandidaten uiten zich in vergelijkbare oorlogszuchtige taal, met uitzondering van Rand Paul –die al helemaal geen kans maakt- en Donald Trump, die nog steeds mateloos populair is onder het volk, maar vanwege zijn anti-establishment houding en dito opvattingen gehaat wordt door bijna de hele Republikeinse top.

‘War on terror’ werd ‘war on Russia’

De spanningen tussen het Westen en Rusland zijn hoe dan ook tot een gevaarlijke hoogte opgelopen, die enkel te vergelijken is met het toppunt van de Koude Oorlog. Washington heeft de ‘war on terror’ ingeruild voor een politiek die duidelijk aanstuurt op een militaire confrontatie met Rusland. Daarbij hebben de Westerse plannenmakers de islam en tal van islamistische terreurgroepen tot hun bondgenoten gemaakt.

Bevolking moet in opstand komen

Helaas gaat het demoniseren van Putin door ‘onze’ politici en media nog altijd onverminderd door. Toch hopen we dat de gewone Europeanen en Amerikanen de eerlijke informatie die ze in de alternatieve media kunnen lezen aannemen en in opstand komen, voordat ‘onze’ leiders ons in al hun ‘wijsheid’ in weer een verwoestende oorlog storten, die tevens onze aandacht moet afleiden van andere gigantische problemen, zoals de onoplosbare Europese schuldencrisis en natuurlijk de massale immigratie van miljoenen moslims, die de stabiliteit, vrede en welvaart van onze samenleving in hoog tempo ondermijnt.

Niet veel tijd meer om WO-3 te voorkomen

De Derde Wereldoorlog is nog te voorkomen, maar er is niet veel tijd meer. De Amerikanen en Europeanen moeten massaal in opstand komen tegen de huidige gevestigde orde, en leiders aanstellen die een totaal ander beleid gaan volgen, zoals het onmiddellijk afsluiten van de grenzen, het herstellen van de soevereiniteit van de nationale parlementen door het opheffen van de EU en een terugkeer naar de EG, en het weghalen van alle extra troepen en wapensystemen bij de grenzen met Rusland, zodat er weer een ontspanning en toenadering tot het Kremlin mogelijk wordt, er gezamenlijk een oplossing voor Oekraïne en Syrië worden gevonden, en er wellicht zelfs een nieuwe tijd van samenwerking, voorspoed en welvaart voor alle volken in zowel Oost als West aanbreekt.

Eén ding is zeker: alles blijft niet ‘bij het oude’, alles wordt nooit meer zoals het was, zolang we totalitaire verraders zoals Obama, Merkel en Juncker aan het roer richting een inmiddels bijna niet meer te vermijden nieuwe wereldbrand laten staan.

Xander

(1) Zero Hedge

jeudi, 12 novembre 2015

Les seigneurs de l'anneau

Les seigneurs de l'anneau

Ex: http://www.chroniquesdugrandjeu.com 

Les seigneurs de l'anneau

En attendant l'Inde, qui mettra encore quelques années pour participer pleinement aux dynamiques du continent-monde (ce qui fera d'ailleurs l'objet d'un prochain article), un spectaculaire triangle eurasien se met en place, qui donne vertiges et sueurs froides aux stratèges américains. Les amoureux de la géométrie insisteront certes sur la forme circulaire du nouveau colosse qui émerge et ils n'auront pas tout à fait tort (nous y reviendrons en fin d'article).

Nous avons déjà montré à plusieurs reprises à quel point le rapprochement entre Moscou, Pékin et Téhéran s'est accéléré ces dernières années. Nous écrivions le 20 octobre :

"Tout ceci n'est cependant rien en comparaison de ce qui se prépare avec l'Iran, grande puissance régionale si l'en est, case cruciale de l'échiquier eurasiatique. Si Obama pensait amadouer les ayatollahs avec l'accord sur le nucléaire, il s'est planté en 3D. La marche de Téhéran vers l'alliance sino-russe est inarrêtable. Coopération militaire renforcée avec Pékin, navires iraniens invités en Russie, et bien sûr une position commune sur les grands dossiers internationaux dont la Syrie. L'entrée de l'Iran dans l'OCS n'est qu'une question de temps.

Les liens énergétiques entre Téhéran et Pékin sont déjà anciens mais se consolident chaque jour. Ceci en attendant l'oléoduc irano-pakistanais qui verra prochainement le jour, reliant la base chinoise de Gwadar avant, un jour, de remonter tout le Pakistan et rejoindre la Karakoram Highway dans les somptueux décors himalayens."

Et le 25 octobre :

"Quant à l'Iran, qui ne sert désormais plus de prétexte fallacieux au bouclier anti-missile, sa lune de miel avec Moscou est à la hauteur de la désillusion de l'administration Obama qui espérait sans doute, avec l'accord sur le nucléaire, intégrer Téhéran dans son giron et l'écarter du grand mouvement de rapprochement eurasien. Et bah c'est raté, et drôlement raté...

En l'espace de quelques jours : accords sur des projets d'infrastructure (dont une ligne ferroviaire. Eurasie, Eurasie) d'une valeur de 40 milliards, établissement d'une banque commune pour favoriser les échanges (qui se feront évidemment en monnaies locales. Dédollarisation, dédollarisation). Cerise sur le gâteau, l'Iran va participer la banque des BRICS.

Leur future victoire en Syrie rapprochera encore Moscou et Téhéran, qui entrera bientôt, sous les auspices chinoises, dans l'Organisation de Coopération de Shanghai."

En ce moment, ô temps géopolitiquement excitants, pas une semaine ne passe sans qu'un jalon supplémentaire ne soit posé. Il y a quatre jours, l'Iran a proposé à la Chine d'organiser des exercices militaires communs. Pékin devrait évidemment accepter. Avant-hier, le fameux contrat pour la livraison des S-300 russes à Téhéran a enfin été signé, qui mettra à peu près définitivement l'Iran à l'abri de toute intervention aérienne étrangère.

Résumons :

  • dans le domaine militaire : manoeuvres/coopération sino-russes + sino-iraniennes + russo-iraniennes.
  • sur le plan énergétique : contrats gaziers du siècle sino-russes en 2014 + achats massifs de pétrole iranien par Pékin + entente russo-iranienne vis-à-vis de l'Europe (blocage des pipelines qataris et saoudiens en Syrie, accord sur le statut de la Caspienne...)
  • dans le domaine politique, géopolitique et géo-économique : entente totale des trois sur le dossier syrien, opposition commune aux tentatives unilatérales américaines, marche à la dédollarisation. Future entrée de l'Iran dans l'OCS sino-russe et participation à la banque des BRICS.

Il paraît que Brzezinski en a renversé son bol de café...

En 2013 paraissait un intéressant essai géopolitique intitulé Chine, Iran, Russie : un nouvel empire mongol ? La présentation de l'éditeur mérite qu'on s'y attarde :

"Le 20 mars 2013, le Homeland Security Policy Institute désignait des hackers chinois, russes et iraniens comme auteurs des attaques déstabilisant les systèmes de sécurité américains. Non contents de multiplier les cyber-intrusions, la Chine, la Russie et l'Iran collaborent aujourd'hui de façon croissante dans le domaine des nouvelles technologies. Dans un contexte marqué par l'effacement des frontières, ces trois pays sont-ils en train de fonder un nouvel empire mongol ou à l'inverse tentent-ils désespérément de préserver leurs influences régionales respectives ? Contrairement à la construction politique de Gengis Khan, ayant unifié l'Eurasie à partir d'un centre turco mongol, ces alliés encerclent une aire de civilisation turque dont ils se sont détournés. Cette alliance pragmatique, fondée sur l'axe sino-iranien, se matérialise par des appuis géopolitiques réciproques, une coopération étroite avec l'arrière-pays énergétique russe et la diffusion d'une vision du monde allant à rebours de nos propres stéréotypes. Étrangers à la chimère du dépassement des cultures par l'abolition des frontières, la Chine, la Russie et l'Iran peuvent puiser dans leurs histoires respectives des raisons d'exister sous une autre forme que celle d'une citadelle continentale résistant à la mondialisation océanique. Au delà de ses carences maritimes, le nouvel empire souffre toutefois de nombreuses fragilités telles que son affaiblissement démographique ou les intérêts parfois divergents des pays qui le composent. Aussi pourrait-il bouleverser soudainement nos repères géopolitiques avant de connaître une recomposition."

Si certaines bases de la coopération Moscou-Pékin-Téhéran étaient déjà là, que de chemin parcouru en deux petites années... Les "intérêts parfois divergents" ont presque totalement disparu, balayés par la dangereuse hystérie états-unienne en Ukraine et en Syrie. C'est désormais un triangle, pardon, un anneau extrêmement solide qui émerge, uni par des liens énergétiques, militaires et géopolitiques irréversibles.

A noter l'intéressante référence historique au coeur turco-mongol, centre de l'empire de Gengis Khan mais naine blanche de la nébuleuse annulaire russo-sino-iranienne, tournée vers les extrémités de l'échiquier eurasien. Les pays turcophones d'Asie centrale, qui appartiennent déjà à l'OCS et/ou à l'Union eurasienne, ne feront que suivre le mouvement, se coupant sans doute encore un peu plus d'une Turquie d'ailleurs elle-même embarquée dans un voyage bien turbulent...

Les seigneurs de l'anneau

Moscou ou la technique du rhinocéros

charge-rhinoceros-001.jpg

Moscou ou la technique du rhinocéros

Ex: http://leblancetlenoir.com

Faire la guerre pour dicter la paix. Cette maxime très XVIIème siècle est constitutive de la politique que Vladimir Poutine, westphalien dans l'âme, applique à la Syrie. Autant l'âme russe peut connaître de violentes sautes d'humeur quand il s'agit d'art, de révolution ou de fête, autant la pensée russe en matière de stratégie extérieure fait penser au rhinocéros, avançant lentement mais fermement, inexorablement, et finissant par mettre tout le monde d'accord.

La Syrie est un cas d'école. Que disait Moscou avant l'intervention ? Nous allons repousser les terroristes, rétablir le gouvernement légal et sauvegarder l'intégrité de la Syrie tout en favorisant un consensus national. Petit à petit, les pièces se mettent en place et c'est exactement ce à quoi nous commençons à assister, à la virgule près. Quel changement par rapport aux simagrées occidentales où les effets de communication font maintenant office de politique...

Les groupes djihadistes, petits chéris de l'Occident pétromonarchisé, sont clairement sur le reculoir, comme le montre leur nouvelle tactique : enfermer des prisonniers dans des cages comme boucliers humains afin de dissuader les bombardements soutenant l'avancée des forces loyalistes. Ne cherchez évidemment pas l'info dans notre presse démocratique... Tandis que le rythme des frappes russes s'accélère, la bataille d'Alep est engagée où les forces syro-hezbollahi-iraniennes sont en train de diviser les positions rebelles :

On n'insiste pas assez sur le terrible revers que constituerait la perte d'Alep pour les "terroristes modérés" (© CIA). Une fois les grandes villes de la Syrie utile contrôlées par le régime, et ça en prend le chemin, la guerre totale contre l'EI pourra être engagée.

Parallèlement, Moscou saucissonne l'opposition à Assad. L'état-major russe a mené 24 raids sur des sites terroristes indiqués par des groupes anti-régime. Sont-ce les quelques rares bataillons modérés encore présents sur le terrain ou l'opposition en exil ? Peu importe au fond. Ils seront inclus dans le dialogue de réconciliation nationale sous les auspices de Moscou. Laissons la parole au général Kartapolo, de l'état-major : "Malgré leur lutte depuis quatre ans contre le gouvernement, ces groupes patriotiques sont prêts à faire passer leurs ambitions politiques après la nécessité de préserver l'intégrité et l'unité de la Syrie face à l'Etat Islamique et autres organisations terroristes. Nous espérons que cela sera un vecteur pour le règlement du conflit syrien".

De même, des représentants de la Coalition Nationale Syrienne, si chère aux Occidentaux mais à peu près inexistante sur le terrain, ont été invités en Russie pour des discussions, peut-être même avec des envoyés de Damas. Moscou prend peu de risque si Assad "négocie" avec ce mouvement virtuel sans aucun pouvoir, mais cela apporte une caution au consensus national que Poutine prépare pour la Syrie.

Tout comme Moscou ne prend pas de risque en répétant jusqu'à plus soif que le futur d'Assad doit être décidé par et seulement par les Syriens, notamment au moyen d'élections. L'Occident pétromonarchisé a bien été obligé d'accepter l'idée lors des pourparlers de Vienne même si ça le gêne terriblement, la probabilité d'une victoire d'Assad étant relativement élevée. Pendant que Paris, Washington et Londres sont en retard d'une guerre, les Russes concoctent déjà l'après-conflit...

Et en passant, ils en profitent bien entendu pour détacher les pays de la région de Washington ou renforcer leurs alliances. L'Irak est maintenant à peu près dans leur poche, Moscou ayant d'ailleurs insisté pour que les diplomates irakiens soient présent à Vienne. De même pour l'Egypte. La Jordanie a retourné son keffieh à la vitesse du vent. Quant aux relations avec l'Iran, qui prend d'ailleurs de plus en plus d'assurance vis-à-vis de l'Arabie bensaoudite, elles confinent à l'idylle.

Un rhinocéros qui dit ce qu'il fait et fait ce qu'il dit, qui avance inexorablement, sans grandes annonces mais d'un pas sûr. D'accord ou pas, Américains, Saoudiens, Turcs, Français et Qataris vont devoir s'y plier...

http://www.chroniquesdugrandjeu.com/2015/11/moscou-ou-la-...

mardi, 10 novembre 2015

Mieux vaut coopérer que de créer des tensions avec la Russie

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Mieux vaut coopérer que de créer des tensions avec la Russie

L’Europe ne doit pas devenir un champ de bataille

Ex: http://www.horizons-et-debats.ch

rt. Alors que chaque mouvement militaire et non-militaire de la Russie est agrandi comme sous un microscope, classifié d’«agressif» et gonflé par les médias, à l’instar actuellement de la Syrie, les Etats-Unis et l’OTAN (y compris quelques Etats du dit «Partenariat pour la Paix») encerclent le pays militairement. Quotidiennement, des armes, des munitions et des soldats sont rapprochés des frontières de la Russie. Les alliés d’Europe occidentale sont réarmés avec des ogives nucléaires de la dernière génération (cf. Horizons et débats no 25 du 5/10/15). Le champ de bataille futur ne se trouve certainement pas aux Etats-Unis ou à Washington, mais visiblement en Europe. C’est pourquoi il est compréhensible, que les Etats-Unis continuent impitoyablement leur stratégie d’encerclement aussi aux dépens de leurs «alliés».
Voici juste quelques-unes des activités militaires des derniers mois, ayant toutes été rendues publiques:

  • En Géorgie, on a inauguré un nouveau centre d’entrainement de l’OTAN pour des officiers danois, lettons, lituaniens et norvégiens. La Géorgie est un Etat limitrophe de la Russie et n’est pas encore membre de l’OTAN. Le gouvernement russe a protesté en vain contre cette extension orientale secrète de l’OTAN.
  • Le US-Marines Corps a doublé sa présence dans la mer Noire sur la côte de la Bulgarie. Les armes et les munitions sont transportées par train en passant par Bremerhaven. La présence de bâtiments de guerre dans la mer Noire – c’est-à-dire aussi devant la côte de la Russie – a été renforcée. Des manœuvres comme «Sea Breeze» en septembre, avec la participation de soldats allemands, ont lieu directement devant la côte russe.
  • Dans le cadre du «Open Skies Treaty» de 2002, créé comme mesure pour renforcer la confiance mutuelle, la Suède a pu entreprendre jusqu’en août des vols de reconnaissance en Russie. Cela a été accordé par le côté russe.
  • La Suède a fortement augmenté ses dépenses en armement. Entre autre, on procède à l’achat de missiles de croisière qui seront dirigés vers la Russie.
  • La Lituanie renouvelle sa défense antiaérienne.
  • Dans la région de la mer Baltique, des avions de l’OTAN patrouillent depuis un certain temps déjà. Actuellement, se sont 4 Eurofighter allemand et 4 Saab JAS 39 C Gripen hongrois.
  • Sur le plan politique, le Japon a – contre la majorité des citoyens – posé des jalons pour transformer son armée purement défensive en une armée d’intervention.
  • En Allemagne, c’est contre la volonté d’une grande majorité de la population, qu’on a transformé la Bundeswehr au cours de ces dernières années en une armée d’intervention puissante (cf. Jürgen Rose, Deutschlands neue Wehrmacht. In: International. Zeitschrift für internationale Politik. No 3/2015)
  • Les Etats-Unis veulent augmenter de 50% leurs interventions de drones jusqu’en 2019.
  • Le contre-torpilleur à missiles guidés USS Donald-Cook et ses trois bateaux similaires sont entrés en Méditerranée. Avec les boucliers antimissiles placés en Pologne et en Roumanie et un radar d’alerte rapide placé en Turquie ainsi que le poste de commandement de Ramstein en Allemagne, ils serviront d’écran de protection européen.
  • Actuellement, se prépare dans la région méditerranéenne l’une des plus grandes manœuvres de l’OTAN des 10 dernières années: «Trident Juncture». On y testera également la nouvelle «troupe d’intervention ultrarapide» de l’OTAN.

On pourrait sans autre continuer la liste avec d’autres exemples actuels. Les pressions militaires sur la Russie continuent d’augmenter. Dans cette liste, les activités non-militaires appartenant à la «guerre hybride», déstabilisant le pays depuis de longues années, n’ont pas été incluses.


Il se pose la question sérieuse: où restent les protestations des représentants du peuple contre cette stratégie de va-t-en-guerre? Où sont les politiciens de tous les camps politiques en Europe, voulant se défendre contre cette remilitarisation des relations internationales? Nous citoyens, devons-nous nous laisser conduire à l’abattoir sans broncher?


En même temps, on occupe les peuples en Europe avec des vagues interminables de réfugiés. Leur apparition si subite demande une explication plus précise. En outre, l’Allemagne, en réalité intéressée à une bonne cohabitation avec la Russie, est occupée avec un «scandale de gaz d’échappement» touchant un des plus grands employeurs du pays.
Les citoyens doivent également prendre conscience du fait que les services secrets américains – manifestement avec le concours des services secrets allemands – espionnaient et espionnent toujours toutes les activités importantes de leurs «alliés». En outre, le public apprend qu’on prévoit d’annuler ses droits démocratiques suite à un prétendu accord de libre-échange négocié à huis-clos entre les Etats-Unis et l’UE (TTIP).


Dans une telle situation, les politiciens en Europe sont plus que jamais appelés à assumer leurs responsabilités et à mener des pourparlers sérieux avec la Russie pour détendre la situation et favoriser la coopération économique. Pour cela, ils devraient rechercher activement du soutien également aux Etats-Unis. Là aussi, il y a des cercles influents voulant éviter à tout prix de créer de nouvelles tensions avec la Russie.


Toute activité visant le rapprochement, la coopération ou la collaboration, doit être soutenue. Ainsi, il faut saluer notamment les entretiens de Vienne au sujet de la crise en Syrie, la toute récente création d’une nouvelle plate-forme économique par l’Union des industriels russes (RSPP), l’association du Mittelstand Delowaja Rossija, la Commission du commerce avec l’Est de la Chambre d’industrie allemande (OA) et la Chambre de commerce germano-russe (AHK) – et pas seulement du point de vue économique!    •

dimanche, 08 novembre 2015

Oswald Spengler and the Soul of Russia

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Oswald Spengler and the Soul of Russia

By Kerry Bolton
Ex: http://katehon.com

It would be easy to regard Oswald Spengler, author of the epochal Decline of The West in the aftermath of World War I, as a Russophobe.

In so doing the role of Russia in the unfolding of history from this era onward could be easily dismissed, opposed or ridiculed by proponents of Spengler, while in Russia his insights into culture-morphology would be understandably unwelcome as being from an Slavophobic German nationalist. However, while Spengler, like many others of the time in the aftermath of the Bolshevik Revolution, regarded – partially - Russia as the Asianised leader of a ‘coloured revolution’ against the white world, he also considered other possibilities. This paper examines Spengler’s views on Russia as a distinct culture that had not yet fulfilled her destiny, while Western civilisation is about to take a final bow on the world historical stage. His views on Russia as an outsider are considered in relation to the depiction of the Russian soul by seminal Russians such as Gogol.

Russia’s ‘Soul’

Spengler regarded Russians as formed by the vastness of the land-plain, as innately antagonistic to the Machine, as rooted in the soil, irrepressibly peasant, religious, and ‘primitive’. Without a wider understanding of Spengler’s philosophy it appears that he was – like Hitler – a Slavophobe. However, when Spengler wrote of these Russian characteristics he was referencing the Russians as a still youthful people in contrats to the senile West. Hence the ‘primitive’ Russian is not synonymous with ‘primitivity’ as popularly understood at that time in regard to ‘primitive’ tribal peoples. Nor was it to be confounded with the Hitlerite perception of the ‘primitive Slav’ incapable of building his own State.

To Spengler, the ‘primitive peasant’ is the well-spring from which a race draws its healthiest elements during its epochs of cultural vigour.

Agriculture is the foundation of a High Culture, enabling stable communities to diversify labour into specialisation from which Civilisation proceeds.

However, according to Spengler, each people has its own soul, a German conception derived from the German Idealism of Herder, Fichte et al. A High culture reflects that soul, whether in its mathematics, music, architecture; both in the arts and the physical sciences. The Russian soul is not the same as the Western Faustian, as Spengler called it, the ‘ Magian’ of the Arabian civilisation, or the Classical of the Hellenes and Romans. The Western Culture that was imposed on Russia by Peter the Great, what Spengler called Petrinism, is a veneer.

The basis of the Russian soul is not infinite space – as in the West’s Faustian (Spengler, 1971, I, 183) imperative, but is ‘the plain without limit’ (Spengler, 1971, I, 201). The Russian soul expresses its own type of infinity, albeit not that of the Western which becomes even enslaved by its own technics at the end of its life-cycle. (Spengler, 1971, II, 502). (Although it could be argued that Sovietism enslaved man to machine, a Spenglerian would cite this as an example of Petrinism). However, Civilisations cannot do anything but follow their life’s course, and one cannot see Spengler’s descriptions as moral judgements but as observations. The finale for Western Civilisation according to Spengler cannot be to create further great forms of art and music, which belong to the youthful or ‘ spring’ epoch of a civilisation, but to dominate the world under a technocratic-military dispensation, before declining into oblivion that all prior world civilisations. It is after this Western decline that Spengler alluded to the next word civilisation being that of Russia. At that stage Spengler could only hint at the possibilities.

Hence, according to Spengler, Russian Orthodox architecture does not represent the infinity towards space that is symbolised by the Western high culture’s Gothic Cathedral spire, nor the enclosed space of the Mosque of the Magian Culture, (Spengler, 1971, I, 183-216) but the impression of sitting upon a horizon. Spengler considered that this Russian architecture is ‘not yet a style, only the promise of a style that will awaken when the real Russian religion awakens’ (Spengler, 1971, I, p. 201. Spengler was writing of the Russian culture as an outsider, and by his own reckoning must have realised the limitations of that. It is therefore useful to compare his thoughts on Russia with those of Russians of note.

Nikolai Berdyaev in The Russian Idea affirms what Spengler describes:

There is that in the Russian soul which corresponds to the immensity, the vagueness, the infinitude of the Russian land, spiritual geography corresponds with physical. In the Russian soul there is a sort of immensity, a vagueness, a predilection for the infinite, such as is suggested by the great plain of Russia. (Berdyaev, 1).

‘Prussian Socialism’, ‘Russian Socialism’


Of the Russian soul, the ego/vanity of the Western culture-man is missing; the persona seeks impersonal growth in service, ‘in the brother-world of the plain’. Orthodox Christianity condemns the ‘I’ as ‘sin’ (Spengler, 1971, I, 309). Spengler wrote of ‘Prussian Socialism’, based on the Prussian ethos of duty to the state, as the foundation of a new Western ethos under the return to Faith and Authority during the final epoch of Western civilisation. He contrasted this with the ‘socialism’ of Karl Marx, which he regarded as a product of English economics, (Spengler, 1919) as distinct from the German economics of Friedrich List for example, described as the ‘ national system of political economy’, where nation is the raison d’etre of the economy and not class or individual.

The Russian concept of ‘we’ rather than ‘I’, and of impersonal service to the expanse of one’s land implies another form socialism. It is perhaps in this sense that Stalinism proceeded along lines different and often antithetical to the Bolshevism envisaged by Trotsky et al. (Trotsky, 1936), and established an enduring legacy on Russia.

A recent comment by an American visitor to Russia, Barbara J. Brothers, as part of a scientific delegation, states something akin to Spengler’s observation:

The Russians have a sense of connectedness to themselves and to other human beings that is just not a part of American reality. It isn’t that competitiveness does not exist; it is just that there always seems to be more consideration and respect for others in any given situation.

Of the Russian concept of property and of capitalism, Berdyaev wrote:

The social theme occupied a predominant place in Russian nineteenth century thought. It might even be said that Russian thought in that century was to a remarkable extent coloured by socialistic ideas. If the word socialism is not taken in its doctrinaire sense, one might say that socialism is deeply rooted in the Russian nature. There is already an expression of this truth in the fact that the Russian people did not recognize the Roman conception of property. It has been said of Muscovite Russia that it was innocent of the sin of ownership in land, the one and only landed proprietor being the Tsar: there was no freedom, but there was a greater sense of what was right. This is of interest in the light that it throws upon the rise of communism. The Slavophils also repudiated the Western bourgeois interpretation of private property equally with the socialists of a revolutionary way of thinking. Almost all of them thought that the Russian people was called upon to give actual effect to social troth and righteousness and to the brotherhood of man. One and all they hoped that Russia would escape the wrongness and evil of capitalism, that it would be able to pass over to a better social order while avoiding the capitalist stage of economic development. And they all considered the backwardness of Russia as conferring upon her a great advantage. It was the wisdom of the Russians to be socialists during the period of serfdom and autocracy. Of all peoples in the world the Russians have the community spirit; in the highest degree the Russian way of life and Russian manners, are of that kind. Russian hospitality is an indication of this sense of community. (Berdyaev, 97-98).

Here again, we see with Berdyaev, as with Spengler, that there is a ‘Russian Socialism’ based on what Spengler referred to as the Russian ‘we’ in contrast to the Late Western ‘I’, and of the sense of brotherhood dramatised by Gogol in Taras Bulba, shaped not by factories and money-thinking, but by the kinship that arises from a people formed from the vastness of the plains, and forged through the adversity of centuries of Muslim and Mongol invasions.

The Russian Soul - Русская душа

The connections between family, nation, birth, unity and motherland are reflected in the Russian language.

род [rod]: family, kind, sort, genus
родина [ródina]: homeland, motherland
родители [rodíteli]: parents
родить [rodít']: to give birth
роднить [rodnít']: to unite, bring together
родовой [rodovói]: ancestral, tribal
родство [rodstvó]: kinship

Russian National Literature starting from the 1840s began to consciously express the Russian soul. Firstly Nikolai Vasilievich Gogol’s Taras Bulba, which along with the poetry of Pushkin, founded a Russian literary tradition; that is to say, truly Russian, and distinct from the previous literature based on German, French and English. John Cournos states of this in his introduction to Taras Bulba:

The spoken word, born of the people, gave soul and wing to literature; only by coming to earth, the native earth, was it enabled to soar. Coming up from Little Russia, the Ukraine, with Cossack blood in his veins, Gogol injected his own healthy virus into an effete body, blew his own virile spirit, the spirit of his race, into its nostrils, and gave the Russian novel its direction to this very day.

Taras Bulba is a tale on the formation of the Cossack folk. In this folk-formation the outer enemy plays a crucial role. The Russian has been formed largely as the result of battling over centuries with Tartars, Muslims and Mongols. Cournos writes of the Gogol myths in reference to the shaping of the Russian character through adversity and landscape:

This same Prince Guedimin freed Kieff from the Tatar yoke. This city had been laid waste by the golden hordes of Ghengis Khan and hidden for a very long time from the Slavonic chronicler as behind an impenetrable curtain. A shrewd man, Guedimin appointed a Slavonic prince to rule over the city and permitted the inhabitants to practise their own faith, Greek Christianity. Prior to the Mongol invasion, which brought conflagration and ruin, and subjected Russia to a two-century bondage, cutting her off from Europe, a state of chaos existed and the separate tribes fought with one another constantly and for the most petty reasons. Mutual depredations were possible owing to the absence of mountain ranges; there were no natural barriers against sudden attack. The openness of the steppe made the people war-like. But this very openness made it possible later for Guedimin’s pagan hosts, fresh from the fir forests of what is now White Russia, to make a clean sweep of the whole country between Lithuania and Poland, and thus give the scattered princedoms a much-needed cohesion. In this way Ukrainia was formed. (Cournos, ‘Introduction’, ibid).

Their society and nationality were defined by religiosity, as was the West’s by Gothic Christianity during its ‘Spring’ epoch. The newcomer to a Setch or permanent village was greeted by the Chief as a Christian and as a warrior: ‘Welcome! Do you believe in Christ?’ —‘I do’, replied the new-comer. ‘And do you believe in the Holy Trinity?’— ‘I do’.—‘And do you go to church?’—‘I do.’ ‘Now cross yourself’. (Gogol, III).

Gogol depicts the scorn in which trade is held, and when commerce has entered among Russians, rather than being confined to non-Russians associated with trade, it is regarded as a symptom of decadence:

I know that baseness has now made its way into our land. Men care only to have their ricks of grain and hay, and their droves of horses, and that their mead may be safe in their cellars; they adopt, the devil only knows what Mussulman customs. They speak scornfully with their tongues. They care not to speak their real thoughts with their own countrymen. They sell their own things to their own comrades, like soulless creatures in the market-place. The favour of a foreign king, and not even a king, but the poor favour of a Polish magnate, who beats them on the mouth with his yellow shoe, is dearer to them than all brotherhood. But the very meanest of these vile men, whoever he may be, given over though he be to vileness and slavishness, even he, brothers, has some grains of Russian feeling; and they will assert themselves some day. And then the wretched man will beat his breast with his hands; and will tear his hair, cursing his vile life loudly, and ready to expiate his disgraceful deeds with torture. Let them know what brotherhood means on Russian soil! (Spengler, 1971, II, 113).

Here we might see a Russian socialism that is, so far form being the dialectical materialism offered by Marx, the mystic we-feeling forged by the vastness of the plains and the imperative for brotherhood above economics, imposed by that landscape. Russia’s feeling of world-mission has its own form of messianism whether expressed through Christian Orthodoxy or the non-Marxian form of ‘world revolution’ under Stalin, or both in combination, as suggested by the later rapport between Stalinism and the Church from 1943 with the creation of the Council for Russian Orthodox Church Affairs (Chumachenko, 2002). In both senses, and even in the embryonic forms taking place under Putin, Russia is conscious of a world-mission, expressed today as Russia’s role in forging a multipolar world, with Russia as being pivotal in resisting unipolarism.
 

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Commerce is the concern of foreigners, and the intrusions bring with them the corruption of the Russian soul and culture in general: in speech, social interaction, servility, undermining Russian ‘brotherhood’, the Russian ‘we’ feeling that Spengler described. (Spengler 1971, I, 309). However, Gogol also states that this materialistic decay will eventually be purged even from the soul of the most craven Russian.

And all the Setch prayed in one church, and were willing to defend it to their last drop of blood, although they would not hearken to aught about fasting or abstinence. Jews, Armenians, and Tatars, inspired by strong avarice, took the liberty of living and trading in the suburbs; for the Zaporozhtzi never cared for bargaining, and paid whatever money their hand chanced to grasp in their pocket. Moreover, the lot of these gain-loving traders was pitiable in the extreme. They resembled people settled at the foot of Vesuvius; for when the Zaporozhtzi lacked money, these bold adventurers broke down their booths and took everything gratis. (Gogol, III).

The description of these people shows that they would not stoop to haggling; they decided what a merchant should receive. Money-talk is repugnant to them.

The Cossack brotherhood is portrayed by Gogol as the formative process in the building up of the Russian people. This process is, significantly, not one of biology but of spirit, even transcending the family bond. Spengler treated the matter of race as that of soul rather than of zoology. (Spengler, 1971, II, 113-155). To Spengler landscape was crucial in determining what becomes ‘race’, and the duration of families grouped in a particular landscape – including nomads who have a defined range of wandering – form ‘a character of duration’, which was Spengler’s definition of ‘race’. (Spengler, Vol. II, 113). Gogol describes this ‘ race’ forming process among the Russians. So far from being an aggressive race nationalism it is an expanding mystic brotherhood under God:

The father loves his children, the mother loves her children, the children love their father and mother; but this is not like that, brothers. The wild beast also loves its young. But a man can be related only by similarity of mind and not of blood. There have been brotherhoods in other lands, but never any such brotherhoods as on our Russian soil. It has happened to many of you to be in foreign lands. … No, brothers, to love as the Russian soul loves, is to love not with the mind or anything else, but with all that God has given, all that is within you. Ah! (Golgol, IX).

The Russian soul is born in suffering. The Russian accepts the fate of life in service to God and to his Motherland. Russia and Faith are inseparable. When the elderly warrior Bovdug is mortally struck by a Turkish bullet his final words are exhortations on the nobility of suffering, after which his spirit soars to join his ancestors:

‘I sorrow not to part from the world. God grant every man such an end! May the Russian land be forever glorious!’ And Bovdug’s spirit flew above, to tell the old men who had gone on long before that men still knew how to fight on Russian soil, and better still, that they knew how to die for it and the holy faith. (Gogol, IX).

The depth and duration of this cult of the martyrs attached to Holy Mother Russia was revived under Stalin during the Great Patriotic War. This is today as vigorous as ever, as indicated by the celebration of Victory Day on 7 May 2015, and the absence of Western representatives indicating the diverging course Russia is again taking from the West.

The mystique of death and suffering for the Motherland is described in the death of Tarus Bulba when he is captured and executed, his final words being ones of resurrection:

‘Wait, the time will come when ye shall learn what the orthodox Russian faith is! Already the people scent it far and near. A czar shall arise from Russian soil, and there shall not be a power in the world which shall not submit to him!’ But fire had already risen from the fagots; it lapped his feet, and the flame spread to the tree.... But can any fire, flames, or power be found on earth which are capable of overpowering Russian strength? (Gogol, XII).

The characteristics of the Russian soul that run through Tarus Bulba are those of faith, fate, struggle, suffering, strength, brotherhood and resurrection. Tarus Bulba established the Russian national literature that articulated the Russian soul.

Pseudomorphosis

A significant element of Spengler’s culture morphology is ‘Historic Pseudomorphosis’. Spengler drew an analogy from geology, when crystals of a mineral are embedded in a rock-stratum: where ‘clefts and cracks occur, water filters in, and the crystals are gradually washed out so that in due course only their hollow mould remains’. (Spengler, II, 89).

Then comes volcanic outbursts which explode the mountain; molten masses pour in, stiffen and crystallize out in their turn. But these are not free to do so in their own special forms. They must fill out the spaces that they find available. Thus there arise distorted forms, crystals whose inner structure contradicts their external shape, stones of one kind presenting the appearance of stones of another kind. The mineralogists call this phenomenon Pseudomorphosis. (Ibid.).

Spengler explained:

By the term ‘historical pseudomorphosis’ I propose to designate those cases in which an older alien Culture lies so massively over the land that a young Culture, born in this land, cannot get its breath and fails not only to achieve pure and specific expression-forms, but even to develop its own fully self-consciousness. All that wells up from the depths of the young soul is cast in the old moulds, young feelings stiffen in senile works, and instead of rearing itself up in its own creative power, it can only hate the distant power with a hate that grows to be monstrous. (Ibid.).

Russia is the example of ‘Historic Pseudomorphosis’ given by Spengler as being ‘presented to our eyes to-day’. A dichotomy has existed for centuries, starting with Peter the Great, of attempts to impose a Western veneer over Russia. This is called Petrinism. The resistance of those attempts is what Spengler called ‘Old Russia’. Spengler, 1971, II, 192). Spengler described this dichotomy:

…This Muscovite period of the great Boyar families and Patriarchs, in which a constant element is the resistance of an Old Russia party to the friends of Western Culture, is followed, from the founding of Petersburg in 1703, by the pseudomorphosis which forced the primitive Russian soul into an alien mould, first of full Baroque, then of the Enlightenment, and then of the nineteenth century. (Ibid., II, p. 192).

Spengler’s view is again in accord with what is spoken of Russia by Russians. Nikolai Berdyaev wrote in terms similar to Spengler’s:

The inconsistency and complexity of the Russian soul may be due to the fact that in Russia two streams of world history East and West jostle and influence one another. The Russian people is not purely European and it is not purely Asiatic. Russia is a complete section of the world a colossal East-West. It unites two worlds, and within the Russian soul two principles are always engaged in strife - the Eastern and the Western. (Berdyaev, 1).

With the orientation of Russian policy towards the West, ‘Old Russia’ was ‘forced into a false and artificial history’. (Spengler, II, 193). Spengler wrote that Russia had become dominated by Western culture from its ‘Late’ epoch:

Late-period arts and sciences, enlightenment, social ethics, the materialism of world-cities, were introduced, although in this pre-cultural time religion was the only language in which man understood himself and the world. In the townless land with its primitive peasantry, cities of alien type fixed themselves like ulcers – false, unnatural, unconvincing. ‘Petersburg’, says Dostoyevski, ‘it is the most abstract and artificial city in the world’.
After this everything that arose around it was felt by the true Russdom as lies and poison. A truly apocalyptic hatred was directed on Europe, and ‘Europe’ was all that was not Russia… ‘The first condition of emancipation for the Russian soul’, wrote Aksakov [1] in 1863 to Dostoyevski, ‘is that it should hate Petersburg with all this might and all its soul’. Moscow is holy, Petersburg Satanic. A widespread popular legend presents Peter the Great as Antichrist.
(Spengler, 1971, II, 193).


Berdyaev also discusses the introduction of Enlightenment doctrines from France into Russia:

The Western culture of Russia in the eighteenth century was a superficial aristocratic borrowing and imitation. Independent thought had not yet awakened. At first it was French influences which prevailed among us and a superficial philosophy of enlightenment was assimilated. The Russian aristocrats of the eighteenth century absorbed Western culture in the form of a miserable rehash of Voltaire.
(Berdyaev, 16).


domes-ancient-russian-church-11780967.jpgThe hatred of the ‘West’ and of ‘Europe’ is the hatred for a Civilisation that had already reached an advanced state of decay into materialism and sought to impose its primacy by cultural subversion rather than by combat, with its City-based and money-based outlook, ‘poisoning the unborn culture in the womb of the land’. (Spengler, 1971, II, 194). Russia was still a land where there were no bourgeoisie and no true class system but only lord and peasant, a view confirmed by Berdyaev, writing:

The various lines of social demarcation did not exist in Russia; there were no pronounced classes. Russia was never an aristocratic country in the Western sense, and equally there was no bourgeoisie. (Berdyaev, 1).

The cities that emerged threw up an intelligentsia, copying the intelligentsia of Late Westerndom, ‘bent on discovering problems and conflicts, and below, an uprooted peasantry, with all the metaphysical gloom, anxiety, and misery of their own Dostoyevski, perpetually homesick for the open land and bitterly hating the stony grey world into which the Antichrist had tempted them. Moscow had no proper soul’. (Spengler, 1971, II, 194).

The spirit of the upper classes was Western, and the lower had brought in with them the soul of the countryside. Between the two worlds there was no reciprocal comprehension, no communication, no charity. To understand the two spokesmen and victims of the pseudomorphosis, it is enough that Dostoyevski is the peasant, and Tolstoi the man of Western society. The one could never in his soul get away from the land; the other, in spite of his desperate efforts, could never get near it. (Ibid.).

Berdyaev likewise states of the Petrinism of the upper class:

Peter secularized the Russian Tsardoni and brought it into touch with Western absolutism of the more enlightened kind. The Tsardom of Moscow had not given actual effect to the messianic idea of Moscow as the Third Rome, but the efforts of Peter created a gulf between a police absolutism and the sacred Tsardom. A breach took place between the upper governing classes of Russian society and the masses of the people among whom the old religious beliefs and hopes were still preserved. The Western influences which led on to the remarkable Russian culture of the nineteenth century found no welcome among the bulk of the people. The power of the nobility increased and it became entirely alien from the people. The very manner of life of the landowning nobility was a thing incomprehensible to the people. It was precisely in the Petrine epoch during the reign of Katherine II that the Russian people finally fell under the sway of the system of serfdom. The whole Petrine period of Russian history was a struggle between East and West within the Russian soul. (Berdyaev, 15).

Russian Messianism

Berdyaev states that while Petrinism introduced an epoch of cultural dynamism, it also placed a heavy burden upon Russia, and a disunity of spirit. (Ibid.). However, Russia has her own religious sense of Mission, which is as universal as the Vatican’s. Spengler quotes Dostoyevski as writing in 1878: ‘all men must become Russian, first and foremost Russian. If general humanity is the Russian ideal, then everyone must first of all become a Russian’. (Spengler, 1963, 63n). The Russian Messianic idea found a forceful expression in Dostoyevski’s The Possessed, where, in a conversation with Stavrogin, Shatov states:

Reduce God to the attribute of nationality?...On the contrary, I elevate the nation to God...The people is the body of God. Every nation is a nation only so long as it has its own particular God, excluding all other gods on earth without any possible reconciliation, so long as it believes that by its own God it will conquer and drive all other gods off the face of the earth. At least that’s what all great nations have believed since the beginning of time, all those remarkable in any way, those standing in the vanguard of humanity...The Jews lived solely in expectation of the true God, and they left this true God to the world...A nation which loses faith is no longer a nation. But there is only one truth; consequently, only one nation can posses the true God...The sole ‘God bearing’ nation is the Russian nation... (Dostoevsky, 1992, Part II: I: 7, 265-266).

Spengler saw Russia as outside of Europe, and even as ‘Asian’. He even saw a Western rebirth vis-à-vis opposition to Russia, which he regarded as leading the ‘coloured world’ against the white, under the mantle of Bolshevism. Yet there were also other destinies that Spengler saw over the horizon, which had been predicted by Dostoyevski.

Once Russia had overthrown its alien intrusions, it could look with another perspective upon the world, and reconsider Europe not with hatred and vengeance but in kinship. Spengler wrote that while Tolstoi, the Petrinist, whose doctrine was the precursor of Bolshevism, was ‘the former Russia’, Dostoyevski was ‘the coming Russia’. Dostoyevski as the representative of the ‘coming Russia’ ‘does not know’ the hatred of Russia for the West. Dostoyevski and the old Russia are transcendent. ‘His passionate power of living is comprehensive enough to embrace all things Western as well’. Spengler quotes Dostoyevski: ‘I have two fatherlands, Russia and Europe’. Dostoyevski as the harbinger of a Russian high culture ‘has passed beyond both Petrinism and revolution, and from his future he looks back over them as from afar. His soul is apocalyptic, yearning, desperate, but of this future he is certain’. [65] (Spengler, 1971, II, 194). Spengler cites Dostoyevski’s The Brothers Karamazov, where Ivan Karamazov (Dostoyevski, 1880, 34: II: V: 3) says to his mother:

I want to travel in Europe… I know well enough that I shall be going only to a churchyard, but I know too that that churchyard is dear, very dear to me. Beloved dead lie buried there, every stone over them tell of a life so ardently lived, so passionately a belief in its own achievements, its own truth, its own battle, its own knowledge, that I know – even now I know – I shall fall down and kiss these stones and weep over them’. (Spengler, 1971, II, 195).

To the ‘Slavophil’, of which Dostoyevski was one, Europe is precious. The Slavophil appreciates the richness of European high culture while realising that Europe is in a state of decay. Berdyaev discussed what he regarded as an inconsistency in Dostoyevski and the Slavophils towards Europe, yet one that is comprehensible when we consider Spengler’s crucial differentiation between Culture and Civilisation:

Dostoyevsky calls himself a Slavophil. He thought, as did also a large number of thinkers on the theme of Russia and Europe, that he knew decay was setting in, but that a great past exists in her, and that she has made contributions of great value to the history of mankind. (Berdyaev, 70).

It is notable that while this differentiation between Kultur and Zivilisation is ascribed to a particularly German philosophical tradition, Berdyaev comments that it was present among the Russians ‘long before Spengler’, although deriving from German sources:

It is to be noted that long before Spengler, the Russians drew the distinction between ‘culture’ and ‘civilization’, that they attacked ‘civilization’ even when they remained supporters of ‘culture’. This distinction in actual fact, although expressed in a different phraseology, was to be found among the Slavophils. (Ibid.).

Tolstoi, who sought to overcome the problems of Civilisation by a ‘return-to-Nature’ in the manner of the Western Enlightenment philosopher J J Rousseau, on the other hand, is the product of the Late West, ‘enlightened and socially minded’, and sees only a problem, ‘whereas Dostoyevski ‘does not even know what a problem is’. (Spengler, 1971, II, 195). Spengler states that the problematic nature of life is a question that arises in Late Civilisations, and is a symptom of an epoch where life itself has become questionable. It is a symptom of the Late West transplanted as a weed onto the soil of Russia, represented by Tolstoi who, stands midway between Peter and Bolshevism, and neither he nor they managed to get within sight of Russian earth…. Their kind of opposition is not apocalyptic but intellectual. Tolstoi’s hatred of property is an economist’s, his hatred of society a social reformer’s, his hatred of the State a political theorist’s. Hence his immense effect upon the West – he belongs, in one respect as in another, to the band of Marx, Ibsen, and Zola. (Ibid.).

Dostoyevski, on the contrary, was indifferent to the Late West, looking beyond the physical, beyond questions of social reform and economics, and to the metaphysical: ‘Dostoyevski, like every primitive Russian, is fundamentally unaware’ of the physical world and ‘lives in a second, metaphysical world beyond’. The living reality is a religious one, which Spengler compares most closely with ‘primitive Christianity’. Dostoyevski is a ‘saint’, Tolstoi, ‘only a revolutionary’, the representative of Petrinism, as the forerunner of Bolshevism, ‘the last dishonouring of the metaphysical by the social’, and a new form of pseudomorphosis. The Bolshevists and other such revolutionaries were ‘the lowest stratum of … Petrine society’. (Ibid., II, 196). Imbued with ideas from the Late West, the Marxists sought to replace one Petrine ruling class with another. Neither represented the soul of Russia. Spengler states: ‘The real Russian is the disciple of Dostoyevski, even though he might not have read Dostoyevski, or anyone else, nay, perhaps because he cannot read, he is himself Dostoyevski in substance’. The intelligentsia hates, the peasant does not. (Ibid.). He would eventually overthrow Bolshevism and any other form of Petrinism. Here we see Spengler unequivocally stating that the post-Western civilisation will be Russian.

For what this townless people yearns for is its own life-form, its own religion, its own history. Tolstoi’s Christianity was a misunderstanding. He spoke of Christ and he meant Marx. But to Dostoyevski’s Christianity, the next thousand years will belong. (Ibid.).

To the true Russia, as Dostoyevski stated it, ‘not a single nation has ever been founded on principles of science or reason’. Dostoyevski continues, with the character Shatov explaining:

[N]ot a single nation has ever been founded on principles of science or reason. There has never been an example of it, except for a brief moment, through folly. Socialism is from its very nature bound to be atheism, seeing that it has from the very first proclaimed that it is an atheistic organisation of society, and that it intends to establish itself exclusively on the elements of science and reason. Science and reason have, from the beginning of time, played a secondary and subordinate part in the life of nations; so it will be till the end of time. Nations are built up and moved by another force which sways and dominates them, the origin of which is unknown and inexplicable: that force is the force of an insatiable desire to go on to the end, though at the same time it denies that end. It is the force of the persistent assertion of one's own existence, and a denial of death. It’s the spirit of life, as the Scriptures call it, ‘the river of living water’, the drying up of which is threatened in the Apocalypse. It’s the æsthetic principle, as the philosophers call it, the ethical principle with which they identify it, ‘the seeking for God’, as I call it more simply. The object of every national movement, in every people and at every period of its existence is only the seeking for its god, who must be its own god, and the faith in Him as the only true one. God is the synthetic personality of the whole people, taken from its beginning to its end. It has never happened that all, or even many, peoples have had one common god, but each has always had its own. It’s a sign of the decay of nations when they begin to have gods in common. When gods begin to be common to several nations the gods are dying and the faith in them, together with the nations themselves. The stronger a people the more individual their God. There never has been a nation without a religion, that is, without an idea of good and evil. Every people has its own conception of good and evil, and its own good and evil. When the same conceptions of good and evil become prevalent in several nations, then these nations are dying, and then the very distinction between good and evil is beginning to disappear. Reason has never had the power to define good and evil, or even to distinguish between good and evil, even approximately; on the contrary, it has always mixed them up in a disgraceful and pitiful way; science has even given the solution by the fist. This is particularly characteristic of the half-truths of science, the most terrible scourge of humanity, unknown till this century, and worse than plague, famine, or war. (Dostoyevski, 1872, II: I: VII).

Here we have the expression of the Russian soul, its repudiation of Petrinism, and in a manner similar to Spengler’s, the identification of faith, not darwinian zoology or economics, as the premise of culture-nation-race-formation, and the primacy of rationalistic doctrines as a symptom of decay.

‘Conflict Between Money & Blood’

Spengler states that at the Late – ‘Winter’ - epoch of a Civilisation where money-thinking dominates, a point is reached where there is a reaction: a ‘Second Religiousness’ which returns a decaying Civilisation to its spiritual foundations. There proceeds a revolt against oligarchy and a return to authority, or what Spengler called ‘Cæsarism’, and from there the fulfilment of a destiny before being eclipsed by a new high culture.

The Second Religiousness is the necessary counterpart of Cæsarism, which is the final political constitution of a Late Civilisation… In both phenomena the creative young strength of the Early Culture is lacking. But both have their greatness nevertheless. That of the Second Religiousness consists of a deep piety that fills the waking-consciousness… (Spengler, 1971, II, 310).

Spengler states that the ‘profoundly mystical inner life feels “thinking in money” as a sin’. The money-thinking imposed on Russia as Communism was ‘Western’ insofar as Marxism reflects the economic thinking of Western civilisation in its Late epoch, (Ibid., II, 402):

[A]n upper, alien and civilised world intruded from the West (the Bolshevism of the first years, totally Western and un-Russian, is the lees of this importation), and a townless barter-life that goes on deep below, uncalculating and exchanging only for immediate needs. We have to think of the catchwords of the surface as a voice, in which the Russian, simple and busied wholly with his soul bears resignedly the will of God. Marxism amongst Russians is based on an inward misunderstanding. They bore with the higher economic life of Petrinism, but they neither created it nor recognised it. The Russian does not fight Capital, but he does not comprehend it. Anyone who understands Dostoyevski will sense in these people a young humanity for which as yet no money exists, but only goods in relation to a life whose centre of gravity does not lie on the economical side. (Ibid., II, 495n)

dome.jpgSpengler states above that the Russians do not ‘fight’ capital. (Ibid., 495). Yet their young soul brings them into conflict with money, as both oligarchy from inside and plutocracy from outside contend with the Russian soul for supremacy. It was something observed by both Gogol and Dostoyevski. The anti-capitalism and ‘world revolution’ of Stalinism took on features that were drawn more from Russian messianism than from Marxism, reflected in the struggle between Trotsky and Stalin. The revival of the Czarist and Orthodox icons, martyrs and heroes and of Russian folk-culture in conjunction with a campaign against ‘ rootless cosmopolitanism’, reflected the emergence of primal Russian soul amidst Petrine Marxism. (Brandenberger, 2002). Today the conflict between two world-views can be seen in the conflicts between Putin and certain ‘oligarchs’ and the uneasiness Putin causes among the West.

The conflict that arises is metaphysical, but oligarchy and plutocracy can only understand the physical. Hence, ‘money-getting by means of money is an impiety, and (from the viewpoint of the coming Russian religion) a sin’. (Ibid.). ‘Money-getting by means of money’ manifests in speculation and usury. It is the basis upon which the economics of the Late West is founded, and from which it is now tottering. That this was not the case in the Gothic era of the West’s ‘high culture’ is indicated by the Church’s strident condemnation of usury as ‘ sin’.

Spengler predicted that in answer to the money-ethos a ‘third kind of Christianity’, based on the ‘John Gospel’, would arise, ‘looking towards Jerusalem with premonitions of coming crusades’. (Ibid.). The Russian also eschews the machine, to which Faustian man is enslaved, and if today he adopts Western technics, he does so ‘with fear and hatred of wheels, cables, and rails’, and will ‘blot the whole thing from his memory and his environment, and create about himself a wholly new world, in which nothing of this Devil’s technique is left’. (Ibid., II, 504).

Has time proved Spengler wrong in his observation that the Russian soul is repelled by the materialism, rationalism, technics and scientism of the Late West, given that the USSR went full throttle to industrialise? Spengler also said that Russia would adapt Western technics for her own use, as a weapon. Anecdotally, in our time, Barbara Brothers, a psycho-therapist, while part of a scientific delegation to Russia in 1993, observed that even among Russian scientists the focus is on the metaphysical:

The Russians seem not to make the divorce between ‘hard’ science and heart and soul that we do in the United States. Elena is probably a classic example. In her position as a part of the Academy of National Economy, a division of the Academy of Science, she works in facts and statistics all day long; when you ask her how (how in the world!) she thinks they will make it, she gives you a metaphysical answer. The scientist part of her gave a presentation that showed us how it was absolutely impossible for the economy to begin to work. Yet, she says, ‘I am not pessimistic’.

Again, Spengler’s observations of the Russian soul are confirmed by this anecdote: the true Russian – even the scientist and mathematician - does not comprehend everything as a ‘problem’ in the Late Western sense. His decisions are not made by Western rationalism, but by metaphysics and instinct. It is an interesting aside to recall that under the USSR, supposedly predicated on dialectical materialism, the metaphysical and the psychic were subjects of serious investigation to an extent that would be scoffed at by Western scientists.
(Kernbach, 2013).


By the time Spengler had published The Hour of Decision in 1934 he was stating that Russia had overthrown Petrinism and the trappings of the late West, and while he called the new orientation of Russia ‘Asian’, he said that it was ‘a new Idea, and an idea with a future too’. (Spengler, 1963, 60). To clarify, Russia looks towards the ‘East’, but while the Westerner assumes that ‘Asia’ and East are synonymous with Mongol, the etymology of the word ‘Asia’ comes from Greek Aσία, ca. 440 BC, referring to all regions east of Greece. (Ibid., 61). As an ethnic, historical, cultural or religious designation it means as little as as the World War I propaganda reference to Germans as ‘Huns’. During his time Spengler saw in Russia that,

Race, language, popular customs, religion, in their present form… all or any of them can and will be fundamentally transformed. What we see today then is simply the new kind of life which a vast land has conceived and will presently bring forth. It is not definable in words, nor is its bearer aware of it. Those who attempt to define, establish, lay down a program, are confusing life with a phrase, as does the ruling Bolshevism, which is not sufficiently conscious of its own West-European, Rationalistic and cosmopolitan origin. (Ibid.).

Of Russia in 1934 Spengler already saw that ‘of genuine Marxism there is very little except in names and programs’. He doubted that the Communist programme is ‘really still taken seriously’. He saw the possibility of the vestiges of Petrine Bolshevism being overthrown, to be replaced by a ‘nationalistic’ Eastern type which would reach ‘gigantic proportions unchecked’. (Spengler, 1963, 63).Spengler also referred to Russia as the country ‘least troubled by Bolshevism’, (Ibid.,182) and the ‘Marxian face [was] only worn for the benefit of the outside world’. (Ibid., 212). A decade after Spengler’s death the direction of Russia under Stalin had pursued clearer definitions, and Petrine Bolshevism had been transformed in the way Spengler foresaw. (Brandenberger, 2002).

Conclusion

As in Spengler’s time, and centuries before, there continues to exist two tendencies in Russia : the Old Russian and the Petrine. Neither one nor the other spirit is presently dominant, although under Putin Old Russia struggles for resurgence. Spengler in a published lecture to the Rheinish-Westphalian Business Convention in 1922 referred to the ‘ancient, instinctive, unclear, unconscious, and subliminal drive that is present in every Russian, no matter how thoroughly westernised his conscious life may be – a mystical yearning for the South, for Constantinople and Jerusalem, a genuine crusading spirit similar to the spirit our Gothic forebears had in their blood but which we can hardly appreciated today’. (Spengler, 1922).

Bolshevism destroyed one form of Petrinism with another form, clearing the way ‘for a new culture that will some day arise between “Europe” and East Asia. It is more a beginning than an end’. The peasantry ‘will some day become conscious of its own will, which points in a wholly different direction’. ‘The peasantry is the true Russian people of the future. It will not allow itself to be perverted or suffocated’. (Ibid.).

The ‘Great Patriotic War’ gave Stalin the opportunity to return Russia to its roots. Russia’s Orthodox foundations were returned on the basis of a myth, an archetypically Russian mysticism. The myth goes that in 1941:

The Virgin appeared to Metropolitan Ilya of the Antiochian Church, who prayed wholeheartedly for Russia. She instructed him to tell the Russians that they should carry the Kazan Icon in a religious procession around the besieged city of Leningrad (St Petersburg). Then, the Virgin said, they should serve a molieben [2] before the icon in Moscow. The Virgin said that the icon should stay with the Russian troops in Stalingrad, and later move with them to the Russian border. Leningrad didn’t surrender. Miraculously, Moscow was also saved. During the Battle of Stalingrad, the icon was with the Russian army on the right bank of the Volga, and the Nazi troops couldn’t cross the river. The Battle of Stalingrad began with a molieben before the Kazan Icon. Only when it was finished, did the troops receive the order to attack. The Kazan Icon was at the most important sectors of the front, and in the places where the troops were preparing for an offensive. It was like in the old times, when in response to earnest prayers, the Virgin instilled fear in enemies and drove them away. Even atheists told stories of the Virgin’s help to the Russian troops. During the assault on Königsberg in 1945, the Soviet troops were in a critical situation. Suddenly, the soldiers saw their commander arrive with priests and an icon. Many made jokes, ‘Just wait, that’ll help us!’ The commander silenced the jokers. He ordered everybody to line up and to take off their caps. When the priests finished the molieben, they moved to the frontline carrying the icon. The amazed soldiers watched them going straight forward, under intense Nazi fire. Suddenly, the Nazis stopped shooting. Then, the Russian troops received orders to attack on the ground and from the sea. Nazis died in the thousands. Nazi prisoners told the Russians that they saw the Virgin in the sky before the Russians began to attack, the whole of the Nazi army saw Her, and their weapons wouldn’t fire. (Voices from Russia).

The message to Metropolitan Ilya from The Theotokos [3] for Russia was that:

‘The cathedrals, monasteries, theological seminaries and academies have to be opened in the whole country. The priests have to be sent back from the front and released from incarceration. They must begin serving again…. When the war will be over, Metropolitan Elijah has to come to Russia and witness how she was saved’. The metropolitan contacted both Russian church representatives and Soviet government officials. Stalin then promised to do everything God indicated. (Russia before the Second Coming).

During ‘The Great Patriotic War’ 20,000 churches were opened. In 1942 the Soviet Government allowed Easter celebrations. On 4 September 1943 Stalin invited the hierarchs of the Russian Orthodox Church to the Kremlin to discuss the need for reviving religious life in the USSR and the prompt election of a Patriarch.

This is the type of Myth that is nation-forming. It exists as a constant possibility within Russia. Spengler stated in his lecture to the German businessmen in 1922 that,

There can be no doubt: a new Russian people is in the process of becoming. Shaken and threatened to the very soul by a frightful destiny, forced to an inner distance, it will in time become firm and come to bloom. It is passionately religious in a way that we Western Europeans have not been, indeed could not have been, for centuries. As soon as this religious drive is directed towards a goal, it possesses an immense expansive potential. Unlike us, such a people does not count the victims who die for an idea, for it is a young, vigorous, and fertile people. (Spengler, 1922).

The arch-Conservative anti-Marxist, Spengler, in keeping with the German tradition of realpolitik, considered the possibility of a Russo-German alliance in his 1922 speech, the Treaty of Rapallo being a reflection of that tradition. ‘A new type of leader’ would be awakened in adversity, to ‘new crusades and legendary conquests’. The rest of the world, filled with religious yearning but falling on infertile ground, is ‘torn and tired enough to allow it suddenly to take on a new character under the proper circumstances’. Spengler suggested that ‘perhaps Bolshevism itself will change in this way under new leaders’. ‘But the silent, deeper Russia,’ would turn its attention towards the Near and East Asia, as a people of ‘great inland expanses’. (Ibid.). Berdyaev, discussing the Slavophil outlook, wrote:

Russian reflections upon the subject of the philosophy of history led to the consciousness that the path of Russia was a special one. Russia is the great East-West; it is a whole immense world and in its people vast powers are confined. The Russian people are a people of the future; they will decide questions which the West has not yet the strength to decide, which it does not even pose in their full depth. (Berdyaev, 70).

There are no certainties. While Spengler postulated the organic cycles of a High Culture going through the life-phases of birth, youthful vigour, maturity, old age and death, it should be kept in mind that a life-cycle can be disrupted, aborted, murdered or struck by disease, at any time, and end without fulfilling itself. Each has its analogy in politics, and there are plenty of Russophobes eager to stunt Russia’s destiny with political, economic and cultural contagion. The Soviet bloc fell through inner and outer contagion.

What Spengler foresaw for the possibilities of Russia, yet to fulfil its historic mission, messianic and of world-scope, might now be unfolding if Russia eschews pressures from within and without. The invigoration of Orthodoxy is part of this process, as is the leadership style of Putin, as distinct from a Yeltsin for example. Whatever Russia is called outwardly, whether, monarchical, Bolshevik or democratic, there is an inner – eternal – Russia that endures and awaits its time on the world historical stage. We see it now with the re-emergence of Eurasianism, for example; not of the ‘East’ nor the ‘West’, but of Russia.

Notes

1. Ivan Sergyeyevich Aksakov (1823-1886) a Pan-Slavic leader, established the ‘Slavophil’ group at Moscow to restore Russia to its pre-Petrine culture.
2. Orthodox service for the sick.
3. Mary.

References

Berdyaev, Nikolai. The Russian Idea, MacMillan Co., New York, 1948
Brandenberger, D. National Bolshevism: Stalinist culture and the Formation of Modern Russian National Identity 1931-1956. Harvard University Press, Massachusetts, 2002.
Brothers, Barbara J. Psychiatry Today, 1 January 1993, http://www.psychologytoday.com/articles/199301/russia-soul
Chumachenko, T.A. Church and State in Soviet Russia, M. E. Sharpe Inc., New York, 2002.
Cournos, H. ‘Introduction’, N V Gogol, Taras Bulba & Other Tales, 1842, http://www.gutenberg.org/files/1197/1197-h/1197-h.htm
Dostoevsky, Fyodor. The Brothers Karamazov, 1880
Dostoevsky, Fyodor. The Possessed, Oxford University Press, 1992.
Kernback, S. ‘Unconventional research in USSR and Russia: short overview, 2013, http://arxiv.org/pdf/1312.1148.pdf
Russia before the Second Coming, Svyato-Troitskaya Sergiyeva Lavra Monastery, p. 239; Archbishop Alypy, ‘My thoughts about the Declaration of 1927’, 2 February 2005, http://www.stjamesok.org/ArbpAlypyBIO.htm
Spengler, Oswald. Prussian and Socialism, 1919.
Spengler, Oswald ‘The Two Faces of Russia and Germany’s Eastern Problems’, Politische Schriften, Munich, 14 February, 1922.
Spengler, Oswald. The Hour of Decision, Alfred A Knopf, New York, 1963.
Spengler, Oswald. The Decline of The West, George Allen & Unwin, London, 1971.
Trotsky, Leon. The Revolution Betrayed: what is the Soviet Union and where is it going?, 1936.
Voices from Russia, 15 January 2008, http://02varvara.wordpress.com/2008/01/15/the-wonderworking-icon-of-kazan-of-the-most-holy-mother-of-god/

samedi, 07 novembre 2015

Bulgakov Against Atheism

Bulgakov Against Atheism

 “We will strike out against Bulgakovism!”[i]

And Bulgakov returned fire.

I would have preferred a title more along the lines of “Bulgakov Against Little-mindedness.” “Narrow-mindedness” maybe? But it seems to me, and I believe it seemed to him, that atheism is sufficiently synonymous with either.

Mikhail Bulgakov is my favourite writer. My teacher—Headmaster of the school that I attend. I am assuming the reader will have read something by him. I won’t be providing a little biography of him of my own either. For that kind of a basic introduction, I confidently refer anyone interested to a good little article originally published in Russian Life entitled “Mikhail Bulgakov: A Wolf’s Life.”

Throughout the whole of his literary career Bulgakov thoughtfully engaged what was wrong in the society, and its thinking, in which he himself lived.

Where it went wrong in its thinking was official State irreligiousness, wishfully called “scientific atheism.”

Everything wrong in Soviet society stemmed out from there.

In his novels this is perfectly apparent. We’ll save the best known, Master and Margarita, for last. This will preserve an order both logical and chronological, as it was his final work and master-piece as well as his fullest attack on atheism and its allied ills.

In The White Guard the opinions of the Turbins over the table, with vodka and wine as encouragement, are very clear. The Revolution is destructive, idiotic and unwanted. The response in Kiev has been disgraceful, opportunistic and left it until too late. For free Ukraine “from Kiev to Berlin” there is only one option: “Orthodoxy and monarchy!”

Setting to one side Bulgakov’s feuilletons—written for bread, not to say something—we will look a little at the three major short-stories he wrote when in Moscow: Diaboliad, The Fatal Eggs and Dog’s Heart.

The Short Fiction

Diaboliad is best for its unique prose. It’s practice almost for the writer, the first flight, a getting used and accustomed to a new self-awareness and the exercise of a power not known prior. Margarita on her broomstick. Bulgakov before Diaboliad wanted to be a writer. When he wrote Diaboliad—he was.

Its protagonist loses his job, at the Main Central Base for Matchstick Materials (MACBAMM), in unbelievable circumstances and ends diving off of a building—an open question whether it was insanity, supernatural or just Soviet.

mikhail-bulgakovs-quotes-7.jpgThe atmosphere established is eerie. Bulgakov has already here located the absurd fact that Soviet society actually embodied what it denied. It may have consciously rejected the existence of the demonic, but the existence of such a society was itself proof of it.

That is the major theme, tucked neatly under criticism of the housing situation and failures in economic policy. He is already creatively careful not to aim too openly at the target he really wants to hit. He will eventually have to summon up history, demonology, feign blasphemy and employ luxuriant symbolism to say everything he needs to.

Next came The Fatal Eggs. [Quick aside: it was originally published together with Diaboliad in May 1925]

A professor single-mindedly dedicated to his work has made a remarkable discovery. A ray that fantastically increases the rate of reproduction and the size of their off-spring in amphibians. A local journalist, with stereotypical sensationalism, publishes an article that misrepresents the discovery in a way most likely to hold the interest of his readers.

At just that time a disease decimates the poultry population of the USSR. An idiot has a bright idea—use the ray to produce excess, giant chickens to make up for the losses. The ray is taken from the professor and relocated to a rural area for the purpose.

A postal worker does his proverbial poor job and confuses two different loads of eggs. One has harmless chicken eggs and is intended for the ray. The other has a variety of unhatched serpents and is meant to arrive at the Institute where the professor works. It instead arrives at the farm.

The ray is then used to unintentionally produce an invasion of giant snakes that devastate the countryside. The civil authority and military are incapable of stopping them as they slither toward the capital. Humanly-speaking, all hope is lost.

But during the Dormition of Mother of God on the Orthodox Calendar (which Bulgakov continued to use even after the Soviet authorities had changed to the Gregorian), an unheard of frost, with no comparison available in even the oldest people’s memories, happens to kill them off. What a curious coincidence it was. And the reader’s attention is drawn to the dome of the Cathedral of Christ the Saviour at just that moment in the narrative when Moscow is saved.

Here again we see the development, the birth and beginning of ideas which will find fuller expression later on in his work.

Isn’t this man imagining he can control his own life without reference to any higher order outside of himself? But Bulgakov has Providence provide a miracle that saves Moscow. Later on his mood has changed. Berlioz beheaded by a tram will serve to make the same point.

The main concern here is the belief, commonly held by people not Communists today, that science can essentially solve all problems. This simplistic idea tends to dangerous results when taken too far. We are slowly realising this. Bulgakov saw it in 1924. What disasters are in store if we don’t learn the lesson, God only knows.

And now we move onto the final major short-story —Dog’s Heart. Here the writer is too open, too incisive, his aim too obvious. It was never published for as long as he lived. And when at last it was, it was published abroad (in 1968).

It begins from the dog’s perspective, the stray Sharik. After lamenting his cruel fate, moments before having been scalded by a cook for stealing, an inordinate improvement in his luck follows. Professor Filipp Filoppovich takes him, takes care of him and treats him kindly. But there is a motive other than humane behind it all.

mikhail_lg0dwx8av01qd9gmo.jpgAs an experiment Sharik’s scrotum and hypophysis are removed and replaced by human equivalents. He survives the operation and a most unusual result unfolds—he slowly becomes human.

He begins to speak, becomes bipedal and eventually his personality merges with that of the deceased man whose testicles and pituitary gland he possesses.

Sharik changes his name to Polygraph Polygraphovich Sharikov and gets a job in the Moscow Department of Communal Welfare (for the extermination of cats and other foul rodents). Eventually entertaining a proletarian dislike for professor Filipp Filippovich, he avails himself of the easy-going informing policy of the Soviet government (not unlike present-day Kiev) to try and get him arrested. The professor’s hand forced, he manages to reverse the operation.

Here again we have science taken too far without sufficient thought given to the consequences liable to follow. But unlike professor Persikov of The Fatal Eggs—Filipp Filoppovich is a type as well as a character.

He is everything Bulgakov wished he could have been. A practising doctor with private customers and a large flat—safe through influential patients from any sudden moods of the government.

Characterised by class and taste, the professor is the exact opposite of the new Soviet man embodied in comrade Sharikov.

Bulgakov’s point is double-edged. It cuts twice with one stroke. That a dog made into a man could succeed in Soviet society and that ultimately the stray dog was better than the man it became.

There is furthermore an important insight into the cultural impact of an atheistic mind-set. In a society where the greatest goods are not religion or art or the humanities but rather manual labour and material possessions and creature comforts—the consequence is crassness.

The spoken-language deteriorates. So too what interests and amuses people. The public attention span dwindles. Everyone looks out for themselves and selfishness reigns. We have a dense, insensitive society where even such basic things as that seniority dictates who gets the first glass of vodka are lost.

And isn’t this timely now? Is it not perfectly applicable to the modern and Western situation?

We live in a time where people cannot work out how to use the past tense correctly or navigate the “th” sound. “Wif” and “dis” and so on.

Anything short of practically pornography or violence won’t stand a chance of selling or being aired.

A fast-food quality of intelligence now exists. You look at your phone, supposedly know in a snap-shot everything about something long enough to insist on your opinion about it and then promptly forget what you might have learned, comfortable in the knowledge that you can just Google it again if need be.

Do I need to provide any examples of selfishness reigning? I’ll dare not to.

Master and Margarita

Finally we come to the masterpiece.

Mikhail Bulgakov was a priest’s son, a professor at Kiev Theological Academy—Afanasy Ivanovich.

mikhail-bulgakov-book-cover1.jpgHis death when the future writer was only 15 years old shook the boy’s faith in that God is Benevolent and All-knowing. But for Bulgakov conscious disbelief in the God of the Orthodox Church did not entail an a priori atheism, least of all of the simplistic and materialist kind sponsored by the Soviet State.

Why should there be no soul or spiritual world even if God as traditionally defined (admittedly altogether imperfectly) didn’t exist? That, for Bulgakov, did not follow.

In the years after he renounced his baptism up until he regained his faith in the God of his father he pursued different definitions and looked in the opposite direction to materialism, into spiritism. He was convinced that there was more to the universe than bare sensory phenomena.

And what could possibly justify the opposite claim? Could constitute positive proof that all that is, is necessarily material? And what of the numerous immediately obvious instances where it fails?

Concepts are not material, but they do exist. Materialism itself being one of them.

Individuals as persons are not material. Were I to lose a limb I would not be less Martin Kalyniuk than I was before.

Time exists I think. It isn’t material.

And it is not only this metaphysical cage that materialist atheists lock themselves in and throw away the key to. A moral narrowness follows on the mental one.

I repeat—in the master-piece the Master’s mood has changed. The devil is coming to Moscow. Not a swarm of snakes but the Serpent himself. The ancient one that began by exposing the infidelity of humanity’s parents to the God that made them. And he is back to expose and punish modern materialist man, with his closed mechanist universe and narrow pursuit of personal gratification.

The Devil rides out in Moscow. Painting by Aleksandr Kurushin.

The Devil rides out in Moscow. Painting by Aleksandr Kurushin.

It’s instructive that he begins with Berlioz. Berlioz’s crime is atheism. His denial that Christ existed in history, that God exists since eternity and his insistence that even Satan himself, who Berlioz is speaking with (!), does not exist either. We have to laugh with the devil.

Well, now, this is really getting interesting,” he cried shaking with laughter, “What is it with you? Whatever comes up you say doesn’t exist!

His punishment begins in time by the separation of his head from his body by a tram. It culminates in eternity when the devil gives him his wish.

Speaking to his severed, conscious head,

You were always an avid proponent of the theory that after his head is cut off, a man’s life comes to an end, he turns to dust, and departs into non-being. I have the pleasure of informing you in the presence of my guests—although they actually serve as proof of a different theory altogether—that your theory is both incisive and sound. However, one theory is as good as another. There is even a theory that says that to each man it will be given according to his beliefs. May it be so! You are departing into non-being, and, from the goblet into which you are being transformed, I will have the pleasure of drinking a toast to being!

mikhailbulwhite.jpgBerlioz didn’t believe in life after death. Berlioz believed man is essentially a very complex material object. His final retribution is to be made into one, though a very simple one, a goblet, out of which a toast is made to the immortality he denied so vehemently.

And everyone is punished.

Laziness and fakery—Likhodeyev. Fraud—Nikanor Ivanovich. Generally being an annoyance—Bengalsky. Vanity—basically the whole female population of Moscow. Greed—everyone to a man. Spousal infidelity—Arkady Apollonovich. Blasphemy and cursing—Prokhor Petrovich. Covetousness—Maximilian Andreyevich. Informing and betrayal—Baron Maigel. And, the worst sin of all according to Bulgakov, cowardice—the cruel fifth procurator of Judea, the knight Pontius Pilate.

And what is most interesting above all, is that we feel nothing for them. Bulgakov has not invested any of them with pathos. They are not human beings. Not at all. Bulgakov has made them into what they wish to be—puppets. Mere material objects bumping into each other, with a pre-set selection of pursuits, wishes and desires as in a puppet-show.

They lack life. They have no depth. This is why Berlioz’s or Bengalsky’s head comes off and we don’t feel horror or revulsion. We may rather laugh. But we most certainly don’t bat an eyelid, leave aside shed a tear, between that occurrence and the sentence to follow.

And this narrowness of ideas and aims, shallowness of character and conduct, littleness of mind and heart are all the direct consequence and conclusion of the conviction that we are just finite, material toys trapped in time and space. Without purpose, without ultimate accountability and with no future beyond the short, uncertain span of our life on earth.

The ideas from the short-stories have been refined and sharpened. All the threads are drawn together, tight to breaking point—and Woland, Begemot, Koroviev, Gella and Azazello are here to cut them.

Man the material object meets spirit, even if evil. The atheist’s mechanical closed universe is invaded by beings that existed before it and who know of far more than it (the fifth dimension for example). And so far from being based on the empirical and experiential, so dogmatic is “scientific atheism” that Berlioz can try and convince the devil himself that he doesn’t exist.

This dogmatism of materialist atheism is the last point I should like underscore before closing this essay.

Fiction has the marvellous quality to it that you can’t argue with it. Like maths or a thought-experiment, you agree to play by rules. The cardinal rule is that what the narrator says is so. This gives the writer the power to make you think about things that you otherwise not for a single moment’s time would have entertained on your own.

Everything that has happened in Bulgakov’s Moscow—has happened. In the context of the novel, that’s a fact. “And” as the devil says to Berlioz’s head “a fact is the most stubborn thing in the world.” What do puppets do when confronted with them? Exactly what they do in actual life.

As always when something is reported that would seem to compel us to broaden our understanding of the way the world works—psychology is called in.

One person saw something exceeding a narrow understanding of the laws of the universe? He’s schizophrenic. Several people? Mass hallucination. And who’s responsible for the seeming events that didn’t occur? For everyone saw them, even if not a violation of the laws of nature.

“It was the work of a gang of hypnotists and ventriloquists magnificently skilled in their art.” ?!

Bulgakov’s final stab is his hardest. The way he wraps up the novel by providing naturalistic explanations that explain nothing but satisfy everyone and parade about behind the banners of scientific terms. There can be nothing more idiotic than these explanations. But how many people, during Bulgakov’s time, and, I stress, in the West today would readily venture or accept them if (or when) confronted with the same thing?

Could you believe that the devil exists? If one hot spring evening, just as the sun was going down, he sat next to you too?


[i] Ударим по булгаковщине!

(Title of an article published in a Soviet magazine during the writer’s lifetime and found among 297 other such collected articles in his private papers)

vendredi, 06 novembre 2015

Medienkrieg: Washington stockt Etat für Anti-Rußland-Propaganda auf

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Medienkrieg: Washington stockt Etat für Anti-Rußland-Propaganda auf

Ex: http://www.zuerst.de

Washington. In Syrien geben die USA zwar vor, gemeinsam mit Rußland die Terrormiiz “Islamischer Staat” (IS) bekämpfen zu wollen. Gleichzeitig unterläßt Washington aber nichts, um Rußland zu provozieren und unter Druck zu setzen, wie der anhaltende Konfrontationskurs der NATO in Europa zeigt.

Dazu paßt, daß Washington auch an der Medienfront aufrüstet. Jetzt hat der stellvertretende US-Beauftragte für Europa und Eurasien, Benjamin Ziff, in einer Sitzung des Senatsausschusses für auswärtige Angelegenheiten erklärt, daß die USA die Ausgaben für Informations- und Propagandaaktivitäten gegen Rußland auf 83 Millionen Dollar aufstocken werden. Natürlich geht es Ziff zufolge offiziell dabei nicht um “Propaganda”, sondern vielmehr um Gegenpropaganda.

Im neuen Finanzjahr 2016, das am 1. Oktober begonnen hat, werden die Ausgaben für “die Unterstützung der Zivilgesellschaft und der unabhängigen Medien in Eurasien und Süd-Ost-Europa” laut Ziff um 26 Prozent erhöht. Der neue Etat liegt dann bei stattlichen 83 Millionen US-Dollar. 2015 hatte Washington dafür noch 66 Millionen ausgegeben. Der Presse-Anteil lag dabei bei 16 Millionen Dollar, etwa vier Millionen Dollar waren für den Etat “Öffentliche Diplomatie” veranschlagt.

Ziff fügte bei seinem Bericht im Senatsausschuß ergänzend hinzu, daß mit den veranschlagten Geldern nicht nur im russischsprachigen “Informationsraum” gearbeitet wird, sondern zum Beispiel auch auf dem Westbalkan.

Erst kürzlich hatte die Bundesregierung in der Antwort auf eine Parlamentarische Anfrage der Bundestags-LINKEN Einzelheiten zur westlichen Medien- und Propaganda-Infrastruktur im osteuropäischen Aufmarschraum gegen Rußland bekanntgegeben. Demnach sei seit Anfang April eine “EU East Stratcom Task Force” aufgebaut worden, die aus Überlegungen “für ein spezielles Team für strategische Kommunikation in Richtung der Länder der Östlichen Partnerschaft und Rußland” hervorgegangen sei. Seit dem 1. September habe die Medien-“Task Force” ihre “volle Personalstärke erreicht und offiziell ihre Aufgaben übernommen”. Ihre Aufgabe sei es unter anderem, hatte die Bundesregierung in ihrer Antwort weiter erläutert, die “russischsprachigen Medien [zu] beobachten und zu analysieren, um ein besseres Bild von der Wahrnehmung der EU in der Östlichen Partnerschaft zu bekommen”.

Wie für den US-Diplomaten Benjamin Ziff steht auch bei diesem Projekt für die westliche Seite völlig außer Frage, daß die “Propaganda” aus Moskau kommt, während im Westen unabhängige, objektive Medien den Ton angeben. Die Informationen offizieller russischer Medien werden generell als “Desinformationsaktivitäten” und “Fehlinformationen” gewertet. (mü).

 

mercredi, 04 novembre 2015

Brzezinski, Obama, l’Islamisme et la Russie

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«Brzezinski, Obama, l’Islamisme et la Russie»

Auteur : Bruno Adrie 
Ex: http://zejournal.mobi
 

« Qui domine l’Europe orientale, domine le Heartland, qui domine le Heartland domine l’île mondiale », c’est à-dire l’Eurasie. C’est grâce à cette phrase, écrite en 1904, que le géographe Halford Mackinder est devenu célèbre. Or le Heartland (la zone pivot), lorsqu’on regarde la carte publiée dans l’article de Mackinder, c’est grosso modo la Russie actuelle, européenne et asiatique, le Caucase, l’Asie Centrale et l’Iran.

Dans le numéro de septembre/octobre 1997 du magazine Foreign Affairs, Zbigniew Brzezinski signe quant à lui un article intitulé « A Geostrategy for Eurasia » dans lequel il prétend pousser plus loin la pensée hégémonique de son prédécesseur.

Pour lui, la Russie vit actuellement recluse dans la nostalgie de son passé impérial, une nostalgie qui l’empêche de voir le présent et d’envisager l’avenir avec pragmatisme. Plutôt que de faire preuve de réalisme, la Russie est régulièrement tentée de « s’engager dans un effort futile afin de regagner son statut de puissance mondiale ». Or ça, pour Zbigniew Brzezinski, c’est du passé, et la Russie doit cesser de vivre dans la contemplation de ce passé doré comme les cieux des vieilles icônes. D’abord, la Russie souffre d’une perte de vitesse démographique qui ne lui permettra pas de continuer à gouverner un pays de 17 millions de kilomètres carrés. Ensuite, sa bureaucratie, trop lourde et centralisée, n’a pas permis à cet immense territoire de se développer. Aussi, pour que l’ensemble reste tenable et évolue, le pays doit-il « se moderniser » et se décentraliser. Zbigniew Brzezinski, que rien n’arrête et qui pense à tout, prend la carte de la Russie et, en deux traits pointillés, nous fabrique une « confédération » de trois Etats: à l’ouest, la Russie d’Europe, au centre, une République sibérienne et une République extrême orientale donnant sur l’océan Pacifique (voir l’image d’en-tête), un découpage qui, selon lui, permettra de libérer les forces vives trop longtemps contenues et d’accroître les relations commerciales de ces territoires nouveaux avec leurs voisins. Et il ne s’arrête pas là. Dans un ouvrage intitulé The Choice: Global Domination or Global Leadership (2004), il approfondit son idée en prétendant qu’« un effort international pour développer et coloniser la Sibérie pourrait stimuler un authentique rapprochement entre les Européens et les Russes ». Pour lui, la Sibérie est une nouvelle « Alaska », une nouvelle « Californie », « un Eldorado pour des pionniers aventuriers », une « source de grande richesse » et d’« investissements profitables ». Pris dans son élan géopolitique, il envisage même la transformation de la Sibérie en un bien commun eurasiatique exploité dans un esprit de partage. Pour lui, cette évolution aurait l’avantage de « stimul[er] une société européenne repue » grâce à cette « excitante nouvelle frontière » à conquérir. Une sorte de « Drang nach Osten pour le développement » en quelque sorte. Mais, précise-t-il, on n’y parviendra pas facilement car il faudra passer par un changement intérieur, par la consolidation d’ « un pluralisme géopolitique en Russie ». C’est d’ailleurs là que réside, selon lui, « une des principales tâches qui incombent à la société euro-atlantique » qui va devoir lutter contre les « ambitions impériales résiduelles de la plus grande partie de [l’] élite politique [russe] ». Par quel moyen? En plaçant « des obstacles à toute tentative de restauration impériale » (The Choice). Une idée très ancrée dans la tête du Doctor: une Russie décentralisée « serait moins susceptible de se mobiliser en tant qu’Empire » (Foreign Affairs).

En ajoutant quelques détails pris dans ses écrits, nous pensons pouvoir résumer ainsi le credo de Zbigniew Brzezinski. Il se décline en trois nécessités fondamentales que nous explicitons :

- La Russie doit cesser de vouloir être un challenger des Etats-Unis et se laisser inféoder par l’Union Européenne et par l’OTAN. Ainsi, elle ne constituera plus une menace pour les Etats-Unis qui pourront sans doute, on le devine, exercer leur pression militaire ailleurs, pourquoi pas en mer de Chine.

- La Russie doit se démocratiser, selon la définition qui confond démocratie et adhésion au système occidental du suffrage universel. Cette démocratisation permettra, on le voit partout en Europe et aux Etats-Unis, de porter au pouvoir des technocrates opportunistes, des membres des réseaux atlantistes, pas vraiment intéressés par la question des libertés fondamentales et plutôt indifférents aux questions environnementales. Ces agents agiront conformément aux intérêts des oligarques locaux et étrangers et seront rémunérés par leurs lobbies. Ils fermeront les yeux sur la régulation des opérations des marchés bancaires, accueilleront les délocalisations dans un cadre propice où le code du travail ne mettra pas de barrière à l’exploitation de la main-d’œuvre et feront pression pour que la politique fiscale ne nuise jamais aux profits de ceux qui ont toujours profité. Dit simplement, afin d’augmenter les bénéfices des actionnaires locaux et envahisseurs, ils répandront partout la corruption.

- La Russie doit accepter d’être démantelée et de devenir une terre d’accueil de pionniers pour permettre de tirer plus de profits des richesses que recèle un sous-sol inexploité qui deviendra, dès lors, puisque tous les hommes sont frères dans l’extraction, un terrain neutre, une sorte de zone de partage économique. Or, ça tombe bien parce la République de Sibérie, la partie centrale du découpage, correspond précisément au bassin de Sibérie occidentale qui détient, selon un rapport de l’USGS de 2003 (Petroleum, Geology and Resources of the West Siberian Basin, Rusia, par Gregory F. Ulmishek), le plus grand bassin pétrolier du monde, un bassin couvrant une superficie de 2,2 millions de kilomètres carrés, exactement situé entre l’Oural et le fleuve Ienisseï et délimité au nord par la mer de Karal. Comportant plusieurs dizaines de champs pétroliers et gaziers géants et super-géants, il produit les ¾ du pétrole et du gaz de Russie et, en dépit du forage de gros volumes, il reste modérément exploré. Si nous nous tournons maintenant vers le BP Statistical Review of World Energy de 2015, pour nous faire une idée de cette manne à l’échelon mondial, nous découvrons qu’aujourd’hui, la Russie possède 6,1% des réserves mondiales prouvées de pétrole (contre 2,9% pour les Etats-Unis) et qu’elle possède aussi 17,4% des réserves mondiales prouvées de gaz (contre 5,2% pour les Etats-Unis). Remarquons d’autre part que l’Iran détient 18,2% des réserves mondiales de gaz, 9,3% pour le Turkménistan. Inutile de préciser que ces deux pays sont situés dans le Heartland de Mackinder.

On sourit quand on voit la liste des abandons que le Dr. Brzezinski exige de la Russie, tant sur le plan politique (abandon du régime qui permet au pays de garder son indépendance pour le remplacer par un régime apparemment démocratique mais en réalité uniquement électif et, par conséquent, poreux à tout le lobbying et à toutes les corruptions dont sont porteuses les multinationales), qu’économique (abandon de sa souveraineté sur des territoires qui offrent de nombreux avantages économiques grâce à leurs ressources, à leurs infrastructures, et à leurs voies de communication) et stratégique (perte de bases militaires, de bases nucléaires, et d’ouverture sur les mers).

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Il est donc difficile de garder son sérieux devant une telle plaisanterie si sérieusement adressée à un lectorat qu’on imagine uniquement préoccupé par l’accroissement de sa puissance et de ses revenus, plus précisément de sa puissance par ses revenus. Un lectorat à l’esprit « pionnier » et qui voit dans la Sibérie une nouvelle Californie, une nouvelle Alaska, l’occasion d’une nouvelle ruée vers l’or, d’une nouvelle Drang nach Osten qui n’aura rien de pacifique mais qui sera, au contraire, un pillage de plus, un pillage en grand, le pillage en technicolor d’un Heartland définitivement conquis et dont la soumission signifiera sans doute, pour ceux qui y croient encore, la fin de l’Histoire.

Rappelons-nous ce qu’a dit le président Obama au sujet du Doctor: que celui-ci a, pendant des décennies, formé les spécialistes de la politique étrangère dans les deux partis (c’est le cas de Madeleine Albright) et que cet universitaire exceptionnel, ce penseur exceptionnel, cet ami exceptionnel lui a personnellement beaucoup appris en plus de le soutenir pendant sa campagne présidentielle (les deux allant de pair, évidemment).

Il semble très cohérent que cet Obama-là, poupée politique façonnée et portée à la présidence par les puissants que représente Zbigniew Brzezinski, mène aujourd’hui une guerre contre la Russie, une guerre qui a commencé par un coup d’Etat en Ukraine, qui s’est poursuivie par l’application de « sanctions » et a fini par une tentative de déstabilisation de l’allié syrien, favorisée il est vrai par l’apparition opportune d’une organisation terroriste justifiant l’ingérence étasunienne dans un Etat souverain, à travers des bombardements et un soutien apporté à une armée de libération composée d’islamistes dits modérés, des islamistes bien utiles et peut-être pas si modérés qu’on le dit, comme ceux que le Doctor avait armés dès 1979 en Afghanistan afin d’offrir aux Russes leur « guerre du Vietnam ».

Le but de l’Amérique d’Obama, qui est celle de Brzezinski et qui est celle des élites qui décident de la politique étrangère depuis le Council on Foreign Relations, c’est de faire reculer la Russie, de l’enfermer dans ses frontières afin de l’assiéger, de la soumettre et de la faire éclater en trois blocs affaiblis, plus faciles à écraser sous les grosses pattes des dinosaures de la mondialisation.

En espérant que ces réflexions permettront au lecteur indécis de mieux comprendre M. Poutine, sa défense de la Syrie, sa résistance devant l’Ukraine, son invasion de la Géorgie et sa politique face aux mouvements « islamistes » dont il conviendrait de connaître les sources de financement avant de clore toute analyse.


- Source : Bruno Adrie

samedi, 31 octobre 2015

Les djihadistes de l’EI se sont rassemblés pour une Invasion MASSIVE de l’Asie Centrale

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Renseignements russes : Les djihadistes de l’EI se sont rassemblés pour une Invasion MASSIVE de l’Asie Centrale

Auteur : Nick Gutteridge
Traduction Laurent Freeman
Ex: http://zejournal.mobi

Un grand nombre de combattants islamistes se sont rassemblés au nord de la frontière afghane et se préparent à entrer dans les états voisins, ont révélé des agents des services de renseignement russes.

L’espion moscovite en chef, Alexander Bortnikov, a mis en garde les Talibans, des combattants, dont beaucoup ont prêté allégeance à l’Etat Islamique, qui sont lourdement armés et préparés à pénétrer la frontière poreuse.

S’adressant à un congrès des services spéciaux des Etats Indépendants du Commonwealth, il a dit:

« La communauté internationale fait désormais face à un nouveau challenge géopolitique, un groupe criminel international du nom de l’Etat Islamique. »

« Ce projet, qui est la progéniture même du ‘Printemps Arabe’, a obtenu son élan à cause du deux poids deux mesures de certains pouvoirs mondiaux et régionaux, en utilisant ‘un proxy terroriste ravageur’ pour qu’ils atteignent leurs objectifs stratégiques en Asie et en Afrique ».

« Selon nos propres estimations, les citoyens de plus de 100 pays différents se battent actuellement dans les différents rangs de ces structures terroristes variées et les jeunes recrues représentent 40% de leurs forces ».

« L’escalade des tensions en Afghanistan a provoqué de graves dangers. Il y a de nombreux groupes criminels au sein du mouvement taliban au nord de ce pays en ce moment-même. Certains d’entre eux ont également commencé à opérer sous les ordres de l’Etat islamique, ce qui amène à une montée critique du niveau de menaces terroristes d’une potentielle invasion de l’Asie centrale ».

Le groupe de djihadistes haineux pourrait essayer de se frayer un chemin au nord de l’Afghanistan après avoir essuyé plusieurs raids aériens meurtriers de la Russie.

L’invasion serait comme un coup bas pour Vladimir Poutine, car elle emporterait avec elle plusieurs régions de l’ex-URSS à savoir le Turkménistan, l’Ouzbékistan, le Tadjikistan, qui sont toujours en bon terme avec Moscou.

Ils prendraient ainsi le contrôle des champs d’opium en Afghanistan qui sont entretenus par les forces occidentales. Une manne qui renforcerait l’Etat Islamique, car le produit une fois transformé en héroïne, serait revendu dans les rues européennes ou américaines.

L’Etat Islamique n’a cherché qu’à accroître sa présence en Asie et n’a cessé de recevoir du soutien de plusieurs cellules islamistes indiennes, pakistanaises et malaisiennes.

Tôt ce mois-ci, Poutine a dénoncé la situation en Afghanistan comme étant « proche du seuil critique » et a appelé les nations de l’ex Union Soviétique à se préparer à agir à l’unisson pour contrer une potentielle attaque de l’Etat Islamique.

Les fous islamistes ont été usés par les bombardements aériens russes et occidentaux, ce qui a amené plusieurs experts à reconnaître que leur économie est en panne et que leur structure de commande est sur le point de disparaître.

Les djihadistes ont précédemment annoncé leur intention de conquérir le monde et de soumettre tous les êtres humains à une seule idéologie, la loi de la Charia.

vendredi, 30 octobre 2015

Diplomaţia lui Stalin

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Diplomaţia lui Stalin

Istoria secolului nostru este învăţată din punctul de vedere american. La fel este şi în cazul celui de-al doilea Război Mondial, al Războiului Rece şi al Războiului din Golf. În optica americană, secolul XXI este “secolul american”, în care trebuie să se instaleze şi să se menţină o ordine mondială conform cu interesele americane, secol care este simultan “sfârşitul istoriei”, sfârşitul aventurii umane, sinteza definitivă a dialecticii istoriei. Francis Fukuyama, chiar înainte de războiul din Golf, afirma că odată cu căderea Cortinei de Fier şi sfârşitul “hegelianismului de stânga” pe care îl reprezenta URSS-ul, un singur model, cel al liberalismului american, va subzista secole de-a rândul. Cu condiţia ca niciun competitor să nu se zărească la orizont. De unde misiunea americană era aceea de a reacţiona rapid, mobilizând maximum de mijloace, contra oricărei veleităţi de a construi o ordine politică alternativă.

Cu câţiva ani înainte de Fukuyama, un autor germano-american, Theodore H. von Laue, pretindea că singura revoluţie veritabilă în lume şi în istorie era aceea a occidentalizării şi că toate revoluţiile politice non-occidentaliste, toate regimurile bazate pe alte principii decât cele în vogă în America, erau relicve ale trecutului, pe care numai nişte reacţionari perverşi le puteau adula, reacţionari pe care puterea americană, economică şi militară, urma să le măture rapid pentru a face loc unui hiper-liberalism de factură anglo-saxonă, debarasat de orice concurenţă.

Dacă hitlerismul este în mod general considerat ca o forţă reacţionară perversă faţă de care America a contribuit la eliminarea din Europa, se ştiu mai puţin motivele care l-au împins pe Truman şi pe protagoniştii atlantişti ai Războiului Rece să lupte contra stalinismului şi să facă din el un căpcăun ideologic, considerat explicit de către von Laue drept „reacţionar” în ciuda etichetei sale proprii de „progresist”. Această ambiguitate faţă de Stalin se explică prin alianţa americano-sovietică în timpul celui de-al Doilea Război mondial, când Stalin era supranumit în mod prietenos “Uncle Joe”. Cu toate acestea, de câţiva ani, numeroşi istorici revăd în mod inteligent poncifele pe care patruzeci şi cinci de ani de atlantism furibund le-au vehiculat în mass-media şi în cărţile noastre de istorie. Germanul Dirk Bavendamm a demonstrat în două lucrări meticuloase şi precise care au fost responsabilităţile lui Roosevelt în declanşarea conflictelor americano-japonez şi americano-german şi de asemenea care era duplicitatea preşedintelui american faţă de aliaţii săi ruşi. Valentin Falin, fostul ambasador al URSS-ului la Bonn, a publicat în Germania o lucrare de amintiri istorice şi de reflecţii istoriografice, în care acest briliant diplomat rus afirmă că Războiul Rece a început imediat după debarcarea anglo-americană din iunie 1944 pe plajele din Normandia: desfăşurându-şi armada lor navală şi aeriană, puterile occidentale duceau deja un război mai ales contra Uniunii Sovietice şi nu contra Germaniei muribunde.

O lectură atentă a mai multor lucrări recente consacrate multiplelor aspecte ale rezistenţei germane contra regimului hitlerist ne obligă să renunţăm definitiv la interpretarea istoriei celui de-al Doilea Război mondial şi a alianţei anglo-americano-sovietice după modelul convenţional. Ostilitatea faţă de Stalin după 1945 provine mai ales din faptul că Stalin înţelegea să practice o diplomaţie generală bazată pe relaţiile bilaterale între naţiuni, fără ca acestea să fie supervizate de o instanţă universală cum ar fi ONU. Apoi, după ce şi-a dat seama că cele două puteri anglo-saxone deciseseră singure la Casablanca să facă războiul excesiv cu Reich-ul, să declanşeze războiul total şi să ceară capitularea fără condiţii a Germaniei naţional-socialiste, Stalin s-a simţit exclus de aliaţii săi. Furios, el şi-a concentrat mânia în această frază bine ticluită, în aparenţă anodină, dar foarte semnificativă: „Hitlerii vin şi se duc, poporul şi statul german rămân”. Stalin nu considera naţional-socialismul hitlerist ca pe răul absolut sau chiar ca pe o esenţă netrecătoare, ci ca pe un accident al istoriei, o vicisitudine potrivnică Rusiei eterne, pe care armatele sovietice urmau pur şi simplu să caute s-o elimine. Dar, în logica diplomatică tradiţională, care îi aparţinea lui Stalin, în ciuda ideologiei mesianice marxiste, naţiunile nu pier: nu trebuie prin urmare să ceri o capitulare necondiţionată şi trebuie mereu să laşi poarta deschisă unor negocieri. În plin război, alianţele se pot schimba cu totul, aşa cum o arată clar istoria europeană. Stalin se mulţumeşte să ceară deschiderea unui al doilea front pentru a uşura misiunea armatelor sovietice şi a diminua pierderile de vieţi omeneşti în rândul ruşilor, dar acest front nu vine decât foarte târziu, ceea ce-i permite lui Valentin Falin să explice această întârziere ca pe primul act al Războiului Rece între puterile maritime anglo-saxone şi puterea continentală sovietică.

Această reticenţă a lui Stalin se explică şi prin contextul care a precedat imediat epilogul lungii bătălii de la Stalingrad şi debarcarea anglo-saxonă în Normandia. Când armatele lui Hitler şi ale aliaţilor săi slovaci, finlandezi, români şi unguri au intrat în URSS în 22 iunie 1941, sovieticii, oficial, au estimat că clauzele Pactului Molotov/Ribbentrop au fost trădate şi, în toamna lui 1942, după gigantica ofensivă victorioasă a armatelor germane în direcţia Caucazului, Moscova a fost constrânsă să sondeze adversarul său în vederea unei eventuale păci separate: Stalin dorea să se revină la termenii Pactului şi conta pe ajutorul japonezilor pentru a reconstitui, în masa continentală eurasiatică, acel „car cu patru cai” pe care i-l propusese Ribbentrop în septembrie 1940 (sau „Pactul Cvadripartit” între Reich, Italia, URSS şi Japonia). Stalin dorea o pace nulă: Wehrmacht-ul să se retragă dincolo de frontiera fixată de comun acord în 1939 şi URSS-ul să-şi panseze rănile. Mai mulţi agenţi au participat la aceste negocieri, ce au rămas în general secrete. Printre ei, Peter Kleist, ataşat în acelaşi timp de Cabinetul lui Ribbentrop şi de „Biroul Rosenberg”. Kleist, naţionalist german de tradiţie rusofilă în amintirea prieteniei dintre Prusia şi Ţari, va negocia la Stockholm, unde jocul diplomatic va fi strâns şi complex. În capitala suedeză, ruşii sunt deschişi la toate sugestiile; printre ei, ambasadoarea Kollontaï şi diplomatul Semionov. Kleist acţionează în numele Cabinetului Ribbentrop şi al Abwehr-ului lui Canaris (şi nu al „Biroului Rosenberg” care avea în vedere o balcanizare a URSS-ului şi crearea unui puternic stat ucrainean pentru a contrabalansa „Moscovia”). Al doilea protagonist al părţii germane a fost Edgar Klaus, un evreu din Riga care făcea legătura între sovietici şi Abwehr (el nu avea relaţii directe cu instanţele propriu-zis naţional socialiste).

În acest joc mai mult sau mai puţin triangular, sovieticii doreau revenirea la status-quo-ul de dinainte de 1939. Hitler a refuzat toate sugestiile lui Kleist şi a crezut că poate câştiga definitiv bătălia prin cucerirea Stalingradului, cheie a fluviului Volga, a Caucazului şi a Caspicii. Kleist, care ştia că o încetare a ostilităţilor cu Rusia ar fi permis Germaniei să rămână dominantă în Europa şi să-şi îndrepte toate forţele contra britanicilor şi americanilor, trece atunci de partea elementelor active ale rezistenţei anti-hitleriene, chiar dacă este personal dator instanţelor naţional-socialiste! Kleist îi contactează deci pe Adam von Trott zu Solz şi pe fostul ambasador al Reich-ului la Moscova, von der Schulenburg. El nu se adresează comuniştilor şi estimează, fără îndoială odată cu Canaris, că negocierile cu Stalin vor permite realizarea Europei lui Coudenhove-Kalergi (fără Anglia şi fără Rusia), pe care o visau de asemenea şi catolicii. Dar sovieticii nu se adresează nici ei aliaţilor lor teoretici şi privilegiaţi, comuniştii germani: ei pariază pe vechea gardă aristocratică, unde exista încă amintirea alianţei prusacilor şi ruşilor contra lui Napoleon, ca şi cea a neutralităţii tacite a germanilor în timpul Războiului Crimeii. Cum Hitler refuză orice negociere, Stalin, rezistenţa aristocratică, Abwehr-ul şi chiar o parte a gărzii sale pretoriene, SS-ul, decid că el trebuie să dispară. Aici trebuie văzută originea complotului care va duce la atentatul din 20 iulie 1944.

Dar după iarna lui 42-43, sovieticii au revenit la Stalingrad şi au distrus vârful de lance al Wehrmacht-ului, armata a şasea, care încercuia metropola de pe Volga. Partida germană a sovieticilor va fi atunci constituită de „Comitetul Germania Liberă”, cu mareşalul von Paulus şi cu ofiţeri ca von Seydlitz-Kurzbach, toţi prizonieri de război. Stalin nu avea în continuare încredere în comuniştii germani, din rândul cărora a eliminat ideologii nerealişti şi revoluţionarii maximalişti troţkişti, care au ignorat mereu deliberat, din orbire ideologică, noţiunea de „patrie” şi continuităţile istorice multiseculare; finalmente, dictatorul georgian nu l-a păstrat în rezervă, ca bun la toate, decât pe Pieck, un militant care nu şi-a pus niciodată prea multe întrebări. Pieck va face carieră în viitoarea RDG. Stalin nu visa nici un regim comunist pentru Germania post-hitleriană: el dorea o „ordine democratică forte”, cu o putere executivă mai marcată decât sub Republica de la Weimar. Această dorinţă politică a lui Stalin corespunde perfect alegerii sale iniţiale: pariul pe elitele militare, diplomatice şi politice conservatoare, provenind în majoritate din aristocraţie şi din Obrigkeitsstaat-ul[1] prusac. Democraţia germană, care trebuia să vină după Hitler, în opinia lui Stalin, urma să fie de ideologie conservatoare, cu o fluiditate democratică controlată, canalizată şi încadrată de un sistem de educaţie politică strictă.

Britanicii şi americanii au fost surprinşi: ei crezuseră că „Unchiul Joe” va înghiţi fără probleme politica lor maximalistă, ruptă total de uzanţele democratice în vigoare în Europa. Dar Stalin, ca şi Papa şi Bell, episcopul de Chichester, se opuneau principiului revoluţionar al predării necondiţionate pe care Churchill şi Roosevelt au vrut s-o impună Reich-ului (care va rămâne, cum gândea Stalin, în calitate de principiu politic în ciuda prezenţei efemere a unui Hitler). Dacă Roosevelt, făcând apel la dictatura mediatică pe care o controla bine în Statele Unite, a reuşit să-şi reducă adversarii la tăcere, indiferent de ideologie, Churchill a avut mai mari dificultăţi în Anglia. Principalul său adversar era acest Bell, episcop de Chichester. Pentru acesta din urmă, nu se punea problema de a reduce Germania la neant, căci Germania era patria lui Luther şi a protestantismului. Filosofiei predării necondiţionate a lui Churchill, Bell îi opunea noţiunea unei solidarităţi protestante şi-i punea în gardă pe omologii săi olandezi, danezi, norvegieni şi suedezi, ca şi pe interlocutorii săi din rezistenţa germană (Bonhoeffer, Schönfeld, von Moltke), pentru a face faţă belicismului exagerat al lui Churchill, care se exprima prin bombardarea masivă a obiectivelor civile, chiar şi în oraşe mici fără infrastructură industrială importantă. Pentru Bell, viitorul Germaniei nu era nici nazismul nici comunismul, ci o „ordine liberală şi democratică”. Această soluţie, preconizată de episcopul de Chichester, nu era evident acceptabilă de către naţionalismul german tradiţional: ea constituia o întoarcere subtilă la Kleinstaaterei, la mozaicul de state, principate şi ducate, pe care viziunile lui List, Wagner etc. şi pumnul lui Bismarck le şterseseră din centrul continentului nostru. „Ordinea democratică forte” sugerată de Stalin era mai acceptabilă pentru naţionaliştii germani, al căror obiectiv a fost mereu crearea unor instituţii şi a unei paidei puternice pentru a proteja poporul german, substanţa etnică germană, de propriile sale slăbiciuni politice, de lipsa simţului său de decizie, de particularismul său atavic şi de durerile sale morale incapacitante. Astăzi, evident, mulţi observatori naţionalişti constată că federalismul constituţiei din 1949 se înscrie poate destul de bine în tradiţia juridică constituţională germană, dar forma pe care a luat-o, în cursul istoriei RFG-ului, îi relevă natura sa de „concesie”. O concesie a puterilor anglo-saxone…

 

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În faţa adversarilor capitulării necondiţionate din sânul coaliţiei antihitleriste, rezistenţa germană a rămas în ambiguitate: Beck şi von Hassel sunt pro-occidentali şi vor să urmeze cruciada anti-bolşevică, dar într-un sens creştin; Goerdeler şi von der Schulenburg sunt în favoarea unei păci separate cu Stalin. Claus von Stauffenberg, autorul atentatului din 20 iulie 1944 contra lui Hitler, provenea din cercurile poetico-ezoterice din München, unde poetul Stefan George juca un rol preponderent. Stauffenberg este un idealist, un „cavaler al Germaniei secrete”: el refuză să dialogheze cu „Comitetul Germania Liberă” al lui von Paulus şi von Seydlitz-Kurzbach: „nu putem avea încredere în proclamaţiile făcute din spatele sârmei ghimpate”.

Adepţii unei păci separate cu Stalin, adversari ai deschiderii unui front spre Est, au fost imediat atenţi la propunerile de pace sovietice emise de agenţii la post în Stockholm. Partizanii unei „partide nule” la Est sunt ideologic „anti-occidentali”, aparţinând cercurilor conservatoare rusofile (cum ar fi Juni-Klub sau acei Jungkonservativen din siajul lui Moeller van den Bruck), ligilor naţional-revoluţionare derivate din Wandervogel sau „naţionalismului soldăţesc”. Speranţa lor era de a vedea Wehrmacht-ul retrăgându-se în ordine din teritoriile cucerite în URSS şi de a se replia dincolo de linia de demarcaţie din octombrie 1939 în Polonia. În acest sens interpretează exegeţii contemporani ai operei lui Ernst Jünger faimosul său text de război intitulat „Note caucaziene”. Ernst Jünger percepe aici dificultăţile de a stabiliza un front în imensele stepe de dincolo de Don, unde gigantismul teritoriului interzice o reţea militară ermetică ca într-un peisaj central-european sau de tip picard-champenoise, muncit şi răsmuncit de generaţii şi generaţii de mici ţărani încăpăţânaţi care au ţesut teritoriul cu îngrădituri, proprietăţi, garduri şi construcţii de o rară densitate, permiţând armatelor să se prindă de teren, să se disimuleze sau să întindă ambuscade. Este foarte probabil ca Jünger să fi pledat pentru retragerea  Wehrmacht-ului, sperând, în logica naţional-revoluţionară, care îi era proprie în anii 20 sau 30, şi unde rusofilia politico-diplomatică era foarte prezentă, ca forţele ruseşti şi germane, reconciliate, să interzică pentru totdeauna accesul în „Fortăreaţa Europa”, chiar în „Fortăreaţa Eurasia” puterilor talasocratice, care practică sistematic ceea ce Haushofer numea „politica anacondei”, pentru a sufoca orice veleitate de independenţă pe marginile litorale ale „Marelui Continent” (Europa, India, ţările arabe etc.).

Ernst Jünger redactează notele sale caucaziene în momentul în care Stalingradul cade şi armata a şasea este înecată în sânge, oroare şi zăpadă. Dar în ciuda victoriei de la Stalingrad, care le permite sovieticilor să bareze calea spre Caucaz şi Marea Caspică germanilor şi să impiedice orice manevră în amontele fluviului, Stalin urmează mai departe negocierile sale sperând în continuare să joace o „partidă nulă”. Sovieticii nu pun un termen demersurilor lor decât după întrevederile de la Teheran (28 noimebrie – 1 decembrie 1943). În acel moment, Jünger pare a se fi retras din rezistenţă. În celebrul său interviu din Spiegel din 1982, imediat după ce primise premiul Goethe la Frankfurt, el declara: „Atentatele întăresc regimurile pe care vor să le dărâme, mai ales dacă sunt ratate”. Jünger, fără îndoială ca şi Rommel, refuza logica atentatului. Ceea ce nu a fost cazul cu Claus von Stauffenberg. Deciziile luate de către aliaţii occidentali şi de către sovietici la Teheran au făcut imposibilă revenirea la punctul de pornire, adică la linia de demarcaţie din octombrie 1939 în Polonia. Sovieticii şi anglo-saxonii s-au pus de acord să „transporte dulapul polonez” spre Vest prin cedarea unei zone de ocupaţie permanentă în Silezia şi în Pomerania. În atari condiţii, naţionaliştii germani nu mai puteau negocia iar Stalin era din oficiu prins în logica maximalistă a lui Roosevelt, în vreme ce la început o refuzase. Poporul rus urma să plătească foarte scump această schimbare de politică, favorabilă americanilor.

După 1945, constatând că logica Războiului Rece vizează încercuirea şi izolarea Uniunii Sovietice pentru a o împiedica să ajungă la mările calde, Stalin a reiterat oferta sa Germaniei epuizate şi divizate: unificarea şi neutralitatea, adică libertatea de a-şi alege regimul politic după placul său, mai ales o „ordine democratică forte”. Acesta va fi obiectul „notelor lui Stalin” din 1952. Decesul prematur al Vojd-ului sovietic în 1953 nu a mai permis URSS-ului să continue să joace această carte germană. Hruşciov a denunţat stalinismul, a apăsat pe logica blocurilor pe care Stalin o refuzase şi nu a revenit la antiamericanism decât în momentul afacerii Berlinului (1961) şi a crizei din Cuba (1962). Nu se va mai vorbi despre „notele lui Stalin” decât înainte de perestroika, în timpul manifestaţiilor pacifiste din 1980-1983, când mai multe voci germane au reclamat afirmarea unei neutralităţi în afara oricărei logici de tip bloc. Unii emisari ai lui Gorbaciov vor mai vorbi despre acele note şi după 1985, mai ales germanistul Viatcheslav Dachitchev, care a luat cuvântul peste tot în Germania, chiar şi în câteva cercuri ultra-naţionaliste.

În lumina acestei noi istorii a rezistenţei germane şi a belicismului american, putem să înţelegem într-un mod diferit stalinismul şi anti-stalinismul. Acesta din urmă, de exemplu, serveşte la răspândirea unei mitologii politice false şi artificiale, al cărei obiectiv ultim este să respingă orice formă de concert internaţional bazat pe relaţiile bilaterale, să impună o logică a blocurilor sau o logică mondialistă prin intermediul acestui instrument rooseveltian care este ONU (Coreea, Congo, Irak: mereu fără Rusia!), să stigmatizeze din start orice raport bilateral între o putere medie europeană şi Rusia sovietică (Germania în 1952 şi Franţa lui De Gaulle după evenimentele din Algeria). Antistalinismul este o variantă a discursului mondialist. Diplomaţia stalinistă era, în felul ei şi într-un context foarte particular, păstrătoare a tradiţiilor diplomatice europene.

Bibliografie:

– Dirk BAVENDAMM, Roosevelts Weg zum Krieg. Amerikanische Politik 1914-1939, Herbig, München, 1983.

– Dirk BAVENDAMM, Roosevelts Krieg 1937-45 und das Rätsel von Pearl Harbour, Herbig, München, 1993.

– Valentin FALIN, Zweite Front. Die Interessenkonflikte in der Anti-Hitler-Koalition, Droemer-Knaur, München, 1995.

– Francis FUKUYAMA, La fin de l’histoire et le dernier homme, Flammarion, 1992.

– Klemens von KLEMPERER, German Resistance Against Hitler. The Search for Allies Abroad. 1938-1945,  Oxford University Press/Clarendon Press, 1992-94.

– Theodore H. von LAUE, The World Revolution of Westernization. The Twentieth Century in Global Perspective,  Oxford University Press, 1987.

– Jürgen SCHMÄDEKE/Peter STEINBACH (Hrsg.), Der Widerstand gegen den National-Sozialismus. Die deutsche Gesellschaft und der Widerstand gegen Hitler,  Piper (SP n°1923), München, 1994.

Traducere: Vladimir Muscalu

Sursa: http://robertsteuckers.blogspot.ro/2011/12/normal-0-21-false-false-false_29.html

[1] Statul autoritar (n. tr.)

mercredi, 28 octobre 2015

Entretien avec Edouard Limonov

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«L'EUROPE DOIT AUJOURD'HUI FAIRE FACE À SES CRIMES»
 
Entretien avec Edouard Limonov
Ex: http://metamag.fr

Edouard Limonov est un écrivain et dissident politique, fondateur et chef du Parti national-bolchevique (Nazbol) interdit en Russie. Célèbre pour son charisme et ses prises de position controversées, son ouvrage le plus connu paraît alors qu'il est émigré aux Etats-Unis, puis à Paris. Intitulé « C'est moi, Eddie ou Le poète russe préfère les grands nègres » (1980) et racontant ses mois d'errance et de débauche dans le New-York des années 70, il connaît un immense succès et Limonov est propulsé au sommet de la scène littéraire française durant plusieurs années. Il reste encore aujourd'hui un personnage médiatique adulé par certains, haï par d'autres. L'ouvrage de l'écrivain français Emmanuel Carrère qui retrace sa vie a obtenu le prix Renaudot.Edouard Limonov a été écrivain, voyou, poète, ouvrier d'usine, émigré, sans-abri, domestique, dissident politique... D'un tempérament volontairement provocateur, il a récemment défrayé la chronique en critiquant violemment la politique européenne qui, selon lui, a provoqué la crise migratoire qui entraînera, à terme, la mort de l'Europe. Pour RT France, il a accepté de revenir sur ce point de vue et nous livre une interview sans équivoque.


RT France : D'un côté, l'Europe se sent obligée d'accueillir les réfugiés, par solidarité, par devoir d'humanité. D'un autre côté, elle craint pour ses frontières et son patrimoine culturel et religieux. Que pensez-vous des effets de la crise migratoire sur l'Europe ?

 Edouard Limonov (E.L) : Vous savez, l'Europe et les Etats-Unis on créé eux-mêmes cette situation de toutes pièces. Ils ont totalement détruit la Libye avec leur intervention en 2011. l'Irak, les Etats-Unis l'ont carrément détruit deux fois ! Regardez aujourd'hui l'Irak, regardez la Syrie. C'est de votre faute messieurs les européens ! Aujourd'hui il faut faire face à votre crime. On récolte ce que l'on sème. L'Europe et les Etats-Unis ont détruit ces pays et aujourd'hui, des réfugiés fuient ces pays par milliers pour gagner l'Europe. Qu'attendiez-vous en échange ? Cette situation était inévitable. D'un autre côté, nous sommes désormais à l'aube de changements démographiques grandioses. Et vis-à-vis de cela, je considère que l'Europe a entièrement le droit de se défendre. 

Une grande majorité de réfugiés veulent se rendre en Allemagne... 

E.L : Evidemment ! L'Allemagne est une cible de choix pour eux. C'est le pays le plus riche, le plus prospère d'Europe. Il est donc évident que c'est en Allemagne que les réfugiés veulent se rendre. Bien que cette richesse, dont je vous parle, est à mon avis seulement présumée car la crise n'a épargné aucun pays et l'Allemagne d'aujourd'hui, ce n'est plus l'Allemagne des années 80-90. Et cette Allemagne subit aujourd'hui une sorte d'invasion barbare, de peuples qui ont d'elle une vision totalement fantasmée. J'ai peur qu'à terme, on risque de voir apparaître une résurgence des idées nazies à cause de cette invasion incontrôlée.  

limonovol12.jpgL'Allemagne semble pourtant accueillir les réfugiés chaleureusement... 

E.L : Oui. Cela vient d'un sentiment de culpabilité vis-à-vis du nazisme. Pour ma part j'attends depuis longtemps que l'Allemagne se relève et arrête de se cantonner à sa politique victimaire, de se flageller pour son passé. Le tribu qu'on lui fait payer commence à être beaucoup trop lourd. L'Allemagne finira par se révolter de cette situation. C'est également le cas pour le Japon à qui on fait payer depuis bien trop longtemps sa prise de position dans la Seconde Guerre Mondiale.


De nombreux pays européens et notamment certains maires français, on affirmé qu'ils ne sont prêts à accueillir que des chrétiens... 

E.L : Selon moi, c'est une exigence tout à fait raisonnable. Aujourd'hui, les médias nous montrent un Islam aggressif, représenté par Daesh. Alors les gens ont peur, ils préfèrent se tourner vers des populations dont ils savent qu'elles partagent la même religion, les mêmes valeurs.

 
Vous aussi avez vécu l'exil et la situation de réfugié dans les années 70-80, aux Etats-Unis et en Europe... 

E.L : J'ai vécu une toute autre situation. Ce n'est pas comparable. Réfugiés, nous l'étions, certes, mais nous n'étions que quelques centaines. Nous aussi nous avons fuit, mais nous faisions partie de l'Intelligentsia, nous étions des artistes, des poètes, des peintres, des écrivains. Comment peut-on comparer cela à la vague migratoire à laquelle fait face aujourd'hui l'Europe ? Ces gens fuient la terreur, la mort, ils fuient pour sauver leurs vies. Beaucoup d'entre eux n'ont pas le choix. Et l'Europe en paye les conséquences.

Comment évaluez vous cette situation de Russie, où vous vous trouvez ? 

E.L : La Russie aussi a accueilli plus de 600 000 réfugiés vous savez. Seulement, voyez-vous, ceux-là sont ukrainiens. Ils parlent la même langue que nous, ils partagent notre culture. Ils ne sont absolument pas une menace pour la Russie. Je peux vous dire qu'on est bien mieux lotis que vous de ce côté là. Enfin... pour le moment.


*Source 

mardi, 27 octobre 2015

Russia’s Urals region might hold the key to Europe’s ancient origins

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Russia’s Urals region might hold the key to Europe’s ancient origins

In August 2015, the Shigir Idol was recognized  as the world’s oldest known wooden sculpture. Prominent dendrochronologists and archeologists established that the statue is 11,000 years old, dating to the start of the Holocene period at the end of the last Ice Age and beginning of the present era.

The scientific community will probably have to revise the prevailing opinion that almost everything, starting from crop farming to philosophical perceptions of the world, was brought to Europe by ancient Middle Eastern farmers.

Mikhail Zhilin, a leading researcher at the Russian Academy of Science’s Institute of Archeology, is convinced that hunter-gatherers who lived in the Urals and Siberian forests 11,000 years ago exhibited a high level of development. “They lived in harmony with the environment and knew far more about it than modern people can imagine,” Zhilin told RBTH.

The mystery of the idol: a seventh drawing

In 2014 Professor Thomas Terberger, head of research at the Department of Cultural Heritage of Lower Saxony (Hannover), proposed an independent analysis of the Shigir Idol. He wanted to establish the age of the sculpture using the most advanced equipment available, and tests subsequently showed that the idol was older than previously thought, in fact dating to 11,000 years ago.

Dendrochronologists at the German Archeological Institute in Berlin established that the idol was made out of freshly-cut Siberian larch. The tree was at least 157 years old when the ancient craftsmen began to work on it.

Prof. Terberger believes the Shigir Idol is one of the most outstanding Eurasian cultural  masterpieces of the Stone Age. “Based on our studies, one can boldly assert that the development of Eurasian culture was driven not only from the Middle East but from other equally developed centers, in particular, from the Urals,” Terberger said.

Furthermore, scientists recently discovered a seventh mysterious drawing on the idol’s back side, which can be seen only with the help of a microscope. Previously, only six drawings were known. There are markings carved on the idol that depict a series of figures, with a total of eight characters. Their meaning remains a mystery, as well as many other of the idol’s secrets – what it was made for, and with what tools.  

How the idol was discovered and studied

The Big Shigir Idol was discovered in 1890 in a peat bog halfway between Yekaterinburg and Nizhny Tagil. At that time, the area was known for its gold mine. During excavations many ancient artifacts of the Shigir peat bog were lost but some were preserved, such as Stone Age bone arrowheads.

The idol was retrieved from the bog piece by piece, and when they were assembled it turned out they form a sculpture 5.3 meters tall, covered with mysterious carvings. Later, the lower part of that archeological wonder (about 193 cm long) was lost. The gold mine’s owner, Count Alexey Stenbok-Fermor, handed over the idol to the Urals Natural Sciences Society, today known as the Sverdlovsk Region History Museum.

Russian scientists first began to study the idol in 1997, and with the help of radiocarbon analysis they established that the idol was at least 9,500 years old. That announcement caused quite a stir, and skeptics suggested somebody had taken a larch lying in a peat bog for 3,000 or 5,000 years and made an idol out of it. Still, scientists knew that the idol would reveal more secrets.

“We were convinced that it was originally made out of a freshly-cut tree because we know how quickly wood taken out of a peat bog becomes dry and deformed, leaving it practically useless for making a sculpture,” said Svetlana Savchenko, a research associate at the Sverdlovsk Region History Museum.

Read more:

Ancient petroglyphs in the Russian North covered with a glass dome>>>

Russia’s 12 oldest ancient monuments>>>

dimanche, 18 octobre 2015

Syrie – Un nouvel axe Moscou-Pékin

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Syrie – Un nouvel axe Moscou-Pékin

Michel Garroté
Politologue, blogueur
Ex: http://www.lesobservateurs.ch

En mai dernier, le Parti islamique du Turkestan (TIP), organisation djihadiste des musulmans ouïghours du Turkestan oriental, le Xinjiang, situé en Chie occidentale, a publié une vidéo montrant le rôle de ce groupe dans la bataille pour s’emparer de la ville syrienne Jisr Al-Shughur. En outre, divers médias ont évoqué le rôle de la Chine, aux côtés de la Russie, dans le conflit syrien (concernant ces deux événements, voir les nombreux liens vers sources en bas de page).

Dans ce contexte, sur lepoint.fr, Caroline Galactéros écrit notamment, le jeudi 15 octobre 2015 (extraits adaptés ; voir lien vers source en bas de page) : Les Chinois tirent parti du mouvement russe en le rejoignant dans une démonstration de puissance et de contre-influence inédite vis-à-vis de Washington. Pékin affiche aussi sa détermination à éradiquer à la racine la menace séparatiste ouïghour, comme les Russes le font vis-à-vis du Caucase avec les Tchétchènes. Leur porte-avions Liaoning est désormais à Tartous, porteur de chasseurs bombardiers J15, d'un millier d'hommes et d'hélicoptères d'attaque. Il y a retrouvé le sous-marin géant russe Dimitri Donskoi, doté de 20 missiles intercontinentaux (200 têtes nucléaires, portée 10 000 kilomètres) et le croiseur lance-missiles Moskva. La Méditerranée orientale est donc sanctuarisée.

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Djihadistes de l'EI: parmi eux, des Ouighours, citoyens chinois

Caroline Galactéros : Un déploiement de puissance qui vise une démonstration d'ordre stratégique, bien au-delà de la Syrie et même du Moyen-Orient. En déployant des vaisseaux de guerre dissuasifs au propre et au figuré, en tirant depuis la Caspienne des missiles de croisière Kalibr, Moscou (et Pékin) démontrent non seulement leur renaissance militaire, mais adressent à Washington un avertissement tangible : l'Eurasie n'est plus sous contrôle américain. L'axe Moscou-Pékin, avec leurs clientèles associées en cours de consolidation, consacre la montée en puissance d'un challenger sécuritaire à l'Otan : l'organisation de Shanghaï.

Caroline Galactéros : Le leadership américain sur l'Orient a vécu. À cet égard, la centralisation de la coordination opérationnelle entre la Russie, l'Iran, l'Irak, la Syrie, et le Hezbollah de manière plus informelle, que certains appellent « l'axe 4+1 », marque une convergence d'intérêts sans équivoque, même si chacun conserve son propre agenda et ses arrière-pensées. Le gouvernement irakien vient d'ailleurs de donner à Moscou l'usage de sa base al Taqadum de Habanniyah, à 75 kilomètres de Bagdad, qui permet d'ouvrir un corridor aux avions russes vers la Syrie, mais pourrait aussi servir de base pour des missions russes de bombardement au nord de l'Irak même.

Caroline Galactéros : L'installation de la Russie comme acteur majeur au Moyen-Orient, arrière-cour américaine traditionnelle, est aussi une « réponse du berger à la bergère » aux actions diverses de déstabilisation américaines et occidentales dans sa propre arrière-cour : ex-satellites soviétiques mais surtout Ukraine, Géorgie, et désormais Azerbaïdjan qui subit de croissantes pressions américaines. La Russie sera donc au cœur de tout accord politique futur, pour le garantir ou le compromettre si elle n'y trouve pas son compte. Les États-Unis et leurs alliés, qui ne peuvent plus s'opposer à l'offensive russe, en sont réduits à jouer désormais Moscou contre Téhéran, probablement en marchandant avec les uns ou les autres la levée des sanctions en échange d'un affaiblissement de leur alliance de circonstance en Syrie et en Irak.

Caroline Galactéros : Moscou réalise un rêve vieux de cinq siècles, celui d'une puissance militaire russe durable en Méditerranée, mais surtout poursuit une ambition majeure : celle d'un monopole russe des routes et de la distribution de gaz vers l'Europe via la démonétisation énergétique de l'Ukraine par le nord, avec notamment la bénédiction allemande, et le contrôle de la concurrence iranienne ou qatarie qui pourrait emprunter les pipelines du nord de la Syrie. La Méditerranée orientale regorge de gaz et les enjeux énergétiques en arrière-plan de ces grandes manœuvres ne doivent pas être oubliés car, comme toujours, les grilles de lecture économiques du conflit, soigneusement éludées par les acteurs, sont en fait premières.

 

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Caroline Galactéros : Si l'on prend un peu plus de recul encore, on voit se confirmer le basculement du focus stratégique américain vers la mer de Chine orientale. Le président Obama, qui ne peut « être au four et au moulin » militairement parlant, paraît contraint de laisser faire les Russes au Moyen-Orient pour pouvoir redéployer sa flotte en Asie et venir au secours de ses protégés locaux qui s'inquiètent des ambitions de plus en plus tangibles de Pékin de faire de la mer de Chine sa mare nostrum, conclut Caroline Galactéros, le jeudi 15 octobre 2015, sur lepoint.fr (fin des extraits adaptés ; voir lien vers source en bas de page).

Michel Garroté

http://www.memrijttm.org/jaysh-al-fath-affiliated-group-exhorts-westerners-foreign-fighters-to-come-to-syria.html#_edn2

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/610286/China-preparing-to-team-up-with-Russia-in-Syria-Boost-for-Putin-in-battle-against-ISIS

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2015/10/06/Are-the-Chinese-coming-to-Syria-.html

https://www.facebook.com/SCOCooperation?fref=nf

http://lainfo.es/en/2015/10/06/china-could-join-russias-action-against-terrorism-in-syria/

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13940706000731

http://www.debka.com/article/24926/Chinese-warplanes-to-join-Russian-air-strikes-in-Syria-Russia-gains-Iraqi-air-bas

http://www.europe-israel.org/2015/10/syrie-des-enfants-ouighours-chinois-apprennent-a-combattre-dans-les-camps-dentrainement-de-letat-islamique/

http://www.lepoint.fr/invites-du-point/caroline-galacteros/galacteros-syrie-les-enjeux-caches-de-l-intervention-russe-15-10-2015-1973777_2425.php

   

mardi, 13 octobre 2015

Dostoevsky: Demonic Rationalism

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Dostoevsky: Demonic Rationalism

In his work Dostoevsky and the Metaphysics of Crime, sociologist Dr. Vladislav Arkadyevich Bachinin analyzes the only seemingly contradictory correlation between Enlightenment rationalism and the rise of infernal forces in Fyodor Dostoevsky’s work Demons. Translated by Mark Hackard.

Ex: http://souloftheeast.org

The Immoral Reason of a Living Automaton

Pyotr Verkhovensky, the cold-blooded cynic who easily transgresses any moral obstacles, represents a special type of criminal, to whom is applicable the philosophical metaphor of “man the machine.”

In 1748 France, Lematrie’s book under that title was released. Its author cast man as a self-winding machine moving along perpendicular lines. In Lametrie’s conception a human being was the direct likeness of a watch or harpsichord, and at the same time subordinated to natural necessity. But possessing instincts, feelings, and passions, he is deprived of a soul. Lametrie assumed that the soul was a term lacking any essential substance whatsoever.

The world in which the machine-man dwells is anthropocentric; there is no place for God. Reality is arranged in accordance with the principles of Newtonian mechanics, and the world presents a mechanical conglomerate of soulless elements. Natural and social processes are moved by one and the same mechanical forces.

The philosophy of machine rationality unfolds as the unique result of the evolution of classical rationalism. The elimination of all metaphysical content prepares the ground both for the arrival of positivism and for the realization of plans for building the future strictly rationalized society with calculated parameters wholly under the control of a directing will. The machine-man and machine-state, which need each other, arise as something resembling Aristotle’s telic reasons, and will directly and gradually determine the development of positivist anthropocentric schematics.

In accordance with the mechanistic picture of the world, there always exists the threat of intentional deformations in the structures of the cosmic order. Objectively there exist possibilities for the violation of measure and harmony, the destruction of order, and the ascent of chaos. A murderer can realize the objective possibility of death that exists for his victim. A thief or robber is capable of realizing the objective possibility of shifting material values in the social space from one set of hands to the other, etc. That is, it stands only for man to apply certain efforts for the possibility of disintegration of existing structures, its movement into reality. At times purely mechanical forces were sufficient for this. Moreover, the higher the degree of mechanism of such enterprises, the less that spiritual, ethical, religious, and similar components are in the mix, and the more effective destructive actions will prove.

Dostoevsky has the philosophy of the machine-man applicable first and foremost to characters who represent practical businessmen smacking of commercial types of the Western model, i.e., to such men as Luzhin, Rakitin, Epanchin, Totsky, Ferdyshchenko, etc. Indifferent to metaphysical reality, they subscribe to Rousseau’s “Geneva ideals” allowing the possibility of “virtue without Christ.” Immersed in the vanity of a graceless, prosaic-pragmatic existence, “having ears, they do not hear, and having eyes, they do not see.” All that comes from on high, from the spheres of metaphysical reality, does not reach their souls, and therefore they are immersed in the darkness of ignorance and incomprehension of the most important meanings of life. The thoughts and feelings of these “Bernards” carry an earthly character and are not directed toward the beyond. They do not like abstract reasoning, considering it an idle pastime. For them as for Lametrie, God and the soul are false moral magnitudes. For them the entire world dwells in the “disenchanted” state of a gigantic conglomerate of soulless elements. Not in one of them does God’s spark gleam. All these men are spiritually impoverished living machines, wound up, however, by a mysterious hand, but as Lev Shestov would say about them, they are not conscious that their life is not life, but death.

Art by Sergei Yukhimov.

Art by Sergei Yukhimov.

In his portrayals Dostoevsky expounds his criticism of the far-from-clean, wholly filthy immoral mind, more precisely the banal and base “Euclidian” reason that is deaf to the metaphysics of moral absolutes, the mind that sees in the soul “only vapor;” that is governed by cold reason alone and views the entire world as a set of tools for the achievement of its vapid objectives.

Among the specimens of the machine-man replicated by Dostoevsky, Pyotr Verkhovensky represents the most odious exemplar. He is calculating, ruthless, and is ready to go the full distance for the achievement of his goals, not stopping at the most vile infamies and crimes.

Criminal reality, inside of which exists Verkhovensky’s true “I,” is distinguished by characteristics such as a harsh aloofness from other evaluative worlds, and most of all from the world of religious, moral, and natural-law absolutes. Second, inherent to it is an acute tension in relations with official-normative evaluative reality. And its third particularity is a faint vulnerability, explained by the fact that for all its antagonistic position, it aspires to copy the structures of legal realities in its own fashion. Just as the devil parodies God, trying to imitate him, the criminal world seeks, for all the caricatured nature of its efforts, to reproduce normative-evaluative stereotypes of the legitimate and sacral worlds, attempting to acquire additional vitatlity at their cost.

It is not accidental that Shatov’s murder in Demons bears the marks of a ritual sacrifice. Along with that it takes the form of a monstrous parody of ancient ritual: instead of the solemnity of a holy rite, there is the filthy lowness of the whole scene; instead of open officiality, there is the cowardly, concealed secret act; instead of calling upon the favor of higher forces, there is a wager on the dark elements of evil, a commiseration of all the participants of the murder through the spilled blood of the victim and mutual fear before one another.

Art by Sergei Yukhimov.

Art by Sergei Yukhimov.

The Normative Space of the Criminal-Political Association

Verkhovensky deliberately forms an enclosed normative-evaluative space of criminal-corporate “morality” with harsh principles of self-organization and self-preservation. He requires that association members’ attitude to their tasks and objectives be extremely serious, not allowing for skepticism, self-irony, or criticism. Violators are immediately punished. Applied violence fulfills a protective function, acting as a means of welding and self-defense for this artificial micro-world.

Aside from similarity in the structure and forms of activity of criminal-political and purely criminal organizations, between the two there are essential distinctions. And so, if a criminal group’s ultimate goals are limited to the resolution of self-interested mercantile tasks, then the goals of criminal-political associations reach far beyond the boundaries of mercantile interests and are oriented toward the achievement of political dominance, by which members of the association cross over into the position of a ruling elite.

If associated criminals, as a rule, do not issue a challenge to the state and the state system but prefer to deal with individual citizens, a criminal-political association boldly steps into antagonism with state power and its institutions.

If a criminal group represents a unique form of a “thing-for-itself” and doesn’t conceal its corporate egoism, then a criminal-political association masks its just-as-base interests with a smokescreen of lies about the interests of the people that supposedly concern it.

The latter circumstance, noted Dostoevsky, allowed such men as Verkhovensky to recruit supporters not only from the spectrum of little-educated “losers” and fanatics with an unhealthy lust for intrigue and power, but also to involve young people with a good heart, even if with a “shakiness” in their views. The fate of the latter proved genuinely tragic, since these confidence tricksters, who studied the magnanimous side of the human heart and were able to play on its strings as on a musical instrument, ultimately transformed these youth into criminals.

Dostoevsky lamented that contemporary youth was undefended against “demonism” through maturity of firm convictions and moral hardiness. Among many material drives dominate a higher idea, and a genuine education is replaced with stereotypes of impudent negation through another’s voice, dissatisfaction, and impatience. As a result “even an honest and guileless boy, even one who studied well, could occasionally turn out to be a Nechaevite…that is, again, if he’d come across Nechaev…” (21, 133). To such boys, Nechaevs and Verkhovenskys paint criminal acts as feats of policy.

The fateful transformations that took place in the souls of many “Russian boys” were facilitated by a “time of troubles” itself, which forced Russian civilization at first slowly, and then ever more quickly, to slide down a sloping surface leading from order to chaos.

“In my novel Demons,” wrote Dostoevsky, “I attempted to attempted to express those various and diverse motives by which even the purest of heart and the most guileless people can be drawn to commit the most monstrous villainy. Therein is the horror, that here one can do the most infamous and abhorrent deed, sometimes completely not being a scoundrel! And that’s not among us only, but across the whole world it is so, always and from the beginning of the ages, during times of transition, in times of dislocation in people’s lives, of doubts and negation, skepticism and unsteadiness in basic social convictions. But we have it more than it’s possible anywhere, and namely in our time, and this feature is the most painful and sad feature of our present time. In the possibility of seeing oneself, and even sometimes almost, as a matter of fact, as not a scoundrel, while working clear and inarguable abomination – herein is our contemporary tragedy!” (21, 131)

“Machine” Rationality of a Political Program

Verkhovensky, possessing a strong, mechanical will seeking power, found a just as machine-like political program that corresponded to his nature. Its basic positions amount to the following points:

  • A new type of state with predominantly totalitarian forms of rule is necessary.
  • This state should keep its subjects in constant terror, without ceasing, conducting surveillance of everyone “every hour and every minute.”
  • Since geniuses, talents, and striking individuals represent a threat to the power of “machine-like” leaders by their extraordinary nature, all people will brought to an average level in their development through ideological and police terror, in the course of which Ciceros will have their tongues ripped out, Copernicuses their eyes gouged, Shakespeares stuck down with stones, etc.
  • To come to enactment of this program, it is necessary to begin with the total destruction of everything, in practice carrying out the transition from order to chaos.

Two vectors have united in this criminal-political program – the “machine” rationality of soulless villains with the demonic irrationality of maniacs run amok.

One of the most impressive paradoxes of Verkhovensky’s personality is just that surprising combination of “machine likeness” with a maniacal enthusiasm for destruction. It accords the figure of the political fiend an especially sinister character. With the direct participation of this unfeeling “machine” for producing disorder, events in the novel take the form of an oncoming squall, chaos enthroned, when a dozen murders and suicides are committed, along with several bouts of madness and a grandiose fire from arson. As a result the world enclosed in the novel’s textual frame begins to resemble a monstrous bestiary, where there is an absence of love and mercy, where there is only ruthless struggle of all against all.

Dostoevsky saw one of the sources of this chaos in the philosophical mindsets of rationalistic, materialistic, and atheistic content that penetrated from the West. Falling on Russian soil, the doctrines of Darwin, Mill, Strauss, and other representatives of European “progressive” thought, as a rule were taken in the Slavic consciousness, untried by many centuries of philosophical schooling, as adamantine philosophical axioms. Moreover, practical conclusions were often drawn from them, conclusions the possibility of which Western teachers had not suspected.

Art by Sergei Yukhimov.

Art by Sergei Yukhimov.

Of course, positive knowledge did not directly teach anyone villainy. And if Strauss, Dostoevsky notes with unconcealed irony, denied and mocked Christ, alongside that for man and humanity he demonstrated the most earnest love and desired their most radiant future.

But then here is what seems to me indubitable – give all these contemporary higher teachers the full opportunity to destroy the old society and build a new one – then there will come such darkness, such chaos, something so crude, blind, and inhuman, that the whole construction would collapse under the curses of humanity before it could be completed. Once it has rejected Christ, the human mind can reach the most astounding results. That is an axiom. Europe, at least in the higher representations of its thought, rejects Christ, and as is known, we are obligated to imitate Europe. (21, 132-133)

For Dostoevsky the evaluative-orienting and practical-transforming activity of moral, legal, and political consciousness must be founded on the principles of Theo-centrism. He disseminates the spirit of Theodicy on all spheres of spheres of social and spiritual life without exception. The Western legal consciousness is predominantly anthropocentric, and as a rule does not accept either religious or metaphysical normative-evaluative bases.

These bases are unneeded by machine-man, who discovers by his actions that open immorality, crime, and political Machiavellianism all have one and the same nature. They all begin with the denial of higher principles of being, absolute values, and norms.

dimanche, 11 octobre 2015

La politique russe est la seule intelligente

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La politique russe est la seule intelligente

par Guillaume Faye

Ex: http://www.gfaye.com

La politique étrangère de Vladimir Poutine, appliquée par Sergueï Lavrov (ministre des Affaires étrangères de la F.R.), est la seule à être constante et cohérente. Elle contraste avec les choix occidentaux. Dans l’actuel chaos guerrier du Moyen-Orient, face à la barbarie islamique, la Russie mène une politique fondée sur trois axes : 1) l’élimination du ”califat” totalitaire de l’EI Dae’ch qui exporte le terrorisme et le djihad partout dans le monde ; 2) le rétablissement d’un État syrien sur de nouvelles bases ; 3) la protection des chrétiens d’Orient, ou ce qu’il en reste. La différence fondamentale entre la politique de Vladimir Poutine et celle de ses homologues occidentaux est qu’elle possède un axe et un projet. 

Washington est plus anti-russe qu’anti-islamiste…

L’arrivée de militaires et de matériels russes en Syrie et les interventions aériennes de Moscou suscitent l’ « inquiétude » des Etats-Unis. À juste titre, les Russes (comme des membres de l’état-major français) mettent en doute l’efficacité et surtout les objectifs de la coalition menée par Washington contre Dae’ch. Le Pentagone ne fournit volontairement aucun renseignement fiable à ses alliés pour les frappes aériennes (au point que la France a dû décider, après une nouvelle volte-face, de faire des vols de reconnaissance au dessus de la Syrie et d’aller y faire des bombardements, par ailleurs désordonnés et inutiles), des gesticulations qui n’ont aucune efficacité, comme le confirment les conquêtes territoriales de l’État islamique. Tout se passe comme si les Américains, sous la direction d’un Obama qui joue un double jeu, ne voulaient pas réellement détruire Dae’ch.

Disons les choses comme elles sont : Washington et le Pentagone, dans cette stratégie catastrophique dont ils ont le secret depuis longtemps dans la région, veulent d’abord éliminer le régime de Bachar el-Assad allié des Russes. La stratégie anti-russe et anti-Poutine (et non pas anti islamiste) prime sur toutes les autres, comme on l’a vu en Ukraine. Il s’agit d’expulser les Russes de Syrie et notamment de leur base navale de Tartous, la seule qu’ils possèdent en Méditerranée, ce qui est inadmissible pour les gouvernants américains.

Le Pentagone a dépensé 500 millions de dollars pour former des troupes syriennes ”alternatives”, rebelles luttant contre Bachar el-Assad : ce fut un fiasco total. Les armes US et les combattants sont passés aux islamistes ! L’échec, l’impuissance et l’improvisation des Occidentaux au Proche-Orient contraste avec l’efficacité de l’engagement russe. Poutine s’est engouffré dans la brèche de ce désordre américano-occidental. La présence russe en Syrie date des années 60.

Les chancelleries occidentales accusent le Kremlin de n’avoir comme seul objectif que le sauvetage du régime d’Assad en frappant les ”rebelles” et non pas de vouloir éradiquer Dae’ch. C’est stupide car l’aviation de Moscou frappe aussi Dae’ch qui a, ne l’oublions pas, incorporé dans ses rangs des milliers de musulmans caucasiens russes qui constituent un danger terroriste pour la Russie. Et surtout, lesdits ”rebelles” (Front Al-Nosra, proche d’Al-Qaida ou l’organisation Ahrar Al-Sham) que ciblent Moscou sont des milices terroristes islamiques au même titre que Dae’ch, qui ont – scandale international soigneusement dissimulé – été armées, entrainées, financées par la CIA ! 

Voilà pourquoi l’influent sénateur russophobe John Mac Cain s’est montré furieux contre les « provocations de Poutine » qui osait bombarder les protégés de Washington. Il faut retourner l’argument et dire : la ”coalition” aérienne  dirigée par les USA depuis une base de l’US Air Force près de Doha, au Qatar, n’a pas pour but principal la destruction de L’EI Dae’ch mais l’éradication du régime de Bachar el-Assad. Projet partagé par l’inconsistant M. Hollande. Ce qui aboutirait automatiquement à la création d’un État islamique fanatique en Syrie, d’où disparaitraient les derniers chrétiens.  

Objectifs géostratégiques de la Russie

Quels sont les objectifs de Moscou ? Le premier est la destruction de l’État islamique Dae’ch, d’autant que ce dernier incorpore des contingents caucasiens très nombreux qui peuvent revenir frapper la Russie. Le second est de contester la catastrophique hégémonie unilatérale américaine (déclinante) qui viole les règles de l’ONU sous prétexte de bons sentiments. Le troisième est de rétablir un monde multipolaire respectueux du droit international dans lequel la Russie retrouverait sa place de grande puissance mais non pas de puissance hégémonique, (leader of the world) ce qui a toujours été impossible dans l’histoire de l’humanité. Ce que les stratèges de Washington n’ont jamais compris. 

En proposant à la tribune de l’ONU une coalition mondiale contre Dae’ch, seule solution viable, Vladimir Poutine a été accusé par l’administration US et par tous les lobbies russophobes français et occidentaux de soutenir le ”criminel de guerre” Bachar el-Assad et de vouloir implanter un impérialisme russe au Levant. On a aussi accusé Poutine d’être un tyran qui soutiendrait un de ses amis tyran, Assad. Ces arguments relèvent d’une russophobie obsessionnelle, inopérante en politique. 

Les Russes ont bien joué contre les Américains, ce qui rend furieux ces derniers, dont la stratégie est versatile et impuissante. D’abord en 2013, en proposant et en initiant la destruction des armes chimiques de Bachar el-Assad, la diplomatie russe a tué dans l’œuf les promesses de bombardement des présidents Obama et Hollande. Moscou a démontré au monde que Washington avait perdu la main : importante revanche sur l’humiliation des années 90 Eltsine post-communistes. En renforçant sa présence militaire en Syrie et en proposant d’organiser une coalition contre Dae’ch, la Russie de Poutine humilie les USA et leur coupe l’herbe sous le pied. ”La Russie est de retour” : ce message de Poutine est d’autant plus crédible que les hôtes de la Maison Blanche, de la famille Bush à Obama (et bien avant…) n’ont jamais été capables de jouer leur rôle imaginaire de ”gendarmes du monde”. Ils ont créé le désordre à chacune de leurs interventions. On le voit dans la dramatique situation de l’Afghanistan et de l’Irak aujourd’hui.

Poutine dans les pas de Churchill et de De Gaulle?

La politique étrangère russe vise au contraire à réinstaurer une stabilité géopolitique mondiale. Le gouvernement chancelant de Bachar el–Assad n’est pas une solution à terme. Mais éliminer d’un coup cet autocrate, comme on l’a fait avec Ben Ali, Kadhafi, Saddam Hussein et Moubarak  reviendrait à augmenter encore le chaos actuel et le djihad mondial. La solution, comme l’a dit Poutine, est d’abord de battre militairement et d’éradiquer Dae’ch et ses alliés (éteindre l’incendie) et ensuite de résoudre le problème du régime syrien.

Dans son discours à l’ONU, Vladimir Poutine a comparé la lutte contre la barbarie de Dae’ch à la coalition contre Hitler. Ni Churchill ni De Gaulle n’aimaient l’autocrate communiste Staline, mais ils furent obligés de s’allier avec lui pour combattre le nazisme, l’ennemi principal. M. Poutine fait le même raisonnement avec le régime syrien : il faut d’abord abattre Dae’ch avec l’aide de Bachar el-Assad, et ensuite, on discutera.

Les frappes aériennes russes depuis le 29 septembre (Moscou a positionné 28 chasseurs-bombardiers Sukhoï) visent les milices islamistes et Dae’ch qui menacent Damas et la zone côtière syrienne où est la base navale de Tartous. Les Russes ont parfaitement compris que si Damas et cette zone tombaient aux mains des islamistes, ce serait une énorme catastrophe géopolitique, la Syrie devenant alors leur butin. Immédiatement beaucoup de médias et de gouvernements occidentaux ont accusé les Russes de ne chercher qu’à protéger le régime d’Assad contre les ”rebelles”, prétendus ”démocratiques” et de pas frapper Dae’ch. C’est un mensonge : les milices ”rebelles” (armées et financées par les gouvernements occidentaux, voir plus haut) et Dae’ch sont objectivement complices. Les Russes ne visent qu’à empêcher la pieuvre islamiste (Dae’ch et les ”rebelles”) de s’emparer du cœur de la Syrie.     

Ivan Rioufol  souligne «  le choix des États–Unis et de la France de rallier la Russie à reculons pour affronter l’EI en Syrie par des raids aériens » (Le Figaro, 02/10/2015). Il ajoute : « le retour en force de Vladimir Poutine, imperméable aux subtilités du ”soft power ”, signe l’échec de la stratégie de Barack Obama et de François Hollande. Leur humiliation se devine dans la mise en scène de leur défiance sur l’efficacité des premières frappes de Moscou. Cette réaction, puérile, est celle des leaders occidentaux ayant perdu la face pour s’être montrés incapables de désigner l’islamisme comme leur ennemi prioritaire. Non seulement le Syrien Bachar el-Assad, bête noire d’Obama et Hollande, est consolidé, mais c’est l’ancien ”kagébiste” qui prend la tête de la lutte contre le totalitarisme et de la défense des chrétiens d’Orient. Les démocraties sont à la remorque ». C’est le moins qu’on puisse dire…

Ancienne membre du Conseil de sécurité national américain et responsable de la stratégie au ”Center for a New American Security”, Mme Julianne Smith, qui exprime la position officielle de Washington, a déclaré le 1er octobre que « la Russie ne résoudra pas le conflit en Syrie ». CQFD. Elle reflète la frustration américaine devant le retour en force de Moscou dans le concert international mais elle avoue aussi une volte-face de la diplomatie américaine – et de la diplomatie française qui lui obéit : «  il faut laisser Assad en place pour le moment, le temps qu’on se mette d’accord sur la suite et une sortie de pouvoir honorable pour lui ». Autrement dit : les Russes avaient raison. Intéressant de l’avouer…     

Indispensable alliance avec la Russie

Les frappes aériennes françaises en Syrie, soi-disant ”indépendantes” des Américains”, contre des ”camps d’entrainement de terroristes djihadistes” de Dae’ch au nom d’une ”légitime défense” n’auront aucune efficacité militaire. C’est une gesticulation  de M. Hollande, à usage électoral interne. Il veut se vendre (marketing politicien) en vue de la prochaine élection présidentielle de 2017 comme ”petit De Gaulle”. C’est assez pathétique…Il n’est pris au sérieux ni par les Américains ni par les Russes.  

Comme l’écrit Frédéric Pons (Valeurs actuelles, 01–07/10/2015) : « Au Moyen-Orient, l’Amérique avance en tête du cortège des ”aveugles”. Sa responsabilité dans le chaos actuel est écrasante. Elle fit naître les Talibans, Al-Qaïda et détruisit tant de pays, de la Libye à l’Irak, aidée par ses alliés soumis jusqu’à l’absurde. En Syrie, notre ennemi est–il Assad ou les islamistes ? » Bon sens.

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Jean-Pierre Chevènement l’a reconnu : « l’élimination d’Assad ouvrirait les portes de Damas à Dae’ch ». Avec lucidité, d’accord avec les analyses de Poutine et de Lavrov, Chevènement estime que les frappes de la ”coalition internationale” dirigées par les É-U sont inopérantes et que les ”alliés” modérés n’existent pas. Les Russes sont les seuls à avoir compris le problème en bombardant à la fois l’ ”Armée de la conquête”, al-Nosra (émanation d’Al-Qaida) et l’EI Dae’ch, trois têtes de la même structure islamiste terroriste.  

Pour éradiquer efficacement Dae’ch, il faudrait, évidemment, dans l’absolu, s’allier aux Russes et leur donner des gages, c’est-à-dire lever les sanctions absurdes contre la Russie, prises sur ordres américains. Renaud Girard suggère  (Le Figaro, 22/09/2015) : « suivons la politique de nos intérêts et suspendons les sanctions commerciales contre la Russie. Faisons-le, sans demander leur avis aux Américains. Attendons de recueillir les fruits d’un geste diplomatique aussi fort que celui d’une suspension unilatérale des sanctions. […] A-t-on imposé la moindre sanction à l’Amérique pour avoir envahi illégalement l’Irak, en mars 2003 ? » Vœux pieux. MM. Hollande et Fabius qui ont fait le choix de l’obéissance à l’Otan, à l’UE et aux USA, ignorent que les alliances franco-russes ont toujours été égalitaires et que les alliances avec les USA (politiques, militaires, commerciales) ont toujours été d’allégeance. Les gouvernants européens sont les seuls responsables de leur double soumission à Washington (1) et à l’islam invasif, deux forces conjointes.

La Russie, relevée, régénérée, redevenue grâce à M. Poutine une puissance internationale et non plus régionale – en dépit de ses faiblesses économiques volontairement accentuées par les sanctions occidentales bien peu légales – s’impose comme une force de stabilité. Les accords de Minsk (sur la question ukrainienne) ont été parfaitement respectés par Moscou. Bien sûr, la Russie n’est pas parfaite. Mais qui l’est ? Et de quel droit nous mêlons-nous de son niveau de ”démocratie” et de ”droit-de-l’hommisme” intérieurs alors que nous tolérons tout, y compris l’esclavagisme, dans les monarchies autocratiques de la péninsule arabique ? La Russie est une grande puissance qui est notre premier allié naturel. La considérer comme un ennemi potentiel, un danger, une menace est une erreur d’analyse extrêmement grave.

Note:

(1) Mes critiques n’ont jamais visé les Américains en tant que tels, comme nation, mais la politique étrangère de l’oligarchie de Washington qui, depuis le début de ce siècle, est d’abord nuisible aux USA eux-mêmes.   

Articles connexes:

samedi, 10 octobre 2015

Les rapports Turquie-Russie à la lumière de Daesh

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Les rapports Turquie-Russie à la lumière de Daesh
 
Ex: http://www.dedefensa.org

Le chroniqueur indien MK Bhadrakumar est un fin connaisseur de deux pays, où il a été ambassadeur de l’Inde : la Turquie et la Russie. Son avis sur les “tensions” entre ces deux pays, dans le cadre de l’intervention russe en Syrie est nécessairement intéressant, et il donne une image pondérée des “gesticulations” qui ont accompagné quelques incidents à la fin de la semaine dernière entre avions russes et avions turcs autour de la frontière syrienne. Les susdites gesticulation viennent en petite partie d’une tactique propre à Erdogan et n’engageant nullement sa stratégie, et en très grande partie de l’OTAN (dont fait partie la Turquie) qui tient un rôle confus et désorienté, et fort marginal, dans cette crise où elle n’a aucune stratégie ; l'OTAN a cru, avec cette incident russo-turc, retrouver une voix au chapitre et a surtout montré la faiblesse dériosoire de sa position. (L’OTAN est poussée dans cette voie, où elle dramatise sans grand effet ni risque un faux antagonisme turco-russe, par les USA qui sont grands adeptes de la confusion et de la désorientation pour eux-mêmes, et eux-mêmes relégués à un rôle mineur dans la crise.)

Dans un texte du 6 octobre sur son blog (Indian PunchLine), Bhadrakumar minimise la gravité que la communication a voulu donner à ces incidents. Il pense que les Turcs ont un rôle important à jouer dans la crise parce qu’ils en sont les protagonistes obligés ; ils auraient les moyens de transformer l’engagement russe en un bourbier type-Vietnam mais ils s’abstiendront au bout du compte à tenter de mettre les Russes, qui détiennent la “carte kurde”, en difficultés. Il pense que le but des Russes, avec ces incidents, est d’indiquer à la Turquie, comme ils le font avec Israël avec d’autres moyens, qu’il y a désormais de nouvelles règles en Syrie et que les interventions turques et israéliennes impunies en territoire syrien pour soutenir tel ou tel groupe font désormais partie du passé. Pour le reste, conclut Bhadrakumar, les rapports importants entre la Russie et la Turquie, symbolisés par les relations personnelles entre Erdogan et Poutine, ne seront pas affectés.

« The Turkish dictum had enabled Ankara up until now to ensure that the Syrian rebels could operate with impunity in a significant belt in northern Syria without fear of air attacks by Damascus. Russia is summarily terminating that privilege Ankara enjoyed. Russia is also simultaneously strengthening Syria’s air defence system and a point is reaching when the Turkish air force cannot any longer operate inside the Syrian airspace. In short, the weekend’s incidents have forced Ankara to contend with the new reality that its continued violations of Syria’s territorial integrity will come at a heavy price.

» By the way, Israel also is traveling in the same boat as Turkey – clandestinely supporting al-Qaeda affiliates operating in Syria, launching wanton air attacks on targets deep inside Syria, and systematically wearing down the Syrian state and its sovereignty. Israel too is livid that Russia will apply ‘red lines’ in Syria aimed at squashing Israeli interference in Syrian affairs. Israel is furious with Moscow – like Turkey – but has no option but to fall in line with the Russian ground rules. [...]

» In sum, an Afghanistan-type quagmire scenario is unlikely to develop in Syria for the Russians. During the Cold War, US brilliantly succeeded in pitting radical Islam against communism. Today, however, Russia enjoys diversified ties with the Muslim Middle East. The Russian diplomacy has been particularly active in Saudi Arabia and the UAE in the Gulf region as well as in Cairo and Amman. Egypt and Jordan have distinctly edged closer to Russia on the Syrian question.

» Conversely, Moscow’s close ties with the Syrian Kurdish leadership (which supports the PKK’s separatist movement inside Turkey) will act as a deterrent against Ankara setting up a bear trap in Syria. Suffice it to say, fueling insurgency is a game that both Turkey and Russia can play. [...] Simply put, if yet another Kurdistan takes shape in Syria (alongside the one already existing in northern Iraq), it would inevitably blur the sanctity and inviolability of Turkey’s established borders to the south and make them look somewhat like the Durand Line separating Pakistan from Afghanistan – a lawless no-man’s land that is condemned to remain a dagger forever aimed at Turkey’s heart.

» Erdogan’s priority will be to ensure that Turkey regains a place at the high table if a Syrian peace process picks up. Erdogan will try its best to forestall the emergence of yet another Kurdish entity in its neighborhood, which is a fast-emerging scenario already. Ankara’s main challenge lies in persuading Russia and the US to rein in the aspirations of the Syrian Kurds for regional autonomy in northern Syria as quid pro quo for their robust participation as Washington and Moscow’s foot soldiers in the war against the IS.

» At the end of the day, therefore, Erdogan will begin talking with the Kremlin. Actually, the conversation never really ended. His equation with the Russian leader at the personal level is something he can still count on. Vladimir Putin too has taken great pains to encourage Erdogan’s ‘Look East’ policies. Unlike the western powers, Russia has never been prescriptive about Turkey’s domestic politics. If Erdogan manages to win the November election and succeeds in switching Turkey to a presidential system, Putin will only congratulate him and possibly even draw satisfaction that he has a friend in Ankara who is likely to be a life-time executive president with whom he can do business to great mutual benefit. »

mercredi, 07 octobre 2015

Putin Moves His Rook Into Syria

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Putin Moves His Rook Into Syria

By

Ex: http://www.lewrockwell.com

Frankfurt, Germany –Could anyone in the Obama administration have been so slow-witted to imagine that Russia wouldn’t move hard to counter US efforts to overthrow Moscow’s  ally, Syria?

The Syrian war began almost five years ago by the US, France, Britain and Saudi Arabia  to overthrow Syria’s Iranian and Russian-backed government. The result so far:  250,000 dead, 9.5 million refugees flooding Europe and  Syria shattered.

This is nothing new: the first CIA coup attempt to overthrow a Syrian ruler Gen. Husni Zaim was in 1949.

A combination of imperial hubris and ignorance has led Washington to believe it could overthrow any government that was disobedient or uncooperative.  Syria was chosen as the latest target of regime change because  the Assad regime – a recognized, legitimate government and UN member –was a close ally of America’s Great Satan, Iran.  Formerly it had been cooperating with Washington.

After watching Syria be slowly destroyed, Russia’s President, Vladimir Putin, moved his rook onto the Syrian chessboard.  For the first time since 1991, Moscow sent a small expeditionary  unit of 50 warplanes to Syria both to shore up the Assad regime and to reaffirm that  Russia has long-standing strategic interests in Syria.

Few of the  administration’s bumbling amateur strategists likely knew that Russia claimed during the 19th century to be the rightful protector of Mideast Christians.  Russia watched in dismay the destruction of Iraq’s ancient Christian communities caused by the overthrow of their protector, President Saddam Hussein.  Moscow has vowed not to let a similar crime happen again to Syria’s Christians.

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Russia is also clearly reasserting a degree of her former Mideast influence.  In 1970, Russian pilots tangled with Israeli warplanes over the Suez Canal during the “War of Attrition.”  The flying time from Moscow to Damascus is about the same as New York City to Miami. Syria is in Russia’s backyard, not America’s.

A highly effective propaganda war waged against Syria and Russia by the US, French and British media has so demonized Syria’s President Assad that Washington will find it very difficult to negotiate or include him in a peace deal.  The US made the same stupid mistake with Afghanistan’s Taliban and now is paying the price.

President Bashar Assad is no Great Satan. He was a British-trained eye specialist forced into the dynastic leadership of Syria by the car crash that killed his elder brother.  The Assad regime has plenty of nasty officials but in my long regional experience Syria is no worse than such brutal US allies as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Morocco or Uzbekistan.

President Putin has long been calling for a negotiated settlement to end this destructive conflict that is quickly resembling Lebanon’s ghastly civil war from 1975-1990 whose horrors I saw firsthand.

Who rules Syria is not worth one more death or refugee.  Sadly, Syria may be beyond repair.  The crazies we created are now running large parts of Iraq and Syria.  Russia mutters about going into Iraq.

Vlad Putin keeps his game tightly under control.  I’m not so sure about the Obama White House and its confused advisors.  Better make a deal with Assad, a natural US ally, and end this crazy war before Sen. John McCain and his  Republican crusader pals really do start World War III.

Washington refuses Russia any legitimate sphere of influence in Syria, though Moscow has had a small base in Tartus on the coast for over 40 years.  This Russian logistics base is now being expanded and guarded by a ground force estimated at a reinforced company.

This week came reports that modest numbers of Iranian infantry have entered war-torn Syria.  Lebanon’s tough Hezbollah fighters are also in action in Syria.

Opposing them are a mixed bag of irregular forces and heavily armed religious fanatics trained and armed by US, French and British intelligence and financed by Washington and the Saudis.  This writer believes small numbers of US and French Special Forces and  British SAS are also aiding anti-Assad forces.

Israel and Turkey, hopping to profit from a possible break-up of Syria,  are also discreetly aiding the anti-Assad forces that include al-Qaida and everyone’s favorite bogeyman,  Islamic State.

Howls of protest are coming from Washington and its allies over Russia’s military intervention.  Don’t we hate it when others do exactly what we do.  The US has over 800 bases around the globe.  French troops operate in parts of Africa.  Both nations stage military interventions when they see fit.

Washington accuses Moscow of imperialism as 10,000 US troops, fleets of warplanes and 35,000 US mercenaries fight nationalist forces in Afghanistan.  Iraq remains a semi-US colony. Russia withdrew all of its 350,000 troops stationed in Germany in 1991; US bases still cover Germany and, most lately, Romania.

Nueva guerra de información contra Rusia. Alerta a la manipulación de la prensa occidental

Por Neil Clark

Ex: http://www.elespiadigital.com

Hablando de inmediatez. Los aviones de Rusia ni siquiera habían despegado a bombardear a los terroristas del ISIS y a sus socios en Siria, y comenzaron a flotar los reclamos del lobby anti Ruso de Occidente – solo para ser repetidos en muchos de los medios occidentales.

Rusia no estaba apuntando realmente al ISIS sino a los “rebeldes moderados” y sus ataques asesinaban cantidad de civiles inocentes (a diferencia de los ataques estadounidenses durante los cuales solo teníamos “daño colateral”). Hemos visto montones de tweets atacando a Rusia e imágenes de niños heridos y gente siendo sacada de edificios publicadas en la red.

Ahora, hay dos explicaciones posibles para la forma instantánea como ha sido lanzado este nuevo capítulo en la “guerra de información” contra Rusia.

La primera es que el lobby anti ruso tiene unas fuentes fantásticas en Siria y sabe exactamente quien ha sido asesinado en los ataques aéreos momentos después de que son lanzadas las bombas, o, en algunos casos posee poderes de clarividencia y sabe quiénes serán las victimas incluso antes de que caigan las bombas. También, que hay gente en el terreno con conexiones Wi-Fi de excelente velocidad en una zona de guerra, quienes son capaces de subir videos de víctimas de los ataques rusos a la red con una rapidez que hace parecer a Usain Bolt un caracol.

La segunda explicación alternativa es que las acusaciones y denuncias que hemos visto ya estaban escritas -archivadas y guardadas- y listas para ser puestas en línea tan pronto como el Parlamento Ruso autorizara el uso de la fuerza militar en Siria, con el fin de desacreditar la operación. Aunque los ataques aéreos, incluso siendo planeados con precisión quirúrgica, puede matar civiles -que es, por supuesto, la razón número uno para oponerse a ellos- Yo sé que explicación me parece la más plausible.

El Grupo de Seguimiento a los Medios, Media Lens nos advertía qué esperar:

Prediction: US-UK media are going to find that Russian planes killed ‘civilians’ while ‘ours’ killed ‘suspected militants’.

— Media Lens (@medialens) September 30, 2015

Traducción:

Predicción: Los medios de EU y Reino Unido encontrarán que los aviones rusos mataron “civiles” mientras que los nuestros mataron “militantes sospechosos”

That’s information warfare: As expected Russia accused of killing civilians in Syria http://t.co/ETCIQaRmNR

— Afshin Rattansi (@afshinrattansi) October 1, 2015

Traducción:

Esto es guerra de información: Como se esperaba, Rusia acusada de asesinar civiles en Siria http://t.co/ETCIQaRmNR

Y como de costumbre los Lensers, ridiculizados y denigrados por los miembros del club de la élite del periodismo -quienes se han equivocado simplemente en todo (¿Armas de destrucción masivas les suena?).

La hipocresía que hemos visto los últimos días -incluso para los estándares del lobby de la guerra sin fin- ha sido realmente impresionante. “Esos rusos malvados lanzando ataques aéreos en un país extranjero. ¡Por qué, es indignante! Sólo a los EU y sus aliados les es permitido hacer eso”. Personas que estaban chillando por más “intervención” contra el ISIS en Siria el martes, estaban todos contra la “intervención” contra ISIS en Siria el miércoles -cuando era Rusia la que estaba realizando la intervención.

La cantidad de neoconservadores quejones que pasó de amar las bombas ayer a odiarlas hoy es bastante.

— Danielle Ryan (@DanielleRyanJ) September 30, 2015

Suddenly the ‘moderate’ rebels who had been so thin on the ground in Syria – are everywhere and Russian strikes are targeting them.

Traducción:

Repentinamente los rebeldes “moderados” que habían sido tan escasos en el terreno en Siria -están por todas partes y los ataques rusos están apuntando a ellos.

El Pentágono suspendió el programa de entrenamiento y equipamiento porque no podíamos encontrar a los moderados. Pero ahora se nos dice que los moderados abundan y están bajo ataque.

— Max Abrahms (@MaxAbrahms) September 30, 2015

Conversely ISIS, which we were told was everywhere in Syria up to Tuesday, is nowhere – or at least not in the areas where the Russians are bombing.

Traducción:

Por el contrario el ISIS, que nos dijeron estaba en todas partes en Siria hasta el Martes, no está en ningún lugar -o al menos no en las zonas donde los rusos están bombardeando.

Aquellos que han guardado silencio ante las muertes de civiles causadas por el asalto saudí en Yemen, o ante las muertes de civiles causadas por el bombardeo estadounidense a Irak y Siria, están, llenos de indignación por las supuestas muertes de civiles causadas por los ataques aéreos rusos -incluso antes de que se confirmen dichas muertes.

.@medialens Watch and see also how they suddenly develop an incredible ability to count & care about civilian casualties of Russian actions!

— Mark Doran (@MarkJDoran) October 1, 2015

Traducción:

.@medialens Observen y vean también como desarrollan repentinamente una increíble habilidad para contar y preocuparse por las víctimas civiles de las acciones rusas.

Luego está la cuestión de porque está interviniendo Putin.

Rusia, se nos dice que está lanzando ataques aéreos en Siria no porque realmente quiera vencer al ISIS, sino porque tiene “intereses egoístas” en la región. Por supuesto, los motivos occidentales para desestabilizar Siria y respaldar a ‘rebeldes’ violentos para matar a soldados sirios y derrocar al gobierno sirio nunca son egoístas, sino sólo benignos y humanitarios. Cuando los EU y sus aliados bombardean Siria, tiene que ser alabado, cuando Rusia lo hace -entonces es señal del intento siniestro del oso por aumentar su influencia en la región. Rusia tiene un aliado en el Medio Oriente -¡por qué, eso es terrible!- ¡Sólo está permitido que los EU tengan aliados en una zona donde hay mucho petróleo!

No debería ser necesario decirlo después de las flagrantes mentiras que nos dijeron acerca de Irak, Libia y Siria hasta ahora, pero tenemos que tomar las negativas reclamaciones occidentales acerca de las acciones rusas en Siria, no con una pizca de sal, sino con una enorme carretilla de ella.

¿No hay presencia del ISIS en Al-Rastan, en la provincia de Homs? Bueno, “activistas”, citados por la BBC, nos dijeron que así era luego de los ataques aéreos rusos. Pero, como Fairness and Accuracy in Reporting (Nota del traductor: Equidad y Exactitud en la Información es una organización de seguimiento a medios, FAIR por sus siglas en inglés) señaló, esta no parecía ser la situación la semana pasada, cuando la AFP, citando el Observatorio Sirio para Los Derechos Humanos nos dijo que siete hombres habían sido asesinados a tiros por el ISIS en Al-Rastan después de haber sido acusados de ser homosexuales.

Lo que demuestra esto -y hay un montón de ejemplos- es que los canales de noticias occidentales están dispuestos a citar a “activistas” sin nombre, sin siquiera la más superficial revisión de si las declaraciones que hacen son correctas mientras esas afirmaciones dejen mal a Rusia, o de hecho, cualquier otro “enemigo oficial”. Por supuesto, es una historia muy diferente si las denuncias se hacen en contra de los EU o sus aliados. ¿Recuerdan aquella gran cobertura de las declaraciones hechas por “activistas” sin nombre sobre las víctimas civiles causadas por ataques aéreos occidentales? No, yo tampoco.

Los medios de comunicación de Estados Unidos, de un día para otro, han desarrollado una intensa preocupación por la precisión de los ataques, las denuncias de la exactitud de los bombardeos, la identidad de las víctimas de los ataques aéreos.

— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) October 1, 2015

Channels which have shown no, or little interest in civilian casualties in Yemen, where it’s been Saudi Arabia and its allies doing the bombing, are now, all of a sudden, keen to show pictures of people being taken to hospital allegedly after Russian air strikes.

Traducción:

Canales que han demostrado ningún, o muy poco interés en las víctimas civiles en Yemen, donde ha sido Arabia Saudita y sus aliados los que han bombardeado, están ahora, de repente, deseosos de mostrar imágenes de personas siendo trasladadas al hospital supuestamente después de los ataques aéreos rusos.

La coalición liderada por Estados Unidos: 2.579 ataques aéreos en Siria. Rusia: 8. Vean ahora a los medios llenos de indignación por los asesinatos de Rusia. ¿Y los “nuestros”?

— Media Lens (@medialens) October 1, 2015

Unsurprisingly, Interpreter Magazine, the “special project” of Khodorkovsky’s Institute of Modern Russia, has been at the forefront of the propaganda campaign to discredit Russia’s Syrian intervention.

(Traducción:

Como era de esperar, la revista Interpreter Magazine, el “proyecto especial” del Instituto de la Rusia Moderna de Jodorkovski, ha estado a la vanguardia en la campaña de propaganda para desacreditar la intervención de Rusia en Siria.)

“Hoy Rusia lanzó ataques aéreos contra varios objetivos en Siria, pero aunque es claro que han muerto rebeldes no pertenecientes al ISIS y posiblemente civiles, no está claro si ISIS era del todo un objetivo”, escribió la revista.

De hecho, el Ministerio de Defensa de Rusia informó que atacaron 12 objetivos pertenecientes al ISIS el jueves.

Lo que Putin ha hecho -y esta es la razón por la que la brigada para “Capturar a Rusia” está tan enojada- es poner en evidencia a la élite occidental en la lucha contra el ISIS. A pesar de su condena a las atrocidades del Estado Islámico, el objetivo número uno de los EU y sus aliados más cercanos ha sido sacar del poder al gobierno secular sirio que ha estado combatiendo al ISIS y a otros grupos terroristas radicales respaldados por Occidente.

media-mensonge-ukraine.jpgSabemos, gracias a WikiLeaks, que los planes de EU para el “cambio de régimen” en Siria son anteriores a la primavera árabe, y de hecho se remontan al menos al 2006. Y este plan de “cambio de régimen” no tiene nada que ver con la “promoción de la democracia”, sino con el imperialismo a la antigua.

Como el célebre y galardonado periodista y cineasta John Pilger lo plantea en su último artículo, de lectura obligatoria, titulado El Acto Revolucionario de Decir la Verdad:

“Para los amos del mundo en Washington y Europa, el verdadero crimen de Siria no es la naturaleza opresiva de su gobierno, sino su independencia del poder estadounidense e israelí -al igual que el verdadero crimen de Irán es su independencia, y el verdadero crimen de Rusia es su independencia- En un mundo de propiedad estadounidense, la independencia es intolerable”.

La intervención de Rusia en Siria, como ha señalado mi colega columnista en RT OpEdge John Wight, es probable que cambie completamente el juego.

This nonsense about #Russia targeting so-called moderate rebels or #ISIS in #syria is a diversion. Russia’s intervention is a game changer.

— John Wight (@JohnWight1) October 1, 2015

Traducción:

Esta tontería sobre #Rusia apuntando a los llamados rebeldes moderados o #ISIS en #Syria es una distracción. La intervención de Rusia es un cambio de juego.

Al inclinar la balanza en contra de los promotores seriales de cambio de régimen, que han causado tantos estragos en todo el mundo en los últimos años, hay una mayor posibilidad de que el gobierno secular de Siria sea capaz de recuperar partes de su territorio y que el país mantenga su independencia. Eso complacerá a los auténticos antiimperialistas y antifascistas, que creen que el mismo pueblo sirio debe decidir quién lo gobierna y no los EU, Gran Bretaña o Francia, pero enfurecerá a aquellos que han estado empeñados en poner en cintura a Siria por su desafío -por más muerte y destrucción que dicha política de inspiración neoconservadora haya causado.

El hecho es que los que estaban pidiendo a gritos una mayor intervención occidental en Siria -supuestamente contra el ISIS- pero en realidad querían conseguir eliminar el gobierno de Assad, han quedado descolocados. Después de haber visto a la élite occidental habla sobre la amenaza del ISIS, (cuyo ascenso, no olvidemos fue bien recibido por las potencias anti-Assad “con el fin de aislar el régimen sirio”) esperan ahora que los ciudadanos de los países occidentales consideren a los rusos como villanos por tomar medidas contra un enemigo que nos dijeron que tenía que ser derrotado.

Claramente, para aquellos que están detrás de la nueva guerra de información, tenemos que olvidar lo que nuestros líderes nos han estado diciendo acerca del ISIS durante todo el año. Nos toca tener cerebros del tamaño de un guisante y memorias que no recuerden más allá de unos pocos días. El último asalto propagandístico para lograr que odiemos a Rusia por luchar contra el terrorismo en Siria no sólo es ridículo, es un verdadero insulto a nuestra inteligencia.

Putin revela exactamente quien apoya a ISIS

 

"Gobierno de EE.UU. y medios de comunicación trabajan en sintonía para demonizar a Rusia"

Los ataques aéreos rusos contra el Estado Islámico en Siria han impulsado a los medios de comunicación occidentales a incrementar la denigración hacia Rusia. De esta manera la coalición liderada por EE.UU. está tratando de salvar la cara y encubrir sus fracasos en Oriente Medio, aseguraron expertos a RT.

Según el periodista y analista político Caleb Maupin, "hay una gran historia de la cooperación del Gobierno de EE.UU. con los medios de comunicación", que está dirigida a la entrega de un "mensaje unificado" para el público para reunirlo a su alrededor, sirviendo de esta manera a los intereses de quienes detentan el poder. "Cualquiera que crea que los medios de comunicación y el gobierno no cooperan y colaboran se engaña a sí mismo", expresó.

Maupin también ha señalado que la historia de colusión estadounidense medios-gobierno se remonta por lo menos a la década de 1960 con la introducción del Programa de Contrainteligencia del FBI, COINTELPRO, que "conscientemente plantó historias falsas en las noticias".

"Los medios de comunicación de EE.UU. pretenden ser objetivos, justos, equilibrados y neutrales, pero en realidad ofrecen una perspectiva muy clara sobre los acontecimientos del mundo y esa perspectiva es muy hostil a Rusia... cualquier gobierno con mentalidad independiente va a ser demonizado en los medios de EE.UU.", señaló el periodista.

El secretario de Estado de EE.UU., John Kerry, ha denominado a los medios de comunicación sociales como una extraordinaria y "buena herramienta". No obstante un exagente de la CIA, Ray McGovern, ha comentado a RT, que, según su opinión, al contrario, son una "herramienta muy poco fiable sobre la cual basar los juicios" y la mejor comprobación para esto es la cobertura de la reciente operación de la Fuerza Aérea rusa en Siria en los medios occidentales.

"Una de las supuestas víctimas causadas por aviones rusos [30 de septiembre] se basa en una foto que, según ha sido revelado ahora, fue tomada el 25 de septiembre, cinco días antes del ataque ruso", afirma McGovern.

¿Quiénes son los rebeldes respaldados por EE.UU.? ¿Aún existen?

Mientras tanto, la propia identidad y la existencia de los "rebeldes sirios moderados" ha sido una fuente de gran confusión, señalan los especialistas.

"No sé qué tan confiables son los rebeldes, porque ni siquiera sabemos quiénes son los rebeldes o incluso si existen", dijo a RT el periodista y locutor, Bryan MacDonald. "Algo que los medios de comunicación occidentales no dicen es que la mayoría de los llamados 'rebeldes' son de Al Qaeda, que son los mismos tipos contra los cuales hace 14 años EE.UU. lanzó una cruzada en la guerra contra el terrorismo", agregó. "La idea de que los medios de comunicación estadounidenses estarían defendiendo a Al Qaeda es simplemente increíble", concluyó el periodista.

MacDonald también citó a Robert Fisk, el renombrado corresponsal británico en Oriente Medio que ha pasado tiempo en Siria, quien dijo al periódico 'ABC': "El Ejército Libre Sirio, creo, bebe mucho café en Estambul. Nunca me he encontrado con ellos, incluso como prisioneros, incluso en los primeros meses de la lucha. Creo que el Ejército Libre de Siria es un mito".

Intentos de la coalición de EE.UU. de "salvar la imagen"

El editor de la revista 'Trends Journal', Gerald Celente, quien predijo con exactitud asombrosa muchos eventos geopolíticos y económicos del pasado, dio una calificación reprobatoria al trabajo de EE.UU. en Oriente Medio: "En todos los niveles EE.UU. ha fracasado miserablemente cuantitativa y cualitativamente. Así que ahora lo que están haciendo para encubrir su fracaso es poner esta información para atraer más odio contra Rusia".

"Hay una gran campaña contra Rusia que se está llevando a cabo en EE.UU., que rara vez se detiene, es una segunda Guerra Fría. Tan solo seguimos escuchando un lado", dijo Celente. No obstante, el periodista ha destacado que, en su opinión, la reciente reunión entre Putin y Obama durante la 70.ª sesión de la Asamblea General de la ONU en Nueva York va a producir algunos resultados.

Paul Craig Roberts: "Se le acaban las mentiras a Obama ante las preguntas de Putin"

El presidente ruso Vladímir Putin, a diferencia de su homólogo estadounidense Barack Obama, basó su discurso ante la Asamblea General de la ONU en la verdad, y sus acciones posteriores lógicamente se desprenden de la postura rusa sobre Oriente Medio, opina el analista político Paul Craig Roberts.

Roberts, exasesor económico del gobierno de Ronald Reagan, cree que los discursos de ambos presidentes han mostrado al mundo la diferencia entre Moscú y Washington.

"El enfoque de Putin está basado en la verdad y el de Obama en el alardeo vano y mentiras que se le están acabando", escribió en su blog.

El analista señaló que "diciendo la verdad en el tiempo del engaño universal, Putin ha realizado un acto revolucionario".

Roberts recuerda la pregunta que hizo el presidente Putin en su discurso ante la Asamblea General, dirigiéndose a los que desde fuera generaron los conflictos en Oriente Medio, el norte de África y Ucrania: "¿Se dan cuenta de lo que han hecho?"

Roberts espera que las preguntas de Putin a EE.UU. pongan fin al dominio del 'excepcionalismo estadounidense'.

"Putin acentúa la legalidad de la operación rusa en Siria por ser solicitada por el Gobierno sirio. Contrapone el respeto que mantiene Rusia al derecho internacional a la intervención en Siria por Washington y Francia, cuyos gobiernos han violado la soberanía de Siria con sus acciones militares no solicitadas e ilegales", indicó el analista.

De esta manera, escribió, se ponen de manifiesto ante todo las acciones egoístas unilaterales de Washington enmascaradas por el "fariseísmo santurrón".

Portavoz de Putin: "Occidente no puede explicar a quién llama 'oposición moderada' en Siria"

"Lo cierto es que hasta ahora [en Occidente] nadie ha logrado explicar qué es la oposición moderada, a pesar de que Putin se ha interesado activamente por el tema y ha preguntado en qué se distinguen la oposición moderada y la inmoderada", ha declarado el portavoz del presidente ruso, Dmitri Peskov.

Comentando las acciones de las Fuerzas Aeroespaciales rusas en Siria,Peskov dijo al canal televisivo ruso Rossiya 1 que estas acciones son "transparentes" y que el Ministerio de Defensa ruso da informes con información exhaustiva, según Interfax.

Sin embargo, Peskov señaló que Moscú ve cómo tratan de "imponerle el juego desde el exterior". En este sentido el portavoz de Putin recordó que "la primera información sobre ataques aéreos contra objetivos supuestamente falsos apareció antes de que las aeronaves despegaran".

Anteriormente, un general ruso ha declarado que los militares estadounidenses informaron a la Defensa rusa que en el lugar donde se lleva a cabo el operativo militar de la Fuerza Aérea rusa no se encuentra nadie a parte de los terroristas.

"Los estadounidenses nos han informado durante la última comunicación de que nadie más aparte de los terroristas se encuentra en esa región",  dijo el jefe del Departamento Operativo Central del Estado Mayor de Rusia, Andréi Kartopólov, citado por RIA Novosti.

Las Fuerzas Aéreas rusas están llevando a cabo su operación contra el Estado Islámico en territorio de Siria después de que el Gobierno de Damasco solicitara ayuda militar a Moscú. Todas las acciones de la Fuerza Aérea rusa se realizan en coordinación con las Fuerzas Armadas sirias. Los altos cargos que representan a la Defensa y a la Cancillería rusa han anunciado en repetidas ocasiones que Moscú no contempla la posibilidad de implicar a sus tropas terrestres en el operativo.

mardi, 06 octobre 2015

Conférence d'Aymeric Chauprade à l'Université de Vladivostok

Conférence d'Aymeric Chauprade à l'Université de Vladivostok

Le nouveau monde multipolaire face au défi hégémonique américain

lundi, 05 octobre 2015

Putin Lives in the Real World, Obama Lives in a Fantasyland

putinobabilites-pour-une-intervention-militaire-russe.jpg

Putin Lives in the Real World, Obama Lives in a Fantasyland

by Steven MacMillan

Ex: http://journal-neo.org

Listening to the speeches of the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and the President of the United States, Barack Obama, at the United Nations General Assembly in New York on Monday, one is instantly struck by the polarization of the leader’s interpretation of world events. It is obvious that one leader resides in real world, whilst the other appears to live in a deluded fantasy.

You can understand why US Secretary of State, John Kerry, starts yawning 2 minutes and 47 seconds into Obama’s speech, as the US President’s delivery was completely devoid of vigour, spirit or honesty. An empty suit hypnotically going through the motions and reciting the usual propagated slogans, the US President spends as much time pausing as he does reading off his trusted teleprompter. 

Unsurprisingly, Obama promulgated the usual slogans in relation to Ukraine and Syria. The US President referred to the Syrian president Bashar al-Assad as a tyrant “who drops barrel bombs to massacre innocent children”, then moved on to deceptively describe how the Syrian conflict started in addition to reiterating once again that Assad must go:

“Let’s remember how this started. Assad reacted to peaceful protests, by escalating repression and killing, and in turn created the environment for the current strife… Realism also requires a managed transition away from Assad and to a new leader.”

A declassified intelligence report from the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) in 2012, a year after the violence erupted, completely contradicts the notion that the protests were “peaceful”, as the report documents that “the Salafists, the Muslim Brotherhood and AQI [Al-Qaeda in Iraq], are the major forces driving the insurgency in Syria.”

In addition, an evil dictator slaughtering peaceful protestors is the exact same propaganda the West used in order to demonize Muammar al-Qaddafi in Libya, even though the Libyan leader just like the Syrian leader was reacting to violent protests. Associate Professor of Public Affairs at the University of Texas, Alan J. Kuperman, wrote a policy brief in 2013, titled: Lessons from Libya: How not to Intervenein which he dispels the false narrative that Qaddafi instigated the violence:

“Contrary to Western media reports, Qaddafi did not initiate Libya’s violence by targeting peaceful protesters. The United Nations and Amnesty International have documented that in all four Libyan cities initially consumed by civil conflict in mid-February 2011—Benghazi, Al Bayda, Tripoli, and Misurata—violence was actually initiated by the protesters. The government responded to the rebels militarily but never intentionally targeted civilians or resorted to “indiscriminate” force, as Western media claimed.” 

Obama on Ukraine

Obama’s comments on the crisis in Ukraine were factually inaccurate and frankly absurd, although it is the type of rhetoric incessantly spouted by Western officials. The US President said:

“Consider Russia’s annexation of Crimea and further aggression in Eastern Ukraine. America has few economic interests in Ukraine, we recognise the deep and complex history between Russia and Ukraine, but we cannot stand by when the sovereignty and territorial integrity of a nation is flagrantly violated. If that happens without consequence in Ukraine, it could happen to any nation here today.”

So the US apparently “cannot stand by when the sovereignty and territorial integrity of a nation is flagrantly violated”, at the same time the US is leading a coalition in Syria which violates international law and violates Syria’s “sovereignty and territorial integrity”.

Secondly, there was a referendum in Crimea and the majority voted to rejoin Russia, Moscow did not coercively and aggressively force the Crimean people into the decision.

Western Aggression 

Thirdly, it was the West that overthrew the Ukrainian government, not Russia, a reality that even Foreign Affairs admits in an article written by the Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, John J. Mearsheimer, titled:  Why the Ukraine crisis is the West’s fault:

“The United States and its European allies share most of the responsibility for the crisis. The taproot of the trouble is NATO enlargement, the central element of a larger strategy to move Ukraine out of Russia’s orbit and integrate it into the West. At the same time, the EU’s expansion eastward and the West’s backing of the pro-democracy movement in Ukraine — beginning with the Orange Revolution in 2004 — were critical elements, too.”

Mearsheimer continues:

“Although the full extent of U.S. involvement has not yet come to light, it is clear that Washington backed the coup…The United States and its allies should abandon their plan to Westernize Ukraine and instead aim to make it a neutral buffer….. It is time to put an end to Western support for another Orange Revolution…..The result is that the United States and its allies unknowingly provoked a major crisis over Ukraine.”

Fourthly, how can Obama say “America has few economic interests in Ukraine”, when Hunter Biden, the son of the US Vice President, Joe Biden, joined the Board of Directors of one of the largest gas company’s in Ukraine following the coup?

A rare truth in Obama’s speech was when he called on Muslims to continue to reject “those who distort Islam to preach intolerance and promote violence”, adding that people that are not Muslim should reject “the ignorance that equates Islam with terror.” I completely agree with this statement. What Obama omits however, is that the majority of the radical Islamic terror groups that distort Islam are created and supported by Western intelligence agencies and regional allies in the first place.

Another microcosm of truth in Obama’s speech was not anything Obama actually said, but the response by the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, to the US President’s fallacious words. Even though the US has played a pivotal role in directly causing the Syrian crisis – by funding ISIS and al-Qaeda to overthrow the Syrian government – in addition to being hostile to any serious dialogue with Russia and Iran, it still didn’t stop Obama falsely claiming “the United States is prepared to work with any nation, including Russia and Iran, to resolve the [Syrian] conflict.” Lavrov’s response to the comment was a frustrated shake of the head, and a look of disbelief that someone can lie so blatantly to the world (I suggest you watch that part, it’s quite amusing – from 26.15 into the speech).

Hopefully however, the US will eventually come to their senses and engage seriously with key players around the world to end conflicts they played a major role in creating – I wouldn’t hold your breath though.

Putin: The Voice of Reason 

Putin’s speech was the antithesis of Obama’s – insightful, honest, constructive and statesman-like. The Russian President’s analysis of the major geopolitical issues of our time was outstanding, with many practical, viable solutions to these issues provided. I highly recommend readers listen to the full speech as it is filled with critical and pertinent information, and I can’t include it all in this article. (Please not the quotes from Putin below are based on the Russian to English translation of his speech featured in this RT article)

Putin stressed that some nations “after the end of the cold war” considered themselves “so strong and exceptional” that they thought “they knew better than others”. The Russian President asserted that it is “extremely dangerous” for states to attempt to “undermine the legitimacy of the United Nations”:

“Russia stands ready to work together with its partners on the basis of broad consensus, but we consider the attempts to undermine the legitimacy of the United Nations as extremely dangerous. They could lead to the collapse of the architecture of international relations, and then there would be no other rules left but the rule of force. We would get a world dominated by selfishness, rather than collective work. A world increasingly characterized by dictates, rather than equality. There would be less genuine democracy and freedom, and there would be a world where true independent states would be replaced by an ever growing number of de facto protectorates and externally controlled territories.”

Speaking about the turmoil in the Middle East, the Russian leader correctly denounces “aggressive foreign interference” as a destructive force which has only brought chaos, not democracy:

“But how did it actually turn out? Rather than bringing about reforms, aggressive foreign interference has resulted in the destruction of national institutions and the lifestyle itself. Instead of the triumph of democracy and progress, we got violence, poverty and social disaster, and nobody cares a bit about human rights – including, the right to life. I cannot help asking those who have caused this situation: do you realize now what you have done?  But I am afraid that no one is going to answer that. Indeed, policies based on self-conceit and belief in ones exceptionality and impunity, have never been abandoned.” 

putin9_10201471627426820_194864442_n.jpg

NATO’s “Gross Violation” of UNSC Resolution 1973 

Putin specifically pinpoints Libya as a major recruiting ground for the so-called Islamic State (ISIS) – after NATO destroyed the North African nation in 2011, adding that Western supported rebels in Syria often defect to ISIS:

“Many recruits also come from Libya, a country whose statehood was destroyed as a result of a gross violation of the UN Security Council Resolution 1973. And now the ranks of radicals are being joined by the members of the so-called moderate Syrian opposition, [which is] supported by the Western countries. First they are armed and trained, and then they defect to the so-called Islamic State.”

Reports of US trained “moderate” fighters defecting to ISIS are ubiquitous. One example was when approximately 3,000 rebels from the Free Syrian Army defected to ISIS earlier this year. Interestingly, Putin also points out that ISIS did not just magically appear out of thin air, but the group was “forged as a tool against undesirable regimes”: 

“Besides, the Islamic State itself did not just come from nowhere; it was also initially forged as a tool against undesirable secular regimes.”  

This thesis is further confirmed by the 2012 declassified report from the DIA, which reveals that the powers supporting the Syrian opposition – “Western countries, the Gulf states and Turkey” – wanted to create a “Salafist principality in Eastern Syria in order to isolate the Syrian regime”:

“Opposition forces are trying to control the Eastern areas (Hasaka and Der Zor), adjacent to the Western Iraqi provinces (Mosul and Anbar), in addition to neighbouring Turkish borders. Western countries, the Gulf states and Turkey are supporting these efforts… If the situation unravels there is the possibility of establishing a declared or undeclared Salafist principality in Eastern Syria (Hasaka and Der Zor), and this is exactly what the supporting powers to the opposition want, in order to isolate the Syrian regime, which is considered the strategic depth of the Shia expansion (Iraq and Iran).” (p.5)

The former head of the DIA, Michael T. Flynn, also recently admitted that the Obama administration took the “willful decision” to support the rise of ISIS.

Don’t Play with Fire

Putin then goes on to issue a stark warning to the nefarious forces who have been using radical groups as geopolitical tools:

“It is hypocritical and irresponsible to make loud declarations about the threat of international terrorism, while turning a blind-eye to the channels of financing… It would be equally irresponsible to try to manipulate extremist groups and place them at one’s service in order to achieve one’s own political goals, in the hope of later dealing with them. To those who do so, I would like to say: Dear sirs, no doubt you are dealing with rough and cruel people, but they are [not] primitive or silly, they are just as clever as you are, and you never know who is manipulating whom… We believe that any attempts to play games with terrorists, let alone to arm them, are not just short-sighted but fire hazardous.” 

ISIS “desecrates one of the greatest world religions by its bloody crimes”, Russia’s leader said, adding: “The ideology of militants makes a mockery of Islam and perverts it true humanistic values.”

Defeating ISIS

As ISIS continues to expand its influence, it is increasingly becoming a national security threat for numerous countries outside of the Middle East, and “Russia is not an exception”.  Putin stated that “we cannot allow these criminals who have already tasted blood to return back home and continue their evil doings… Russia has always been consistently fighting against terrorism in all its forms. Today, we provide military and technical assistance both to Iraq and Syria and many other countries of the region who are fighting terrorist groups. We think it is an enormous mistake to refuse to cooperate with the Syrian government and its armed forces, who are valiantly fighting terrorism face to face. We should finally acknowledge that no one but President Assad’s armed forces and Kurdish militia are truly fighting Islamic State and other terrorist organizations in Syria

The Russia President stated the solution to the scourge of ISIS is to “create a genuinely broad international coalition against terrorism” in accordance with “international law”, which “similar to the anti-Hitler coalition, could unite a broad range of forces”.

“The desire to explore new geopolitical areas is still present among some of our colleagues,” Putin said. “First they continued their policy of expanding NATO,” he said, following the collapse of the Soviet Union, “they offered post-Soviet countries a false choice – either to be with the West or with the East. Sooner or later this logic of confrontation was bound to spark off a grave geopolitical crisis. This is exactly what happened in Ukraine where the discontent of the population with the current authorities was used and a military coup was orchestrated from outside that triggered civil war as a result.”

Russia’s leader maintained that the solution to the Ukrainian crisis is “through the full and faithful implementation of the Minsk accords”:

“We are confident that only through full and faithful implementation of the Minsk agreements of February 12th2015, can we put an end to the bloodshed and find a way out of the deadlock. Ukraine’s territorial integrity cannot be ensured by threats and the force of arms. What is needed is a genuine consideration of the interests and rights of people in the Donbass region, and respect for their choice.” 

What is blatantly clear from listening to both leaders’ speeches is that the moral leader of the world resides in Russia.

Steven MacMillan is an independent writer, researcher, geopolitical analyst and editor of  The Analyst Report, especially for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.